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JFE Holdings Inc (JP:5411)
:5411

JFE Holdings (5411) AI Stock Analysis

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JP:5411

JFE Holdings

(5411)

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Neutral 62 (OpenAI - 4o)
Rating:62Neutral
Price Target:
¥1,859.00
▼(-9.67% Downside)
JFE Holdings' overall stock score is driven primarily by its stable financial performance and attractive valuation. The company's ability to generate cash flow and maintain a solid balance sheet provides a foundation for stability. However, technical indicators suggest a bearish trend, which could impact short-term performance. The lack of recent earnings call data and corporate events limits additional insights into future prospects.
Positive Factors
Stable Balance Sheet
A stable balance sheet with manageable leverage and a solid equity base provides financial stability and reduces risk, supporting long-term operations.
Cash Flow Generation
Strong cash flow generation supports operational sustainability and future investments, enhancing the company's ability to weather industry cycles.
Profitability Improvements
Improved profitability margins indicate effective cost management and operational efficiency, contributing to long-term financial health.
Negative Factors
Revenue Growth Decline
Inconsistent revenue growth reflects challenges in market demand and competitive pressures, potentially impacting long-term growth prospects.
Volatile Cash Flow Growth
Volatility in cash flow growth can hinder strategic investments and operational flexibility, affecting long-term financial planning.
Cyclical Industry Challenges
Operating in a cyclical industry exposes the company to demand fluctuations, impacting revenue stability and strategic planning.

JFE Holdings (5411) vs. iShares MSCI Japan ETF (EWJ)

JFE Holdings Business Overview & Revenue Model

Company DescriptionJFE Holdings, Inc., through its subsidiaries, engages in steel, engineering, and trading businesses in Japan and internationally. Its Steel segment produces and sells various steel products, processed steel products, and raw materials, as well as operates in the transportation, facility maintenance, and construction businesses. The company's Engineering segment engages in the engineering of energy, urban environment, steel structures and industrial machinery, recycling, and electricity retailing projects. Its Trading segment purchases, processes, and distributes steel products, raw materials for steel production, nonferrous metal products, food, etc. JFE Holdings, Inc. was incorporated in 2002 and is headquartered in Tokyo, Japan.
How the Company Makes MoneyJFE Holdings generates revenue primarily through the sale of steel products, which includes flat products used in automotive and construction applications, long products utilized in infrastructure projects, and specialty steel for high-performance applications. The company's revenue model is heavily reliant on the demand from various sectors, particularly the automotive and construction industries. Additionally, JFE Holdings earns income from its engineering division, which provides design and construction services for infrastructure projects, as well as from its shipbuilding operations. Strategic partnerships with major automotive manufacturers and construction firms enhance its revenue streams. Furthermore, JFE Holdings benefits from fluctuating global steel prices and demand trends, which can significantly impact its earnings. The company also explores opportunities in environmental solutions, which are increasingly gaining importance in the global market.

JFE Holdings Financial Statement Overview

Summary
JFE Holdings shows a mixed financial performance with strengths in cash flow generation and a stable balance sheet. The company has improved profitability despite revenue fluctuations typical of the steel industry. The balance sheet reveals a sound capital structure with manageable debt levels, although cash flow management presents areas for improvement.
Income Statement
JFE Holdings has shown notable improvements in profitability with a gross profit margin of 10.97% and a net profit margin of 1.89% in the most recent period. Despite some fluctuations in EBIT and EBITDA margins over the years, the company has managed to stabilize its revenue and profit growth. The revenue growth trajectory has been inconsistent, indicated by a decline from 2023 to 2024. The steel industry is cyclical, and such fluctuations are common. Overall, the income statement reflects a company that is regaining financial health post significant challenges in previous years.
Balance Sheet
The balance sheet of JFE Holdings indicates a stable financial position with a debt-to-equity ratio of 0.70, reflecting a manageable level of leverage. The return on equity stands at 3.63%, suggesting moderate profitability from equity financing. The equity ratio is 44.78%, highlighting a solid portion of the company’s assets financed through equity. Despite a high total debt, the company's significant equity base provides a buffer against financial risk, suggesting relative stability.
Cash Flow
JFE Holdings has managed to generate positive free cash flow, with a free cash flow to net income ratio of 1.08, indicating efficient cash generation relative to net income. However, the free cash flow growth rate shows volatility, reflecting challenges in capital expenditure management. The operating cash flow to net income ratio of 4.13 demonstrates strong cash flow generation capabilities, which is a positive sign for sustaining operations and future investments.
BreakdownTTMDec 2025Dec 2024Dec 2023Dec 2022Dec 2021
Income Statement
Total Revenue4.76T4.86T5.17T5.27T4.37T3.23T
Gross Profit508.26B533.08B656.18B609.42B670.46B314.52B
EBITDA377.48B368.30B566.15B475.36B554.29B231.37B
Net Income71.48B91.87B197.42B162.62B288.06B-21.87B
Balance Sheet
Total Assets5.63T5.65T5.75T5.52T5.29T4.65T
Cash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments175.10B172.84B243.08B119.39B101.77B142.42B
Total Debt1.96T1.77T1.83T1.86T1.85T1.81T
Total Liabilities3.10T3.06T3.22T3.33T3.22T2.89T
Stockholders Equity2.47T2.53T2.46T2.12T1.99T1.68T
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow0.0099.55B149.14B106.60B-14.59B-60.85B
Operating Cash Flow0.00378.97B478.97B395.80B298.74B247.27B
Investing Cash Flow0.00-283.18B-325.26B-274.31B-288.03B-164.22B
Financing Cash Flow0.00-157.44B-45.49B-110.17B-57.43B-30.09B

JFE Holdings Technical Analysis

Technical Analysis Sentiment
Positive
Last Price2058.00
Price Trends
50DMA
1901.72
Positive
100DMA
1859.06
Positive
200DMA
1768.65
Positive
Market Momentum
MACD
35.82
Negative
RSI
68.54
Neutral
STOCH
76.40
Neutral
Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For JP:5411, the sentiment is Positive. The current price of 2058 is above the 20-day moving average (MA) of 1988.65, above the 50-day MA of 1901.72, and above the 200-day MA of 1768.65, indicating a bullish trend. The MACD of 35.82 indicates Negative momentum. The RSI at 68.54 is Neutral, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 76.40 is Neutral, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Positive sentiment for JP:5411.

JFE Holdings Peers Comparison

Overall Rating
UnderperformOutperform
Sector (61)
Financial Indicators
Name
Overall Rating
Market Cap
P/E Ratio
ROE
Dividend Yield
Revenue Growth
EPS Growth
82
Outperform
¥386.24B13.316.84%2.99%-0.02%-40.45%
80
Outperform
¥850.50B6.7410.78%4.68%-1.97%47.63%
73
Outperform
¥169.81B10.257.36%3.42%-18.72%-25.26%
63
Neutral
¥3.45T-518.80-0.26%4.53%1.31%-101.19%
62
Neutral
¥1.24T17.212.92%4.59%-8.07%-41.42%
61
Neutral
$10.43B7.12-0.05%2.87%2.86%-36.73%
61
Neutral
¥86.62B2,136.851.24%-12.05%-97.36%
* Basic Materials Sector Average
Performance Comparison
Ticker
Company Name
Price
Change
% Change
JP:5411
JFE Holdings
2,058.00
411.53
24.99%
JP:5471
Daido Steel Co
1,876.50
740.09
65.13%
JP:5406
Kobe Steel
2,163.50
693.08
47.13%
JP:5401
NIPPON STEEL
645.60
68.78
11.92%
JP:5423
Tokyo Steel Manufacturing Co
1,555.00
111.48
7.72%
JP:5449
OSAKA STEEL CO., LTD.
2,895.00
209.94
7.82%

JFE Holdings Corporate Events

JFE Holdings Adjusts Convertible Bond Conversion Price
Nov 6, 2025

JFE Holdings, Inc. announced an adjustment to the conversion price for its Zero Coupon Convertible Bonds due 2028, effective October 1, 2025. This adjustment is a result of an extraordinary dividend payment of ¥40 per share, resolved by the company’s board of directors, impacting the bond’s conversion terms.

The most recent analyst rating on (JP:5411) stock is a Hold with a Yen1859.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on JFE Holdings stock, see the JP:5411 Stock Forecast page.

JFE Holdings Exceeds Financial Forecasts for First Half of Fiscal 2025
Nov 6, 2025

JFE Holdings reported a significant improvement in its financial results for the first half of fiscal year 2025, surpassing previous forecasts. The steel segment saw improved profitability due to favorable inventory valuations, while the engineering segment benefited from higher sales revenue. However, the trading segment experienced a decline in profit due to lower sales in the Americas.

The most recent analyst rating on (JP:5411) stock is a Hold with a Yen1859.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on JFE Holdings stock, see the JP:5411 Stock Forecast page.

JFE Holdings Reports Decline in First Half Fiscal 2025 Results
Nov 6, 2025

JFE Holdings reported a decline in its financial performance for the first half of fiscal year 2025, with revenue and profits showing significant decreases compared to the previous year. The company has adjusted its financial forecasts and dividend payouts, indicating a cautious approach amid challenging market conditions. This adjustment reflects the company’s strategic response to current economic pressures, impacting stakeholders and potentially influencing its market positioning.

The most recent analyst rating on (JP:5411) stock is a Hold with a Yen1859.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on JFE Holdings stock, see the JP:5411 Stock Forecast page.

Glossary
BuyA stock rated as a "Buy" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock is likely to deliver higher returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
HoldA stock rated as a "Hold" is expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the stock is neither particularly compelling nor unfavorable for investment. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
SellA stock rated as a "Sell" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock may deliver lower returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.

Disclaimer

This AI Analyst Stock Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in stocks carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.Date of analysis: Oct 29, 2025