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NIPPON STEEL CORP. (JP:5401)
:5401

NIPPON STEEL (5401) AI Stock Analysis

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JP:5401

NIPPON STEEL

(5401)

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Neutral 67 (OpenAI - 5.2)
Rating:67Neutral
Price Target:
¥703.00
▲(8.89% Upside)
Action:ReiteratedDate:02/14/26
The score is primarily supported by solid financial performance (revenue growth, healthy margins, and strong operating cash flow), partially offset by valuation uncertainty from a negative P/E despite a ~4% dividend yield. Technicals are mixed, with longer-term trend support but weaker short-term positioning versus the 20-day average.
Positive Factors
Cash Generation Ability
Strong operating cash flows indicate efficient operations and the ability to fund growth initiatives and manage debt, supporting long-term stability.
Operational Efficiency
Operational efficiency enhances profitability and competitiveness, allowing the company to better navigate market fluctuations and sustain growth.
Balance Sheet Health
Balanced leverage and improved return on equity suggest effective capital management, providing financial stability and flexibility for future investments.
Negative Factors
Revenue Growth Decline
A decline in revenue growth can signal challenges in market demand or competitive pressures, potentially impacting long-term financial performance.
High Capital Expenditures
High capital expenditures may strain cash flow, limiting the ability to invest in new opportunities or return capital to shareholders, affecting future growth.
Net Profit Margin Fluctuations
Fluctuating net profit margins can indicate instability in cost management or pricing power, posing risks to consistent profitability and financial health.

NIPPON STEEL (5401) vs. iShares MSCI Japan ETF (EWJ)

NIPPON STEEL Business Overview & Revenue Model

Company DescriptionNippon Steel Corporation, together with its subsidiaries, engages in steelmaking and steel fabrication, engineering and construction, chemicals and materials, and system solutions businesses in Japan and internationally. The company's steelmaking and steel fabrication business offers steel plates, sheets, and slags; bar and rod materials; structural steel; pipes and tubes; titanium and stainless products; and railway, automotive, and machinery parts for applications in automotive, energy, infrastructure, and consumer electronics markets. Its engineering and construction business cover the manufacture and sale of industrial machinery; equipment and steel structures; construction projects under contract; waste processing and recycling; and supply of electricity, gas, and heat. The company's chemicals and materials comprise the manufacture and sale of coal-based chemical products, petrochemicals, electronic materials, materials and components for semiconductors and electronic parts, carbon fiber and composite products, and products that utilize technologies for metal processing. Its system solutions business includes computer systems engineering and consulting services; and IT-enabled outsourcing and other services. The company was formerly known as Nippon Steel & Sumitomo Metal Corporation and changed its name to Nippon Steel Corporation in April 2019. Nippon Steel Corporation was founded in 1950 and is headquartered in Tokyo, Japan.
How the Company Makes MoneyNIPPON STEEL generates revenue primarily through the production and sale of steel products. The company has several key revenue streams, including flat steel products for automotive and construction sectors, long steel products for infrastructure projects, and specialty steels for high-performance applications. Additionally, NIPPON STEEL engages in joint ventures and partnerships with other companies in the automotive and energy sectors, which provide opportunities for collaborative projects and increased market penetration. The company's ability to innovate and adapt to market demands, such as developing high-strength and lightweight steel, also contributes to its earnings. Fluctuations in global steel prices and demand in key markets further influence its overall revenue performance.

NIPPON STEEL Financial Statement Overview

Summary
Strong overall fundamentals supported by consistent revenue growth and healthy gross margins (Income Statement: 78). Balance sheet is stable with balanced leverage but moderate reliance on liabilities to monitor (Balance Sheet: 70). Operating cash flow is strong though free cash flow is variable due to high capital expenditures (Cash Flow: 75).
Income Statement
78
Positive
Nippon Steel has shown a consistent revenue growth trend over the past few years, with a strong recovery from the dip in 2020. The gross profit margin remains healthy, indicating effective cost management. However, the net profit margin has seen fluctuations, reflective of varying cost pressures and economic conditions. Overall, the income statement reveals a solid financial performance with room for improvement in net profitability.
Balance Sheet
70
Positive
The company maintains a reasonable debt-to-equity ratio, indicating balanced leverage. Return on equity has improved over the years, showcasing effective utilization of equity. However, the equity ratio suggests a moderate reliance on liabilities, which could pose risks if economic conditions worsen. Overall, the balance sheet reflects stability with some areas to monitor regarding debt levels.
Cash Flow
75
Positive
Nippon Steel's cash flow statements demonstrate strong operating cash flows, comfortably covering net income, which suggests efficient operations. Although free cash flow has shown variability, the company's ability to generate cash is a positive sign. However, capital expenditures remain high, which could impact future free cash flow if not managed carefully.
BreakdownTTMMar 2026Mar 2025Mar 2024Mar 2023Mar 2022
Income Statement
Total Revenue8.51T8.70T8.87T7.98T6.81T4.83T
Gross Profit1.31T1.37T1.39T1.29T1.22T565.33B
EBITDA687.81B827.14B1.02T1.23T958.96B307.61B
Net Income-3.17B350.23B549.37B694.02B637.32B-32.43B
Balance Sheet
Total Assets13.82T10.94T10.71T9.57T8.75T7.57T
Cash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments524.00B696.31B464.91B687.96B572.38B359.46B
Total Debt5.08T2.51T2.71T2.70T2.65T2.56T
Total Liabilities8.33T5.04T5.36T4.92T4.86T4.44T
Stockholders Equity4.99T5.38T4.78T4.18T3.47T2.76T
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow0.00360.40B543.81B191.26B148.73B-56.63B
Operating Cash Flow0.00978.59B1.01T661.27B615.63B403.19B
Investing Cash Flow0.00-462.43B-710.65B-364.66B-375.98B-389.04B
Financing Cash Flow0.00-313.33B-543.95B-199.58B-64.19B52.69B

NIPPON STEEL Technical Analysis

Technical Analysis Sentiment
Negative
Last Price645.60
Price Trends
50DMA
655.43
Negative
100DMA
636.57
Negative
200DMA
608.96
Positive
Market Momentum
MACD
-3.62
Positive
RSI
41.66
Neutral
STOCH
7.70
Positive
Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For JP:5401, the sentiment is Negative. The current price of 645.6 is below the 20-day moving average (MA) of 667.24, below the 50-day MA of 655.43, and above the 200-day MA of 608.96, indicating a neutral trend. The MACD of -3.62 indicates Positive momentum. The RSI at 41.66 is Neutral, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 7.70 is Positive, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Negative sentiment for JP:5401.

NIPPON STEEL Peers Comparison

Overall Rating
UnderperformOutperform
Sector (61)
Financial Indicators
Name
Overall Rating
Market Cap
P/E Ratio
ROE
Dividend Yield
Revenue Growth
EPS Growth
80
Outperform
¥894.33B8.8110.78%4.68%-1.97%47.63%
74
Outperform
¥490.70B17.956.84%2.99%-0.02%-40.45%
73
Outperform
¥176.91B12.177.36%3.42%-18.72%-25.26%
71
Outperform
¥224.39B20.195.06%1.80%4.10%152.90%
67
Neutral
¥3.40T-58.46-0.26%4.53%1.31%-101.19%
64
Neutral
$1.32T26.582.92%4.59%-8.07%-41.42%
61
Neutral
$10.43B7.12-0.05%2.87%2.86%-36.73%
* Basic Materials Sector Average
Performance Comparison
Ticker
Company Name
Price
Change
% Change
JP:5401
NIPPON STEEL
636.00
-8.09
-1.26%
JP:5471
Daido Steel Co
2,384.00
1,193.87
100.31%
JP:5411
JFE Holdings
2,200.50
390.91
21.60%
JP:5406
Kobe Steel
2,275.00
574.45
33.78%
JP:5423
Tokyo Steel Manufacturing Co
1,620.00
34.06
2.15%
JP:5482
Aichi Steel Corporation
3,505.00
1,827.22
108.91%

NIPPON STEEL Corporate Events

Nippon Steel Subsidiary GEOSTR Sharply Lifts Profit Outlook for FY2026
Feb 6, 2026

Nippon Steel has disclosed that its subsidiary GEOSTR Corporation has revised upward its earnings forecast for the fiscal year ending March 31, 2026, though the change is deemed immaterial to Nippon Steel’s consolidated results for fiscal 2025. GEOSTR now projects slightly higher net sales but significantly stronger profitability than previously expected, driven by successful efforts to pass higher material and other costs through to selling prices, cost reductions including fixed costs, and the booking of an extraordinary gain on the sale of investment securities, resulting in a substantial upgrade to projected profit attributable to owners of the parent.

The most recent analyst rating on (JP:5401) stock is a Hold with a Yen714.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on NIPPON STEEL stock, see the JP:5401 Stock Forecast page.

Nippon Steel Engineering and Kanadevia Begin Talks on Potential Business Integration
Feb 5, 2026

Nippon Steel Engineering Co., Ltd., a core engineering subsidiary of Nippon Steel, and Kanadevia Corporation have signed a basic memorandum of understanding to begin formal discussions on a potential business integration, following board approvals at both companies. While no specific integration structure or terms have been decided, the review will cover feasibility and conditions of combining their operations, and depending on the share-allotment ratio ultimately set, the merged entity could become either a listed affiliate or a listed subsidiary of Nippon Steel, potentially reshaping the group’s footprint in environmental and infrastructure engineering and enhancing its position in global decarbonization and waste-treatment markets.

The most recent analyst rating on (JP:5401) stock is a Hold with a Yen714.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on NIPPON STEEL stock, see the JP:5401 Stock Forecast page.

Nippon Steel Posts Nine-Month Loss on Asset Exits, Keeps FY2025 Profit Target Despite Restructuring Costs
Feb 5, 2026

Nippon Steel reported consolidated revenue of ¥7,256.3 billion and business profit of ¥356.1 billion for the nine months to 31 December 2025, but booked a net loss of ¥45.0 billion attributable to owners of the parent, largely due to ¥249.0 billion in losses on business withdrawal, including the sale of equity interests in AM/NS Calvert LLC and Usiminas. Underlying business profit declined year-on-year on weaker spreads, lower overseas steel and raw materials contributions, and negative inventory valuation effects, though cost reductions partially offset these pressures, and non-steel segments made a modest positive contribution. By segment, steelmaking and steel fabrication remained the core earnings driver despite lower profit, while engineering and construction, chemicals and materials, and system solutions showed comparatively resilient or improving performance. For the fiscal year ending 31 March 2026, the company forecasts revenue of ¥10,000.0 billion, business profit of ¥420.0 billion and a full-year net loss of ¥70.0 billion, reflecting continued restructuring charges and a cautious outlook on steel margins, even as it targets higher second-half revenue and maintains significant crude steel production and shipment volumes, signaling an ongoing focus on operational efficiency and portfolio reshaping.

The most recent analyst rating on (JP:5401) stock is a Hold with a Yen714.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on NIPPON STEEL stock, see the JP:5401 Stock Forecast page.

Nippon Steel Swings to Loss Despite Higher Revenue as U.S. Steel Acquisition Weighs on Earnings
Feb 5, 2026

Nippon Steel reported a 10.7% year-on-year increase in revenue to ¥7.26 trillion for the nine months ended December 31, 2025, but profits declined sharply, with business profit down 37.1% and the company posting a net loss attributable to owners of the parent of ¥45.0 billion, compared with a ¥362.1 billion profit a year earlier. The company’s equity ratio weakened as total assets swelled following the addition of U.S. Steel and other subsidiaries to the consolidation scope, while it proceeded with a 5-for-1 stock split and adjusted its dividend structure, resulting in a lower forecast annual payout in headline terms. For the full year to March 31, 2026, Nippon Steel now forecasts ¥10 trillion in revenue, up 15%, but expects to remain loss-making with a projected ¥70.0 billion loss attributable to owners of the parent and a 38.5% drop in business profit, underscoring mounting cost and integration pressures at a time of restructuring and capital market adjustments for shareholders.

The most recent analyst rating on (JP:5401) stock is a Hold with a Yen714.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on NIPPON STEEL stock, see the JP:5401 Stock Forecast page.

Nippon Steel to Launch Tender Offer for Krosaki Harima on February 2 After Securing Regulatory Clearances
Jan 30, 2026

Nippon Steel announced it will commence a tender offer on February 2, 2026, to acquire additional shares of its consolidated subsidiary Krosaki Harima Corporation, a refractory and materials producer listed in Tokyo and Fukuoka. All required clearances under Japanese and Indian competition laws and Italian foreign investment regulations have been obtained, and other preconditions—such as a supportive resolution from Krosaki Harima’s board and a positive report from a special committee—have been satisfied, enabling the transaction to move forward as planned. Nippon Steel, already the largest shareholder with an effective 46.47% stake, is adjusting only the minimum number of shares to be purchased slightly (to 6,818,596 shares) to reflect a small increase in Krosaki Harima’s treasury stock, signaling a continued push to reinforce control and integration of the subsidiary within its group structure.

The most recent analyst rating on (JP:5401) stock is a Hold with a Yen721.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on NIPPON STEEL stock, see the JP:5401 Stock Forecast page.

Nippon Steel Unveils 2030 Strategic Plan to Strengthen Global Leadership
Dec 12, 2025

Nippon Steel Corporation has announced its 2030 Medium- to Long-term Management Plan, aiming to enhance its position as a top steelmaker globally. The plan addresses the anticipated growth in steel demand driven by emerging markets and domestic manufacturing in the U.S., while also considering challenges such as global oversupply and trade tensions. The company has improved its breakeven point through restructuring and strategic investments, including expanding its capacity in promising markets like India and the U.S., establishing a profit structure that ensures significant business profits in various economic conditions.

The most recent analyst rating on (JP:5401) stock is a Hold with a Yen655.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on NIPPON STEEL stock, see the JP:5401 Stock Forecast page.

Glossary
BuyA stock rated as a "Buy" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock is likely to deliver higher returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
HoldA stock rated as a "Hold" is expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the stock is neither particularly compelling nor unfavorable for investment. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
SellA stock rated as a "Sell" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock may deliver lower returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.

Disclaimer

This AI Analyst Stock Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in stocks carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.Date of analysis: Feb 14, 2026