Geostr Corporation (5282) AI Stock Analysis

• Market Cap: ¥14.05B
• Dividend Yield: 3.21%
• Average Volume (3M): 113.32K
• Price to Earnings (P/E): 12.2
• Beta (1Y): 0.61
• Revenue Growth: 5.83%
• EPS Growth: -16.54%
• Country: JP
• Employees: 465
• Sector: Basic Materials
• Sector Strength: 58
• Industry: Construction Materials
• EPS (TTM): 8.36
• Shares Outstanding: 31,530,000
• 10 Day Avg. Volume: 55,830
• 30 Day Avg. Volume: 113,316
• PEG Ratio: -0.46
• Price to Book (P/B): 0.39
• Price to Sales (P/S): 0.33
• P/FCF Ratio: -26.37
• Enterprise Value/Market Cap: N/A
• Enterprise Value/Revenue: N/A
• Enterprise Value/Gross Profit: N/A
• Enterprise Value/Ebitda: N/A
• 1Y Price Target: N/A
• Price Target Upside: N/A
• Rating Consensus: N/A
• Number of Analyst Covering: 0
• EPS Forecast (FY): 28.8
• Revenue Forecast (FY): ¥31.00B

• Rating: 74 Outperform
• Price Target: ¥540.00 ▲(32.03% Upside)
• Action: Reiterated Date: 02/13/26
• Date: Action: Reiterated 02/13/26

The score is driven primarily by solid financial performance led by a very strong, low-leverage balance sheet and steady revenue growth, partially offset by negative free cash flow and some operating margin pressure. Technicals are bullish but appear overextended (high RSI/Stochastic), while valuation remains reasonable with a moderate P/E and a supportive dividend yield.

Positive Factors

Strong balance sheet

Extremely low leverage and a robust equity base materially increase financial flexibility. This durability lets the company fund cyclically lumpy capex, sustain operations through downturns, and pursue strategic investments or dividends without immediate refinancing risk, supporting multi-quarter resilience.

Consistent revenue growth

Steady mid-single-digit top-line growth signals enduring demand and market share stability in construction materials. Over a 2–6 month horizon this trend supports scale benefits, underpins recurring cash generation potential, and provides a base for reinvestment to drive longer-term margin recovery.

Stable gross margin, improving net margin

A stable gross margin indicates price discipline or controlled input costs, while improving net margin shows progress converting revenue to bottom-line profit. Together they imply structural profitability resilience even if operating metrics fluctuate, supporting sustainable earnings over multiple quarters.

Negative Factors

Negative free cash flow

Persistent negative free cash flow means capital spending or other cash uses exceed operating cash generation. Over several quarters this can erode liquidity, force reliance on external funding despite low leverage, and constrain the ability to self‑finance growth, dividends, or cyclical cushions.

Operating margin pressure

Declining EBIT/EBITDA margins suggest rising costs or weaker pricing power at the operating level. If the drivers persist, the firm may face constrained operating leverage, lower cash conversion, and reduced capacity to absorb input cost shocks common in construction materials over the medium term.

Modest return on equity

A ROE of ~3.5% is low relative to the company's strong equity base and industry expectations. Persistently modest ROE indicates limited capital efficiency and weak shareholder returns, reducing strategic optionality for reinvestment and lowering the payoff from additional equity deployment over quarters.

Geostr Corporation Business Overview & Revenue Model

Company Description

GEOSTR Corporation engages in the manufacture and sale of precast concrete products for civil engineering in Japan. The company offers shield tunnels, precast box and arch culverts, earthquake-resistant response precast culverts, pavements, mountain tunnels, bridges, retaining walls, precast piers, precast seawalls and guard fences, concrete slabs, tunnel linings, precast PV and RC pavements, precast concreate panels, and precast tunnels. Its products are used in construction of roads, railroads, water supply and sewage systems, river/waterways, electricity/gas/utility tunnels, reservoirs/ponds, dams, harbors, airports, and defense projects. The company was formerly known as Nippon Concrete Industries Co., Ltd. and changed its name to GEOSTR Corporation in July 1994. GEOSTR Corporation was founded in 1958 and is headquartered in Tokyo, Japan.

How the Company Makes Money

Geostr Corporation generates revenue through multiple key streams, primarily focusing on the sale of its geospatial products and services. The company earns income from licensing its software solutions, offering subscription-based access to its GIS platforms, and providing consulting services for data analysis and interpretation. Additionally, Geostr engages in project-based contracts, collaborating with government agencies and private sector clients for tailored geospatial solutions. Significant partnerships with technology firms enhance its product offerings and expand market reach, while ongoing investments in research and development contribute to innovation, driving further revenue growth.

Geostr Corporation Financial Statement Overview

Summary

Solid overall fundamentals supported by a very strong balance sheet (debt-to-equity 0.01; equity ratio 64.7%) and positive revenue growth (+6%). Profitability is improving at the net level (net margin 2.9%) but operational efficiency shows some pressure with slightly lower EBIT/EBITDA margins, and cash flow is mixed with negative free cash flow.

Income Statement

Geostr Corporation shows a positive revenue growth trend with a 6% increase in the latest year. The gross profit margin is stable at around 15.7%, and the net profit margin is improving, reaching 2.9% in the latest period. However, the EBIT and EBITDA margins have slightly decreased, indicating some pressure on operational efficiency.

Balance Sheet

The company maintains a strong balance sheet with a low debt-to-equity ratio of 0.01, highlighting minimal leverage and financial stability. The equity ratio is robust at 64.7%, indicating a strong equity base. Return on equity is moderate at 3.5%, suggesting room for improvement in profitability.

Cash Flow

Geostr Corporation's cash flow performance is mixed. The operating cash flow to net income ratio is positive, reflecting good cash generation relative to earnings. However, the free cash flow is negative, indicating challenges in covering capital expenditures and potential liquidity concerns.

Breakdown	TTM	Mar 2025	Mar 2024	Mar 2023	Mar 2022	Mar 2021
Income Statement
Total Revenue	28.05B	28.53B	26.91B	25.24B	30.86B	30.15B
Gross Profit	4.43B	4.49B	4.62B	4.34B	5.14B	4.48B
EBITDA	2.14B	2.24B	2.51B	2.20B	2.90B	2.45B
Net Income	756.44M	835.47M	1.10B	645.95M	1.46B	891.18M
Balance Sheet
Total Assets	34.89B	37.57B	37.58B	35.12B	35.74B	33.52B
Cash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments	4.96B	4.26B	5.14B	7.95B	5.09B	4.87B
Total Debt	362.37M	312.09M	336.35M	339.87M	381.04M	1.27B
Total Liabilities	11.21B	13.83B	14.26B	13.24B	14.02B	12.94B
Stockholders Equity	23.68B	23.74B	23.32B	21.88B	21.72B	20.59B
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow	0.00	-353.55M	-2.54B	3.41B	1.40B	3.28B
Operating Cash Flow	0.00	927.76M	-1.89B	4.17B	1.99B	3.73B
Investing Cash Flow	0.00	-1.33B	-727.40M	-817.28M	-612.48M	-463.38M
Financing Cash Flow	0.00	-484.09M	-192.32M	-483.54M	-1.15B	-166.90M

Geostr Corporation Technical Analysis

• Technical Analysis Sentiment: Neutral
• Last Price: 409.00
• 50DMA: Negative
• 100DMA: Positive
• 200DMA: Positive
• MACD: Positive
• RSI: Neutral
• STOCH: Neutral

Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For JP:5282, the sentiment is Neutral. The current price of 409 is below the 20-day moving average (MA) of 466.20, below the 50-day MA of 452.60, and above the 200-day MA of 361.67, indicating a neutral trend. The MACD of 0.06 indicates Positive momentum. The RSI at 46.58 is Neutral, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 77.69 is Neutral, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Neutral sentiment for JP:5282.

Geostr Corporation Peers Comparison

Name	Overall Rating	Market Cap	P/E Ratio	ROE	Dividend Yield	Revenue Growth	EPS Growth
5288	80 Outperform	¥54.32B	7.15	―	3.25%	9.50%	77.72%
3157	77 Outperform	¥21.57B	10.16	―	3.07%	13.22%	28.90%
5282	74 Outperform	¥14.05B	12.23	―	3.21%	5.83%	-16.54%
5268	69 Neutral	¥12.29B	18.59	―	1.24%	-2.82%	-44.93%
Sector *	61 Neutral	$10.43B	7.12	-0.05%	2.87%	2.86%	-36.73%
5232	61 Neutral	¥121.66B	45.55	6.98%	3.13%	-2.13%	37.10%
5269	49 Neutral	¥18.18B	743.26	―	3.24%	-3.73%	-143.19%