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Nippon Sheet Glass Company Limited (JP:5202)
:5202

Nippon Sheet Glass Company (5202) AI Stock Analysis

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JP:5202

Nippon Sheet Glass Company

(5202)

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Neutral 42 (OpenAI - 5.2)
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Neutral 42 (OpenAI - 5.2)
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Neutral 42 (OpenAI - 5.2)
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Neutral 42 (OpenAI - 5.2)
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Neutral 42 (OpenAI - 5.2)
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Neutral 42 (OpenAI - 5.2)
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Neutral 42 (OpenAI - 5.2)
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Neutral 42 (OpenAI - 5.2)
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Neutral 42 (OpenAI - 5.2)
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Neutral 42 (OpenAI - 5.2)
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Neutral 42 (OpenAI - 5.2)
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Neutral 42 (OpenAI - 5.2)
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Neutral 42 (OpenAI - 5.2)
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Neutral 42 (OpenAI - 5.2)
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Neutral 42 (OpenAI - 5.2)
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Neutral 42 (OpenAI - 5.2)
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Neutral 42 (OpenAI - 5.2)
Rating:42Neutral
Price Target:
Â¥389.00
â–¼(-24.02% Downside)
Action:ReiteratedDate:03/24/26
The score is weighed down primarily by high financial leverage alongside a return to net losses, and by clearly bearish technicals with the stock trading well below all major moving averages and negative MACD. Positive operating/free cash flow and improved operating performance provide some support, but valuation remains constrained by loss-making earnings and no dividend yield data.
Positive Factors
Free cash flow generation
Consistent operating cash flow and a positive trailing‑twelve‑month free cash flow provide a durable internal funding source. That cash cushion supports near‑term capex and working capital needs, and gives the company recurring capacity to service debt and fund gradual deleveraging despite net losses.
Improving operating performance
Measured improvement in gross and operating margins signals better cost control and pricing/mix gains. If sustained, improved operating leverage can convert revenue growth into recurring profitability and strengthen competitiveness in higher‑value coated and processed glass segments across cycles.
Diversified product and end‑market mix
A diversified portfolio across architectural, automotive and specialty glass reduces dependence on a single cyclical market. Value‑added processed glazing and long‑term OEM relationships support steadier demand and the ability to capture higher margins versus commodity float glass over multiple cycles.
Negative Factors
Very high financial leverage
Extremely elevated leverage in a cyclical, capital‑intensive industry materially limits financial flexibility. High debt increases interest burden, raises refinancing and covenant risk during downturns, and constrains the company's ability to invest in growth or absorb prolonged industry weakness.
Return to net losses / negative ROE
Resumption of net losses and negative ROE erode shareholder equity and reduce retained earnings available for reinvestment or debt repayment. Persistent below‑the‑line losses hinder sustained recovery of profitability and make long‑term capital raising more difficult and costly.
Choppy and modest free cash flow vs revenue
Volatile free cash flow limits predictable debt reduction and capital allocation. Modest FCF relative to revenue slows pace of deleveraging and investment in process improvements, forcing reliance on external financing in tougher periods and reducing long‑term strategic optionality.

Nippon Sheet Glass Company (5202) vs. iShares MSCI Japan ETF (EWJ)

Nippon Sheet Glass Company Business Overview & Revenue Model

Company DescriptionNippon Sheet Glass Company, Limited (NSG Group) is a leading global glass manufacturer headquartered in Japan. The company operates primarily in the architectural, automotive, and technical glass sectors, providing a wide range of products including float glass, processed glass, and specialty glass solutions. With a strong focus on innovation and sustainability, NSG Group caters to diverse markets by delivering high-quality glass products for buildings, vehicles, and various industrial applications.
How the Company Makes MoneyNSG primarily makes money by manufacturing and selling glass and glass-related products across three main business areas. (1) Architectural/Building glass: revenue is generated from sales of flat glass and higher value-added processed products (e.g., coated, laminated, insulated, or otherwise processed glazing) supplied to construction-related customers such as fabricators, processors, distributors, and building projects. Earnings in this segment are influenced by construction activity, product mix (commodity float glass vs. value-added coated/processed glass), and energy and raw-material costs. (2) Automotive glass: revenue comes from supplying OEM and OEM-related customers with automotive glazing (windshields, sidelites, backlites, and other vehicle glass), often produced to vehicle-specific specifications. This typically involves long-term supply relationships with automakers and tiered supply chains, with profitability driven by vehicle production volumes, platform awards, and the ability to deliver technically advanced glazing. (3) Specialty/Technical glass: revenue is generated from niche, higher specification glass products for industrial and technical applications, where performance requirements and customization can support higher margins than commodity flat glass. Across segments, NSG’s earnings are shaped by manufacturing scale, plant utilization, and the balance between commodity products and value-added solutions. Specific partnership terms, customer concentration details, or segment-level revenue shares are null.

Nippon Sheet Glass Company Financial Statement Overview

Summary
Revenue is roughly stable TTM versus the latest annual period and operating profitability improved, with solid operating cash flow and positive free cash flow. However, the company is back to net losses TTM and leverage is very high (debt-to-equity ~4–5x recently), which materially constrains financial flexibility and keeps overall quality below average.
Income Statement
52
Neutral
TTM (Trailing-Twelve-Months) revenue is roughly stable versus the latest annual period, but profitability remains pressured: the company is loss-making at the net level in TTM (Trailing-Twelve-Months) and FY2025 after a profitable FY2024. Operating performance improved from FY2025 to TTM (Trailing-Twelve-Months) (better operating margin and higher gross margin), but the swing back to net losses suggests meaningful below-the-line or cost pressures. Overall, revenue has grown materially since FY2022, yet earnings quality and consistency are volatile.
Balance Sheet
28
Negative
Leverage is the key constraint. Debt remains very high relative to equity (debt-to-equity ~4–5x in the last two periods and as high as ~7.5x historically), limiting financial flexibility and increasing sensitivity to downturns. Equity has improved from FY2021 levels, but returns on equity are negative in TTM (Trailing-Twelve-Months) and FY2025 due to net losses. Asset base is sizable, but the capital structure is aggressive for a cyclical auto-parts-linked business.
Cash Flow
56
Neutral
Cash generation is a relative bright spot: operating cash flow is solid and steady across recent periods, and free cash flow is positive in TTM (Trailing-Twelve-Months) and FY2025. However, free cash flow has been choppy year-to-year (including negative in FY2021), and current free cash flow is modest versus revenue, which limits the pace of deleveraging. With net losses in TTM (Trailing-Twelve-Months), positive free cash flow is encouraging, but the overall cash profile still shows volatility.
BreakdownTTMMar 2025Mar 2024Mar 2023Mar 2022Mar 2021
Income Statement
Total Revenue851.00B840.40B832.54B763.52B600.57B499.22B
Gross Profit184.06B167.83B180.48B171.82B135.43B117.14B
EBITDA73.24B63.78B90.02B40.92B62.28B31.33B
Net Income-8.89B-13.83B10.63B-33.76B4.13B-16.93B
Balance Sheet
Total Assets1.07T1.04T1.02T959.40B946.49B828.15B
Cash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments45.69B65.31B51.18B69.31B60.46B58.67B
Total Debt567.48B522.73B500.56B491.54B499.69B505.29B
Total Liabilities920.19B901.05B865.16B834.53B777.13B748.38B
Stockholders Equity124.32B108.06B124.28B97.04B145.29B62.94B
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow37.78B0.003.87B9.39B10.58B-19.59B
Operating Cash Flow73.83B0.0058.77B48.51B45.06B21.05B
Investing Cash Flow-35.94B-42.44B-43.51B-34.65B-22.79B-25.59B
Financing Cash Flow-31.47B8.51B-48.08B-7.89B-20.82B13.54B

Nippon Sheet Glass Company Technical Analysis

Technical Analysis Sentiment
Negative
Last Price512.00
Price Trends
50DMA
596.22
Negative
100DMA
553.90
Negative
200DMA
527.71
Negative
Market Momentum
MACD
-39.58
Positive
RSI
26.94
Positive
STOCH
12.50
Positive
Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For JP:5202, the sentiment is Negative. The current price of 512 is below the 20-day moving average (MA) of 535.00, below the 50-day MA of 596.22, and below the 200-day MA of 527.71, indicating a bearish trend. The MACD of -39.58 indicates Positive momentum. The RSI at 26.94 is Positive, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 12.50 is Positive, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Negative sentiment for JP:5202.

Nippon Sheet Glass Company Peers Comparison

Overall Rating
UnderperformOutperform
Sector (61)
Financial Indicators
Name
Overall Rating
Market Cap
P/E Ratio
ROE
Dividend Yield
Revenue Growth
EPS Growth
76
Outperform
Â¥689.69B14.057.20%2.41%-0.73%88.36%
75
Outperform
Â¥473.04B7.768.58%2.62%1.44%-0.92%
72
Outperform
Â¥7.19T15.568.97%1.38%4.96%8.64%
67
Neutral
$5.13T10.206.98%2.98%2.41%11.03%
61
Neutral
$18.38B12.79-2.54%3.03%1.52%-15.83%
54
Neutral
Â¥1.65T14.238.34%2.03%4.33%524.86%
42
Neutral
¥42.13B-16.06-8.11%―0.47%-223.83%
* Consumer Cyclical Sector Average
Performance Comparison
Ticker
Company Name
Price
Change
% Change
JP:5202
Nippon Sheet Glass Company
405.00
-10.00
-2.41%
JP:7276
Koito Manufacturing Co
2,444.00
471.91
23.93%
JP:7259
Aisin Seiki Co
2,189.50
364.47
19.97%
JP:6902
DENSO
1,864.00
-75.66
-3.90%
JP:5802
Sumitomo Electric Industries
9,214.00
6,517.67
241.72%
JP:7282
Toyoda Gosei Co
4,042.00
1,332.17
49.16%

Nippon Sheet Glass Company Corporate Events

Nippon Sheet Glass Revises Valuation Inputs in Capital Restructuring Plan
Mar 24, 2026

Nippon Sheet Glass has issued a partial correction to its March 24 announcement detailing a major capital restructuring that includes a third-party share allotment, debt-equity swap, share consolidation, and changes in its parent company and largest shareholder. The revision adjusts key assumptions and outputs in the independent DCF valuation, lowering the range of terminal values under both perpetuity growth and multiple methods, while keeping the equity value per share range and discount rate unchanged.

The corrected figures suggest more conservative long-term cash flow expectations, reflecting slower market growth and current earnings conditions, and underpin the pricing rationale for the new share issuance. Management emphasizes that the underlying business plan used in the valuation differs from its published medium-term plan but is viewed internally as a more objective and realistic basis for evaluating the transaction and the company’s capital restructuring.

The most recent analyst rating on (JP:5202) stock is a Sell with a Yen385.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Nippon Sheet Glass Company stock, see the JP:5202 Stock Forecast page.

Nippon Sheet Glass to Eliminate Class A Shares in Major Equity Conversion
Mar 24, 2026

Nippon Sheet Glass has received requests from all holders of its non-voting Class A shares to convert their holdings into common shares, triggering the acquisition and cancellation of all 22,644 Class A shares. In exchange, the company will issue 38,252,710 new common shares to three investment funds, increasing total common shares outstanding from 104,066,552 to 142,319,262 and simplifying its capital structure by eliminating the Class A share class, with implications for share dilution and future governance dynamics.

The move consolidates the company’s equity into a single class of voting common stock, potentially improving transparency and alignment between investors and management. While existing common shareholders face dilution from the substantial increase in issued shares, the transaction marks the end of a hybrid capital instrument introduced in 2017 and may clarify the firm’s capital policy and investor base over the longer term.

The most recent analyst rating on (JP:5202) stock is a Hold with a Yen441.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Nippon Sheet Glass Company stock, see the JP:5202 Stock Forecast page.

NSG Group Executives Take Voluntary Pay Cuts Amid Fundamental Initiatives
Mar 24, 2026

NSG Group, the global glass manufacturer based in Tokyo, has announced that its top executives, including President and CEO Munehiro Hosonuma, will voluntarily reduce their salaries. The move is presented as a demonstration of commitment to stakeholders as the Group undertakes fundamental initiatives to reshape its operations and improve performance.

Under the plan, the CEO will forgo 50 percent of his basic salary from April to September 2026, while the CHRO, Denise Haylor, and CFO, Hiroshi Aiura, will take 30 percent and 20 percent salary cuts respectively from April to June 2026. These reductions signal management’s willingness to share the burden of restructuring, potentially bolstering stakeholder confidence amid strategic changes at the company.

The most recent analyst rating on (JP:5202) stock is a Hold with a Yen441.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Nippon Sheet Glass Company stock, see the JP:5202 Stock Forecast page.

NSG Group to Go Private with Apollo-Backed Recapitalization and Major Debt Cut
Mar 24, 2026

Nippon Sheet Glass Company said it will receive a 165 billion yen capital injection from Apollo Funds via a third-party allotment of new shares, while key existing investors plan to convert preferred shares and back the plan at the annual meeting. The group will also implement a share consolidation with cash consideration of 500 yen per share to take the company private, offering a premium to both the Apollo investment price and the latest market close.

Alongside the equity deal, major financial institutions will execute a 140 billion yen quasi debt-equity swap and the group will refinance domestic borrowings and repay 189 billion yen in debt at its U.K. subsidiary, sharply lowering leverage. Management says the resulting improvement in capital structure and interest burden will free up liquidity for strategic investments in environmental compliance, higher value-added glass products and solar-related businesses, aiming to underpin sustainable long-term growth for the newly privatized NSG Group.

The most recent analyst rating on (JP:5202) stock is a Hold with a Yen441.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Nippon Sheet Glass Company stock, see the JP:5202 Stock Forecast page.

Apollo-backed recapitalization to take Nippon Sheet Glass private and overhaul capital structure
Mar 24, 2026

Nippon Sheet Glass plans a major recapitalization that will see funds managed by Apollo Global Management acquire control through a ¥165 billion third-party share allotment and subsequent share consolidation, making Apollo’s vehicle the company’s sole shareholder and leading to delisting. The transaction, combined with a ¥140 billion quasi debt-equity swap involving major Japanese financial institutions, will be used to repay borrowings at a U.K. subsidiary and strengthen the balance sheet, reshaping NSG’s ownership structure and positioning it for future growth under private ownership.

The board has approved proposals to amend the articles of incorporation, increase authorized shares, consolidate 122,222,222 shares into one, abolish the share unit system, and provide a ¥500-per-share cash payment to existing shareholders other than Apollo’s vehicle, all subject to shareholder and regulatory approvals. Once completed, Apollo’s special purpose company will become NSG’s parent and largest shareholder, while participating banks convert their credit exposure into equity-like interests via the limited partnership structure, signaling a coordinated effort by creditors and the new sponsor to stabilize and recapitalize the glass maker.

The most recent analyst rating on (JP:5202) stock is a Hold with a Yen441.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Nippon Sheet Glass Company stock, see the JP:5202 Stock Forecast page.

Nippon Sheet Glass Confirms It Is Weighing Delisting-Linked Restructuring
Mar 23, 2026

Nippon Sheet Glass has acknowledged that a media report about a potential restructuring via delisting, backed by over 300 billion yen in financial support from Apollo and a consortium of banks, is mostly accurate. The company confirmed it is considering the proposal but emphasized that no decision has yet been made.

Management plans to decide on the matter at a board meeting scheduled for tomorrow, signaling that a pivotal shift in its capital structure and listing status could be imminent. The company said it will promptly disclose any resolutions that require public announcement, leaving investors and creditors awaiting clarity on the future of the glass maker’s market presence.

The most recent analyst rating on (JP:5202) stock is a Hold with a Yen441.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Nippon Sheet Glass Company stock, see the JP:5202 Stock Forecast page.

Nippon Sheet Glass to Swap Class A Shares for 1.5 Million Common Shares
Feb 27, 2026

Nippon Sheet Glass has disclosed that Japan Industrial Solutions Fund II, a holder of its non-voting Class A shares, has exercised its right to request the acquisition of part of those shares in exchange for common stock. As a result, the company will deliver 1,500,106 common shares in exchange for 888 Class A shares, which will subsequently be cancelled.

Following this transaction, the company’s total common shares outstanding will increase from 102,566,446 to 104,066,552, while its Class A share count will decline from 23,532 to 22,644. The move marginally shifts the company’s capital structure toward a higher proportion of voting common equity and reduces the outstanding balance of its preferred-like Class A shares, refining its shareholder base and potentially improving equity liquidity over time.

The most recent analyst rating on (JP:5202) stock is a Hold with a Yen635.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Nippon Sheet Glass Company stock, see the JP:5202 Stock Forecast page.

Nippon Sheet Glass Posts Higher Operating Profit but Remains in Loss, Keeps Dividends at Zero
Feb 10, 2026

Nippon Sheet Glass Company reported consolidated revenue of ¥640.6 billion for the nine months to 31 December 2025, up 1.7% year on year, with operating profit surging 71.3% to ¥18.5 billion, though the group still posted a net loss attributable to owners of ¥5.1 billion and a basic loss per share of ¥67.55. Total assets rose to ¥1.07 trillion and the shareholders’ equity ratio improved to 11.6%, while the company confirmed there were no changes to the previously announced third-quarter results following completion of an external review and maintained its policy of paying no interim or year-end dividend on common shares, signaling a continued focus on balance sheet reinforcement over shareholder payouts in the near term.

The most recent analyst rating on (JP:5202) stock is a Hold with a Yen635.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Nippon Sheet Glass Company stock, see the JP:5202 Stock Forecast page.

NSG Group Updates FY2026 Outlook and 2030 Financial Targets
Feb 6, 2026

NSG Group has released its financial results for the third quarter of the fiscal year ending March 2026 and provided an updated forecast for the full year, alongside revisions to its medium- to long-term financial targets under the “2030 Vision: Shift the Phase” plan. While detailed figures were not disclosed in the announcement, the company’s focus on quarterly performance, full-year outlook, and refreshed 2030 strategic financial goals signals an ongoing effort to strengthen its financial foundation and clarify its growth trajectory, with implications for profitability, capital allocation, and its competitive positioning in the global glass market.

The most recent analyst rating on (JP:5202) stock is a Hold with a Yen658.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Nippon Sheet Glass Company stock, see the JP:5202 Stock Forecast page.

Nippon Sheet Glass Narrows Losses and Lifts Profitability But Maintains Zero Dividend
Feb 6, 2026

Nippon Sheet Glass reported a modest 1.7% year-on-year increase in revenue to ¥640.6 billion for the first nine months of FY2026, while operating profit before exceptional items surged 71.3% to ¥18.5 billion, driven by improved profitability despite a still-negative bottom line. The company reduced its loss attributable to owners of the parent to ¥5.1 billion, narrowing from a ¥10.1 billion loss a year earlier and improving basic loss per share from ¥126.74 to ¥67.55, while total equity and the equity ratio also strengthened to ¥154.7 billion and 11.6%, respectively. Management kept its full-year FY2026 guidance unchanged, targeting slight revenue growth to ¥850 billion and a sharp rise in operating profit to ¥31 billion, and reiterated a zero dividend on common shares for the year, signaling a continued focus on balance sheet reinforcement and recovery in earnings rather than near-term shareholder payouts.

The most recent analyst rating on (JP:5202) stock is a Hold with a Yen658.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Nippon Sheet Glass Company stock, see the JP:5202 Stock Forecast page.

Nippon Sheet Glass Issues 3 Million New Shares as Class A Investor Swaps into Common Stock
Jan 5, 2026

Nippon Sheet Glass has disclosed that Japan Industrial Solutions Fund II, a holder of its non-voting Class A shares, has exercised its right to have 1,776 of those preferred shares acquired by the company in exchange for common stock. In response, the company will issue and deliver 3,000,212 new common shares, increasing its outstanding common share count from 99,566,234 to 102,566,446, while reducing Class A shares from 25,308 to 23,532, with the acquired Class A shares to be cancelled, slightly shifting the company’s capital structure toward a larger free-float of voting common shares and a reduced pool of non-voting preferred equity.

The most recent analyst rating on (JP:5202) stock is a Hold with a Yen490.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Nippon Sheet Glass Company stock, see the JP:5202 Stock Forecast page.

Glossary
BuyA stock rated as a "Buy" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock is likely to deliver higher returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
HoldA stock rated as a "Hold" is expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the stock is neither particularly compelling nor unfavorable for investment. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
SellA stock rated as a "Sell" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock may deliver lower returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.

Disclaimer

This AI Analyst Stock Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in stocks carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.Date of analysis: Mar 24, 2026