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Modalis Therapeutics Corporation (JP:4883)
:4883
Japanese Market

Modalis Therapeutics Corporation (4883) AI Stock Analysis

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JP:4883

Modalis Therapeutics Corporation

(4883)

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Neutral 41 (OpenAI - 5.2)
Rating:41Neutral
Price Target:
¥56.00
▲(0.00% Upside)
Action:ReiteratedDate:02/18/26
The score is held down primarily by very weak financial performance (minimal revenue, recurring losses, and sustained cash burn with equity erosion). Technicals also reflect a soft trend and negative momentum, while valuation signals are constrained by negative earnings and no dividend support in the provided data.
Positive Factors
Conservative balance sheet leverage
Reported zero total debt in 2024–2025 provides a durable financial cushion versus leveraged peers. Low leverage reduces fixed interest burdens, preserves optionality for R&D financing, and lowers near-term default risk, supporting runway while programs mature.
Platform-focused R&D targeting regulatory regions
A platform approach that targets regulatory genomic regions is a structural advantage: it enables repeatable discovery across indications, can generate multiple program candidates, and concentrates expertise and IP in a specialized scientific niche.
Focus on genetically driven conditions / unmet need
Targeting genetically driven diseases with high unmet need aligns the company with durable structural demand, potential premium clinical value, and partner interest. This focus can sustain long-term relevance even if clinical timelines are extended.
Negative Factors
Persistent cash burn
Consistent negative operating and free cash flow indicates ongoing funding dependence. Over the coming months this elevates liquidity and dilution risk, constrains discretionary R&D investment pacing, and reduces resilience to capital-market stress.
Minimal-to-zero revenue
Nearly absent revenue means the business lacks validated commercial cash generation. Long-term viability hinges on preclinical/clinical success or licensing partnerships, increasing execution risk and prolonging reliance on external capital.
Eroding shareholders' equity
Material declines in shareholders’ equity from repeated losses shrink the balance-sheet buffer. That reduction limits future borrowing capacity, heightens dilution probability if equity raises are needed, and weakens financial flexibility over months ahead.

Modalis Therapeutics Corporation (4883) vs. iShares MSCI Japan ETF (EWJ)

Modalis Therapeutics Corporation Business Overview & Revenue Model

Company DescriptionModalis Therapeutics Corporation engages in the research and development of therapeutics to treat patients with serious genetic disorders. It is developing therapies for genetic diseases using its proprietary CRISPR-GNDM technology that enables to control gene expressions through modulating the switch (epigenetics of a specific locus. The company has a. joint research agreement with JCR Pharmaceuticals Co., Ltd. to evaluate the drug delivery technology of the gene therapy to the central nervous system (CNS) assuming CNS diseases as a target. The company was formerly known as EdiGENE Corporation and changed its name to Modalis Therapeutics Corporation in August 2019. Modalis Therapeutics Corporation was founded in 2016 and is headquartered in Tokyo, Japan.
How the Company Makes MoneyModalis Therapeutics Corporation generates revenue through a combination of strategic partnerships, research collaborations, and licensing agreements. The company partners with pharmaceutical and biotechnology firms to co-develop gene therapies, sharing both the costs and potential profits. Additionally, Modalis may receive upfront payments, milestone payments, and royalties from its partners based on the development progress and commercial success of its therapeutic candidates. The company's revenue model relies heavily on its proprietary CRISPR-GNDM technology platform, which it licenses to other companies seeking to develop gene modulation therapies.

Modalis Therapeutics Corporation Financial Statement Overview

Summary
Income statement and cash flow are very weak: minimal-to-zero revenue in recent years with large recurring losses and persistent negative operating/free cash flow, implying ongoing funding dependence. Balance sheet leverage is low (no debt recently), but shareholders’ equity has materially eroded, reducing financial flexibility.
Income Statement
12
Very Negative
Profitability is very weak and volatile. The company has generated minimal-to-zero revenue in most recent years (2023–2025 show zero revenue), while losses remain consistently large (net losses around ¥1.3B–¥2.7B annually). Margins are effectively non-meaningful in the latest periods due to negligible revenue, and the earnings trend deteriorated again in 2025 versus 2024, indicating the business is still in a heavy investment/burn phase without clear operating leverage yet.
Balance Sheet
54
Neutral
Balance sheet leverage appears conservative overall, with total debt at ¥0 in 2024–2025 (and modest debt only in 2023). However, the equity base has been shrinking meaningfully (equity fell from ~¥6.2B in 2020/2021 to ~¥2.8B in 2025), reflecting repeated losses. Returns to shareholders are deeply negative across years, and continued losses could further pressure equity and financial flexibility even with low reported debt.
Cash Flow
18
Very Negative
Cash generation is weak with persistent cash burn. Operating cash flow is materially negative every year and worsened in 2025 versus 2024, and free cash flow is also consistently negative. While free cash flow has often been close to net loss (suggesting non-cash items are not masking losses), the magnitude and persistence of outflows imply ongoing funding dependence and elevated liquidity risk if external capital access tightens.
BreakdownTTMDec 2025Dec 2024Dec 2023Dec 2022Dec 2021
Income Statement
Total Revenue0.000.000.000.0040.50M1.10M
Gross Profit-583.00K0.000.00-731.00K-83.17M1.10M
EBITDA-2.33B-2.21B-2.15B-2.37B-2.58B-667.55M
Net Income-1.56B-2.15B-1.32B-2.39B-2.70B-738.96M
Balance Sheet
Total Assets3.42B2.96B3.69B2.03B3.13B6.07B
Cash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments3.26B2.81B3.58B1.88B2.93B4.94B
Total Debt0.000.000.00412.50M0.000.00
Total Liabilities228.82M170.94M143.47M645.50M188.60M519.92M
Stockholders Equity3.19B2.79B3.55B1.38B2.94B5.55B
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow0.00-2.12B-1.43B-2.29B-2.09B-854.58M
Operating Cash Flow0.00-2.12B-1.43B-2.25B-1.90B-747.47M
Investing Cash Flow0.00-2.57M-188.00K-39.70M-185.72M171.56M
Financing Cash Flow0.001.35B3.04B1.22B63.68M72.63M

Modalis Therapeutics Corporation Technical Analysis

Technical Analysis Sentiment
Positive
Last Price56.00
Price Trends
50DMA
59.14
Negative
100DMA
64.44
Negative
200DMA
74.87
Negative
Market Momentum
MACD
-0.72
Negative
RSI
50.90
Neutral
STOCH
60.00
Neutral
Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For JP:4883, the sentiment is Positive. The current price of 56 is below the 20-day moving average (MA) of 58.25, below the 50-day MA of 59.14, and below the 200-day MA of 74.87, indicating a neutral trend. The MACD of -0.72 indicates Negative momentum. The RSI at 50.90 is Neutral, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 60.00 is Neutral, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Positive sentiment for JP:4883.

Modalis Therapeutics Corporation Peers Comparison

Overall Rating
UnderperformOutperform
Sector (51)
Financial Indicators
Name
Overall Rating
Market Cap
P/E Ratio
ROE
Dividend Yield
Revenue Growth
EPS Growth
66
Neutral
¥15.83B17.20-5.41%
64
Neutral
¥6.42B11.773.21%4.25%
52
Neutral
¥9.64B-1.70-50.27%-3.33%
51
Neutral
$7.86B-0.30-43.30%2.27%22.53%-2.21%
51
Neutral
¥10.10B-9.94-90.96%243.16%-23.00%
48
Neutral
¥6.66B-7.7056.17%-11.63%
41
Neutral
¥5.16B-2.1247.43%
* Healthcare Sector Average
Performance Comparison
Ticker
Company Name
Price
Change
% Change
JP:4883
Modalis Therapeutics Corporation
59.00
-28.00
-32.18%
JP:4597
Solasia Pharma KK
37.00
0.00
0.00%
JP:4539
Nippon Chemiphar Co., Ltd.
1,778.00
339.95
23.64%
JP:4574
Taiko Pharmaceutical Co., Ltd.
316.00
30.00
10.49%
JP:4582
Symbio Pharmaceuticals Limited
162.00
-14.00
-7.95%
JP:4892
Cyfuse Biomedical K.K.
668.00
-574.00
-46.22%

Modalis Therapeutics Corporation Corporate Events

Modalis Slows IND Timeline for Lead CRISPR Program as It Strengthens Clinical Readiness
Feb 12, 2026

Modalis Therapeutics reported continued progress in preparing its lead candidate MDL-101 for clinical trials, citing consistent survival benefits in disease model mice and no new safety concerns, while conducting further analyses to refine development parameters. The company emphasized that these activities are intended to strengthen translational robustness and execution certainty, rather than reflecting any change in the underlying therapeutic concept.

As part of a disciplined, data-driven approach, Modalis is reassessing the timing of its planned IND submission for MDL-101 and signaled that the application could be delayed beyond the original schedule to ensure optimal clinical readiness. Management stressed that the optimization efforts are specific to MDL-101 and do not indicate broader issues with the CRISPR-GNDM platform or the rest of the pipeline.

In parallel, Modalis has reached a term sheet-level strategic understanding with a third party for regional clinical development and future commercialization rights, providing external validation of MDL-101’s potential and supporting its global strategy. The company is also evaluating possible impacts on its financial forecasts, while continuing regulatory dialogue and planning further disclosures as program milestones are clarified.

The most recent analyst rating on (JP:4883) stock is a Hold with a Yen60.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Modalis Therapeutics Corporation stock, see the JP:4883 Stock Forecast page.

Modalis Loss Widens on Higher R&D Spend Amid Zero Revenue in FY2025
Feb 12, 2026

Modalis Therapeutics has reported a widening loss for the fiscal year ended December 31, 2025, with consolidated operating income falling to a deficit of ¥2,211 million and profit attributable to owners of the parent deepening to a loss of ¥2,152 million. The company again posted no operating revenue, underscoring its status as a pre-commercial R&D-driven biotech.

On a non-consolidated basis, operating income deteriorated to a loss of ¥2,302 million and net profit to a loss of ¥2,249 million, though the per-share loss narrowed slightly to ¥29.11. Management attributed the larger losses across both consolidated and non-consolidated results to higher research and development expenses, highlighting an aggressive investment stance that could weigh on near-term earnings while aiming to support longer-term pipeline progress.

The most recent analyst rating on (JP:4883) stock is a Hold with a Yen60.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Modalis Therapeutics Corporation stock, see the JP:4883 Stock Forecast page.

Modalis Books Foreign Exchange Gain for FY2025 on Currency Revaluation
Feb 12, 2026

Modalis Therapeutics Corporation reported non-operating income of ¥10 million in foreign exchange gains for the fiscal year ended December 31, 2025, driven mainly by the revaluation of its foreign currency-denominated assets and liabilities amid exchange rate fluctuations. The company indicated that the detailed impact of these foreign exchange gains and any related extraordinary losses on its overall earnings is reflected in its consolidated financial results for the same fiscal year, underscoring how currency movements continue to influence its financial performance.

While the reported foreign exchange income is relatively modest in absolute terms, it highlights the company’s financial sensitivity to exchange rate volatility stemming from its international exposure. Stakeholders are directed to the latest consolidated results for a fuller picture of profitability and risk, suggesting that foreign currency effects are an ongoing factor in assessing Modalis Therapeutics’ earnings stability.

The most recent analyst rating on (JP:4883) stock is a Hold with a Yen60.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Modalis Therapeutics Corporation stock, see the JP:4883 Stock Forecast page.

Modalis Issues FY2025 Report With Strict Confidentiality and Risk Disclaimers
Feb 12, 2026

Modalis Therapeutics Corporation released an English reference version of its business and financial report for the fiscal year ending in 2025, dated February 12, 2026, clarifying that the Japanese version remains the authoritative document. The company emphasizes that the materials are for informational purposes only, are confidential, and may not be reproduced or redistributed without prior written consent, underscoring tight control over the dissemination of its financial and operational disclosures.

The report includes a detailed disclaimer that it does not constitute an offer or solicitation to buy or sell securities in Japan, the U.S. or elsewhere and that the information may change without notice. Modalis further notes that any forward-looking statements are subject to significant risks and uncertainties, disclaims responsibility for third‑party data included, and explicitly rejects any obligation to update or correct the information, signaling a cautious stance toward investor expectations and legal exposure.

The most recent analyst rating on (JP:4883) stock is a Hold with a Yen60.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Modalis Therapeutics Corporation stock, see the JP:4883 Stock Forecast page.

Modalis posts wider losses in 2025, with no revenue and no 2026 guidance
Feb 12, 2026

Modalis Therapeutics reported no operating revenue for the fiscal year ended December 31, 2025, and widened its consolidated loss, with operating income at a loss of ¥2,211 million and profit attributable to owners of parent at a loss of ¥2,152 million. Total assets fell to ¥2,964 million from ¥3,691 million, equity declined, and cash and cash equivalents decreased to ¥2,812 million as operating cash outflows grew, although financing activities partially offset this.

The company maintained a no-dividend policy for 2024 and 2025 and forecasts no dividend for 2026, underscoring its focus on reinvesting capital into operations. Modalis did not provide earnings forecasts for fiscal 2026, citing difficulty in making reasonable estimates, which highlights the uncertainty typical of early-stage biotech firms and leaves investors with limited visibility on the timing of future revenue or profitability.

The most recent analyst rating on (JP:4883) stock is a Hold with a Yen60.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Modalis Therapeutics Corporation stock, see the JP:4883 Stock Forecast page.

Glossary
BuyA stock rated as a "Buy" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock is likely to deliver higher returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
HoldA stock rated as a "Hold" is expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the stock is neither particularly compelling nor unfavorable for investment. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
SellA stock rated as a "Sell" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock may deliver lower returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.

Disclaimer

This AI Analyst Stock Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in stocks carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.Date of analysis: Feb 18, 2026