LY Corporation (JP:4689)
:4689
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LY Corporation
(4689)
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Rating:66Neutral
Price Target:
¥403.00
▼(-3.40% Downside)
Action:ReiteratedDate:02/06/26
The score is driven primarily by solid profitability and strong free-cash-flow generation, supported by reasonable valuation. Offsetting these are weak recent revenue performance and a technically mixed setup with negative MACD and the stock below key longer-term moving averages; earnings call guidance and ex-ASKUL momentum provide a meaningful positive counterbalance.
Positive Factors
Free Cash Flow Strength
Very strong operating and free cash flow, with 31% FCF growth, provides durable internal funding for R&D, commercial investment and debt service. Over the next 2–6 months this supports execution on growth initiatives and cushions short-term revenue volatility without forcing external financing.
Negative Factors
Trailing Revenue Decline
A substantial trailing‑twelve‑months revenue drop weakens scale economics and raises questions on demand and competitive positioning. If top-line contraction persists beyond a few quarters it could erode operating leverage, pressure margins and limit reinvestment capacity despite solid cash flow generation.
Read all positive and negative factors
Positive Factors
Negative Factors
Free Cash Flow Strength
Very strong operating and free cash flow, with 31% FCF growth, provides durable internal funding for R&D, commercial investment and debt service. Over the next 2–6 months this supports execution on growth initiatives and cushions short-term revenue volatility without forcing external financing.
Read all positive factors
LY Corporation (4689) vs. iShares MSCI Japan ETF (EWJ)
Market Cap
¥2.60T
Dividend Yield1.69%
Average Volume (3M)15.02M
Price to Earnings (P/E)15.9
Beta (1Y)0.20
Revenue Growth6.39%
EPS Growth105.16%
CountryJP
Employees28,196
SectorConsumer Cyclical
Sector Strength84
IndustryInternet Content & Information
Share Statistics
EPS (TTM)6.61
Shares Outstanding6,883,797,400
10 Day Avg. Volume17,618,049
30 Day Avg. Volume15,020,503
Financial Highlights & Ratios
PEG Ratio0.62
Price to Book (P/B)1.23
Price to Sales (P/S)1.93
P/FCF Ratio10.09
Enterprise Value/Market CapN/A
Enterprise Value/RevenueN/A
Enterprise Value/Gross ProfitN/A
Enterprise Value/EbitdaN/A
Forecast
1Y Price Target
¥450.00Price Target Upside7.86% Upside
Rating ConsensusHold
Number of Analyst Covering1
EPS Forecast (FY)26.05
Revenue Forecast (FY)¥2.03T
LY Corporation Business Overview & Revenue Model
Company Description
LY Corp. engages in the management of group companies and related operations. It operates through the following segments: Media and Commerce. The Media segment covers the advertisement related services that include search linked advertisement and ...
How the Company Makes Money
LY Corporation generates revenue through multiple streams, primarily by selling its electronic components and systems to various industries, including telecommunications, automotive, and consumer electronics. The company benefits from long-term co...
LY Corporation Earnings Call Summary
Earnings Call Date:Feb 04, 2026
(Q3-2025)
| % Change Since: |
Next Earnings Date:May 07, 2026
Earnings Call Sentiment Positive
The call conveyed solid underlying operational momentum once ASKUL is excluded: strong YoY growth in revenue and adjusted EBITDA in Commerce and Strategic segments, meaningful user and product traction (MINI Apps, Official Accounts), and a clear FY26 adjusted EBITDA target (10%–15% growth). Key weaknesses include the ASKUL ransomware outage that depressed consolidated results, Media segment ad/search weakness and near-term AI monetization still being developed. Management also outlined cost-reduction plans (JPY 15 billion) and multi-year infrastructure savings to support profit expansion.Positive Updates
Strong Underlying Revenue Growth Excluding ASKUL
Q3 consolidated revenue declined 0.7% YoY, but excluding ASKUL revenue increased 15.7% YoY, indicating solid underlying business expansion.
Negative Updates
ASKUL Ransomware Outage Impact
A subsidiary (ASKUL) experienced a system outage due to a ransomware attack; this materially impacted consolidated Q3 results and introduces uncertainty in near-term recovery and FY25 figures.
Read all updates
Q3-2025 Updates
Positive
Negative
Strong Underlying Revenue Growth Excluding ASKUL
Q3 consolidated revenue declined 0.7% YoY, but excluding ASKUL revenue increased 15.7% YoY, indicating solid underlying business expansion.
Read all positive updates
Company Guidance
The company reiterated FY25 guidance of roughly JPY 2.0 trillion in revenue and about JPY 500 billion in adjusted EBITDA (after the ASKUL system‑outage impact) and said adjusted EPS should remain within its initial range; for FY26 it is targeting a 10–15% increase in adjusted EBITDA (about JPY 550–575 billion). Management said Q3 underlying trends excluding ASKUL were strong (Q3 revenue +15.7% YoY, adjusted EBITDA +11.2% YoY), Commerce ex‑ASKUL revenue +31% YoY and adjusted EBITDA +15.5% YoY (LINE Yahoo! Commerce revenue +64.4% YoY), company‑wide ad revenue +3% and commerce advertising +20.1%, consolidated e‑commerce GMV/transaction value +2.5% YoY including ASKUL, Strategic revenue +30% YoY with margin expanding to 22.2%, PayPay consolidated revenue +24% and consolidated EBITDA +59.1% YoY to over JPY 30 billion in the quarter. Media is bottoming (Q3 ad revenue +0.4% total; search −9.5%, account +13.8%; adjusted EBITDA −2.8%), MINI Apps MAUs +63.8% and app count +57.8% YoY, AI‑related SG&A in Media ~JPY 1 billion+, AI search currently ~10%+ of search results, and the company expects segment profit uplifts of ~JPY 10 billion each for Media and Commerce (ex‑ASKUL), ~JPY 20 billion for Strategic (mainly PayPay) plus ~JPY 15 billion of company‑wide fixed‑cost savings (ASKUL recovery not assumed).LY Corporation Financial Statement Overview
Summary
Income Statement
62
Positive
Balance Sheet
66
Positive
Cash Flow
72
Positive
| Breakdown | TTM | Mar 2025 | Mar 2024 | Mar 2023 | Mar 2022 | Mar 2021 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Income Statement | ||||||
| Total Revenue | 1.98T | 1.92T | 1.81T | 1.67T | 1.57T | 1.21T |
| Gross Profit | 1.47T | 1.39T | 1.29T | 1.16T | 1.07T | 773.40B |
| EBITDA | 492.63B | 452.51B | 362.00B | 302.42B | 303.56B | 266.27B |
| Net Income | 209.09B | 153.47B | 113.20B | 178.87B | 77.32B | 70.14B |
Balance Sheet | ||||||
| Total Assets | 11.09T | 9.52T | 9.41T | 8.66T | 7.17T | 6.75T |
| Cash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments | 1.17T | 1.19T | 1.62T | 1.81T | 1.43T | 1.24T |
| Total Debt | 1.96T | 1.69T | 1.88T | 1.91T | 1.67T | 1.39T |
| Total Liabilities | 7.49T | 6.10T | 5.97T | 5.34T | 4.19T | 3.76T |
| Stockholders Equity | 2.97T | 3.00T | 3.04T | 2.92T | 2.68T | 2.68T |
Cash Flow | ||||||
| Free Cash Flow | 525.66B | 366.77B | 263.55B | 209.00M | 214.54B | 179.34B |
| Operating Cash Flow | 539.04B | 466.51B | 334.56B | 93.05B | 266.31B | 207.92B |
| Investing Cash Flow | -635.47B | -485.28B | -414.75B | 319.79B | -303.90B | -12.35B |
| Financing Cash Flow | -124.53B | -437.15B | -110.80B | 105.79B | 91.63B | -12.07B |
LY Corporation Technical Analysis
Negative
417.20
Price Trends
394.88
Negative
407.27
Negative
451.86
Negative
Market Momentum
0.94
Negative
48.34
Neutral
24.44
Neutral
Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For JP:4689, the sentiment is Negative. The current price of 417.2 is above the 20-day moving average (MA) of 392.98, above the 50-day MA of 394.88, and below the 200-day MA of 451.86, indicating a bearish trend. The MACD of 0.94 indicates Negative momentum. The RSI at 48.34 is Neutral, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 24.44 is Neutral, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Negative sentiment for JP:4689.
LY Corporation Peers Comparison
UnderperformOutperform
Sector (61)
Name | Overall Rating | Market Cap | P/E Ratio | ROE | Dividend Yield | Revenue Growth | EPS Growth |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
73 Outperform | ¥393.64B | 22.87 | 32.41% | 3.62% | 20.98% | 0.48% | |
72 Outperform | ¥26.55B | 7.57 | 22.37% | 5.66% | -18.39% | ― | |
71 Outperform | ¥27.59B | 12.43 | ― | 0.38% | 18.02% | 46.43% | |
66 Neutral | ¥2.60T | 15.89 | ― | 1.69% | 6.39% | 105.16% | |
63 Neutral | ¥44.75B | 58.36 | ― | ― | 22.37% | 655.34% | |
62 Neutral | ¥13.12B | 15.07 | 4.78% | ― | -10.17% | -19.44% | |
61 Neutral | $18.38B | 12.79 | -2.54% | 3.03% | 1.52% | -15.83% |
* Consumer Cyclical Sector Average
JP:4689
LY Corporation
385.60
-144.60
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LY Corporation Corporate Events
LY’s PayPay Launches Nasdaq IPO Roadshow With Dual Japan Offering
Mar 3, 2026
LY Corporation’s subsidiary PayPay Corporation, a cashless payment provider, has launched a roadshow for an initial public offering of American depositary shares on the Nasdaq Global Select Market under the ticker symbol PAYP, with an indica...
LY Subsidiary PayPay Files for U.S. IPO and Parallel Japan Offering
Feb 13, 2026
PayPay Corporation, a consolidated subsidiary of LY Corporation, has filed a registration statement on Form F-1 with the U.S. Securities and Exchange Commission for a proposed initial public offering of American depositary shares on the Nasdaq Glo...
LY Corporation Posts Strong Nine-Month Profit Jump, Expands Group Scope and Trims Full-Year Outlook
Feb 4, 2026
LY Corporation reported consolidated revenue of ¥1.495 trillion for the nine months ended 31 December 2025, up 4.7% year on year, with operating income rising 11.6% to ¥284.2 billion and net income attributable to owners of the parent su...
LY Corporation to Absorb LINE Pay Unit After Ending Japan Payment Service
Dec 23, 2025
LY Corporation will absorb its wholly owned subsidiary LINE Pay Corporation through a simplified absorption-type merger effective March 31, 2026, following the termination in April 2025 of the LINE Pay mobile money transfer and payment service in ...
LY Corporation Chairperson Kentaro Kawabe to Retire at June 2026 Shareholders Meeting
Dec 23, 2025
LY Corporation announced that Chairperson and Representative Director Kentaro Kawabe will retire from his director position when his term ends at the conclusion of the company’s 31st Ordinary General Meeting of Shareholders scheduled for Jun...
Glossary
BuyA stock rated as a "Buy" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock is likely to deliver higher returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
HoldA stock rated as a "Hold" is expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the stock is neither particularly compelling nor unfavorable for investment. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
SellA stock rated as a "Sell" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock may deliver lower returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
Disclaimer
This AI Analyst Stock Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in stocks carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.