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Imagineer Co., Ltd. (JP:4644)
:4644
Japanese Market

Imagineer Co., Ltd. (4644) AI Stock Analysis

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JP:4644

Imagineer Co., Ltd.

(4644)

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Neutral 65 (OpenAI - 5.2)
Rating:65Neutral
Price Target:
¥1,132.00
▲(7.60% Upside)
Action:DowngradedDate:12/30/25
The score is driven primarily by financial performance: an exceptionally conservative balance sheet is a major positive, but it is offset by weakening operating momentum and poor recent cash generation (negative operating cash flow and sharply lower free cash flow). Technicals are neutral-to-soft (negative MACD, neutral RSI), while valuation is mixed with a strong dividend yield but a relatively high P/E.
Positive Factors
Balance Sheet Strength
A strong balance sheet with minimal debt provides financial flexibility and reduces risk, supporting long-term stability and potential for investment in growth opportunities.
Profitability
Consistent profitability with strong margins indicates effective cost management and pricing power, which can sustain earnings quality over time.
Intellectual Property Leverage
Leveraging intellectual property through licensing provides a recurring revenue stream and enhances brand value, supporting long-term growth potential.
Negative Factors
Cash Flow Weakness
Negative operating cash flow indicates potential liquidity issues and challenges in converting earnings into cash, which can affect financial health and investment capacity.
Revenue Volatility
Volatile revenue trends suggest instability in market demand or competitive pressures, which can impact long-term growth and earnings predictability.
Declining Operating Momentum
Declining operating momentum with reduced cash conversion and free cash flow suggests operational inefficiencies, potentially hindering future growth and profitability.

Imagineer Co., Ltd. (4644) vs. iShares MSCI Japan ETF (EWJ)

Imagineer Co., Ltd. Business Overview & Revenue Model

Company DescriptionImagineer Co.,Ltd. engages in the content business in Japan and internationally. The company is involved in the creation of content, including characters for stamps and stickers, educational video lectures, smartphone and packaged games, and drama and animation videos, as well as publication of baseball magazines. It also engages in the product planning and sales promotion activities. The company was incorporated in 1977 and is headquartered in Tokyo, Japan.
How the Company Makes MoneyImagineer Co., Ltd. generates revenue through several key streams. One major source is the development and sales of mobile content, including games and applications, which are distributed through various digital platforms. The company also earns income from character licensing, where it licenses popular characters for use in merchandise, media, and promotional activities. Additionally, Imagineer operates amusement facilities, contributing to its revenue through ticket sales and related services. Strategic partnerships with digital platforms and media companies also play a significant role in expanding its market reach and driving revenue growth.

Imagineer Co., Ltd. Financial Statement Overview

Summary
Strong balance sheet strength (near-zero leverage) supports a high quality profile, but weakening fundamentals temper the score: revenue volatility with a sharp decline in the latest period and deteriorating cash conversion (negative operating cash flow and free cash flow reported at zero) despite still-respectable margins.
Income Statement
64
Positive
Profitability remains solid with consistently strong gross margins (~61–67%) and healthy net margins (~7–14%) across the period, but the growth profile has weakened. Revenue has been volatile and recently negative (2024 down ~10% and 2025 down ~63%), and operating profitability has compressed versus 2020–2022 peaks (EBIT margin fell from ~19–20% to ~6% in 2024 before rebounding in 2025). Net income recovered in 2025 versus 2024, but the sharp revenue decline raises questions about sustainability of earnings quality.
Balance Sheet
92
Very Positive
The balance sheet is exceptionally conservative, with minimal debt throughout (debt-to-equity roughly ~0.03%–0.14%), indicating very low financial risk and ample flexibility. Equity has been stable to rising over time, and returns on equity have generally been positive and reasonable (~3–9%), though down from earlier highs and not consistently improving. Overall strength is driven by extremely low leverage, with the main weakness being only moderate returns relative to the capital base.
Cash Flow
48
Neutral
Cash generation has become less reliable. Operating cash flow was healthy in 2020–2022, weakened materially in 2023–2024, and turned negative in 2025, which is a key red flag even though reported earnings remained positive. Free cash flow was strong earlier and roughly matched net income in multiple years, but it fell sharply from 2020–2022 levels and is reported at zero in 2025, suggesting elevated working-capital swings and/or reduced cash conversion in the most recent year.
BreakdownTTMMar 2025Mar 2024Mar 2023Mar 2022Mar 2021
Income Statement
Total Revenue6.40B6.49B5.96B6.64B6.33B7.20B
Gross Profit4.08B4.10B3.68B4.03B3.99B4.45B
EBITDA733.36M945.66M364.00M615.36M1.20B1.44B
Net Income484.27M603.03M416.35M610.79M890.91M1.02B
Balance Sheet
Total Assets12.93B13.48B13.45B13.66B12.70B12.50B
Cash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments2.20B1.59B4.75B7.23B7.30B7.93B
Total Debt3.16M10.78M16.79M3.70M8.66M8.96M
Total Liabilities998.70M1.32B1.41B1.75B1.00B1.44B
Stockholders Equity11.82B12.06B11.97B11.84B11.63B11.01B
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow0.000.00175.22M128.89M311.13M790.33M
Operating Cash Flow0.00-42.54M175.00M128.89M311.13M818.65M
Investing Cash Flow0.001.36B-1.68B3.02B-568.99M-40.30M
Financing Cash Flow0.00-460.54M-346.64M-320.37M-386.86M-291.21M

Imagineer Co., Ltd. Technical Analysis

Technical Analysis Sentiment
Positive
Last Price1052.00
Price Trends
50DMA
1081.46
Positive
100DMA
1070.45
Positive
200DMA
1031.66
Positive
Market Momentum
MACD
3.86
Negative
RSI
61.33
Neutral
STOCH
88.34
Negative
Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For JP:4644, the sentiment is Positive. The current price of 1052 is below the 20-day moving average (MA) of 1091.25, below the 50-day MA of 1081.46, and above the 200-day MA of 1031.66, indicating a bullish trend. The MACD of 3.86 indicates Negative momentum. The RSI at 61.33 is Neutral, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 88.34 is Negative, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Positive sentiment for JP:4644.

Imagineer Co., Ltd. Peers Comparison

Overall Rating
UnderperformOutperform
Sector (60)
Financial Indicators
Name
Overall Rating
Market Cap
P/E Ratio
ROE
Dividend Yield
Revenue Growth
EPS Growth
78
Outperform
¥38.83B17.310.83%31.91%27.35%
70
Outperform
¥18.55B16.071.85%0.63%-1.84%
65
Neutral
¥10.56B24.824.52%4.97%-24.20%
62
Neutral
¥12.62B15.544.78%-10.17%-19.44%
60
Neutral
$48.67B4.58-11.27%4.14%2.83%-41.78%
57
Neutral
¥11.22B44.821.09%-5.70%-215.73%
54
Neutral
¥40.45B83.8022.37%655.34%
* Communication Services Sector Average
Performance Comparison
Ticker
Company Name
Price
Change
% Change
JP:4644
Imagineer Co., Ltd.
1,100.00
124.72
12.79%
JP:2193
COOKPAD
153.00
16.00
11.68%
JP:2489
Adways, Inc.
290.00
13.51
4.89%
JP:3662
Ateam Inc.
1,040.00
149.91
16.84%
JP:5243
note inc.
2,216.00
895.00
67.75%
JP:9467
Alphapolis Co., Ltd.
1,336.00
151.82
12.82%
Glossary
BuyA stock rated as a "Buy" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock is likely to deliver higher returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
HoldA stock rated as a "Hold" is expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the stock is neither particularly compelling nor unfavorable for investment. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
SellA stock rated as a "Sell" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock may deliver lower returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.

Disclaimer

This AI Analyst Stock Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in stocks carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.Date of analysis: Dec 30, 2025