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Sosei Group Corporation (JP:4565)
:4565

Sosei Group (4565) AI Stock Analysis

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Sosei Group

(OTC:4565)

Rating:48Neutral
Price Target:
¥869.00
▲( 8.08% Upside)
Sosei Group's overall stock score reflects strong revenue growth but is significantly impacted by persistent profitability issues and cash flow challenges. The technical analysis suggests some positive momentum, yet valuation concerns due to negative earnings and the absence of dividends weigh heavily. The stability of the balance sheet offers some reassurance but increasing debt levels need monitoring.

Sosei Group (4565) vs. iShares MSCI Japan ETF (EWJ)

Sosei Group Business Overview & Revenue Model

Company DescriptionSosei Group Corporation, a prominent biopharmaceutical company based in Japan, specializes in the development and commercialization of innovative medicines. The company operates primarily in the biotechnology and pharmaceutical sectors, focusing on drug discovery and early-stage clinical development. Sosei Group leverages its proprietary drug discovery platform to create novel therapeutics, with a particular emphasis on addressing unmet medical needs in disease areas such as neurology, immunology, and oncology.
How the Company Makes MoneySosei Group generates revenue through multiple streams, primarily from partnerships and collaborations with global pharmaceutical companies. These collaborations often involve co-development or licensing agreements for promising drug candidates, allowing Sosei to receive milestone payments and royalties based on the progress and sales of these drugs. Additionally, the company earns revenue from research and development services provided to its partners. Sosei's strategic alliances and partnerships are crucial to its business model, enabling it to leverage its drug discovery platform while sharing the financial risks associated with drug development.

Sosei Group Financial Statement Overview

Summary
Income Statement
Balance Sheet
Cash Flow
Breakdown
Dec 2024Dec 2023Dec 2022Dec 2021Dec 2020
Income StatementTotal Revenue
28.84B12.77B15.57B17.71B8.84B
Gross Profit
21.22B9.66B14.64B16.78B8.08B
EBIT
-5.42B-9.53B3.67B4.02B2.20B
EBITDA
-1.44B-5.71B5.01B8.19B2.20B
Net Income Common Stockholders
-4.84B-7.19B382.00M1.02B1.48B
Balance SheetCash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments
36.20B49.06B66.56B60.17B40.01B
Total Assets
151.50B157.20B99.42B96.98B76.47B
Total Debt
67.90B73.97B29.73B29.27B16.62B
Net Debt
35.63B24.91B-36.82B-30.82B-23.39B
Total Liabilities
82.98B90.39B41.48B39.52B24.08B
Stockholders Equity
68.52B66.81B57.94B57.47B52.38B
Cash FlowFree Cash Flow
-8.24B-6.12B9.65B6.89B4.57B
Operating Cash Flow
-7.72B-5.27B9.95B7.09B4.67B
Investing Cash Flow
-4.76B-63.79B1.04B278.00M-150.00M
Financing Cash Flow
-6.85B48.33B-4.89B11.12B20.28B

Sosei Group Technical Analysis

Technical Analysis Sentiment
Negative
Last Price804.00
Price Trends
50DMA
854.98
Negative
100DMA
911.51
Negative
200DMA
1113.89
Negative
Market Momentum
MACD
-7.90
Positive
RSI
40.94
Neutral
STOCH
7.40
Positive
Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For JP:4565, the sentiment is Negative. The current price of 804 is below the 20-day moving average (MA) of 864.80, below the 50-day MA of 854.98, and below the 200-day MA of 1113.89, indicating a bearish trend. The MACD of -7.90 indicates Positive momentum. The RSI at 40.94 is Neutral, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 7.40 is Positive, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Negative sentiment for JP:4565.

Sosei Group Peers Comparison

Overall Rating
UnderperformOutperform
Sector (53)
Financial Indicators
Name
Overall Rating
Market Cap
P/E Ratio
ROE
Dividend Yield
Revenue Growth
EPS Growth
61
Neutral
€124.85B108.76-2.52%-17.18%-108.99%
58
Neutral
¥22.86B
-2.34%-278.32%
53
Neutral
$5.14B3.06-43.57%2.81%16.81%-0.12%
51
Neutral
¥91.28B87.68
2.24%-9.69%-103.31%
49
Neutral
¥35.51B
374.19%35.53%
48
Neutral
¥72.67B-3.36%87.83%75.84%
* Healthcare Sector Average
Performance Comparison
Ticker
Company Name
Price
Change
% Change
JP:4565
Sosei Group
818.00
-611.00
-42.76%
JP:4593
Healios KK
329.00
193.00
141.91%
JP:4974
Takara Bio Inc.
755.00
-260.69
-25.67%
JP:7774
Japan Tissue Engineering Co., Ltd.
555.00
-102.00
-15.53%
JP:2160
GNI Group
2,971.00
885.00
42.43%

Sosei Group Earnings Call Summary

Earnings Call Date:May 02, 2025
(Q2-2024)
|
% Change Since: -12.23%|
Next Earnings Date:Aug 07, 2025
Earnings Call Sentiment Neutral
The earnings call highlighted significant revenue growth and strategic partnerships, contributing to an improved core operating profit. However, concerns remain regarding operating losses and increasing expenses, which could affect future financial performance.
Q2-2024 Updates
Positive Updates
Record Revenue Growth
Revenue for the first half of FY 2024 was JPY 12.7 billion, compared to JPY 2.1 billion in the same period last year, driven by new partnerships and milestone revenues.
Core Operating Profit Turnaround
Core operating profit was JPY 1.1 billion, a significant improvement from a loss of JPY 2.7 billion in the same period last year.
Strong PIVLAZ Sales
PIVLAZ achieved JPY 6.5 billion in sales in the first half, with a target to exceed JPY 16 billion in NHI sales for the year.
Strategic Partnerships and Milestones
Entered an exclusive option to license agreement with Boehringer Ingelheim and received milestone payments from Neurocrine and AbbVie.
Robust R&D Pipeline
Nine active clinical programs in collaboration with strategic partners, including significant progress in muscarinic agonist programs.
Negative Updates
Operating Loss on IFRS Basis
Operating loss on IFRS basis was JPY 3.6 billion, albeit an improvement from last year's JPY 4.1 billion loss.
Impact of Non-Cash Costs
JPY 1.6 billion non-cash cost of sales charge related to PIVLAZ inventory affected operating profit.
R&D and SG&A Expense Concerns
SG&A and R&D expenses are expected to increase in the second half, potentially impacting financial performance.
Company Guidance
During the Q2 2024 earnings call for company 4565.T, several key financial metrics and strategic goals were discussed. Revenue for the first half of FY 2024 was reported at JPY 12.7 billion, a significant increase from JPY 2.1 billion year-over-year. Core operating profit reached JPY 1.1 billion, rebounding from a previous loss of JPY 2.7 billion, primarily due to new partnerships and milestone revenues from collaborations with companies like Boehringer, Neurocrine, Centessa, and AbbVie. However, the operating profit on an IFRS basis showed a loss of JPY 3.6 billion, slightly improved from last year's loss of JPY 4.1 billion. The company continues to have a robust cash position with cash and cash equivalents totaling JPY 50.9 billion as of June. Additionally, they maintain their full-year guidance, emphasizing continued investment in R&D and the commercialization of key products like PIVLAZ and daridorexant in Japan and South Korea. The strategic goals for 2024 include achieving JPY 16 billion in PIVLAZ sales, obtaining Japanese NDA approval for daridorexant, and advancing their R&D pipeline to include more Phase Ib trials.

Sosei Group Corporate Events

Nxera Pharma Reports Strong Q1 2025 Results and Strategic Advances
May 2, 2025

Nxera Pharma has reported its first quarter 2025 results, highlighting significant operational progress and financial improvements. The company has secured key development and commercialization agreements, including the assignment of rights for cenerimod and a partnership for daridorexant, while advancing its partnered programs with Neurocrine Biosciences and Tempero Bio. Financially, Nxera saw a notable increase in revenue and a reduction in net loss, attributed to increased sales and strategic cost management.

Nxera Pharma’s Schizophrenia Treatment Enters Phase 3 Trials
Apr 30, 2025

Nxera Pharma announced that its partner, Neurocrine Biosciences, has initiated a Phase 3 trial for NBI-1117568, an investigational treatment for schizophrenia. This marks a significant milestone as it is the first NxWave™-designed molecule to reach this stage, potentially enhancing Nxera’s position in the neuropsychiatric treatment market. The trial will assess the drug’s efficacy, safety, and tolerability, with the potential to offer a novel mechanism for treating schizophrenia without the need for combination therapy, which could have significant implications for stakeholders.

Nxera Pharma’s Partner Advances Phase 2 Trial for Alcohol Use Disorder Treatment
Mar 25, 2025

Nxera Pharma’s partner, Tempero Bio, has initiated a Phase 2 trial for TMP-301, a drug aimed at treating alcohol use disorder. This development marks a significant step forward for Nxera’s NxWave™ discovery platform, showcasing its capability to produce innovative drug candidates. The collaboration with Tempero Bio, which holds exclusive global rights to Nxera’s mGluR5 NAM portfolio, is expected to advance the clinical development of treatments for substance use disorders. While no milestone payment is due at this stage, Nxera stands to benefit from future success-based payments and royalties, highlighting the strategic importance of this partnership.

Nxera Pharma Assigns Cenerimod Rights to Viatris for Japan and APAC
Feb 27, 2025

Nxera Pharma has entered into an agreement with Viatris Inc., granting them exclusive rights to develop and commercialize cenerimod, a novel oral S1P1 receptor modulator, in Japan and the Asia-Pacific region excluding China. This strategic move allows Viatris to hold global rights to cenerimod, which is in Phase 3 trials for systemic lupus erythematosus, potentially positioning it as a first-in-class therapy for autoimmune diseases. The deal includes an upfront payment of $10 million to Nxera, with additional milestone and royalty payments contingent on regulatory approval and sales, thereby enhancing Nxera’s shareholder value and expanding Viatris’ immunology platform.

Nxera Pharma Corrects Financial Notice on Capital Reserve and Surplus Disposition
Feb 24, 2025

Nxera Pharma announced a correction to its previous notice regarding the reduction of capital reserve and disposition of surplus. The correction involves changes in the amounts transferred to retained earnings, which will be used to compensate for the company’s deficit. This adjustment reflects the company’s efforts to manage its financial structure effectively, potentially impacting its financial stability and stakeholder interests.

Glossary
OutperformA stock rated as "Outperform" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests that the stock is likely to deliver higher returns compared to the average returns of other stocks in the same sector or market index. Investors might consider this stock a good buying opportunity.
NeutralA stock rated as "Neutral" is expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the stock is neither particularly attractive nor unattractive for investment. Investors may consider holding onto the stock, as it is not expected to either significantly outperform or underperform the market.
UnderperformA stock rated as "Underperform" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests that the stock may deliver lower returns compared to the average returns of other stocks in the same sector or market index. Investors might consider selling the stock or avoiding it as an investment.

Disclaimer

This AI Analyst Stock Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in stocks carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.