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Sosei Group Corporation (JP:4565)
:4565

Sosei Group (4565) AI Stock Analysis

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JP:4565

Sosei Group

(4565)

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Neutral 52 (OpenAI - 5.2)
Rating:52Neutral
Price Target:
¥943.00
▲(9.40% Upside)
Action:ReiteratedDate:02/18/26
The score is held back primarily by weak financial performance (widening losses, negative free cash flow, and higher leverage). This is partially offset by favorable technical momentum and a cautiously constructive earnings outlook driven by strong product growth and cost-reduction/profitability targets, though execution and milestone/BD uncertainty remain meaningful.
Positive Factors
Commercial product momentum (PIVLAZ, QUVIVIQ)
Sosei's marketed products now generate meaningful, growing revenue with PIVLAZ dominant in its Japan indication and QUVIVIQ rapidly expanding. A durable commercial foothold reduces reliance on one‑off deals, supports recurring cash flows, and anchors operational scaling and regional rollout over the next 2–6 months.
Commercial unit profitability and high gross margins
The commercial unit's core profitability combined with sustained high gross margins indicates durable margin capture on product sales. This creates an internal cash‑generating engine that can fund pipeline investment and offsets platform cash burn, improving the company's structural earnings resilience if commercial trends persist.
Robust discovery platform and advancing pipeline
Sosei Heptares' structure‑based GPCR discovery and multiple Phase II‑ready assets provide competitive differentiation and multiple value pathways: out‑license, milestone upside, and internal development. This structural R&D capability supports longer‑term dealflow and diversified future revenue beyond current commercial sales.
Negative Factors
Widening losses and negative free cash flow
Despite revenue growth, escalating operating losses and sustained negative operating/free cash flow materially increase cash burn risk. Over several quarters this erodes liquidity cushions and forces reliance on external funding or deal monetization, constraining strategic optionality and elevating execution risk for profitability targets.
Higher leverage reduces financial flexibility
Debt near parity with equity weakens balance sheet resilience against ongoing losses. Higher leverage increases fixed obligations and limits capacity for opportunistic BD or clinical investments without additional financing, making sustained negative cash flow more consequential for long‑term strategy execution.
Revenue lumpy and BD/milestone uncertainty
A meaningful share of revenue derives from partner milestones, which are inherently timing‑lumpy and unpredictable. The decline in milestone receipts highlights the risk that forecasted milestones or high‑value BD deals may not materialize on schedule, making revenue and cash generation less reliable and complicating plans to reach sustained profitability.

Sosei Group (4565) vs. iShares MSCI Japan ETF (EWJ)

Sosei Group Business Overview & Revenue Model

Company DescriptionSosei Group Corporation (4565) is a biopharmaceutical company based in Japan, specializing in the discovery and development of innovative medicines. The company focuses on drug development in the fields of neurology, respiratory diseases, and oncology, leveraging its expertise in drug design and development to create novel therapies. Sosei Group operates through various subsidiaries and has a strong pipeline of product candidates that target significant unmet medical needs.
How the Company Makes MoneySosei Group generates revenue primarily through partnerships and collaborations with other pharmaceutical and biotechnology companies, which provide upfront payments, milestone payments, and royalties based on the sales of products developed under these agreements. The company also earns revenue from licensing its proprietary technologies and drug candidates to third parties. Additionally, Sosei Group may receive funding from government grants or research institutions for specific projects. The successful advancement of its drug candidates through clinical trials and into commercialization is crucial for maximizing revenue streams.

Sosei Group Earnings Call Summary

Earnings Call Date:Feb 13, 2026
(Q4-2025)
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% Change Since: |
Next Earnings Date:May 08, 2026
Earnings Call Sentiment Neutral
The call presented a mixed picture: strong commercial execution in Japan/APAC and meaningful pipeline progress (Phase II–ready assets and partner-led late-stage programs) are clear positives, supported by rising product sales and a profitable commercial unit. However, FY2025 was marked by material operating losses, a notable decline in milestone revenue, higher R&D spend, and one-off charges. Management has announced restructuring, cost-reduction targets (>10%), and a plan to refocus the U.K. discovery portfolio, with expectations that benefits will appear in H2 FY2026. Given the balance between encouraging commercial/pipeline momentum and significant near-term financial and execution risks, the overall tone is cautious and transitional: opportunities exist but require successful execution of BD, cost actions, and regulatory steps to translate into the company’s stated FY2026 profitability goals.
Q4-2025 Updates
Positive Updates
Overall Revenue Slightly Increased
Total revenue rose to JPY 29.6 billion from JPY 28.8 billion in FY2024, a modest increase of JPY 0.8 billion (~2.8% year-on-year).
Strong Product Sales Growth
Product sales increased from JPY 14.0 billion to JPY 17.8 billion, up JPY 3.8 billion (~27.1% YoY), driven primarily by PIVLAZ and QUVIVIQ product supply and royalties.
PIVLAZ Market Leadership and Revenue
PIVLAZ delivered JPY 13.5 billion in sales (reported as $13.5 billion figure in presentation context) with ~7% year-on-year growth; domestic market share expanded from 34% in 2022 to 74% in 2025 and cumulative patients reached 25,470 since launch.
QUVIVIQ Rapid Expansion
QUVIVIQ net sales grew from JPY 1.3 billion in 2024 to JPY 4.3 billion in 2025 (+224% YoY). Regulatory/operational improvements (2-week prescription limit ended Dec 2025 and second API approval Oct 2025) support expected ~30% revenue growth in FY2026 and a FY2026 sales range guidance of JPY 5–7 billion for the product.
Commercial Business Profitability
Commercial (pharma-type) business returned to core operating profitability, reported at JPY 6.5 billion on a core basis, supporting management's strategy to stabilize revenues via Japan/APAC commercial growth.
Pipeline Advancements and Partner Momentum
Progress across partnered and in-house programs: Neurocrine muscarinic portfolio advancing (lead M4 agonist direclidine in Phase III with top-line expected by end-2027); Centessa's ORX-750 moving toward registrational program (Q1); two wholly owned assets (NXE'149 GPR52 and NXE'744 EP4) are Phase II–ready and in competitive licensing processes.
Positive Early Clinical Signals
NXE'744 (gut-restricted EP4 agonist) showed strong target engagement with ~50% reduction in indomethacin-induced permeability in an interim study and high gut tissue levels with no concerning safety signals; NXE'149 (GPR52) showed CNS penetration and cognitive/alertness signals in Phase I; NXE'732 (EP4 antagonist) produced two partial responses in Phase I.
In-license of Late-stage Rare Disease Asset (vamorolone/AGAMREE)
Company in-licensed vamorolone for Duchenne Muscular Dystrophy (DMD) for Japan/Korea/Australia/NZ, a late-stage rare disease product with expected strong strategic fit and ~70% commercial overlap with PIVLAZ to enable sales synergies and efficient market penetration.
Operational Efficiency Initiatives
Management changes, pipeline refocus, completion of most post-merger integration investments, and target cost reductions (aiming to reduce total costs >10%) were initiated, with management expecting benefits to appear in H2 FY2026.
Guidance and Ambitious FY2026 Targets
Management set clear FY2026 objectives including net product sales > JPY 19.5 billion (PIVLAZ + QUVIVIQ), securing ≥1 additional late-stage product for Japan/APAC, signing high-value out-licenses, initiating ≥1 new Phase II trial with a partner, and achieving full-year IFRS profitability if execution and milestones align.
Negative Updates
Significant Decline in Milestone Revenue
Milestone revenue decreased from JPY 11.2 billion in FY2024 to JPY 7.9 billion in FY2025, a drop of JPY 3.3 billion (~29.5% YoY); management cited the absence of large partner milestone events that occurred in the prior year (e.g., Neurocrine $35m milestone in 2024).
Material Operating Losses on Several Measures
Core operating profit turned slightly negative at -JPY 0.4 billion; IFRS operating loss reported at -JPY 8.4 billion. The presentation also referenced an operating profit deficit of JPY 20.05 billion when including certain items and a JPY 4.6 billion cost related to change of corporate bond terms on an IFRS basis—highlighting a sizable loss profile in FY2025.
R&D Cost Pressure and Increased R&D Spend
R&D expenditure increased by JPY 2.7 billion year-on-year due to peak clinical-stage development activity and accelerated investment in obesity/metabolic programs; this contributed to the core operating loss in the platform business.
One-off Charges and Impairments
Company incurred JPY 1.8 billion of one-off costs related to business rebuilding and structural reform, plus impairments mentioned as contributors to FY2025 losses.
U.K. Drug Discovery Requires Restructuring
Management acknowledged the U.K. drug discovery operations need a sharper strategic focus and stricter capital allocation; unsuccessful completion of a new high-value BD partnership in FY2025 was cited, indicating execution and monetization challenges on the platform side.
Uncertainty Around Business Development Milestones
Management emphasized that milestone income is largely partner-dependent and inherently uncertain; FY2026 guidance includes a conservative milestone assumption (e.g., platform milestone assumption of JPY 2.5 billion within forecasts) but top-end revenue scenarios rely on aspirational BD outcomes that are not guaranteed.
Potential Regulatory and Data Risks for In-licensed Assets
For vamorolone (AGAMREE), PMDA consultation and the possibility of a bridging or Phase III requirement remain uncertain; while management expects any bridging study to be small and affordable, regulatory outcomes could delay launch or increase near-term spend.
Limits and Timing of Cost Reductions
Although SG&A was compressed by ~4–5% (~JPY 800 million) and further reductions are targeted (>10% overall), management noted practical limits to cutting costs quickly without harming operations; expected efficiency benefits from IT/PMI will primarily surface in H2 FY2026, creating near-term timing risk for achieving profitability.
Market and Partner Environment Challenges
Investors questioned tougher out-licensing conditions (e.g., greater data demands driven by pricing/regulatory scrutiny in the U.S.), which could increase time/cost to strike large BD deals or require additional data package generation.
Company Guidance
The company guided to aggressive FY2026 targets: net product sales of >JPY 19.5 billion (PIVLAZ + QUVIVIQ), full‑year IFRS profitability and positive core operating profit/operating profit, plus a >10% reduction in total costs and breakeven on the drug‑discovery (platform) side on a core basis; management also aims to sign one or more high‑value BD deals, out‑license Phase II‑ready in‑house programs (NXE'149, NXE'744) by end‑FY2026 if possible, and initiate at least one new partner Phase II trial. Key FY2025 metrics underpinning the guidance: total revenue JPY 29.6bn (vs JPY 28.8bn FY2024), product sales JPY 17.8bn (up from JPY 14.0bn), milestone revenue JPY 7.9bn (down from JPY 11.2bn), core OP -JPY0.4bn and IFRS OP -JPY8.4bn; SG&A down ~4–5% (~JPY 0.8bn), R&D spend up JPY 2.7bn, one‑off restructuring/impairments ~JPY 1.8bn and bond‑term related costs ~JPY 4.6bn. Product specifics feeding 2026 plans: PIVLAZ sales JPY 13.5bn (7% YoY) with market share rising from 34% (2022) to 74% (2025) and 25,470 patients treated since launch (PIVLAZ expected >4% growth in FY2026); QUVIVIQ JPY 4.3bn (224% YoY) with a 30% revenue growth expectation in FY2026 and company guidance of JPY 5–7bn for the year; forecast assumptions for milestones were conservative (Nomura noted a milestone line of JPY 2.5bn within an assessed aggregate figure cited at JPY 40.3bn), and management expects cost and restructuring benefits to begin to flow through in H2 FY2026.

Sosei Group Financial Statement Overview

Summary
Despite sharp revenue growth and strong gross margins, profitability has deteriorated into sizable losses (net margin roughly -42% in 2025). Cash flow has flipped to sustained negative operating/free cash flow (2023–2025), and leverage has risen to about 1.0x debt-to-equity, reducing flexibility if cash burn persists.
Income Statement
34
Negative
Revenue has grown sharply in the last two years (2024–2025), but profitability deteriorated meaningfully: the company moved from modest profit in 2022 to sizable losses in 2023–2025. Gross margin remains strong (low-70%s in 2024–2025), yet operating losses widened and net margin fell to roughly -42% in 2025, indicating heavy cost load below gross profit and limited earnings stability.
Balance Sheet
52
Neutral
The balance sheet is mixed. Equity remains sizable relative to assets, but leverage has increased materially versus 2020–2022, with debt now roughly equal to equity (about 1.0x in 2024–2025). Returns on equity have been negative in recent years (2023–2024), consistent with the loss-making profile, and the higher debt level reduces financial flexibility if losses persist.
Cash Flow
28
Negative
Cash generation has weakened substantially: operating cash flow and free cash flow turned negative in 2023–2025 after being strongly positive in 2020–2022. 2025 free cash flow declined further versus 2024, and negative operating cash flow alongside large net losses highlights increased cash burn risk and a greater potential need for funding.
BreakdownDec 2025Dec 2024Dec 2023Dec 2022Dec 2021
Income Statement
Total Revenue29.61B28.84B12.77B15.57B17.71B
Gross Profit21.42B21.22B9.66B14.64B16.78B
EBITDA-3.91B105.00M-5.71B3.57B2.19B
Net Income-12.53B-4.84B-7.19B382.00M1.02B
Balance Sheet
Total Assets134.79B151.50B157.20B99.42B96.98B
Cash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments20.36B36.20B49.06B66.56B60.17B
Total Debt60.88B67.90B73.97B29.73B29.27B
Total Liabilities73.79B82.98B90.39B41.48B39.52B
Stockholders Equity61.00B68.52B66.81B57.94B57.47B
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow-3.12B-8.24B-6.12B9.65B6.89B
Operating Cash Flow-2.67B-7.72B-5.27B9.95B7.09B
Investing Cash Flow5.43B-4.76B-63.79B1.04B278.00M
Financing Cash Flow-16.03B-6.85B48.33B-4.89B11.12B

Sosei Group Technical Analysis

Technical Analysis Sentiment
Positive
Last Price862.00
Price Trends
50DMA
847.02
Positive
100DMA
868.52
Positive
200DMA
889.87
Positive
Market Momentum
MACD
22.94
Negative
RSI
63.47
Neutral
STOCH
55.35
Neutral
Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For JP:4565, the sentiment is Positive. The current price of 862 is below the 20-day moving average (MA) of 873.65, above the 50-day MA of 847.02, and below the 200-day MA of 889.87, indicating a bullish trend. The MACD of 22.94 indicates Negative momentum. The RSI at 63.47 is Neutral, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 55.35 is Neutral, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Positive sentiment for JP:4565.

Sosei Group Peers Comparison

Overall Rating
UnderperformOutperform
Sector (51)
Financial Indicators
Name
Overall Rating
Market Cap
P/E Ratio
ROE
Dividend Yield
Revenue Growth
EPS Growth
55
Neutral
¥27.57B-61.60-5.65%-469.19%
52
Neutral
¥82.26B-6.76-9.05%-1.96%-64.18%
52
Neutral
¥138.24B-19.182.18%-0.16%-802.20%
51
Neutral
$7.86B-0.30-43.30%2.27%22.53%-2.21%
50
Neutral
¥67.52B-33.85-9.04%13.09%
48
Neutral
¥169.33B-44.05-636.97%-12.69%
46
Neutral
¥174.10B-48.22-10.16%-62.47%-134.06%
* Healthcare Sector Average
Performance Comparison
Ticker
Company Name
Price
Change
% Change
JP:4565
Sosei Group
937.00
64.00
7.33%
JP:4587
Peptidream
1,415.00
-668.00
-32.07%
JP:4592
SanBio Co
2,154.00
984.00
84.10%
JP:4588
Oncolys BioPharma, Inc.
2,626.00
1,942.00
283.92%
JP:4974
Takara Bio Inc.
1,147.00
297.00
34.94%
JP:7774
Japan Tissue Engineering Co., Ltd.
696.00
202.00
40.89%

Sosei Group Corporate Events

Nxera Pharma Revamps Board to Strengthen Governance and Growth Strategy
Feb 13, 2026

Nxera Pharma has proposed changes to its Board of Directors, nominating physician and healthcare policy expert Takeo Morooka as a new external director while announcing the planned retirement of external directors Miwa Seki and Noriaki Nagai. The board reshuffle, subject to shareholder approval at the March 25, 2026 general meeting, is intended to bolster governance and support the company’s medium- to long-term growth strategy as it pursues a stronger position in the global biopharmaceutical industry.

President and CEO Chris Cargill said Morooka’s extensive regulatory and pharmaceutical policy experience, spanning roles in Japan’s health ministry, the WHO and senior industry posts, is expected to provide practical guidance and strengthen oversight of management. The move comes alongside the reappointment of six existing directors, signaling continuity in leadership while adding specialized policy and regulatory expertise that could enhance Nxera’s ability to navigate complex healthcare markets and accelerate value creation for stakeholders.

The most recent analyst rating on (JP:4565) stock is a Hold with a Yen804.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Sosei Group stock, see the JP:4565 Stock Forecast page.

Nxera Pharma tightens focus as Japan and APAC portfolio powers 2025 growth
Feb 13, 2026

Nxera Pharma reported a year of disciplined execution in 2025, strengthening its commercial base in Japan and APAC as PIVLAZ consolidated its position as standard of care in aneurysmal subarachnoid haemorrhage and delivered 6.8% annual sales growth. QUVIVIQ sales surged more than threefold following its December 2024 launch with Shionogi, supported by approval of an additional Asian manufacturing site to secure supply and improve profitability.

The company advanced its pipeline through partner-led milestones, including Neurocrine’s Phase 3 start for muscarinic agonist NBI-‘568 and positive Phase 1 data for oncology candidate HTL’732, which has moved into Phase 2. Nxera also executed a focused restructuring to prioritize high-value programs and cut costs toward a 2030 profitability target, regained full rights to its Phase 2–ready GPR52 schizophrenia asset for out-licensing, expanded its late-stage portfolio via licensing DMD drug vamorolone for Japan/APAC, and reported positive Phase 3 data for daridorexant in South Korea ahead of a 2026 filing.

The most recent analyst rating on (JP:4565) stock is a Hold with a Yen804.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Sosei Group stock, see the JP:4565 Stock Forecast page.

Nxera Pharma Slashes Executive Bonuses Following 2025 Results
Feb 13, 2026

Nxera Pharma has moved to sharply cut performance-linked remuneration for its top executives following the disclosure of its full-year 2025 financial results. The company said the decision underscores its commitment to disciplined capital allocation and long-term value creation as it prioritizes investment in its development pipeline and commercial operations.

Under the revised pay structure, the Representative Executive Officer and President will see an 85% reduction in their performance-linked bonus, while Executive Officers will face a 70% cut. The reductions will apply from January through December 2026, signaling tighter alignment between executive compensation and company performance for shareholders and other stakeholders.

The most recent analyst rating on (JP:4565) stock is a Hold with a Yen804.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Sosei Group stock, see the JP:4565 Stock Forecast page.

Nxera Pharma boosts Japan-APAC portfolio and pipeline as 2025 restructuring sharpens growth focus
Feb 13, 2026

Nxera Pharma reported a year of disciplined execution in 2025, strengthening its commercial base in Japan and APAC while advancing a maturing pipeline. The company’s aneurysmal subarachnoid haemorrhage drug PIVLAZ® consolidated its position as the standard of care in Japan, driving market share to 74% and 6.8% year-on-year net sales growth, while insomnia therapy QUVIVIQ™ delivered a more than threefold sales increase supported by expanded Asian manufacturing capacity to secure supply and improve margins.

Operationally, Nxera pushed several partnered assets forward, including Phase 3 initiation of Neurocrine’s NBI-‘568 muscarinic agonist and encouraging Phase 1 oncology data for HTL’732, generating around US$35 million in milestones and a further US$3.6 million from Centessa for OX2R agonist ORX142. The company undertook a focused restructuring to concentrate investment on high-potential platforms, regain full rights to its Phase 2–ready GPR52 schizophrenia program for potential partnering, launch a new proprietary obesity and metabolic disease pipeline and expand its late- and commercial-stage portfolio in Japan/APAC through licensing vamorolone for Duchenne Muscular Dystrophy and progressing daridorexant toward South Korean approval.

The most recent analyst rating on (JP:4565) stock is a Hold with a Yen804.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Sosei Group stock, see the JP:4565 Stock Forecast page.

Nxera Pharma Slashes Executive Bonuses After FY2025 Results to Sharpen Capital Discipline
Feb 13, 2026

Nxera Pharma has moved to cut performance-linked remuneration for its top executives following the release of its full-year 2025 financial results. The company said it aims to underscore disciplined capital stewardship and long-term value creation while prioritizing resource deployment toward its drug pipeline and commercial activities.

Under the decision, the performance-based bonus of the Representative Executive Officer and President will be reduced by 85%, while Executive Officers will see a 70% reduction. The measures will apply for the full 2026 calendar year, signaling management’s willingness to share the financial burden and align compensation more closely with current performance and strategic priorities.

The most recent analyst rating on (JP:4565) stock is a Hold with a Yen804.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Sosei Group stock, see the JP:4565 Stock Forecast page.

Nxera Pharma Grows Revenue but Widens Loss on R&D and Finance Costs in 2025
Feb 13, 2026

Nxera Pharma reported a modest 2.7% year‑on‑year increase in revenue to ¥29.6 billion for the year ended December 2025, driven by strong growth in sales of its commercialized products PIVLAZ and QUVIVIQ. PIVLAZ revenue rose 6.8% to ¥13.5 billion and QUVIVIQ surged 223.9% to ¥4.3 billion, partially offsetting a decline in milestone income despite a higher number of milestones achieved.

The company’s operating loss widened to ¥8.5 billion as higher research and development spending, particularly on clinical‑stage programs in obesity and metabolic diseases and the impact of yen depreciation, outweighed cost savings in selling, general and administrative expenses. Additional finance costs tied to amended bond terms and remeasurement of contingent consideration pushed loss before tax to ¥15.0 billion and net loss attributable to shareholders to ¥12.5 billion, underscoring the earnings pressure from Nxera’s investment‑led growth strategy.

The most recent analyst rating on (JP:4565) stock is a Hold with a Yen804.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Sosei Group stock, see the JP:4565 Stock Forecast page.

Nxera Pharma books ¥24.3bn non-cash impairment with no impact on consolidated results
Feb 13, 2026

Nxera Pharma will book an extraordinary loss of JPY 24.3 billion on the shares of its consolidated subsidiary Nxera Pharma UK Limited, reflecting a significant decline in the recoverable amount under Japanese GAAP valuation rules. The company stressed that this impairment is confined to its non-consolidated accounts and will be eliminated at the consolidated level, meaning there is no impact on its consolidated results or underlying group performance.

The loss arises from differences between Japanese GAAP and IFRS in how investments in subsidiaries are valued, highlighting an accounting-driven adjustment rather than a change in operating fundamentals. For investors and other stakeholders, the announcement signals that headline non-consolidated figures will be distorted by this one-off charge, while consolidated financials and the group’s ongoing operations and strategic positioning in specialty pharmaceuticals remain unaffected.

The most recent analyst rating on (JP:4565) stock is a Hold with a Yen804.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Sosei Group stock, see the JP:4565 Stock Forecast page.

Nxera Pharma Swings to Deeper FY2025 Loss but Guides for Strong Profit Rebound in 2026
Feb 13, 2026

Nxera Pharma reported a modest 2.7% rise in FY2025 revenue to ¥29.6 billion but swung to a core operating loss of ¥352 million and a deeper operating loss of ¥8.5 billion, with net loss attributable to owners widening to ¥12.5 billion. Profitability metrics deteriorated, total assets declined, cash and cash equivalents fell to ¥20.4 billion amid heavier financing outflows, and the company continued its no-dividend policy.

Despite the FY2025 loss, Nxera issued an optimistic FY2026 outlook, forecasting revenue of ¥33.8–48.8 billion and a strong recovery in core operating profit to ¥7.8–22.8 billion, with operating profit potentially turning positive. This guidance signals management’s expectation of a rebound in underlying business performance, which, if achieved, would materially improve margins and could bolster investor confidence after a year of weaker earnings and balance sheet contraction.

The most recent analyst rating on (JP:4565) stock is a Hold with a Yen804.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Sosei Group stock, see the JP:4565 Stock Forecast page.

Nxera Pharma to Book $1.8 Million Milestone from Centessa Collaboration
Feb 12, 2026

Nxera Pharma, a Tokyo-listed biopharma group specializing in specialty medicines and GPCR structure-based drug discovery, operates commercial and R&D hubs in Japan, the UK, Switzerland and South Korea. The company targets high-value markets in Japan and the wider APAC region, combining its NxWave platform with alliances to broaden its pipeline of innovative therapies.

Nxera will receive a US$1.8 million milestone payment from Centessa Pharmaceuticals after Centessa achieved an early development milestone with its investigational orexin receptor 2 agonist, ORX489, for neuropsychiatric disorders. The payment, to be booked as first-quarter 2026 revenue, underscores the financial and strategic value of Nxera’s research collaboration model and validates its role in enabling partner-led drug development.

The most recent analyst rating on (JP:4565) stock is a Hold with a Yen804.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Sosei Group stock, see the JP:4565 Stock Forecast page.

Nxera Pharma spins out GPCR program to new life sciences-backed company
Feb 12, 2026

Nxera Pharma has licensed a G protein-coupled receptor-targeted program to a newly founded independent spin-out backed by a leading international life sciences investment firm, taking an equity stake in the new company. The structure gives Nxera potential milestone and royalty income while allowing the NewCo to lead development and capital raising.

Under the agreement, Nxera retains certain rights to develop and commercialize the asset in Japan and selected Asia-Pacific markets, preserving its regional growth strategy. The company is also considering participation in the NewCo’s planned Series A round, and is reviewing the transaction’s impact on its 2026 financial results, with further disclosures to follow if required.

The most recent analyst rating on (JP:4565) stock is a Hold with a Yen804.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Sosei Group stock, see the JP:4565 Stock Forecast page.

Nxera Pharma’s Insomnia Drug Daridorexant Clears Key Phase 3 Hurdle in South Korea
Jan 19, 2026

Nxera Pharma reported positive top-line results from a Phase 3 trial in South Korea of its insomnia drug daridorexant 50 mg, showing statistically significant improvements over placebo in subjective total sleep time, time to fall asleep and wake after sleep onset, with a safety profile comparable to placebo. With insomnia affecting an estimated 6.5–11 million adults in South Korea and current treatment needs remaining high, the data clear a key regulatory hurdle and position Nxera to file for marketing authorization in early 2026 and potentially launch in 2027, extending the global footprint of QUVIVIQ and strengthening the company’s competitive position in the rapidly evolving insomnia treatment market.

The most recent analyst rating on (JP:4565) stock is a Hold with a Yen720.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Sosei Group stock, see the JP:4565 Stock Forecast page.

Nxera Pharma Secures US$3.6 Million Milestone from Centessa Collaboration
Jan 12, 2026

Nxera Pharma will receive a US$3.6 million milestone payment from Centessa Pharmaceuticals after Centessa achieved an early development milestone for ORX142, an investigational, orally administered orexin receptor 2 agonist being developed for neurological and neurodegenerative disorders. The payment, to be recognized as revenue in the fourth quarter of fiscal 2025, underscores the financial and strategic value of Nxera’s research collaborations and provides additional non-dilutive funding that supports its pipeline-focused business model and reinforces its position as a key partner in innovative neuroscience drug development.

The most recent analyst rating on (JP:4565) stock is a Hold with a Yen720.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Sosei Group stock, see the JP:4565 Stock Forecast page.

Nxera Pharma Secures Asia-Pacific Rights to Santhera’s Vamorolone for Duchenne Muscular Dystrophy
Jan 8, 2026

Nxera Pharma has signed an exclusive licensing agreement with Switzerland’s Santhera Pharmaceuticals to develop, manufacture and commercialize vamorolone, marketed as AGAMREE for Duchenne muscular dystrophy (DMD), in Japan, South Korea, Australia and New Zealand. Vamorolone, already approved in the US, EU, UK and China, has shown a substantially improved safety profile over conventional corticosteroids, including fewer vertebral fractures, a lower incidence of cataracts and preserved normal growth, while maintaining comparable efficacy, positioning it as a potential replacement for current steroid therapies in DMD. Under the deal, Nxera will handle regulatory approvals, any required clinical trials, and commercialization in the licensed territories, leveraging prior development and manufacturing experience gained via its 2023 acquisition of Idorsia’s Japan and APAC business. Nxera will pay Santhera an upfront USD 40 million (USD 30 million in cash and USD 10 million as a strategic equity investment), plus up to USD 165 million in sales and regulatory milestones and tiered royalties starting in the low teens, underscoring the strategic importance of vamorolone in expanding Nxera’s late- and commercial-stage pipeline and strengthening its position as a key rare-disease player in the APAC DMD market.

The most recent analyst rating on (JP:4565) stock is a Hold with a Yen718.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Sosei Group stock, see the JP:4565 Stock Forecast page.

Nxera Pharma Completes ¥5 Billion Buyback of 2028 Convertible Bonds
Dec 21, 2025

Nxera Pharma has completed a tender offer to repurchase ¥5 billion in principal amount of its euro-yen denominated convertible bonds due 2028, paying a total of approximately ¥4.84 billion excluding accrued interest, based on a slight discount to face value. Following the transaction, ¥27 billion in principal amount of the convertible bonds remains outstanding, indicating a targeted balance-sheet action that may modestly reduce future potential dilution for shareholders while maintaining significant outstanding convertible debt.

The most recent analyst rating on (JP:4565) stock is a Hold with a Yen718.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Sosei Group stock, see the JP:4565 Stock Forecast page.

Nxera Pharma Regains Full Rights to Phase 2–Ready Schizophrenia Drug After Boehringer Ingelheim Opts Out
Dec 18, 2025

Nxera Pharma will regain full rights to its GPR52 agonist program for schizophrenia, including Phase 2–ready lead candidate NXE0048149, after Boehringer Ingelheim chose not to exercise its exclusive licensing option. The decision triggers the return to Nxera of all data and intellectual property generated under the collaboration and leaves the company free to pursue new strategic options, including a formal out‑licensing process in 2026, without affecting its current-period consolidated financial results.
NXE0048149, designed using Nxera’s NxWave discovery platform, has shown a highly favorable safety profile in Phase 1 studies, dose-proportional pharmacokinetics and pharmacodynamic evidence of engaging brain circuitry relevant to schizophrenia, supporting once‑daily dosing and continued development. With GPR52 expression linked to positive, negative and cognitive symptom domains, Nxera believes the program could offer a first‑in‑class treatment that addresses shortcomings of existing therapies, and management views the return of full rights as a strategic opportunity to partner the asset with a major pharmaceutical or specialized neuroscience company.

The most recent analyst rating on (JP:4565) stock is a Hold with a Yen858.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Sosei Group stock, see the JP:4565 Stock Forecast page.

Nxera Completes Buyback and Consent Solicitation for Convertible Bonds
Dec 10, 2025

Nxera Pharma Co., Ltd. has successfully completed its buyback and consent solicitation for its existing Euro-yen denominated convertible bonds due 2028. The company received the necessary electronic consents to approve an extraordinary resolution, allowing it to execute a supplemental trust deed and cancel a planned meeting. The tender offer was conducted with a total purchase price of ¥4,837,500,000, leaving ¥27,000,000,000 in principal amount of the bonds outstanding.

The most recent analyst rating on (JP:4565) stock is a Buy with a Yen1400.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Sosei Group stock, see the JP:4565 Stock Forecast page.

Nxera Pharma Receives Dividends from UK Subsidiary
Dec 8, 2025

Nxera Pharma Co. Ltd announced the receipt of dividends amounting to JPY 8,193 million from its subsidiary, Nxera Pharma UK Limited. The dividend income of JPY 2,793 million will be recorded as non-operating income in the company’s non-consolidated financial statements for the fiscal year ending December 31, 2025, with no impact on its consolidated financial results.

The most recent analyst rating on (JP:4565) stock is a Buy with a Yen1400.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Sosei Group stock, see the JP:4565 Stock Forecast page.

Nxera Pharma Initiates Bond Buyback and Consent Solicitation
Nov 26, 2025

Nxera Pharma Co., Ltd. has announced a buyback and consent solicitation for its existing convertible bonds due in 2028. The company aims to amend the terms of these bonds to reduce near-term redemption risk and secure liquidity for strategic growth investments. By removing bondholders’ early redemption options and conducting a tender offer up to ¥5 billion, Nxera seeks to maintain lower funding costs and avoid dilutive effects on shareholders.

The most recent analyst rating on (JP:4565) stock is a Hold with a Yen767.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Sosei Group stock, see the JP:4565 Stock Forecast page.

Nxera Pharma Launches New Employee Stock Ownership Plan in Japan
Nov 19, 2025

Nxera Pharma has announced the introduction of a new Employee Stock Ownership Plan (J-ESOP) for its employees residing in Japan, replacing the existing Restricted Share Unit Plan. This strategic move aims to enhance employee motivation and engagement by aligning their interests with the company’s performance, providing tax benefits, and reducing the concentration of share sales, thereby potentially increasing the company’s corporate value and market performance.

The most recent analyst rating on (JP:4565) stock is a Hold with a Yen767.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Sosei Group stock, see the JP:4565 Stock Forecast page.

Glossary
BuyA stock rated as a "Buy" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock is likely to deliver higher returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
HoldA stock rated as a "Hold" is expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the stock is neither particularly compelling nor unfavorable for investment. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
SellA stock rated as a "Sell" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock may deliver lower returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.

Disclaimer

This AI Analyst Stock Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in stocks carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.Date of analysis: Feb 18, 2026