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Makuake, Inc. (JP:4479)
:4479
Japanese Market

Makuake, Inc. (4479) AI Stock Analysis

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JP:4479

Makuake, Inc.

(4479)

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Outperform 72 (OpenAI - 5.2)
Rating:72Outperform
Price Target:
¥989.00
▲(15.54% Upside)
Action:ReiteratedDate:01/31/26
The score is driven primarily by improved financial performance and a strong, debt-free balance sheet, tempered by prior multi-year earnings and cash flow volatility. Technicals add support due to a strong uptrend and positive momentum, while valuation is neutral-to-slightly limiting at ~22x earnings with no dividend yield provided.
Positive Factors
Conservative Balance Sheet
Zero reported debt provides durable financial flexibility and low solvency risk, allowing the company to fund operations, platform investment or weather downturns without refinancing. This strengthens long-term resilience and strategic optionality for growth initiatives.
Negative Factors
Multi-year Volatility
Several years of losses and negative cash flow prior to 2025 indicate earnings and cash unpredictability. Durable planning and valuation are hampered by this volatility; a single-year recovery may not reflect a stable trend without clearer structural changes to revenue or cost base.
Read all positive and negative factors
Positive Factors
Negative Factors
Conservative Balance Sheet
Zero reported debt provides durable financial flexibility and low solvency risk, allowing the company to fund operations, platform investment or weather downturns without refinancing. This strengthens long-term resilience and strategic optionality for growth initiatives.
Read all positive factors

Makuake, Inc. (4479) vs. iShares MSCI Japan ETF (EWJ)

Makuake, Inc. Business Overview & Revenue Model

Company Description
Makuake, Inc. operates the Makuake crowdfunding platform in Japan. It provides support services for new business development and human resource development; displays and sells products; and operates a shopping site that sells finished products to ...
How the Company Makes Money
Makuake, Inc. generates revenue primarily by operating its crowdfunding platform and charging fees tied to fundraising and transactions conducted through the platform. Key revenue streams include (1) platform service fees collected from project cr...

Makuake, Inc. Financial Statement Overview

Summary
Financials show a notable 2025 turnaround with revenue up 7.2%, a return to positive operating profit and net income (net margin ~8.9%), and sharply improved operating/free cash flow. Strength is supported by consistently high gross margins (~75–82%) and a very conservative balance sheet with zero debt. The main offset is multi-year volatility (losses and negative cash flow in 2022–2024), making durability of the recovery the key risk.
Income Statement
62
Positive
Balance Sheet
83
Very Positive
Cash Flow
66
Positive
BreakdownSep 2025Sep 2024Sep 2023Sep 2022Sep 2021
Income Statement
Total Revenue4.58B3.65B3.81B4.21B4.62B
Gross Profit3.44B2.78B3.06B3.36B3.81B
EBITDA625.03M56.21M-454.00M-152.00M437.61M
Net Income407.26M-103.60M-491.08M-1.35B246.64M
Balance Sheet
Total Assets7.45B6.65B7.96B8.26B10.33B
Cash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments5.97B5.06B6.41B7.32B8.59B
Total Debt0.000.000.000.000.00
Total Liabilities2.03B1.63B2.85B2.68B3.46B
Stockholders Equity5.42B5.01B5.11B5.58B6.87B
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow971.17M-1.10B-921.82M-1.34B-161.97M
Operating Cash Flow985.08M-1.09B-339.22M-827.32M151.41M
Investing Cash Flow-81.42M-276.71M-582.12M-475.79M-586.41M
Financing Cash Flow4.50M18.51M14.01M33.66M3.92B

Makuake, Inc. Technical Analysis

Technical Analysis Sentiment
Neutral
Last Price856.00
Price Trends
50DMA
1062.14
Negative
100DMA
931.72
Positive
200DMA
960.78
Negative
Market Momentum
MACD
-51.96
Positive
RSI
43.32
Neutral
STOCH
57.93
Neutral
Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For JP:4479, the sentiment is Neutral. The current price of 856 is below the 20-day moving average (MA) of 1037.55, below the 50-day MA of 1062.14, and below the 200-day MA of 960.78, indicating a bearish trend. The MACD of -51.96 indicates Positive momentum. The RSI at 43.32 is Neutral, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 57.93 is Neutral, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Neutral sentiment for JP:4479.

Makuake, Inc. Peers Comparison

Overall Rating
UnderperformOutperform
Sector (68)
Financial Indicators
Name
Overall Rating
Market Cap
P/E Ratio
ROE
Dividend Yield
Revenue Growth
EPS Growth
72
Outperform
¥11.77B9.1925.33%
68
Neutral
$18.00B11.429.92%3.81%9.73%1.22%
65
Neutral
¥23.83B43.2818.63%21.38%
62
Neutral
¥27.19B9.140.66%10.67%6.94%
* Financial Sector Average
Performance Comparison
Ticker
Company Name
Price
Change
% Change
JP:4479
Makuake, Inc.
923.00
403.00
77.50%
JP:2998
CREAL Inc.
732.00
-87.00
-10.62%
JP:3266
Fund Creation Group Co., Ltd.
88.00
10.90
14.14%
JP:4310
Dream Incubator Inc.
2,519.00
48.92
1.98%

Makuake, Inc. Corporate Events

Makuake Delivers Strong Q1 Profit Surge but Sees Weaker Earnings Ahead for FY2026
Jan 27, 2026
Makuake reported a strong first quarter for the three months ended December 31, 2025, with net sales rising 49.2% year on year to ¥1,463 million and operating and ordinary profit both climbing more than threefold, driving profit up 178.7% to ...
Glossary
BuyA stock rated as a "Buy" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock is likely to deliver higher returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
HoldA stock rated as a "Hold" is expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the stock is neither particularly compelling nor unfavorable for investment. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
SellA stock rated as a "Sell" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock may deliver lower returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.

Disclaimer

This AI Analyst Stock Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in stocks carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.Date of analysis: Jan 31, 2026