gooddays holdings,Inc. (4437) AI Stock Analysis

• Market Cap: ¥5.88B
• Dividend Yield: 0.64%
• Average Volume (3M): 2.99K
• Price to Earnings (P/E): 9.5
• Beta (1Y): 0.49
• Revenue Growth: 10.71%
• EPS Growth: -26.92%
• Country: JP
• Employees: 334
• Sector: Real Estate
• Sector Strength: 53
• Industry: Real Estate - Services
• EPS (TTM): 38.35
• Shares Outstanding: 6,833,760
• 10 Day Avg. Volume: 2,590
• 30 Day Avg. Volume: 2,993
• PEG Ratio: 1.16
• Price to Book (P/B): 1.45
• Price to Sales (P/S): 0.50
• P/FCF Ratio: 10.53
• Enterprise Value/Market Cap: N/A
• Enterprise Value/Revenue: N/A
• Enterprise Value/Gross Profit: N/A
• Enterprise Value/Ebitda: N/A
• 1Y Price Target: N/A
• Price Target Upside: N/A
• Rating Consensus: N/A
• Number of Analyst Covering: 0
• EPS Forecast (FY): N/A
• Revenue Forecast (FY): N/A

• Rating: 78 Outperform
• Price Target: ¥962.00 ▲(45.54% Upside)
• Action: Upgraded Date: 02/21/26
• Date: Action: Upgraded 02/21/26

The score is driven primarily by strong financial performance (growth, improving margins, low leverage, and better free cash flow) and supportive valuation (low P/E). Technicals are bullish but tempered by overbought signals (very high RSI), which raises near-term risk and lowers the overall score.

Positive Factors

Revenue Growth & Profitability Momentum

Consistent 18.2% top-line growth alongside improving profit metrics signals durable demand and successful product distribution. Sustained revenue expansion increases scale, supports investment in R&D/marketing, and underpins longer-term margin and cash flow improvements.

Low Leverage / Strong Balance Sheet

Very low leverage and a strong equity base provide financial flexibility and resilience to shocks. This supports capital allocation for growth, M&A or capex, and limits interest expense pressure, helping preserve operating margins over the medium term.

Improved Cash Generation and Conversion

Positive free cash flow and nearly 2x cash conversion of net income indicate efficient working capital and real cash generation. Strong cash flow enables reinvestment, deleveraging, or shareholder returns without relying on external financing, strengthening durability.

Negative Factors

Thin Net Profit Margin

A net margin of 3.7% remains modest given revenue growth, leaving limited buffer against cost inflation or competitive price pressure. Sustained low margins constrain free cash available for strategic initiatives and make earnings more sensitive to small revenue swings.

Moderate Return on Equity

ROE near 10.8% suggests the company is delivering only moderate returns on shareholder capital. Without higher capital efficiency or margin expansion, this could limit long-term shareholder returns and make it harder to justify reinvestment at current levels.

Strategic / Industry Classification Ambiguity

A mismatch between the firm's described healthcare/wellness focus and its industry classification creates potential strategy and reporting ambiguity. That can hinder investor understanding, complicate benchmarking, and signal unclear strategic priorities over the medium term.

gooddays holdings,Inc. Business Overview & Revenue Model

Company Description

gooddays holdings, Inc. leases housing properties in Japan. It also provides IT services. The company was founded in 2016 and is headquartered in Tokyo, Japan.

How the Company Makes Money

Gooddays Holdings, Inc. generates revenue through multiple streams, primarily from the sale of its health and wellness products, which include dietary supplements and related goods. The company employs a direct-to-consumer sales model as well as partnerships with retail outlets to expand its market reach. Additionally, Gooddays Holdings may engage in strategic collaborations with healthcare providers and wellness centers, enhancing its product visibility and credibility. The company also invests in online marketing and e-commerce platforms to drive sales, leveraging digital channels to reach a broader audience. Overall, a combination of product sales, partnerships, and effective marketing strategies contribute significantly to its earnings.

gooddays holdings,Inc. Financial Statement Overview

Summary

Strong revenue growth (+18.2% from 2024 to 2025) with improving profitability (net margin up to 3.7%) and stable EBIT/EBITDA margins. Balance sheet leverage is low (debt-to-equity 0.17) with a strong equity ratio (54.7%). Cash flow improved materially, with free cash flow turning positive and strong cash conversion (operating cash flow to net income 1.95).

Income Statement

The company has shown strong revenue growth with a 18.2% increase from 2024 to 2025. Gross profit margin is healthy at 25.1%, and net profit margin has improved to 3.7%. EBIT and EBITDA margins are stable at 6.9% and 7.1% respectively, indicating efficient operations. Overall, the income statement reflects a positive growth trajectory and profitability.

Balance Sheet

The balance sheet is robust with a debt-to-equity ratio of 0.17, indicating low leverage and financial stability. The equity ratio is strong at 54.7%, reflecting a solid equity base. Return on equity is moderate at 10.8%, suggesting reasonable profitability. The company maintains a healthy financial position with manageable debt levels.

Cash Flow

The company has significantly improved its free cash flow, turning from negative in 2024 to positive in 2025. Operating cash flow to net income ratio is strong at 1.95, indicating efficient cash generation relative to net income. Free cash flow to net income ratio is also positive at 1.27, reflecting good cash flow management. Overall, cash flow metrics show a positive trend and strong liquidity.

Breakdown	Mar 2025	Mar 2024	Mar 2023	Mar 2022	Mar 2021
Income Statement
Total Revenue	8.81B	7.45B	6.39B	6.11B	5.44B
Gross Profit	2.21B	2.06B	1.92B	1.82B	1.48B
EBITDA	637.69M	545.81M	591.59M	485.75M	102.76M
Net Income	337.71M	300.70M	359.10M	291.61M	26.79M
Balance Sheet
Total Assets	5.53B	5.05B	3.90B	3.49B	3.01B
Cash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments	1.57B	1.08B	1.49B	1.44B	1.01B
Total Debt	500.00M	500.00M	198.00M	248.00M	339.00M
Total Liabilities	2.50B	2.34B	1.48B	1.41B	1.29B
Stockholders Equity	3.02B	2.71B	2.42B	2.07B	1.71B
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow	416.21M	-553.03M	150.38M	450.32M	-46.31M
Operating Cash Flow	638.29M	36.36M	624.33M	507.82M	46.23M
Investing Cash Flow	-146.81M	-748.96M	-519.71M	-44.02M	-63.27M
Financing Cash Flow	-2.57M	296.77M	-50.00M	-33.40M	146.57M

gooddays holdings,Inc. Technical Analysis

• Technical Analysis Sentiment: Positive
• Last Price: 661.00
• 50DMA: Positive
• 100DMA: Positive
• 200DMA: Positive
• MACD: Negative
• RSI: Negative
• STOCH: Neutral

Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For JP:4437, the sentiment is Positive. The current price of 661 is below the 20-day moving average (MA) of 771.80, below the 50-day MA of 702.92, and below the 200-day MA of 683.92, indicating a bullish trend. The MACD of 52.77 indicates Negative momentum. The RSI at 74.24 is Negative, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 47.27 is Neutral, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Positive sentiment for JP:4437.

gooddays holdings,Inc. Peers Comparison

Name	Overall Rating	Market Cap	P/E Ratio	ROE	Dividend Yield	Revenue Growth	EPS Growth
4262	83 Outperform	¥9.33B	13.06	―	3.66%	23.91%	19.62%
4437	78 Outperform	¥5.88B	9.47	―	0.64%	10.71%	-26.92%
2991	67 Neutral	¥15.91B	6.50	―	1.47%	20.82%	9.86%
2970	66 Neutral	¥21.08B	12.18	―	―	57.57%	57.09%
Sector *	65 Neutral	$2.17B	12.19	3.79%	4.94%	3.15%	1.96%
5532	61 Neutral	¥19.06B	18.67	―	―	23.19%	44.46%
5527	59 Neutral	¥9.45B	8.70	―	3.45%	28.82%	672.17%