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IPS, Inc. (JP:4390)
:4390
Japanese Market

IPS, Inc. (4390) AI Stock Analysis

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JP:4390

IPS, Inc.

(4390)

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Outperform 80 (OpenAI - 5.2)
Rating:80Outperform
Price Target:
¥3,382.00
▲(11.62% Upside)
Action:ReiteratedDate:11/18/25
IPS, Inc. receives a strong overall score due to robust financial performance and positive technical analysis. The company's revenue growth and stable balance sheet are significant strengths, while the technical indicators suggest strong market momentum. Valuation is reasonable, though profitability and cash flow management need attention.
Positive Factors
Multi-year revenue expansion
Sustained revenue growth over multiple years indicates successful market penetration and scale. This larger revenue base supports continued investment in products and networks, improves bargaining power with suppliers, and creates a stronger platform for long-term organic growth and resilience.
Improving gross margins
A materially higher gross margin reflects improving cost structure or pricing power, which is durable if driven by efficient operations or differentiated offerings. Higher gross margins provide room to absorb SG&A and investment spending while preserving operating profitability over time.
Stronger equity base and balanced leverage
A growing equity base and moderate leverage support financial flexibility and credit stability. This capital structure allows the company to fund strategic initiatives, absorb shocks, and pursue selective M&A or capex without excessive refinancing risk, strengthening long-term viability.
Negative Factors
Volatile and negative free cash flow
Persistent FCF volatility and recent negative FCF weaken the company's ability to self-fund capex, repay debt, or return capital. Even with positive operating cash flow in 2025, inconsistent free cash generation raises execution risk for long-term investments and financial flexibility.
Net profit margin compression
A notable decline in net margin despite revenue gains signals rising operating costs, pricing pressure, or one-off items affecting profitability. If sustained, lower net margins reduce internal funding for growth and diminish returns on invested capital, pressuring long-term earnings quality.
Recent reported revenue contraction metric
A negative recent revenue growth figure points to near-term demand softness or cyclical exposure despite longer-term expansion. This volatility can slow reinvestment plans and makes forecasting cash flows and margins more uncertain across the next several quarters.

IPS, Inc. (4390) vs. iShares MSCI Japan ETF (EWJ)

IPS, Inc. Business Overview & Revenue Model

Company DescriptionIPS, Inc. provides IT and telecommunications services in Japan and the Philippines. The company provides internet connection services; data center services; domestic telecommunications services comprising toll free services, service for MVNO businesses, trunk, and value-added services; network services for local and overseas telecom companies; and international telecommunication lines. It also offers CloudSigma, a cloud computing service; and AmeyoJ, a contact center management software, as well as business process outsourcing services. In addition, the company operates clinics that offer medical services, including laser-eye surgery, aesthetic dermatology, cosmetic dentistry, and cataract surgery; and an online pharmacy. IPS, Inc. was incorporated in 1991 and is based in Tokyo, Japan.
How the Company Makes MoneyIPS, Inc. generates revenue through multiple streams, primarily by offering consultancy and engineering services for large-scale industrial projects. The company charges fees for project management and engineering services based on the project scope and duration. Additionally, IPS earns money through the sale of proprietary software and automation tools that improve operational efficiencies for clients. Significant partnerships with industry leaders enhance IPS's service offerings, allowing the company to tap into new markets and expand its customer base. Furthermore, recurring revenue from maintenance contracts and support services provides a stable income stream, contributing to the company's overall profitability.

IPS, Inc. Financial Statement Overview

Summary
IPS, Inc. shows strong revenue growth and a stable balance sheet. However, profitability margins are under pressure, and cash flow volatility, particularly in Free Cash Flow, indicates a need for improved cash management.
Income Statement
85
Very Positive
IPS, Inc. has demonstrated strong growth in revenue, with a notable increase from ¥6.5 billion in 2020 to ¥15.3 billion in 2025. The Gross Profit Margin consistently improved, reaching 54.23% in 2025, indicating efficient cost management. However, the Net Profit Margin decreased from 20.60% in 2024 to 16.67% in 2025, reflecting some pressure on profitability despite revenue growth. Overall, the company shows robust growth with room for improving net profitability.
Balance Sheet
80
Positive
IPS, Inc. has a solid equity position, with stockholders' equity growing from ¥3.9 billion in 2020 to ¥15.5 billion in 2025. The Debt-to-Equity Ratio is 0.65 as of 2025, indicating a balanced leverage profile. The Equity Ratio improved to 36.95% in 2025, suggesting a stable financial structure. However, the rising debt levels may pose a risk if not managed well, especially given the increase in Total Debt over the years.
Cash Flow
75
Positive
The Free Cash Flow has been volatile, turning negative in recent years, which is a concern despite positive Operating Cash Flow of ¥704 million in 2025. The company needs to stabilize its cash flow generation to support long-term investments and debt obligations. The Operating Cash Flow to Net Income Ratio improved, signaling better cash conversion, yet Free Cash Flow remains a challenge.
BreakdownTTMMar 2025Mar 2024Mar 2023Mar 2022Mar 2021
Income Statement
Total Revenue15.03B15.26B14.12B12.35B10.73B9.52B
Gross Profit8.26B8.28B7.08B5.83B4.12B3.66B
EBITDA5.81B5.44B5.36B3.76B3.30B2.50B
Net Income2.54B2.54B2.83B2.29B1.89B1.49B
Balance Sheet
Total Assets41.42B42.03B33.53B25.13B18.42B11.76B
Cash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments3.81B3.92B4.23B6.88B5.78B3.63B
Total Debt10.41B10.07B10.10B6.93B3.05B1.96B
Total Liabilities21.24B21.05B18.35B13.27B9.29B5.01B
Stockholders Equity14.05B15.53B11.56B9.62B7.50B5.52B
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow6.50M-551.00M-5.20B-2.69B1.05B-176.74M
Operating Cash Flow145.50M704.00M-574.00M2.64B3.58B1.64B
Investing Cash Flow-174.00M-2.54B-4.74B-5.51B-2.66B-1.89B
Financing Cash Flow61.50M1.38B2.31B3.58B1.07B1.33B

IPS, Inc. Technical Analysis

Technical Analysis Sentiment
Positive
Last Price3030.00
Price Trends
50DMA
3073.26
Positive
100DMA
3117.47
Positive
200DMA
2883.93
Positive
Market Momentum
MACD
41.47
Negative
RSI
51.73
Neutral
STOCH
80.71
Negative
Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For JP:4390, the sentiment is Positive. The current price of 3030 is below the 20-day moving average (MA) of 3119.55, below the 50-day MA of 3073.26, and above the 200-day MA of 2883.93, indicating a bullish trend. The MACD of 41.47 indicates Negative momentum. The RSI at 51.73 is Neutral, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 80.71 is Negative, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Positive sentiment for JP:4390.

IPS, Inc. Peers Comparison

Overall Rating
UnderperformOutperform
Sector (60)
Financial Indicators
Name
Overall Rating
Market Cap
P/E Ratio
ROE
Dividend Yield
Revenue Growth
EPS Growth
80
Outperform
¥41.03B14.331.28%-7.46%11.57%
80
Outperform
¥19.10B12.423.53%5.03%-9.55%
75
Outperform
¥9.60B10.233.85%1.75%24.87%
66
Neutral
¥22.19B22.1030.15%31.28%
63
Neutral
¥14.01B46.651.01%17.19%-43.91%
60
Neutral
$48.67B4.58-11.27%4.14%2.83%-41.78%
60
Neutral
¥392.81B17.2215.67%1.31%12.48%18.38%
* Communication Services Sector Average
Performance Comparison
Ticker
Company Name
Price
Change
% Change
JP:4390
IPS, Inc.
3,140.00
929.60
42.06%
JP:3774
Internet Initiative Japan
2,179.50
-277.42
-11.29%
JP:3776
Broadband Tower, Inc.
228.00
75.86
49.86%
JP:3834
ASAHI Net, Inc.
683.00
36.20
5.60%
JP:9424
Japan Communications Inc.
133.00
-12.00
-8.28%
JP:9445
Forval Telecom, Inc.
573.00
121.13
26.81%

IPS, Inc. Corporate Events

IPS Expands Philippine Submarine Cable Footprint Ahead of Open-Access Telecom Reforms
Feb 6, 2026

IPS, Inc. outlined its expanding role in Asia-Pacific digital infrastructure, highlighting participation in the 8,000 km Candle international submarine cable connecting Japan, the Philippines, and Singapore, scheduled to start commercial service in March 2028. The company is leading construction and operation of the Baler Cable Landing Station on Luzon’s Pacific coast, designed to host up to four international cables including Candle and link them to the Philippine domestic network, and leveraged its existing assets such as the Philippine Domestic Submarine Cable Network (PDSCN) and acquired capacity on the C2C international cable system to offer integrated domestic and international connectivity. IPS expects the Philippines’ Konektadong Pinoy (Open Access in Data Transmission) Act to lower entry barriers and spur regional telecom operators, potentially broadening its customer base and enhancing network redundancy and open-access connectivity, thereby strengthening its competitive position in regional telecommunications infrastructure and services.

The most recent analyst rating on (JP:4390) stock is a Hold with a Yen3213.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on IPS, Inc. stock, see the JP:4390 Stock Forecast page.

IPS Posts Higher Nine-Month Earnings and Confirms Full-Year Forecast, Stable Dividend
Feb 6, 2026

IPS, Inc. reported consolidated net sales of ¥11.7 billion for the nine months ended December 31, 2025, up 4.4% year on year, with operating profit rising 15.0% to ¥3.7 billion and profit attributable to owners of parent increasing 12.5% to ¥2.7 billion, indicating continued earnings growth despite a slowdown from the previous year’s rapid expansion. The company’s financial position remained solid, with total assets climbing to ¥44.5 billion and equity edging higher, while management kept its full-year forecast unchanged, targeting ¥18.0 billion in net sales and a 17.9% increase in full-year profit, and confirmed a stable dividend policy of ¥40 per share for the fiscal year, signaling confidence in earnings sustainability and ongoing shareholder returns.

The most recent analyst rating on (JP:4390) stock is a Hold with a Yen3213.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on IPS, Inc. stock, see the JP:4390 Stock Forecast page.

IPS Completes Corrective Measures After Unauthorized IP Phone Number Use, Strengthens Governance at Subsidiary
Jan 13, 2026

IPS, Inc. announced that it has submitted a report to Japan’s National Police Agency and the Ministry of Internal Affairs and Communications detailing preventive measures following an incident of unauthorized use of an IP phone number supplied by its subsidiary IPS Pro, Inc. to a Hong Kong corporation. The company said it has completed all actions requested by the authorities, confirmed there are currently no other transactions posing similar risk, and has overhauled IPS Pro’s management structure by appointing external personnel and revising its executive framework to strengthen internal controls. IPS and IPS Pro emphasized their recognition of their social responsibility as telecommunications service providers and pledged to implement robust recurrence-prevention measures, enhance governance, and pursue sustainable, long-term growth while working to restore trust and support the development of telecom services in Japan and Asia.

The most recent analyst rating on (JP:4390) stock is a Hold with a Yen3979.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on IPS, Inc. stock, see the JP:4390 Stock Forecast page.

IPS to Book US$8.35 Million Dividend from Subsidiary as Non-Operating Income
Dec 29, 2025

IPS, Inc. announced that it will receive a dividend of US$8.35 million (approximately JPY 1,306 million) from its consolidated subsidiary ISMO Pte. Ltd., following a resolution dated December 29, 2025, with payment scheduled for January 5, 2026. The dividend will be recognized as non-operating income in IPS’s non-consolidated financial statements for the fiscal year ending March 31, 2026, but will have no impact on its consolidated financial results, signaling an internal capital flow that strengthens the parent’s standalone earnings without altering the group’s overall profit profile for stakeholders.

The most recent analyst rating on (JP:4390) stock is a Buy with a Yen4198.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on IPS, Inc. stock, see the JP:4390 Stock Forecast page.

IPS Tightens Governance After IP Phone Number Misused in Caller ID Scam
Dec 19, 2025

IPS, Inc. disclosed that an IP phone number provided by its subsidiary IPS Pro, Inc. to a Hong Kong-based client was fraudulently used for caller ID spoofing in early 2025, making scam calls appear to originate from Japanese police stations and other authorities. After detecting the suspicious activity in March, IPS Pro swiftly reconfigured its systems to block fraudulent display of the affected number and terminated service to the client, while an internal review found no other transactions with similar risks. The company is using the incident to tighten regulatory compliance and governance, including disabling caller ID functions for non-IPSPRO numbers where appropriate, revising systems and overseas contract structures, strengthening training on telecom laws and industry guidelines, and overhauling its management structure by January 2026 with external telecom experts and director changes. Directors involved have voluntarily agreed to return part of their remuneration, and the company emphasized that the financial impact is limited and its domestic telecom earnings forecast remains unchanged, as it seeks to restore trust and reinforce its social responsibility as a telecommunications provider.

The most recent analyst rating on (JP:4390) stock is a Buy with a Yen4198.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on IPS, Inc. stock, see the JP:4390 Stock Forecast page.

IPS, Inc. Addresses Misuse of Telephone Lines by Subsidiary
Nov 21, 2025

IPS, Inc. has confirmed a report regarding the misuse of telephone lines by its subsidiary, IPS PRO, Inc., which led to fraudulent activities involving the display of incorrect caller IDs. The company is taking steps to enhance subsidiary management and prevent future occurrences, while cooperating with ongoing investigations. Currently, no financial impact is anticipated, but updates will be provided if necessary.

The most recent analyst rating on (JP:4390) stock is a Buy with a Yen4198.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on IPS, Inc. stock, see the JP:4390 Stock Forecast page.

IPS, Inc. Poised for Growth Amid New Telecommunications Legislation and Infrastructure Developments
Nov 12, 2025

IPS, Inc. sees significant opportunities following the enactment of the Konektadong Pinoy Act in the Philippines, which promotes competition in telecommunications by mandating open access to fiber optic networks. This law is expected to boost demand for IPS’s network construction services, enabling the company to expand its role and anticipate stable revenue streams. Additionally, the completion of the Candle Submarine Cable System is set to enhance IPS’s position in international telecommunications infrastructure, creating further investment opportunities and growth potential.

The most recent analyst rating on (JP:4390) stock is a Buy with a Yen3290.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on IPS, Inc. stock, see the JP:4390 Stock Forecast page.

Glossary
BuyA stock rated as a "Buy" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock is likely to deliver higher returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
HoldA stock rated as a "Hold" is expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the stock is neither particularly compelling nor unfavorable for investment. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
SellA stock rated as a "Sell" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock may deliver lower returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.

Disclaimer

This AI Analyst Stock Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in stocks carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.Date of analysis: Nov 18, 2025