Cacco, Inc. (4166) AI Stock Analysis

• Market Cap: ¥2.19B
• Dividend Yield: N/A
• Average Volume (3M): 47.00K
• Price to Earnings (P/E): ―
• Beta (1Y): 0.26
• Revenue Growth: 0.90%
• EPS Growth: 65.04%
• Country: JP
• Employees: 35
• Sector: Technology
• Sector Strength: 88
• Industry: Software - Application
• EPS (TTM): -11.85
• Shares Outstanding: 2,732,655
• 10 Day Avg. Volume: 91,960
• 30 Day Avg. Volume: 47,003
• PEG Ratio: N/A
• Price to Book (P/B): N/A
• Price to Sales (P/S): N/A
• P/FCF Ratio: N/A
• Enterprise Value/Market Cap: N/A
• Enterprise Value/Revenue: N/A
• Enterprise Value/Gross Profit: N/A
• Enterprise Value/Ebitda: N/A
• 1Y Price Target: ¥786.00
• Price Target Upside: -1.87% Downside
• Rating Consensus: Hold
• Number of Analyst Covering: 1

• Rating: 46 Neutral
• Price Target: ¥786.00 ▼(-1.87% Downside)

Cacco, Inc. faces significant financial challenges, with declining revenues and profitability, as well as negative cash flows, which are the most impactful factors on the stock score. Technical analysis suggests some support in the longer term, but short-term indicators are weak. Valuation metrics are poor due to negative earnings and lack of dividends.

Cacco, Inc. Business Overview & Revenue Model

Company Description

Cacco Inc. provides SaaS-type algorithm solutions in Japan. The company offers fraud detection, marketing, payment consulting, and data science services. Its solutions include O-PLUX, to detect fraudulent orders in real time, such as payments in arrears in EC payments and resale; and O-MOTION, a real-time detection service for unauthorized access and login at financial institutions and member sites, etc. The company also provides data science services comprising SAKIGAKE KPI, which offers data aggregation and visualization, factor analysis, KPI calculation, analysis reporting, and subsequent proposals. In addition, it offers marketing services, including uberall to support MEO measures, such as increasing the number of store visits. The company serves EC business operators, financial institutions, BNPL companies, retailers, distributors, manufacturers, service providers, etc. The company was incorporated in 2011 and is based in Tokyo, Japan.

How the Company Makes Money

Cacco, Inc. makes money primarily through the sale of its household goods and appliances. The company's revenue model is based on direct sales to consumers through retail partnerships and e-commerce platforms. Key revenue streams include sales from both domestic and international markets. Additionally, Cacco, Inc. may have significant partnerships with major retail chains and online marketplaces, which help to distribute its products widely, thereby increasing its market reach. The company's earnings are also influenced by factors such as product innovation, brand reputation, and effective marketing strategies.

Cacco, Inc. Financial Statement Overview

Summary

Cacco, Inc. is experiencing financial difficulties with declining revenues and profitability, as well as negative cash flows. Despite a strong equity position, the company faces operational challenges that impact its financial health. Strategic adjustments may be necessary to improve performance and cash flow generation.

Income Statement

Cacco, Inc. has experienced a significant decline in revenue and profitability. The gross profit margin has decreased from 67.8% in 2022 to 60.6% in 2024, and the net profit margin is negative, indicating losses. Revenue growth has been negative, with a 22.9% decline from 2023 to 2024. The company is also facing negative EBIT and EBITDA margins, reflecting operational challenges.

Balance Sheet

The balance sheet shows a strong equity position with an equity ratio of 81.2% in 2024, indicating financial stability. The debt-to-equity ratio is low at 0.1, suggesting low leverage. However, the return on equity has turned negative due to net losses, which is a concern for profitability.

Cash Flow

Cacco, Inc. is facing cash flow challenges with negative operating and free cash flows in 2024. The free cash flow to net income ratio is unfavorable, and the operating cash flow to net income ratio is negative, indicating inefficiencies in converting income to cash.

Breakdown	TTM	Dec 2024	Dec 2023	Dec 2022	Dec 2021	Dec 2020
Income Statement
Total Revenue	757.33M	734.02M	952.00M	1.08B	951.14M	831.35M
Gross Profit	473.45M	445.02M	586.50M	729.95M	690.91M	587.78M
EBITDA	-166.07M	-211.00M	-215.67M	244.87M	191.91M	131.56M
Net Income	-209.94M	-255.03M	-320.00M	100.35M	120.31M	130.03M
Balance Sheet
Total Assets	967.83M	1.03B	1.29B	1.53B	1.42B	1.82B
Cash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments	684.94M	734.00M	941.00M	962.07M	800.65M	1.29B
Total Debt	77.37M	82.14M	96.00M	1.80M	6.08M	510.19M
Total Liabilities	161.33M	193.10M	214.00M	161.13M	143.98M	674.49M
Stockholders Equity	806.50M	832.17M	1.07B	1.37B	1.27B	1.15B
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow	0.00	-200.00M	-56.00M	212.50M	21.94M	-3.94M
Operating Cash Flow	0.00	-198.00M	-49.00M	250.38M	149.66M	166.75M
Investing Cash Flow	0.00	-2.06M	-69.68M	-86.61M	-134.25M	-197.67M
Financing Cash Flow	0.00	-5.68M	98.01M	-2.34M	-507.94M	734.08M

Cacco, Inc. Technical Analysis

• Technical Analysis Sentiment: Positive
• Last Price: 801.00
• 50DMA: Negative
• 100DMA: Positive
• 200DMA: Positive
• MACD: Negative
• RSI: Neutral
• STOCH: Neutral

Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For JP:4166, the sentiment is Positive. The current price of 801 is above the 20-day moving average (MA) of 798.45, below the 50-day MA of 809.76, and above the 200-day MA of 690.61, indicating a neutral trend. The MACD of -4.10 indicates Negative momentum. The RSI at 49.49 is Neutral, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 39.67 is Neutral, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Positive sentiment for JP:4166.

Cacco, Inc. Peers Comparison

Name	Overall Rating	Market Cap	P/E Ratio	ROE	Dividend Yield	Revenue Growth	EPS Growth
5256	75 Outperform	¥4.01B	20.61	―	―	8.55%	22.83%
5577	70 Outperform	¥5.78B	-690.90	―	―	-2.99%	-103.82%
5028	66 Neutral	¥4.05B	23.79	14.27%	―	38.06%	507.02%
4052	52 Neutral	¥2.08B	-53.81	―	―	0.69%	-386.13%
4199	51 Neutral	¥2.38B	-19.89	12.52%	―	-4.31%	-525.60%
4166	46 Neutral	¥2.19B	―	―	―	0.90%	65.04%
Sector *	61 Neutral	$37.18B	12.37	-10.20%	1.83%	8.50%	-7.62%

Cacco, Inc. Corporate Events

Cacco, Inc. Reports Improved Sales but Ongoing Losses in Q2 FY2025

Cacco, Inc. reported its financial results for the second quarter of fiscal year 2025, showing a significant improvement in net sales by 17.3% compared to the previous year, despite recording a net loss. The company has maintained a strong capital ratio of 78.9%, indicating a stable financial position, although it continues to face challenges in achieving profitability.

The most recent analyst rating on (JP:4166) stock is a Hold with a Yen842.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Cacco, Inc. stock, see the JP:4166 Stock Forecast page.

Cacco Inc. Reports Q1 2025 Financial Results with Increased Sales but Continued Losses

Cacco Inc. reported its financial results for the first quarter of fiscal year 2025, showing a 14% increase in net sales compared to the previous year, despite recording a net loss. The company’s financial position remains strong with a high capital ratio, but it continues to face challenges in achieving profitability, as indicated by its forecasted net loss for the full fiscal year.