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Cacco, Inc.
(4166)
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Rating:43Neutral
Price Target:
¥633.00
▼(-28.72% Downside)
Action:Reiterated
Date:03/24/26
The score is primarily held down by weak financial performance, with sustained losses and negative free cash flow outweighing high gross margins and manageable leverage. Technicals add a modestly negative tilt (below key longer-term moving averages with a negative MACD). Valuation offers limited support due to the negative P/E and lack of a dividend signal.
Positive Factors
High gross margins
Consistently high gross margins provide structural insulation: even with current operating losses, strong product-level profitability supports margin recovery if operating costs are controlled, enabling scalable improvement in operating margins over a 2–6 month horizon as revenue stabilizes.
Negative Factors
Sustained negative cash flow
Negative operating and free cash flow across multiple years is a durable risk: persistent cash burn raises funding needs and limits reinvestment, increasing reliance on external financing and elevating execution risk if losses persist over the coming months.
Read all positive and negative factors
Positive Factors
Negative Factors
High gross margins
Consistently high gross margins provide structural insulation: even with current operating losses, strong product-level profitability supports margin recovery if operating costs are controlled, enabling scalable improvement in operating margins over a 2–6 month horizon as revenue stabilizes.
Read all positive factors
Cacco, Inc. (4166) vs. iShares MSCI Japan ETF (EWJ)
Market Cap
¥1.85B
Dividend YieldN/A
Average Volume (3M)40.02K
Price to Earnings (P/E)―
Beta (1Y)0.50
Revenue Growth11.64%
EPS Growth39.03%
CountryJP
Employees36
SectorTechnology
Sector Strength88
IndustrySoftware - Application
Share Statistics
EPS (TTM)-62.52
Shares Outstanding2,771,055
10 Day Avg. Volume11,830
30 Day Avg. Volume40,016
Financial Highlights & Ratios
PEG Ratio0.34
Price to Book (P/B)3.13
Price to Sales (P/S)2.68
P/FCF Ratio-28.65
Enterprise Value/Market CapN/A
Enterprise Value/RevenueN/A
Enterprise Value/Gross ProfitN/A
Enterprise Value/EbitdaN/A
Forecast
1Y Price TargetN/A
Price Target UpsideN/A
Rating ConsensusN/A
Number of Analyst Covering0
EPS Forecast (FY)N/A
Revenue Forecast (FY)N/A
Cacco, Inc. Business Overview & Revenue Model
Company Description
Cacco Inc. provides SaaS-type algorithm solutions in Japan. It offers fraud detection services in e-commerce and finance fields, payment consulting services, and business optimization solutions through data science, as well as engages in the disco...
Cacco, Inc. Financial Statement Overview
Summary
Income Statement
34
Negative
Balance Sheet
57
Neutral
Cash Flow
28
Negative
| Breakdown | TTM | Dec 2025 | Dec 2024 | Dec 2023 | Dec 2022 | Dec 2021 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Income Statement | ||||||
| Total Revenue | 793.43M | 819.44M | 734.02M | 952.00M | 1.08B | 951.14M |
| Gross Profit | 514.85M | 572.11M | 445.02M | 586.50M | 729.95M | 690.91M |
| EBITDA | -132.73M | -96.21M | -211.00M | -215.67M | 244.87M | 191.91M |
| Net Income | -170.32M | -137.69M | -255.03M | -320.00M | 100.35M | 120.31M |
Balance Sheet | ||||||
| Total Assets | 996.09M | 1.00B | 1.03B | 1.29B | 1.54B | 1.42B |
| Cash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments | 684.82M | 762.44M | 734.62M | 941.09M | 962.07M | 800.65M |
| Total Debt | 98.80M | 186.65M | 82.14M | 96.43M | 1.80M | 6.08M |
| Total Liabilities | 209.71M | 299.83M | 193.35M | 214.72M | 162.02M | 144.28M |
| Stockholders Equity | 786.38M | 702.52M | 832.17M | 1.07B | 1.37B | 1.27B |
Cash Flow | ||||||
| Free Cash Flow | 0.00 | -76.69M | -200.00M | -56.00M | 212.50M | 21.94M |
| Operating Cash Flow | 0.00 | -73.86M | -198.00M | -49.31M | 250.38M | 149.66M |
| Investing Cash Flow | 0.00 | -2.84M | -2.06M | -69.68M | -86.61M | -134.25M |
| Financing Cash Flow | 0.00 | 104.51M | -5.68M | 98.01M | -2.34M | -507.94M |
Cacco, Inc. Technical Analysis
Neutral
888.00
Price Trends
673.30
Negative
693.24
Negative
728.03
Negative
Market Momentum
-4.89
Negative
51.55
Neutral
87.83
Negative
Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For JP:4166, the sentiment is Neutral. The current price of 888 is above the 20-day moving average (MA) of 654.65, above the 50-day MA of 673.30, and above the 200-day MA of 728.03, indicating a neutral trend. The MACD of -4.89 indicates Negative momentum. The RSI at 51.55 is Neutral, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 87.83 is Negative, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Neutral sentiment for JP:4166.
Cacco, Inc. Peers Comparison
UnderperformOutperform
Sector (61)
Name | Overall Rating | Market Cap | P/E Ratio | ROE | Dividend Yield | Revenue Growth | EPS Growth |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
72 Outperform | ¥5.77B | 32.94 | ― | ― | 6.84% | -67.70% | |
67 Neutral | ¥10.12B | 9.05 | ― | 0.70% | 12.98% | 80.52% | |
61 Neutral | $37.18B | 12.37 | -10.20% | 1.83% | 8.50% | -7.62% | |
60 Neutral | ¥6.31B | 14.96 | ― | ― | 18.87% | ― | |
58 Neutral | ¥12.67B | 28.33 | ― | ― | 12.68% | ― | |
57 Neutral | ¥4.47B | 48.93 | ― | ― | 18.48% | -48.49% | |
43 Neutral | ¥1.85B | -14.19 | ― | ― | 11.64% | 39.03% |
* Technology Sector Average
JP:4166
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Cacco, Inc. Corporate Events
Cacco Narrows Quarterly Loss but Maintains Full-Year Loss Outlook and No Dividend
Jun 24, 2026
Cacco Inc. reported first-quarter fiscal 2026 revenue of ¥216 million, up 13.7% year on year, while narrowing its net loss to ¥23 million from ¥32 million and improving equity ratio to 72.6%. Despite this progress, total assets and ...
Glossary
BuyA stock rated as a "Buy" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock is likely to deliver higher returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
HoldA stock rated as a "Hold" is expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the stock is neither particularly compelling nor unfavorable for investment. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
SellA stock rated as a "Sell" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock may deliver lower returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
Disclaimer
This AI Analyst Stock Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in stocks carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.