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Sun Asterisk, Inc. (JP:4053)
:4053
Japanese Market

Sun Asterisk, Inc. (4053) AI Stock Analysis

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JP:4053

Sun Asterisk, Inc.

(4053)

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Neutral 58 (OpenAI - 5.2)
Rating:58Neutral
Price Target:
¥411.00
▼(-8.46% Downside)
Action:DowngradedDate:02/18/26
The score is anchored by moderate financial strength supported by improved 2025 cash generation and a solid equity base, but it is held back by significant profit deterioration and rising leverage. Technicals are notably weak with bearish trend signals, and valuation looks only fair given the elevated P/E amid declining earnings.
Positive Factors
Recurring service revenue model
Sun Asterisk's core business includes ongoing recurring service fees and team augmentation, which create durable client relationships and predictable revenue streams. This model supports steady cash conversion, higher client lifetime value, and easier capacity planning over multiple quarters.
Improved cash generation (2025)
The rebound in operating cash flow and free cash flow in 2025 demonstrates the company's ability to convert services revenue into cash despite earnings pressure. Sustained cash generation supports working capital, debt servicing and reinvestment, improving medium-term financial flexibility.
Solid equity base
A sizable equity base relative to assets provides a capital cushion against shocks and supports borrowing capacity. This structural balance-sheet strength helps absorb cyclical earnings weakness and underpins the company's ability to invest in product and organizational development over the coming quarters.
Negative Factors
Rapid rise in leverage
Debt has stepped up dramatically over two years, materially increasing financial risk. Higher leverage raises interest and covenant sensitivity, reduces strategic flexibility, and amplifies downside if earnings stay weak, posing a durable constraint on capital allocation decisions.
Significant profit deterioration
Sharp declines in net income and operating profit indicate persistent margin pressure or cost growth. Weakening profitability erodes internal funding for growth, impairs return on equity, and makes sustaining R&D/training investments harder without either margin recovery or external financing.
Decelerating revenue growth
Top-line growth has meaningfully slowed from prior years, signaling potential market saturation or tougher competitive dynamics. Slower revenue expansion reduces operating leverage benefits and makes margin recovery and earnings growth more challenging absent new product lines or expanded addressable markets.

Sun Asterisk, Inc. (4053) vs. iShares MSCI Japan ETF (EWJ)

Sun Asterisk, Inc. Business Overview & Revenue Model

Company DescriptionSun* Inc. engages in the digital creative studio business in Japan. The company provides creative and engineering services, including creative and engineering support to Japanese clients for business idea creation, product development, and continuous product growth. It also offers talent platform services, such as discovering and training IT human resources in Japan and overseas, as well as supporting clients in their promotion of digitalization in terms of human resources. The company was incorporated in 2013 and is headquartered in Tokyo, Japan.
How the Company Makes MoneySun Asterisk generates revenue through multiple streams, primarily from its service offerings. The company's main revenue model includes project-based contracts for software development, where clients pay for tailored solutions that meet their specific needs. Additionally, Sun Asterisk earns income from ongoing maintenance and support contracts for the software it develops. The company also engages in strategic partnerships with technology firms and startups, which can provide additional revenue through collaborative projects and shared resources. Furthermore, the company may explore subscription-based models for its software products, enhancing its recurring revenue potential.

Sun Asterisk, Inc. Financial Statement Overview

Summary
Revenue has grown over 2020–2025 but has decelerated recently, while profitability weakened sharply (net income and EBIT declined materially from 2023 to 2025). Offsetting this, operating cash flow and free cash flow rebounded in 2025, and equity remains sizable, though the rapid rise in debt increases financial risk.
Income Statement
62
Positive
Revenue has grown consistently from 2020 to 2025, but growth has clearly decelerated in the most recent years (2025 revenue growth ~5.1% vs. 2023 ~16.5% and 2022 ~33.8%). Profitability has weakened meaningfully: net income fell from 1,569m (2023) to 1,023m (2024) to 476m (2025), and operating profit also declined (EBIT 1,775m in 2023 to 1,444m in 2024 to 942m in 2025). Gross profit remains solid in absolute terms, but the trajectory suggests margin compression and/or higher cost growth, which reduces earnings quality despite continued top-line expansion.
Balance Sheet
70
Positive
The balance sheet remains reasonably supported by a sizable equity base (equity 10,662m in 2025 vs. assets 16,109m), which provides resilience. However, leverage has risen sharply: total debt increased from 44m (2023) to 1,250m (2024) to 1,777m (2025). While prior debt-to-equity was low (2024 debt-to-equity ~0.12; 2023 ~0.00), the step-up in borrowing alongside falling profits increases financial risk and reduces flexibility if earnings remain under pressure.
Cash Flow
74
Positive
Cash generation improved in the latest year: operating cash flow rose to 1,354m (2025) from 1,010m (2024), and free cash flow increased to 1,289m (2025) from 934m (2024). This recovery is important given the sharp earnings decline, suggesting the company is still converting operations into cash effectively. The main weakness is volatility: free cash flow fell materially in 2024 (free cash flow growth ~-47.8%) before rebounding in 2025, indicating less consistent cash flow momentum than earlier years.
BreakdownTTMDec 2025Dec 2024Dec 2023Dec 2022Dec 2021
Income Statement
Total Revenue14.11B14.84B13.57B12.52B10.74B8.03B
Gross Profit6.74B7.19B6.97B6.54B5.08B4.06B
EBITDA1.34B1.15B1.65B2.31B1.22B1.64B
Net Income902.00M476.00M1.02B1.57B823.00M1.30B
Balance Sheet
Total Assets13.68B16.11B13.98B11.86B9.68B8.40B
Cash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments9.02B10.56B9.79B7.95B6.26B5.73B
Total Debt1.25B1.78B1.25B44.00M279.00M359.35M
Total Liabilities3.81B5.44B3.68B2.36B1.94B1.81B
Stockholders Equity9.87B10.66B10.29B9.50B7.74B6.59B
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow0.001.29B934.00M1.79B630.00M1.14B
Operating Cash Flow0.001.35B1.01B1.88B807.00M1.19B
Investing Cash Flow0.00-534.00M-260.00M-326.00M-1.29B-1.39B
Financing Cash Flow0.00624.00M720.00M-224.00M-62.00M-180.73M

Sun Asterisk, Inc. Technical Analysis

Technical Analysis Sentiment
Negative
Last Price449.00
Price Trends
50DMA
451.50
Negative
100DMA
452.59
Negative
200DMA
473.69
Negative
Market Momentum
MACD
-13.32
Positive
RSI
39.94
Neutral
STOCH
37.28
Neutral
Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For JP:4053, the sentiment is Negative. The current price of 449 is above the 20-day moving average (MA) of 432.40, below the 50-day MA of 451.50, and below the 200-day MA of 473.69, indicating a bearish trend. The MACD of -13.32 indicates Positive momentum. The RSI at 39.94 is Neutral, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 37.28 is Neutral, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Negative sentiment for JP:4053.

Sun Asterisk, Inc. Peers Comparison

Overall Rating
UnderperformOutperform
Sector (61)
Financial Indicators
Name
Overall Rating
Market Cap
P/E Ratio
ROE
Dividend Yield
Revenue Growth
EPS Growth
80
Outperform
¥24.58B14.730.73%17.86%21.52%
79
Outperform
¥25.07B10.373.06%-6.49%4.98%
76
Outperform
¥148.58B13.132.30%13.82%37.07%
73
Outperform
¥45.39B14.2217.50%2.88%5.62%3.81%
61
Neutral
$37.18B12.37-10.20%1.83%8.50%-7.62%
58
Neutral
¥15.72B32.559.82%-32.60%
39
Underperform
¥7.44B-2.28-29.41%79.74%
* Technology Sector Average
Performance Comparison
Ticker
Company Name
Price
Change
% Change
JP:4053
Sun Asterisk, Inc.
417.00
-125.00
-23.06%
JP:3844
Comture
1,499.00
-263.95
-14.97%
JP:2185
CMC Corporation
1,919.00
411.20
27.27%
JP:2317
Systena Corporation
442.00
111.30
33.66%
JP:3984
User Local, Inc.
1,649.00
-14.82
-0.89%
JP:5255
Monstarlab Holdings Inc.
133.00
49.00
58.33%

Sun Asterisk, Inc. Corporate Events

Sun Asterisk Targets Strong FY2026 Rebound on AI-Driven Growth and IFRS Shift
Feb 13, 2026

Sun Asterisk reported fiscal 2025 net sales of 14.83 billion yen, up 9.3% year on year, with gross profit of 7.18 billion yen and operating profit of 1.05 billion yen, which fell 27.1% as margins were pressured by a previously unprofitable project and higher selling, general and administrative expenses. Despite this, earnings generally tracked revised forecasts, and the company completed the loss-making project in the third quarter while maintaining EBITDA growth.

Management highlighted steady progress in growth investments, particularly in AI-powered development tools that are already being deployed internally and driving an increase in client project wins. For fiscal 2026, Sun Asterisk plans to adopt IFRS and is forecasting strong growth, with revenue of 18.20 billion yen and significant gains in gross profit and operating profit under both IFRS and JGAAP, supported by planned expansion across all key service lines C&E, TPF, and INC.

The most recent analyst rating on (JP:4053) stock is a Buy with a Yen505.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Sun Asterisk, Inc. stock, see the JP:4053 Stock Forecast page.

Sun* Inc. Misses Profit Targets as FX Losses and Tax Asset Reversal Hit Earnings
Feb 13, 2026

Sun* Inc. reported consolidated results for the fiscal year ended December 31, 2025 that showed net sales of ¥14,835 million, slightly below its previous forecast, while operating income of ¥1,052 million modestly exceeded expectations. However, ordinary income and net income attributable to shareholders fell short, with net profit dropping sharply to ¥476 million and earnings per share falling to ¥12.59, also down significantly from the prior year’s levels.

The company attributed the shortfall in ordinary profit mainly to foreign exchange losses stemming from the yen’s depreciation against the Vietnamese dong and a review of its shareholder benefits reserve. Net income was further pressured by the reversal of deferred tax assets after reassessing their recoverability based on current and future performance, resulting in a higher-than-planned tax burden and signaling increased earnings sensitivity to both FX volatility and tax-related adjustments for stakeholders.

The most recent analyst rating on (JP:4053) stock is a Buy with a Yen505.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Sun Asterisk, Inc. stock, see the JP:4053 Stock Forecast page.

Sun* Inc. to Voluntarily Adopt IFRS from Fiscal 2026
Feb 13, 2026

Sun* Inc. has decided to voluntarily adopt International Financial Reporting Standards for its consolidated financial statements starting with the fiscal year ending December 2026, replacing Japanese GAAP. The move is aimed at enhancing international comparability of its financial information and aligning its reporting with global investor expectations.

The company plans to continue using Japanese GAAP for full-year results and filings for the fiscal year ending December 31, 2025, before transitioning to IFRS-based disclosures from the first quarter of fiscal 2026. This phased shift is expected to improve transparency for stakeholders and may strengthen Sun* Inc.’s access to global capital markets and its appeal to overseas investors.

The most recent analyst rating on (JP:4053) stock is a Buy with a Yen505.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Sun Asterisk, Inc. stock, see the JP:4053 Stock Forecast page.

Sun* Inc. Posts Lower FY2025 Profit but Signals Earnings Rebound Under IFRS in 2026
Feb 13, 2026

Sun* Inc. reported consolidated net sales of ¥14.8 billion for the year ended December 31, 2025, up 9.3% year on year, but saw profitability weaken as operating income fell 27.1% to ¥1.05 billion and net income attributable to shareholders dropped 53.5% to ¥476 million. Despite lower margins and a decline in return on equity, total assets and cash increased, the company kept its no-dividend policy, and it changed depreciation methods and accounting policies ahead of adopting IFRS in 2026, when it forecasts a strong rebound in earnings.

The company projects fiscal 2026 net sales of ¥18.2 billion and net income of ¥1.39 billion under IFRS, implying a significant recovery in profit levels and earnings per share, even though year-on-year comparison rates are not disclosed due to the accounting framework change. Sun* also expanded its consolidation scope with the addition of GlobalGear Co. Ltd. and continued share buybacks that increased treasury stock, moves that may reshape its business portfolio and capital structure as it seeks to restore growth momentum and improve shareholder returns over the medium term.

The most recent analyst rating on (JP:4053) stock is a Buy with a Yen505.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Sun Asterisk, Inc. stock, see the JP:4053 Stock Forecast page.

Sun* Issues Performance-Linked Stock Options to Employees and Subsidiaries
Jan 29, 2026

Sun* Inc. has resolved at its January 29, 2026 board meeting to issue 12,300 stock acquisition rights (stock options with consideration) to employees of the parent company and to directors and employees of its subsidiaries, representing up to 1,230,000 new common shares or about 3.14% of currently issued shares if fully exercised. The options, priced at ¥200 per right with an exercise price of ¥455 per share and subject to performance-based vesting conditions, are intended to better align employee and management incentives with shareholders, strengthen organizational cohesion, and drive medium- to long-term improvement in business performance and corporate value, with the company emphasizing that the expected dilution is reasonable and ultimately beneficial to existing shareholders.

The most recent analyst rating on (JP:4053) stock is a Buy with a Yen505.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Sun Asterisk, Inc. stock, see the JP:4053 Stock Forecast page.

Sun Asterisk to Acquire MIXENSE to Bolster Digitalization Capabilities
Dec 24, 2025

Sun Asterisk, Inc. will acquire 100% of the issued and outstanding shares of MIXENSE, Inc., a firm with strong expertise in business system development, making it a consolidated subsidiary to strengthen its position in the digitalization domain. The deal is aimed at expanding the value Sun* provides in digital transformation, rapidly enhancing its human resources and organizational capabilities by adding highly skilled teams, and generating synergies through cross-selling to each company’s client base while supporting MIXENSE’s business growth via the Sun* Group’s sales and recruitment resources.

The most recent analyst rating on (JP:4053) stock is a Buy with a Yen561.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Sun Asterisk, Inc. stock, see the JP:4053 Stock Forecast page.

Sun* to Acquire Mixense for ¥900 Million to Bolster DX “Digitization” Capabilities
Dec 24, 2025

Sun* Inc. has agreed to acquire all outstanding shares of Tokyo-based Mixense Inc., a software contract development company known for business and control system development and long-standing relationships with major telecommunications carriers, in a deal valued at ¥900 million that will make Mixense a wholly owned subsidiary. By folding Mixense into the group, Sun* aims to expand its capabilities in the “digitization” segment of DX support, deepen collaboration across customer bases, and leverage mutual management resources, a move that aligns with its strategy of pursuing strategic M&A for discontinuous growth and is expected to enhance the value it offers clients while reinforcing its competitive position in the digital transformation services market.

The most recent analyst rating on (JP:4053) stock is a Buy with a Yen561.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Sun Asterisk, Inc. stock, see the JP:4053 Stock Forecast page.

Sun* to Acquire 40% Stake in BABEL Method to Bolster IT Talent Platform with Japanese Language Training
Dec 24, 2025

Sun* Inc. has resolved to acquire 40% of the issued shares of BABEL Method Inc., developer of the CEFR-compliant online Japanese speaking test “Japrise” and the conversation training program “BABELMETHOD,” making it an equity-method affiliate. By combining BABEL’s Japanese language assessment and training solutions with Sun*’s overseas IT talent development and recruitment network, the company aims to build a stronger supply system of foreign IT professionals equipped with Japanese communication skills, reinforcing the competitiveness and differentiation of its Talent Platform and supporting companies’ digital transformation efforts in Japan.

The most recent analyst rating on (JP:4053) stock is a Buy with a Yen561.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Sun Asterisk, Inc. stock, see the JP:4053 Stock Forecast page.

Sun* Inc. Expands Shareholder Benefit Program to Encourage Long-Term Investment
Dec 10, 2025

Sun* Inc. has announced an expansion of its shareholder benefit program to increase the attractiveness of its shares and encourage long-term investment. The updated program introduces additional benefit points for shareholders who hold their shares for more than a year, offering a tiered points system based on the number of shares held. This initiative aims to express gratitude to shareholders and incentivize sustained investment, potentially strengthening shareholder loyalty and enhancing the company’s market position.

The most recent analyst rating on (JP:4053) stock is a Buy with a Yen561.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Sun Asterisk, Inc. stock, see the JP:4053 Stock Forecast page.

Sun* Inc. Forms Strategic Alliance with KLab Inc.
Dec 5, 2025

Sun* Inc. has announced a capital and business alliance with KLab Inc., aiming to deepen their partnership and create synergies in the mobile online game business. This strategic move is expected to enhance business growth and maximize corporate value by integrating Sun*’s digital creative expertise with KLab’s game development capabilities.

The most recent analyst rating on (JP:4053) stock is a Buy with a Yen561.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Sun Asterisk, Inc. stock, see the JP:4053 Stock Forecast page.

Glossary
BuyA stock rated as a "Buy" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock is likely to deliver higher returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
HoldA stock rated as a "Hold" is expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the stock is neither particularly compelling nor unfavorable for investment. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
SellA stock rated as a "Sell" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock may deliver lower returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.

Disclaimer

This AI Analyst Stock Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in stocks carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.Date of analysis: Feb 18, 2026