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Aucnet, Inc. (JP:3964)
:3964
Japanese Market

Aucnet, Inc. (3964) AI Stock Analysis

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JP:3964

Aucnet, Inc.

(3964)

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Outperform 80 (OpenAI - 5.2)
Rating:80Outperform
Price Target:
¥2,555.00
▲(24.82% Upside)
Action:ReiteratedDate:02/18/26
The score is driven primarily by strong financial performance (profitable operations, improving scale, and a zero-debt balance sheet), supported by constructive technical momentum. Valuation is reasonable with a mid-teens P/E and a solid dividend yield, while margin compression and cash-flow variability temper the upside.
Positive Factors
Conservative Balance Sheet
Aucnet's zero-debt balance sheet and rising equity provide durable financial flexibility. Strong ROE (~17% in 2024) indicates efficient capital use, supporting reinvestment, dividend capacity, and resilience through cycles without reliance on external financing.
Recurring Revenue Growth
Consistent revenue growth and the 2025 acceleration reflect the strength of Aucnet's auction marketplace model and fee-based services. Recurring transaction and service fees create durable topline drivers and network effects that support medium-term growth.
Strong Cash Generation
Consistently positive free cash flow, and a marked improvement in 2025, underpin operational quality and fund reinvestment or distributions. Reliable FCF enhances balance-sheet strength and reduces dependence on external capital for strategic initiatives.
Negative Factors
Margin Compression
Material gross-margin erosion over several years signals structural pressure on pricing or cost mix. Lower margins reduce operating leverage and constrain sustainable profitability and cash generation unless the company stabilizes pricing, cost base, or shifts to higher-margin services.
Cash Conversion Volatility
Working-capital and timing swings have led to inconsistent cash conversion, making FCF less predictable despite positive annual totals. Persistent volatility impairs planning for capex, dividends, or acquisitions and raises short-to-medium-term liquidity management risk.
Uneven Growth Momentum
The business shows sensitivity to transactional volumes and experienced a lull in 2024, highlighting cyclicality in auction activity. Episodic growth weakens near-term visibility and could prolong investment payback if market or participant activity softens.

Aucnet, Inc. (3964) vs. iShares MSCI Japan ETF (EWJ)

Aucnet, Inc. Business Overview & Revenue Model

Company DescriptionAucnet Inc. provides information distribution services for auctions. It operates through Automobile Business, Digital Product Business, and Consumer Product Business segments. The Automobile Business segment is involved in the vehicle auctions, shared inventory market, and live-linked auction; and provision of proxy bidding service, used vehicle inspection service, and other services. The Digital Product Business segment auctions used digital equipment, including used smartphones and PCs, as well as offers services pertaining to distribution. The Consumer Product Business segment auctions pre-owned luxury brand items; and provides services pertaining to distribution. Aucnet Inc. also auctions used motorcycles, flowers, and medical related business. In addition, the company engages in the provision of BPO support services, such as clearance, conversion, and resale of excess inventories; and financial businesses. The company was formerly known as FTS Inc. and changed its name to Aucnet Inc. in September 1984. Aucnet Inc. was founded in 1982 and is headquartered in Tokyo, Japan.
How the Company Makes MoneyAucnet, Inc. makes money through several key revenue streams. The primary source of revenue is the commission fees charged on successful auctions facilitated through its online platform. These fees are typically a percentage of the final sale price of the auctioned items. Additionally, Aucnet generates income by providing ancillary services such as inspection and evaluation of auction items to ensure quality and authenticity, which is crucial for maintaining trust among buyers and sellers. The company also engages in strategic partnerships and collaborations with other businesses to expand its auction network and access a broader audience, further enhancing its revenue potential.

Aucnet, Inc. Financial Statement Overview

Summary
Strong overall fundamentals: steady revenue growth with a 2025 step-up, durable profitability (2024 EBIT margin ~12.5% and net margins ~8–11% historically), and a very conservative balance sheet with zero debt and strong ROE (~17–20%). Offsetting factors are margin compression versus earlier years and some cash conversion volatility despite consistently positive free cash flow.
Income Statement
78
Positive
Revenue has grown consistently across the period, with a solid step-up in 2025 (annual revenue growth of 3.7% versus 0.3% in 2024). Profitability is healthy: 2024 gross margin was ~39.9% and operating profitability remained strong (2024 EBIT margin ~12.5%), supporting net margins around ~8–11% from 2020–2024. The main weakness is margin compression versus earlier years (gross margin fell from ~53.0% in 2020 to ~39.9% in 2024), and growth was relatively muted in 2024 before re-accelerating in 2025.
Balance Sheet
90
Very Positive
The balance sheet is conservatively positioned with no reported debt across all periods (debt-to-equity of 0.0 in 2021–2024), which materially reduces financial risk and adds flexibility. Equity has steadily increased (2023–2024 and into 2025), while assets have also expanded, indicating ongoing reinvestment and scale. Profitability on shareholder capital is strong (return on equity ~17.3% in 2024, ~19.7% in 2023). A limitation is that without more detail on cash and working-capital balances, liquidity quality can’t be fully assessed from the provided data alone.
Cash Flow
74
Positive
Cash generation is positive, with free cash flow consistently positive each year and generally close to net income (free cash flow to net income ~0.84–0.93 in 2021–2024), suggesting earnings quality is reasonably solid. The standout item is a sharp improvement in 2025, with operating cash flow rising to ~12.7B and free cash flow to ~12.3B versus ~4.9B and ~4.5B in 2024. The key weakness is volatility: operating cash flow dipped in 2024 versus 2023 and the provided operating cash flow-to-net income indicator is below 1.0 (and notably lower in 2024), implying working-capital or timing effects can meaningfully swing cash conversion year to year.
BreakdownTTMDec 2025Dec 2024Dec 2023Dec 2022Dec 2021
Income Statement
Total Revenue61.87B64.14B55.91B43.30B40.46B36.71B
Gross Profit25.73B26.80B22.29B18.08B17.32B16.90B
EBITDA9.61B10.43B7.85B7.68B7.42B6.89B
Net Income5.64B5.92B4.49B4.37B4.35B3.63B
Balance Sheet
Total Assets53.54B50.78B44.04B37.66B37.35B36.82B
Cash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments23.29B23.10B16.98B19.57B20.02B20.62B
Total Debt0.000.000.000.000.000.00
Total Liabilities28.04B24.16B17.87B15.35B14.44B14.12B
Stockholders Equity25.30B26.35B25.90B22.16B22.51B22.32B
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow0.0012.31B4.52B4.33B3.79B3.63B
Operating Cash Flow0.0012.75B4.85B5.12B4.52B4.25B
Investing Cash Flow0.00-1.07B-3.47B-428.45M185.16M388.93M
Financing Cash Flow0.00-5.56B-4.07B-5.10B-4.43B-825.42M

Aucnet, Inc. Technical Analysis

Technical Analysis Sentiment
Positive
Last Price2047.00
Price Trends
50DMA
2152.42
Positive
100DMA
2039.94
Positive
200DMA
1853.15
Positive
Market Momentum
MACD
64.52
Negative
RSI
66.38
Neutral
STOCH
85.84
Negative
Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For JP:3964, the sentiment is Positive. The current price of 2047 is below the 20-day moving average (MA) of 2216.05, below the 50-day MA of 2152.42, and above the 200-day MA of 1853.15, indicating a bullish trend. The MACD of 64.52 indicates Negative momentum. The RSI at 66.38 is Neutral, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 85.84 is Negative, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Positive sentiment for JP:3964.

Aucnet, Inc. Peers Comparison

Overall Rating
UnderperformOutperform
Sector (61)
Financial Indicators
Name
Overall Rating
Market Cap
P/E Ratio
ROE
Dividend Yield
Revenue Growth
EPS Growth
80
Outperform
¥3.23B10.281.12%24.10%-15.55%
80
Outperform
¥114.59B18.772.24%22.22%26.29%
65
Neutral
¥44.66B14.842.19%17.90%14.14%
65
Neutral
¥184.40B33.640.64%57.01%91.03%
61
Neutral
$18.38B12.79-2.54%3.03%1.52%-15.83%
59
Neutral
¥25.71B12.890.95%4.14%
* Consumer Cyclical Sector Average
Performance Comparison
Ticker
Company Name
Price
Change
% Change
JP:3964
Aucnet, Inc.
2,393.00
1,213.49
102.88%
JP:3093
Treasure Factory Co., Ltd.
1,864.00
205.35
12.38%
JP:3181
KAITORI OKOKU CO., LTD.
878.00
182.94
26.32%
JP:7685
BuySell Technologies Co., Ltd.
6,030.00
3,683.16
156.94%
JP:9270
Valuence Holdings, Inc.
1,873.00
1,048.45
127.15%
JP:9278
BOOKOFF GROUP HOLDINGS LIMITED
1,910.00
531.89
38.60%

Aucnet, Inc. Corporate Events

AUCNET Raises Medium-Term Targets After Beating 2025 Forecasts
Feb 13, 2026

AUCNET Inc. has revised upward the financial targets in its medium-term management plan “Blue Print 2027” after outperforming its previous goals for the fiscal year ended December 31, 2025. The company achieved its original 2027 targets for EBITDA, return on equity, and dividend payout ratio two years ahead of schedule, prompting it to raise its 2027 EBITDA goal from ¥10.0 billion to ¥13.5 billion while keeping ROE at 15–20% and lifting the dividend payout ratio target from at least 40% to at least 50%.

The target period of the plan, which runs from the fiscal year ended December 31, 2025 to the fiscal year ending December 31, 2027, remains unchanged despite the stronger performance. By tightening its profitability and shareholder-return benchmarks while maintaining a long-term gross circulation value goal of ¥1 trillion, AUCNET is signaling confidence in its growth trajectory and a stronger commitment to rewarding investors within the circular economy domain.

The most recent analyst rating on (JP:3964) stock is a Buy with a Yen2573.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Aucnet, Inc. stock, see the JP:3964 Stock Forecast page.

Aucnet Sets Out Full-Year 2025 Results and FY2026 Outlook
Feb 13, 2026

Aucnet has released materials for its Full Year 2025 results briefing, outlining consolidated financial performance and segment-level outcomes. The disclosure signals a comprehensive review of operations and sets expectations for stakeholders ahead of the FY2026 results forecast.

The briefing agenda covers consolidated results, summaries and detailed data by segment, forecasts for the 2026 fiscal year, and selected corporate topics and references. This structured presentation suggests the company is emphasizing transparency and strategic communication around its financial health and business outlook.

The most recent analyst rating on (JP:3964) stock is a Buy with a Yen2573.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Aucnet, Inc. stock, see the JP:3964 Stock Forecast page.

Aucnet Revamps Board, Adding Senior Executive as New Director
Feb 13, 2026

Aucnet Inc. announced changes to its board of directors following a resolution at its board meeting, subject to approval at the 18th Annual General Shareholders Meeting on March 24, 2026. The company will reappoint key executives including Chairman Kiyotaka Fujisaki and President and CEO Shinichiro Fujisaki, while adding Senior Managing Executive Officer Katsuhiko Ichii as a new director, and maintaining its slate of outside directors and Audit & Supervisory Committee members.

The appointment of Ichii, who has extensive management experience at major entertainment and gaming companies such as Konami and Capcom and currently oversees multiple strategic business divisions at Aucnet, is expected to strengthen the company’s leadership in its digital and lifestyle product businesses. The board changes also include the planned resignation of Director Masayasu Takigawa after the shareholders meeting, signaling a measured refresh of governance while preserving continuity in the company’s core management and oversight structure.

The most recent analyst rating on (JP:3964) stock is a Buy with a Yen2573.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Aucnet, Inc. stock, see the JP:3964 Stock Forecast page.

Aucnet Announces Two-for-One Stock Split and Higher Dividend to Boost Shareholder Value
Feb 13, 2026

Aucnet Inc. approved a two-for-one stock split of its common shares, effective April 1, 2026, doubling the number of issued shares to 96,052,800 to lower the investment unit and improve trading liquidity, particularly for individual investors. In conjunction with the split, the company will amend its Articles of Incorporation to raise its authorized share capital to 220 million shares and has increased its year-end dividend for fiscal 2025, signaling a shareholder-friendly capital policy aimed at supporting growth, capital efficiency, and medium- to long-term corporate value.

The company revised its fiscal 2025 year-end dividend to ¥36 per share, lifting the annual total to ¥58, above its prior forecast, with both ordinary and commemorative components. These moves, together with an expanded shareholder benefit program tied to the share split, are designed to broaden the investor base, enhance market appeal, and reinforce returns to existing shareholders compared with the previous fiscal year.

The most recent analyst rating on (JP:3964) stock is a Buy with a Yen2573.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Aucnet, Inc. stock, see the JP:3964 Stock Forecast page.

Aucnet Raises Dividend Payout Target After Beating Medium-Term Goals
Feb 13, 2026

Aucnet Inc. has revised its dividend policy, raising its target consolidated dividend payout ratio from 40% or higher to 50% or higher, with the change applying from the dividend for the fiscal year ending December 31, 2026. The move follows stronger-than-expected performance that led the company to achieve its medium-term targets, prompting management to boost shareholder returns while maintaining strategic investments in growth areas such as M&A, new businesses, digital transformation and human capital.

According to the company, the early achievement of EBITDA, ROE and payout ratio goals under its “Blue Print 2027” medium-term plan demonstrates stable business performance and room to enhance capital efficiency. By committing to a higher and continuous dividend payout, Aucnet aims to balance improved shareholder returns with optimal cash allocation, reinforcing its long-term corporate value strategy and signaling confidence in the sustainability of its earnings.

The most recent analyst rating on (JP:3964) stock is a Buy with a Yen2573.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Aucnet, Inc. stock, see the JP:3964 Stock Forecast page.

Aucnet Lifts Year-End Dividend and Raises Future Payout Target
Feb 13, 2026

Aucnet Inc. has approved an increase in its year-end dividend for the fiscal year ended December 31, 2025, raising the payment to ¥36 per share, including a 40th anniversary commemorative dividend, up from the previously forecast ¥33. This decision follows stronger-than-expected performance and brings total annual dividends for 2025 to ¥58 per share, significantly higher than the prior year.

The company reiterated its policy of providing stable shareholder returns while preserving internal reserves for growth, and it plans to lift its target consolidated dividend payout ratio from at least 40% to at least 50% starting in the fiscal year ending December 31, 2026. Management signaled continued strategic investment in areas such as M&A, new businesses, digital transformation, and human capital, framing the higher dividends and new payout target as part of a broader strategy to enhance long-term corporate value.

The most recent analyst rating on (JP:3964) stock is a Buy with a Yen2573.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Aucnet, Inc. stock, see the JP:3964 Stock Forecast page.

Aucnet Delivers Double-Digit Profit Growth and Raises Dividend as It Restructures Group
Feb 13, 2026

Aucnet reported strong results for the fiscal year ended December 31, 2025, with net sales rising 14.7% to ¥64.1 billion and profit attributable to owners of parent climbing 32.0% to ¥5.9 billion, supported by higher operating margins and robust operating cash flow of ¥12.7 billion. Despite an increase in total assets and a lower equity ratio, the company boosted its annual dividend to ¥58 per share on a post-split basis and plans a further share split in April 2026, signaling confidence in its earnings power.

The group continued to streamline its structure, absorbing Defactostandard into Gallery Rare, liquidating several smaller subsidiaries, and adding AUCNET ASIA-PACIFIC PTE. LTD. to its consolidation scope to sharpen its business focus. For 2026, Aucnet forecasts net sales growth of 10.7% and a 21.6% jump in profit attributable to owners of parent, implying sustained earnings expansion that could strengthen its market position and support ongoing shareholder returns, even as the payout ratio is projected to exceed 50%.

The most recent analyst rating on (JP:3964) stock is a Buy with a Yen2573.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Aucnet, Inc. stock, see the JP:3964 Stock Forecast page.

Aucnet to Cancel 1.5 Million Treasury Shares, Tightening Capital Structure
Dec 23, 2025

Aucnet Inc. announced that its Board of Directors has resolved to cancel 1.5 million treasury shares, representing 3.03% of its currently issued and outstanding common shares. Following the cancellation, scheduled for December 30, 2025, the total number of issued and outstanding shares will be reduced to 48,026,400, with 2,020,121 shares remaining as treasury stock, a move that is expected to streamline the capital structure and may enhance shareholder value by lowering the share count.

Aucnet, Inc. Announces Organizational Restructuring and Leadership Changes
Nov 26, 2025

Aucnet, Inc. has announced significant organizational changes, including the establishment of new headquarters for Corporate Administration and HR, and the renaming of its Circular Commerce Business Division to Circular Commerce Business Headquarters. These changes, effective January 1, 2026, are accompanied by the appointment of new Executive Officers and personnel transfers, which are expected to streamline operations and enhance the company’s strategic focus.

Glossary
BuyA stock rated as a "Buy" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock is likely to deliver higher returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
HoldA stock rated as a "Hold" is expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the stock is neither particularly compelling nor unfavorable for investment. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
SellA stock rated as a "Sell" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock may deliver lower returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.

Disclaimer

This AI Analyst Stock Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in stocks carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.Date of analysis: Feb 18, 2026