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Mobile Factory, Inc. (JP:3912)
:3912

Mobile Factory (3912) AI Stock Analysis

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JP:3912

Mobile Factory

(3912)

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Outperform 76 (OpenAI - 5.2)
Rating:76Outperform
Price Target:
¥1,296.00
▲(17.29% Upside)
Action:ReiteratedDate:02/06/26
The score is primarily supported by strong financial health (notably a zero-debt balance sheet) and solid profitability, tempered by volatility in earnings and cash-flow consistency. Technicals are moderately constructive with the price above key moving averages and positive MACD, while valuation is reasonable with a ~3.84% dividend yield and a mid-teens-to-high-teens P/E.
Positive Factors
Zero-debt Balance Sheet
Zero debt materially reduces financial risk and preserves strategic flexibility. With no interest burden the company can fund operations, dividends, or opportunistic investments from internal resources, maintaining resilience through downturns and supporting long-term capital allocation.
High and Stable Margins
Consistently high gross and EBIT margins indicate a structurally profitable business model and pricing power in its niche. Durable margins provide earnings leverage as revenues recover, affording reinvestment for product development and enabling sustainable cash returns despite revenue cyclicality.
Positive Operating Cash Flow
Stable positive operating cash flow demonstrates recurring cash generation from core operations. That cashflow supports dividend coverage, internal investment and working-capital needs, reducing reliance on external financing and enhancing long-term business durability even if free cash flow varies.
Negative Factors
Earnings Volatility
Uneven revenue trends and a sharp net income dip to near break-even in 2023 show meaningful earnings volatility. This reduces predictability of profits, complicates multi-period planning and raises execution risk; cyclic demand could pressure margins and dividend consistency over time.
Weak Cash Conversion / FCF Variability
Weak cash conversion and a reported zero free cash flow in 2025 signal potential working-capital swings or capex timing issues. Variable FCF undermines the firm's ability to sustainably fund dividends, buybacks or growth projects, elevating financial risk despite positive operating cash flow history.
Limited Scale & Liquidity
Small scale (84 employees) and relatively low trading volume constrain operational scale, diversification and bargaining power. Limited scale can hamper R&D, marketing reach and strategic partnerships, while thin market liquidity may raise cost of capital and complicate sizable capital raises or M&A execution.

Mobile Factory (3912) vs. iShares MSCI Japan ETF (EWJ)

Mobile Factory Business Overview & Revenue Model

Company DescriptionMobile Factory, Inc. engages in the mobile service development business in Japan. It develops social and mobile media applications. The company provides location based games, such as Station Memories! and Eki Dash series; and mobile content services. Mobile Factory, Inc. was founded in 2001 and is based in Tokyo, Japan.
How the Company Makes MoneyMobile Factory, Inc. generates revenue through a diverse set of streams primarily centered around its mobile applications. Key revenue sources include in-app purchases, which allow users to buy digital goods and enhancements within their apps, and advertising partnerships, where third-party advertisements are displayed within applications for a fee. Additionally, the company may earn through subscription models for premium app features and services, offering users enhanced experiences for a recurring fee. Strategic partnerships with other technology firms and content creators also contribute to revenue by leveraging joint promotional efforts and cross-platform integrations.

Mobile Factory Financial Statement Overview

Summary
Strong financial foundation driven by a very conservative, zero-debt balance sheet and generally solid profitability. The main offsets are uneven revenue trends and volatility in net income and cash-flow consistency (including weak cash conversion in 2023–2025 and reported zero free cash flow in 2025).
Income Statement
74
Positive
Profitability is solid with consistently strong operating margins (EBIT margin ~27%–33% over 2020–2025) and healthy gross margin (~48%–51%). Revenue growth is uneven—down in 2020 and 2024, then rebounding strongly in 2025—suggesting some cyclicality/volatility in demand. Net income is generally positive but showed a sharp dip to near break-even in 2023 and a lower net margin in 2025 versus 2024, which moderates confidence in earnings stability.
Balance Sheet
90
Very Positive
The balance sheet is very conservative with zero debt across the entire period and a 0.0 debt-to-equity reading, which materially reduces financial risk. Equity is substantial relative to assets (equity base ~¥2.65B–¥3.41B vs. assets ~¥3.04B–¥4.22B), supporting resilience. Return on equity is strong in most years (roughly mid-to-high teens to low-20s), though it dipped sharply in 2023 and eased in 2025 versus 2024, indicating profitability can fluctuate even with a strong capital structure.
Cash Flow
62
Positive
Operating cash flow is consistently positive (roughly ¥467M–¥864M), supporting earnings quality and business durability. However, cash conversion is not consistently strong: operating cash flow relative to net income is below 1.0 in 2023–2025, and free cash flow is volatile—strong in 2021–2024 but shown as zero in 2025 (Annual report), which raises questions about reinvestment needs or working-capital/capex swings. This variability reduces overall cash-flow confidence despite generally positive generation.
BreakdownTTMDec 2025Dec 2024Dec 2023Dec 2022Dec 2021
Income Statement
Total Revenue3.36B3.43B3.32B3.37B3.14B2.90B
Gross Profit1.70B1.76B1.63B1.63B1.55B1.45B
EBITDA1.12B1.14B1.06B1.05B884.08M885.90M
Net Income756.90M488.46M699.00M-941.00K558.34M538.65M
Balance Sheet
Total Assets3.93B3.98B4.22B3.87B3.52B3.30B
Cash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments2.84B3.15B3.11B2.80B2.78B2.67B
Total Debt0.000.000.000.000.000.00
Total Liabilities781.16M895.67M811.08M865.56M481.38M431.19M
Stockholders Equity3.15B3.08B3.41B3.00B3.04B2.87B
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow0.000.00658.57M759.29M560.40M618.19M
Operating Cash Flow0.00864.50M658.00M761.29M560.40M656.05M
Investing Cash Flow0.00-1.62B-29.36M-565.15M-48.51M-10.96M
Financing Cash Flow0.00-813.41M-313.08M-185.40M-392.77M-300.57M

Mobile Factory Technical Analysis

Technical Analysis Sentiment
Positive
Last Price1105.00
Price Trends
50DMA
1137.23
Positive
100DMA
1067.70
Positive
200DMA
1001.45
Positive
Market Momentum
MACD
17.31
Positive
RSI
53.72
Neutral
STOCH
59.80
Neutral
Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For JP:3912, the sentiment is Positive. The current price of 1105 is below the 20-day moving average (MA) of 1177.80, below the 50-day MA of 1137.23, and above the 200-day MA of 1001.45, indicating a bullish trend. The MACD of 17.31 indicates Positive momentum. The RSI at 53.72 is Neutral, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 59.80 is Neutral, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Positive sentiment for JP:3912.

Mobile Factory Peers Comparison

Overall Rating
UnderperformOutperform
Sector (60)
Financial Indicators
Name
Overall Rating
Market Cap
P/E Ratio
ROE
Dividend Yield
Revenue Growth
EPS Growth
76
Outperform
¥10.11B16.3525.60%5.18%5.17%1662.63%
66
Neutral
¥7.06B11.770.75%12.70%2207.66%
62
Neutral
¥9.53B9.6311.15%
60
Neutral
$48.67B4.58-11.27%4.14%2.83%-41.78%
46
Neutral
¥16.19B52.94-37.68%
44
Neutral
¥10.17B-17.8616.70%87.76%
42
Neutral
¥11.32B4.6693.85%-216.24%
* Communication Services Sector Average
Performance Comparison
Ticker
Company Name
Price
Change
% Change
JP:3912
Mobile Factory
1,156.00
257.33
28.63%
JP:3793
Drecom Co., Ltd.
379.00
-297.00
-43.93%
JP:3903
gumi, Inc.
302.00
-218.00
-41.92%
JP:3904
KAYAC, Inc.
427.00
-6.68
-1.54%
JP:3911
Aiming, Inc.
204.00
-32.00
-13.56%
JP:4175
coly Inc.
1,750.00
314.00
21.87%
Glossary
BuyA stock rated as a "Buy" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock is likely to deliver higher returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
HoldA stock rated as a "Hold" is expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the stock is neither particularly compelling nor unfavorable for investment. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
SellA stock rated as a "Sell" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock may deliver lower returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.

Disclaimer

This AI Analyst Stock Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in stocks carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.Date of analysis: Feb 06, 2026