Mitsubishi Paper Mills Ltd (JP:3864)
:3864
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Mitsubishi Paper Mills
(3864)
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Rating:55Neutral
Price Target:
¥1,034.00
▲(57.86% Upside)
Action:Reiterated
Date:05/16/26
The score is held back primarily by deteriorating recent profitability and uneven cash flow reliability, despite an improved leverage profile. Offsetting this, technicals are strong with a clear uptrend (price above key moving averages and positive MACD), while valuation is neutral with a modest dividend yield.
Positive Factors
Improved leverage
A materially lower debt-to-equity ratio strengthens solvency and reduces financial fragility. Over the medium term this gives management more flexibility for targeted capex, working-capital support, or selective investments without raising immediate default or refinancing risks, improving resilience.
Negative Factors
Weakened 2026 profitability
A sharp drop in top‑line and operating profitability erodes operating leverage and free cash conversion. If margins remain compressed, the firm will struggle to fund growth, restore ROE, or absorb cost shocks, making recovery dependent on sustained demand or pricing improvements.
Read all positive and negative factors
Positive Factors
Negative Factors
Improved leverage
A materially lower debt-to-equity ratio strengthens solvency and reduces financial fragility. Over the medium term this gives management more flexibility for targeted capex, working-capital support, or selective investments without raising immediate default or refinancing risks, improving resilience.
Read all positive factors
Mitsubishi Paper Mills (3864) vs. iShares MSCI Japan ETF (EWJ)
Market Cap
¥48.68B
Dividend Yield2.31%
Average Volume (3M)181.06K
Price to Earnings (P/E)19.0
Beta (1Y)1.03
Revenue Growth-10.51%
EPS Growth-56.26%
CountryJP
Employees2,832
SectorBasic Materials
Sector Strength58
IndustryPaper, Lumber & Forest Products
Share Statistics
EPS (TTM)69.61
Shares Outstanding44,741,432
10 Day Avg. Volume145,350
30 Day Avg. Volume181,063
Financial Highlights & Ratios
PEG Ratio-0.34
Price to Book (P/B)0.35
Price to Sales (P/S)0.23
P/FCF Ratio23.56
Enterprise Value/Market CapN/A
Enterprise Value/RevenueN/A
Enterprise Value/Gross ProfitN/A
Enterprise Value/EbitdaN/A
Forecast
1Y Price TargetN/A
Price Target UpsideN/A
Rating ConsensusN/A
Number of Analyst Covering0
EPS Forecast (FY)69.7
Revenue Forecast (FY)¥186.00B
Mitsubishi Paper Mills Business Overview & Revenue Model
Company Description
Mitsubishi Paper Mills Limited, together with its subsidiaries, produces, processes, and sells paper, pulp, and photosensitive materials in Japan, Europe, rest of Asia, North America, and internationally. The company operates in four segments: Pap...
How the Company Makes Money
Mitsubishi Paper Mills makes money primarily by manufacturing and selling paper and specialty paper/material products to business customers. Key revenue streams generally include (1) sales of paper and paperboard products (e.g., printing/communica...
Mitsubishi Paper Mills Financial Statement Overview
Summary
Income Statement
44
Neutral
Balance Sheet
56
Neutral
Cash Flow
42
Neutral
| Breakdown | TTM | Mar 2026 | Mar 2025 | Mar 2024 | Mar 2023 | Mar 2022 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Income Statement | ||||||
| Total Revenue | 170.40B | 157.46B | 175.94B | 193.46B | 209.54B | 181.92B |
| Gross Profit | 23.81B | 20.24B | 25.16B | 28.15B | 27.25B | 25.77B |
| EBITDA | 9.61B | 5.79B | 10.95B | 13.14B | 9.26B | 8.24B |
| Net Income | 3.05B | 1.90B | 4.34B | 4.17B | -570.00M | 1.10B |
Balance Sheet | ||||||
| Total Assets | 199.42B | 222.78B | 208.22B | 235.38B | 227.06B | 215.88B |
| Cash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments | 7.22B | 4.89B | 6.24B | 10.01B | 8.32B | 9.05B |
| Total Debt | 69.87B | 64.92B | 72.33B | 85.06B | 100.17B | 93.36B |
| Total Liabilities | 117.02B | 119.58B | 122.93B | 144.42B | 155.01B | 146.26B |
| Stockholders Equity | 82.38B | 103.15B | 85.26B | 90.93B | 72.03B | 69.61B |
Cash Flow | ||||||
| Free Cash Flow | 0.00 | 1.53B | 2.23B | 11.80B | -7.27B | -4.56B |
| Operating Cash Flow | 0.00 | 5.22B | 4.85B | 13.49B | -2.72B | 1.70B |
| Investing Cash Flow | 0.00 | 1.60B | 4.80B | 3.83B | -3.56B | -2.56B |
| Financing Cash Flow | 0.00 | -8.30B | -13.40B | -16.26B | 5.21B | -6.09B |
Mitsubishi Paper Mills Technical Analysis
Positive
655.00
Price Trends
903.02
Positive
802.48
Positive
724.49
Positive
Market Momentum
43.66
Negative
76.60
Negative
88.09
Negative
Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For JP:3864, the sentiment is Positive. The current price of 655 is below the 20-day moving average (MA) of 971.60, below the 50-day MA of 903.02, and below the 200-day MA of 724.49, indicating a bullish trend. The MACD of 43.66 indicates Negative momentum. The RSI at 76.60 is Negative, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 88.09 is Negative, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Positive sentiment for JP:3864.
Mitsubishi Paper Mills Peers Comparison
UnderperformOutperform
Sector (61)
Name | Overall Rating | Market Cap | P/E Ratio | ROE | Dividend Yield | Revenue Growth | EPS Growth |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
70 Outperform | ¥64.65B | 12.82 | ― | 2.67% | 0.65% | 22.48% | |
67 Neutral | ¥157.59B | 9.18 | 3.57% | 1.31% | 0.86% | 158.75% | |
61 Neutral | $10.43B | 7.12 | -0.05% | 2.87% | 2.86% | -36.73% | |
61 Neutral | ¥769.77B | 7.76 | 2.55% | 3.51% | 0.67% | 31.73% | |
57 Neutral | ¥141.94B | 20.97 | 3.97% | 2.71% | -5.88% | -52.79% | |
55 Neutral | ¥48.68B | 19.03 | -0.13% | 2.31% | -10.51% | -56.26% | |
49 Neutral | ¥159.06B | 19.04 | 1.66% | 1.53% | -1.57% | ― |
* Basic Materials Sector Average
JP:3864
Mitsubishi Paper Mills
1,095.00
488.30
80.49%
JP:3863
Nippon Paper
1,364.00
323.39
31.08%
JP:3861
Oji Holdings
777.10
125.78
19.31%
JP:3865
Hokuetsu Corporation
897.00
-88.66
-8.99%
JP:3880
Daio Paper Corporation
958.00
123.05
14.74%
JP:3708
Tokushu Tokai Paper Co., Ltd.
1,725.00
563.49
48.51%
Mitsubishi Paper Mills Corporate Events
Mitsubishi Paper Mills Revamps Leadership With New Representative Directors
May 14, 2026
Mitsubishi Paper Mills announced a planned overhaul of its top management, appointing Yuji Takagami as Representative Director and Senior Managing Executive Officer and bringing in MUFG Bank executive Tsuyoshi Imaeda as Representative Director and...
Mitsubishi Paper Mills Sells Part of Mitsubishi Corp Shares Held in Retirement Benefit Trust
Mar 10, 2026
Mitsubishi Paper Mills has sold 3,000,000 shares of Mitsubishi Corporation stock that had been contributed to its retirement benefit trust, as part of its ongoing program to reduce cross-shareholdings. The move supports the company’s goal of...
Glossary
BuyA stock rated as a "Buy" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock is likely to deliver higher returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
HoldA stock rated as a "Hold" is expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the stock is neither particularly compelling nor unfavorable for investment. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
SellA stock rated as a "Sell" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock may deliver lower returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
Disclaimer
This AI Analyst Stock Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in stocks carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.