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JM Holdings Co., Ltd. (JP:3539)
:3539
Japanese Market

JM Holdings Co., Ltd. (3539) AI Stock Analysis

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JP:3539

JM Holdings Co., Ltd.

(3539)

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Outperform 75 (OpenAI - 5.2)
Rating:75Outperform
Price Target:
¥1,895.00
▲(12.80% Upside)
JM Holdings Co., Ltd. receives a strong overall score due to its robust financial performance, characterized by consistent revenue growth and solid profitability metrics. The technical analysis indicates a neutral trend with potential upward momentum, while the valuation suggests the stock is reasonably priced. The absence of earnings call data and corporate events does not detract from the overall positive outlook.
Positive Factors
Diversified revenue streams and strategic partnerships
Multiple revenue streams across real estate, logistics and management fees reduce business cyclicality and provide recurring cash. Strategic partnerships and a push into renewable energy improve access to capital and pipeline economics, supporting durable growth and project viability.
Conservative balance sheet with strong capital metrics
A low D/E and high equity ratio provide financial flexibility to pursue acquisitions or withstand downturns. Strong ROE indicates efficient use of equity over time, supporting sustainable shareholder returns and capacity to finance growth without over-reliance on volatile external funding.
Consistent revenue growth with healthy operating margins
Steady top-line growth combined with solid gross and EBITDA margins suggests effective asset and cost management. Durable margin levels create operating cash to reinvest in properties and logistics, underpinning long-term profitability even as the company scales its portfolio.
Negative Factors
Weak free cash flow conversion
Low FCF-to-net-income and declining FCF growth limit the company's ability to self-fund capex, dividends or deleveraging. Over a multi-quarter horizon this constraint can force reliance on external financing, increasing cost of capital and reducing strategic optionality.
Modest net profit margin
A sub-5% net margin leaves limited buffer against cost inflation, higher interest or cyclical revenue swings. Sustaining long-term returns will require either margin expansion through efficiency or higher-margin asset mix, otherwise earnings remain sensitive to adverse operating shifts.
Rising debt trend requires monitoring
Although current leverage is low, a persistent uptick in debt could erode the company’s conservative capital structure. If the trend continues it may raise interest burdens and reduce capacity for opportunistic investments, affecting financial resilience over the medium term.

JM Holdings Co., Ltd. (3539) vs. iShares MSCI Japan ETF (EWJ)

JM Holdings Co., Ltd. Business Overview & Revenue Model

Company DescriptionJM Holdings Co.,Ltd. engages in the wholesale and retail of meat, general food, fruit, fresh fish, and side dishes in Japan. It offers its products through supermarkets and stores. The company was formerly known as Japan Meat Co.,Ltd. JM Holdings Co.,Ltd. was incorporated in 1978 and is based in Tsuchiura, Japan.
How the Company Makes MoneyJM Holdings generates revenue through multiple streams, including rental income from its real estate portfolio, proceeds from property sales, and management fees associated with its investment projects. The company capitalizes on its extensive network and industry relationships to identify profitable investment opportunities. Additionally, JM Holdings has formed strategic partnerships with local developers and financial institutions, which facilitate access to capital and enhance project viability. Its emphasis on renewable energy projects also positions the company to benefit from government incentives and growing market demand for sustainable solutions.

JM Holdings Co., Ltd. Financial Statement Overview

Summary
JM Holdings Co., Ltd. shows strong financial health with consistent revenue growth and solid profitability metrics. The balance sheet reflects a stable capital structure with low leverage, while the cash flow statement indicates healthy cash generation. Despite some challenges in free cash flow growth, the company's financial performance is commendable.
Income Statement
JM Holdings Co., Ltd. has demonstrated strong revenue growth, with a 6.41% increase in the latest year. The company maintains healthy profit margins, with a gross profit margin of 28.70% and a net profit margin of 3.47%. EBIT and EBITDA margins are also solid at 5.40% and 6.87%, respectively, indicating efficient operations. The consistent improvement in revenue and profitability metrics reflects a positive trajectory in the grocery industry.
Balance Sheet
The balance sheet of JM Holdings Co., Ltd. shows a stable financial position with a low debt-to-equity ratio of 0.20, indicating prudent financial management. The return on equity is strong at 14.31%, showcasing effective use of shareholder funds. The equity ratio stands at 62.05%, suggesting a solid capital structure. However, the slight increase in debt levels over the years warrants monitoring.
Cash Flow
The cash flow statement reveals a robust operating cash flow, although there is a notable decline in free cash flow growth. The operating cash flow to net income ratio is 1.03, indicating good cash generation relative to net income. However, the free cash flow to net income ratio of 0.39 suggests room for improvement in converting earnings into free cash flow. The company should focus on enhancing free cash flow generation to support future growth.
BreakdownTTMDec 2025Dec 2024Dec 2023Dec 2022Dec 2021
Income Statement
Total Revenue186.21B186.21B172.33B154.81B140.84B129.82B
Gross Profit53.44B53.44B49.21B44.01B39.34B36.90B
EBITDA12.62B12.79B11.23B9.60B8.96B8.61B
Net Income6.46B6.46B5.46B4.42B4.27B4.25B
Balance Sheet
Total Assets72.72B72.72B71.36B65.57B58.87B55.39B
Cash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments18.30B18.30B22.41B17.81B19.50B20.36B
Total Debt9.26B8.84B9.38B9.91B6.30B6.22B
Total Liabilities27.37B27.38B27.59B26.16B22.98B23.04B
Stockholders Equity45.13B45.13B43.58B39.03B35.70B32.22B
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow0.002.62B6.86B-194.00M926.00M3.90B
Operating Cash Flow0.006.64B9.66B4.22B5.18B7.27B
Investing Cash Flow0.00-6.42B-5.34B-2.15B-3.74B-5.09B
Financing Cash Flow0.00-5.72B-2.24B-1.88B-1.05B-1.58B

JM Holdings Co., Ltd. Technical Analysis

Technical Analysis Sentiment
Positive
Last Price1680.00
Price Trends
50DMA
1597.87
Positive
100DMA
1541.54
Positive
200DMA
1406.79
Positive
Market Momentum
MACD
21.93
Positive
RSI
55.71
Neutral
STOCH
52.24
Neutral
Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For JP:3539, the sentiment is Positive. The current price of 1680 is above the 20-day moving average (MA) of 1660.70, above the 50-day MA of 1597.87, and above the 200-day MA of 1406.79, indicating a bullish trend. The MACD of 21.93 indicates Positive momentum. The RSI at 55.71 is Neutral, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 52.24 is Neutral, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Positive sentiment for JP:3539.

JM Holdings Co., Ltd. Peers Comparison

Overall Rating
UnderperformOutperform
Sector (62)
Financial Indicators
Name
Overall Rating
Market Cap
P/E Ratio
ROE
Dividend Yield
Revenue Growth
EPS Growth
78
Outperform
¥117.27B10.661.92%2.30%26.52%
76
Outperform
¥63.02B12.162.85%11.38%4.28%
75
Outperform
¥84.69B13.410.70%8.48%26.56%
74
Outperform
¥59.58B10.573.31%4.92%19.73%
72
Outperform
¥98.94B10.561.47%7.75%-1.68%
71
Outperform
¥77.67B13.761.34%20.50%10.77%
62
Neutral
$20.33B14.63-3.31%3.23%1.93%-12.26%
* Consumer Defensive Sector Average
Performance Comparison
Ticker
Company Name
Price
Change
% Change
JP:3539
JM Holdings Co., Ltd.
1,662.00
461.01
38.39%
JP:2742
Halows Co., Ltd.
4,620.00
715.01
18.31%
JP:7508
G-7 Holdings Inc.
1,430.00
100.06
7.52%
JP:8167
RETAIL PARTNERS CO., LTD.
1,359.00
179.95
15.26%
JP:8198
Maxvalu Tokai Co., Ltd.
3,685.00
519.28
16.40%
JP:9823
Mammy Mart Corporation
1,443.00
646.70
81.21%

JM Holdings Co., Ltd. Corporate Events

JM Holdings Lifts Sales and Operating Profit but Quarterly Net Profit Slips as It Confirms Full-Year Outlook
Dec 26, 2025

JM Holdings reported consolidated net sales of ¥47.7 billion for the three months ended October 31, 2025, up 8.2% year on year, with operating and ordinary profit rising about 19% each, although profit attributable to owners of parent fell 20.7% to ¥545 million. Total assets edged up to ¥74.6 billion while net assets remained essentially flat at ¥45.3 billion, and the equity ratio slipped slightly to 60.5%. The company completed a 2-for-1 stock split effective November 1, 2025, and, factoring in the split, forecasts an annual dividend of ¥24 per share for the fiscal year ending July 31, 2026, equivalent to ¥48 on a pre-split basis. For the full fiscal year 2026, JM Holdings is maintaining its forecast of ¥196.0 billion in net sales and ¥7.0 billion in profit attributable to owners of parent, representing mid-single to high-single-digit growth and signaling confidence in sustained earnings expansion and continued shareholder returns despite the short-term dip in quarterly bottom-line profit.

The most recent analyst rating on (JP:3539) stock is a Buy with a Yen3346.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on JM Holdings Co., Ltd. stock, see the JP:3539 Stock Forecast page.

Glossary
BuyA stock rated as a "Buy" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock is likely to deliver higher returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
HoldA stock rated as a "Hold" is expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the stock is neither particularly compelling nor unfavorable for investment. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
SellA stock rated as a "Sell" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock may deliver lower returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.

Disclaimer

This AI Analyst Stock Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in stocks carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.Date of analysis: Oct 03, 2025