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KI-Star Real Estate Co., Ltd. (JP:3465)
:3465
Japanese Market

KI-Star Real Estate Co., Ltd. (3465) AI Stock Analysis

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JP:3465

KI-Star Real Estate Co., Ltd.

(3465)

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Outperform 74 (OpenAI - 5.2)
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Outperform 74 (OpenAI - 5.2)
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Outperform 74 (OpenAI - 5.2)
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Outperform 74 (OpenAI - 5.2)
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Outperform 74 (OpenAI - 5.2)
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Outperform 74 (OpenAI - 5.2)
,
Outperform 74 (OpenAI - 5.2)
,
Outperform 74 (OpenAI - 5.2)
,
Outperform 74 (OpenAI - 5.2)
,
Outperform 74 (OpenAI - 5.2)
,
Outperform 74 (OpenAI - 5.2)
,
Outperform 74 (OpenAI - 5.2)
Rating:74Outperform
Price Target:
¥7,261.00
▲(10.35% Upside)
Action:ReiteratedDate:02/14/26
The score is driven primarily by solid financial performance with strong growth but meaningful balance-sheet and cash-flow risks (high leverage and negative operating cash flow). Technicals are strong with price above all major moving averages and positive MACD, though momentum appears overbought. Valuation is supportive, with a low P/E and a moderate dividend yield.
Positive Factors
Revenue Growth
Consistent double-digit revenue growth (~21%) indicates durable demand and market traction for its real estate services. Over a 2–6 month horizon this expanded top line supports scale economics, reinvestment capacity for development projects, and a stronger base to absorb cyclical dips.
Margin and Operational Efficiency
Stable gross profit margins and healthy EBIT/EBITDA margins reflect effective cost control and operating leverage in the business model. These durable margins support medium-term cash generation, competitive positioning and the ability to sustain operations through property market cycles.
Strengthening Capital Base
Rising equity and an improving equity ratio point to a strengthening capital structure, reducing solvency risk and improving financing flexibility. Over months this enhances resilience to downturns, lowers refinancing pressure, and enables selective project funding without excessive leverage.
Negative Factors
High Leverage
A high debt-to-equity ratio increases interest burdens and sensitivity to rate moves, constraining strategic flexibility. Over a medium-term horizon this heightens refinancing risk, can amplify earnings volatility in a downturn, and limits the firm's ability to fund growth from internal resources.
Negative Operating Cash Flow
Persistent negative operating cash flow means core activities aren't converting reported profits into cash, forcing reliance on external financing or asset sales. Structurally this weakens liquidity, raises funding costs, and limits capacity to deleverage or invest without additional capital.
Volatile Net Profit and Declining ROE
Volatility in net profit margins and a slight decline in ROE point to inconsistent translation of operating performance into shareholder returns. Over months this earnings instability complicates forecasting, may pressure dividends or reinvestment plans, and can erode stakeholder confidence.

KI-Star Real Estate Co., Ltd. (3465) vs. iShares MSCI Japan ETF (EWJ)

KI-Star Real Estate Co., Ltd. Business Overview & Revenue Model

Company DescriptionKI-Star Real Estate Co.,Ltd operates as a real estate company. The company is involved in the construction and sale of condominiums; sale of detached housing, custom-built housing, and land; and real estate transactions, asset management, and residential land development businesses. It also engages in civil engineering; and pre-owned housing, real estate leasing, and real estate brokerage businesses. The company was incorporated in 1990 and is headquartered in Honjo, Japan.
How the Company Makes Moneynull

KI-Star Real Estate Co., Ltd. Financial Statement Overview

Summary
Strong revenue growth and healthy EBIT/EBITDA margins support operating performance, but high leverage (elevated debt-to-equity) and negative operating cash flow reduce financial quality and increase risk.
Income Statement
76
Positive
KI-Star Real Estate shows a robust revenue growth trend, with a significant increase over the past years. Gross profit margin has been stable, indicating consistent cost management. However, the net profit margin has experienced some volatility, reflecting fluctuating profitability. The EBIT and EBITDA margins demonstrate a healthy operational efficiency, though there is room for improvement in net earnings.
Balance Sheet
70
Positive
The company's balance sheet reflects a high debt-to-equity ratio, which could pose financial risks in a downturn. However, equity has grown, and the equity ratio is improving, indicating a strengthening capital base. Return on equity shows positive returns, albeit with a slight decline, which could be a concern if the trend continues.
Cash Flow
62
Positive
KI-Star Real Estate's cash flow from operations has been negative, indicating challenges in generating cash from core activities. However, free cash flow has shown improvement compared to previous periods. The operating cash flow to net income ratio suggests that the company is not effectively converting income into cash, which might affect liquidity.
BreakdownTTMMar 2025Mar 2024Mar 2023Mar 2022Mar 2021
Income Statement
Total Revenue359.56B342.55B283.08B241.88B184.39B155.75B
Gross Profit44.88B41.99B32.58B37.66B40.04B27.75B
EBITDA18.03B18.41B12.52B20.12B24.22B13.06B
Net Income9.97B8.86B6.74B11.85B14.75B7.62B
Balance Sheet
Total Assets300.41B294.55B246.05B199.46B163.24B110.13B
Cash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments56.40B71.91B56.05B47.86B43.04B30.30B
Total Debt191.26B184.00B154.36B113.67B86.10B60.71B
Total Liabilities230.86B225.75B184.91B142.93B114.20B80.91B
Stockholders Equity61.22B60.14B54.51B50.99B44.04B24.53B
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow0.00-1.04B-16.09B-17.01B-21.51B11.52B
Operating Cash Flow0.00-626.00M-15.28B-16.39B-20.71B12.01B
Investing Cash Flow0.00-7.54B-4.89B-2.48B-3.11B-348.92M
Financing Cash Flow0.0022.21B27.07B22.39B36.56B4.48B

KI-Star Real Estate Co., Ltd. Technical Analysis

Technical Analysis Sentiment
Negative
Last Price6580.00
Price Trends
50DMA
6951.40
Negative
100DMA
6459.70
Positive
200DMA
5763.44
Positive
Market Momentum
MACD
-157.63
Positive
RSI
37.87
Neutral
STOCH
21.88
Neutral
Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For JP:3465, the sentiment is Negative. The current price of 6580 is below the 20-day moving average (MA) of 7287.50, below the 50-day MA of 6951.40, and above the 200-day MA of 5763.44, indicating a neutral trend. The MACD of -157.63 indicates Positive momentum. The RSI at 37.87 is Neutral, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 21.88 is Neutral, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Negative sentiment for JP:3465.

KI-Star Real Estate Co., Ltd. Peers Comparison

Overall Rating
UnderperformOutperform
Sector (65)
Financial Indicators
Name
Overall Rating
Market Cap
P/E Ratio
ROE
Dividend Yield
Revenue Growth
EPS Growth
79
Outperform
¥95.51B14.613.08%-6.27%-11.07%
74
Outperform
¥102.55B5.882.93%20.83%57.13%
73
Outperform
¥131.33B20.1915.81%2.93%84.20%137.87%
65
Neutral
$2.17B12.193.79%4.94%3.15%1.96%
64
Neutral
¥43.28B9.840.45%-8.33%-36.89%
62
Neutral
¥71.40B8.532.89%-3.09%-35.66%
58
Neutral
¥214.44B9.7920.50%1.49%2.50%-71.61%
* Real Estate Sector Average
Performance Comparison
Ticker
Company Name
Price
Change
% Change
JP:3465
KI-Star Real Estate Co., Ltd.
6,480.00
2,005.76
44.83%
JP:8848
Leopalace21
675.00
99.96
17.38%
JP:8934
Sun Frontier Fudousan Co
2,705.00
763.86
39.35%
JP:2980
SRE Holdings Corp.
2,663.00
-323.32
-10.83%
JP:3252
JINUSHI Co.,Ltd.
3,310.00
1,325.94
66.83%
JP:8877
ESLEAD CORPORATION
6,190.00
2,067.15
50.14%

KI-Star Real Estate Co., Ltd. Corporate Events

KI-Star Real Estate Finalizes Stock Option Terms for Directors
Mar 2, 2026

KI-Star Real Estate Co., Ltd. has finalized key terms for a charged stock option program involving the issuance of 3,000 share acquisition rights to six company directors. Upon exercise, these rights will convert into a total of 300,000 shares of common stock, aligning director incentives with shareholder interests and potentially impacting the firm’s capital structure and governance dynamics.

The decision completes the details left open in the board’s February 12, 2026 resolution, formalizing a compensation scheme that reinforces management’s stake in the company’s future performance. This move reflects ongoing use of equity-based remuneration in Japan’s Prime Market, signaling KI-Star’s commitment to modern incentive practices and closer alignment between executive decision-making and long-term corporate value.

The most recent analyst rating on (JP:3465) stock is a Buy with a Yen8363.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on KI-Star Real Estate Co., Ltd. stock, see the JP:3465 Stock Forecast page.

KI-STAR REAL ESTATE Issues Performance-Linked Stock Options to Directors
Feb 17, 2026

KI-STAR REAL ESTATE has approved the issuance of 3,000 charged stock options as share acquisition rights to its directors, tied to achieving performance targets under the first year of its Medium-Term Business Plan. The program, designed to support an ultimate sales goal of ¥500 billion, aims to boost management motivation and alignment with shareholders while limiting dilution to a potential 1.89% of existing shares.

The options were priced at fair value by an external valuation firm using a Monte Carlo model, with each right granting 100 common shares at an exercise price of ¥6,640, subject to standard adjustments for corporate actions. By requiring directors to purchase the options and conditioning exercisability on preset performance benchmarks, KI-STAR is positioning the scheme as an incentive-driven tool to drive growth in corporate value rather than as simple remuneration.

The most recent analyst rating on (JP:3465) stock is a Buy with a Yen8363.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on KI-Star Real Estate Co., Ltd. stock, see the JP:3465 Stock Forecast page.

KI-STAR REAL ESTATE Overhauls Shareholder Benefits to Reward Long-Term Investors
Feb 12, 2026

KI-STAR REAL ESTATE will expand and revise its shareholder benefits program to enhance returns for investors and encourage long-term shareholding. The company is shifting from Quo card gifts to higher-value electronic money and digital benefits, adding a March record date, and introducing tiered rewards tied to both shareholdings and a continuous holding period of more than one year.

Under the new scheme, effective from the March 31, 2026 record date, shareholders will receive electronic money benefits ranging from ¥2,000 to ¥10,000 depending on the number of shares held before and after an upcoming stock split. From September 2026 onward, benefits will also require shareholders to have maintained qualifying holdings across multiple consecutive record dates, signaling a strategic move to stabilize the shareholder base and potentially reduce short-term trading volatility.

An online application system will allow eligible shareholders to select from several electronic money options, modernizing the benefit process and potentially broadening its appeal. The revision underscores KI-STAR REAL ESTATE’s intent to strengthen shareholder engagement and align incentives with longer-term ownership, which may support valuation and liquidity in the Prime Market over time.

The most recent analyst rating on (JP:3465) stock is a Buy with a Yen7570.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on KI-Star Real Estate Co., Ltd. stock, see the JP:3465 Stock Forecast page.

KI-STAR REAL ESTATE Announces Two-for-One Stock Split and Boosts Authorized Shares
Feb 12, 2026

KI-STAR REAL ESTATE will implement a two-for-one stock split of its common shares, effective April 1, 2026, to lower the trading unit price, improve liquidity and broaden its investor base. The split will double the number of issued shares to 31,732,800, while leaving total share capital unchanged and keeping the year-end dividend for the fiscal year ending March 31, 2026, based on pre-split shares.

In conjunction with the split, the company will adjust the exercise price of existing share acquisition rights and amend its Articles of Incorporation to increase the total number of authorized shares to 96,000,000. These measures are designed to align the capital structure with the expanded share count and support future equity-related activities, potentially enhancing market flexibility and accessibility for stakeholders.

The most recent analyst rating on (JP:3465) stock is a Buy with a Yen7570.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on KI-Star Real Estate Co., Ltd. stock, see the JP:3465 Stock Forecast page.

KI-STAR REAL ESTATE Hikes FY2026 Forecasts and Boosts Dividend Ahead of Stock Split
Feb 12, 2026

KI-STAR REAL ESTATE revised its consolidated earnings forecast for the fiscal year ending March 31, 2026, raising projected net sales from ¥370 billion to ¥383 billion and operating profit from ¥23 billion to ¥26 billion. Profit attributable to owners of parent is now expected at ¥14.3 billion, up about 19% from the previous forecast, reflecting stronger-than-anticipated demand in its operating areas despite cost pressures and higher mortgage rates.

On a non-consolidated basis, the company lifted its net sales forecast to ¥220 billion and ordinary profit to ¥16 billion, marking increases of 4.8% and 36.8% respectively versus earlier guidance. In line with the improved earnings outlook, KI-STAR also raised its year-end dividend forecast from ¥100 to ¥130 per share, bringing the full-year dividend to ¥230, and clarified that these per-share figures are calculated before the planned 2-for-1 stock split effective April 1, 2026.

The most recent analyst rating on (JP:3465) stock is a Buy with a Yen7570.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on KI-Star Real Estate Co., Ltd. stock, see the JP:3465 Stock Forecast page.

KI-Star Real Estate Highlights FY3/26 Q3 Results and Homeownership Mission
Feb 12, 2026

KI-Star Real Estate Co., Ltd. has presented materials related to its financial results for the third quarter of the fiscal year ending March 2026, underscoring its strategic focus on accessible home ownership. The company reiterates its purpose of delivering enriching, enjoyable and pleasant lifestyles, signaling a continued emphasis on residential real estate solutions that support broad-based homeownership and strengthen its position in the Japanese housing market.

The most recent analyst rating on (JP:3465) stock is a Buy with a Yen7570.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on KI-Star Real Estate Co., Ltd. stock, see the JP:3465 Stock Forecast page.

KI-Star Real Estate Lifts Full-Year Outlook on Surging Nine-Month Profits and Higher Dividend
Feb 12, 2026

KI-Star Real Estate reported strong results for the nine months to December 31, 2025, with net sales rising 18.9% year on year to ¥276.9 billion and profit attributable to owners of parent surging 82.4% to ¥10.7 billion, driving a sharp increase in earnings per share. Total assets expanded to ¥336.9 billion and shareholders’ equity improved, while the equity ratio remained around 20%, underscoring growth financed alongside a still-leveraged balance sheet.

Reflecting this momentum, the company revised its full-year forecast upward, now projecting net sales of ¥383.0 billion and profit attributable to owners of parent of ¥14.3 billion, gains of 11.8% and 61.4% respectively. KI-Star also raised its dividend outlook, lifting the expected full-year payout to ¥230 per share from ¥151 in the prior year, signaling management’s confidence and offering a tangible benefit to shareholders amid accelerating earnings growth.

The most recent analyst rating on (JP:3465) stock is a Buy with a Yen7570.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on KI-Star Real Estate Co., Ltd. stock, see the JP:3465 Stock Forecast page.

Glossary
BuyA stock rated as a "Buy" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock is likely to deliver higher returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
HoldA stock rated as a "Hold" is expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the stock is neither particularly compelling nor unfavorable for investment. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
SellA stock rated as a "Sell" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock may deliver lower returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.

Disclaimer

This AI Analyst Stock Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in stocks carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.Date of analysis: Feb 14, 2026