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Seven & I Holdings Co Ltd (JP:3382)
:3382
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Seven & I Holdings Co (3382) AI Stock Analysis

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JP:3382

Seven & I Holdings Co

(OTC:3382)

Rating:57Neutral
Price Target:
¥1,984.00
▲(3.50% Upside)
The overall stock score is primarily influenced by strong financial performance, despite low profitability margins. Technical analysis indicates bearish momentum, which negatively impacts the score. Valuation suggests the stock may be overvalued, further affecting the overall assessment.
Positive Factors
Business Strategy
The disposal of its underperforming businesses and a greater focus on the profitable convenience store segment could potentially help Seven & I return to profit growth.
Expansion Plans
Seven & I plans to expand the global number of 7-Eleven stores to approximately 100,000 in 30 countries by 2030, up from the current 84,762 stores in 20 countries.
Product Strategy
Seven & I aims to increase the contribution of proprietary products in the US from the current 22% to 34% by 2025.
Negative Factors
Financial Performance
Operating income and attributable profit fell 24% and 88% year-on-year, respectively, missing expectations due to higher-than-expected selling expenses and one-off impairments.
Market Risks
Risks include rising competition post-pandemic, prolonged geopolitical uncertainties and inflation, slowdown in e-commerce growth, and shifting consumption behavior.

Seven & I Holdings Co (3382) vs. iShares MSCI Japan ETF (EWJ)

Seven & I Holdings Co Business Overview & Revenue Model

Company DescriptionSeven & i Holdings Co., Ltd. engages in retail, food, financial, and IT businesses in Japan, North America, and internationally. It operates through seven segments: Domestic Convenience Store operations, Overseas Convenience Store Operations, Superstore Operations, Department Store Operations, Financial Services, Specialty Stores Operations, and Others. The company's Domestic Convenience Store Operations segment operates convenience stores comprising directly managed corporate stores and franchised stores. Its Overseas Convenience Store Operations segment engages in convenience store operation and gasoline retail businesses. The company's Superstore Operations segment operates retail business that provide daily life necessities, such as food and other daily necessities. Its Department Store Operations operates department stores that provide various merchandise products. The company's Financial Services segment offers banking, leasing, and credit card services. Its Specialty Store Operations segment operates specialty retail stores. The company's others segment engages in real estate and other businesses. It operates approximately 22,500 stores in Japan and 71,800 stores internationally. The company was incorporated in 2005 and is headquartered in Tokyo, Japan.
How the Company Makes MoneySeven & I Holdings generates revenue primarily through its retail operations, which include convenience stores, supermarkets, and department stores. The largest portion of its income comes from the franchise fees and sales of merchandise from its 7-Eleven stores. Additionally, the company earns revenue through direct sales from its Ito-Yokado supermarkets and Sogo & Seibu department stores. Key revenue streams also include the sale of private-label products and food service operations. Strategic partnerships with suppliers enhance its product offerings and profitability. Furthermore, the company benefits from its real estate holdings and investments, contributing to its overall financial performance.

Seven & I Holdings Co Earnings Call Summary

Earnings Call Date:Apr 03, 2025
(Q3-2025)
|
% Change Since: |
Next Earnings Date:Oct 09, 2025
Earnings Call Sentiment Neutral
The earnings call reflects a mixed picture with both positive initiatives showing promise, particularly in international operations and innovative strategies, but significant challenges in North American markets and operational profit declines impacting overall performance.
Q3-2025 Updates
Positive Updates
Revenue Growth in 7-Eleven International
Revenues from operations significantly increased compared to fiscal 2023, largely driven by the inclusion of Australia in consolidation. Despite a one-time expense, operating income would have increased without it.
Domestic CVS Business Recovery
Initiatives to improve customer numbers and same-store sales are showing results, with a notable increase in customer numbers. The 'pleasant value' products strategy has been particularly effective.
7-Eleven's Proprietary Products Drive Margin
Proprietary products, including fresh foods and beverages, are driving improvements in sales and customer traffic, with a 40.5% margin, outperforming the overall system margin of 33.3%.
7NOW Delivery Growth
7NOW delivery network is growing at a 24% rate on a same-store basis, with a goal of hitting $1 billion in sales by 2025. It offers a delivery time of 28 minutes or less.
Negative Updates
Operating Income Decline
Operating income was JPY 315.4 billion, a decrease of 76.9% year-on-year, showing a challenging environment, particularly in the U.S., affecting income.
Special Losses Impact
A significant amount of special losses, JPY 133.4 billion out of JPY 178.9 billion for 9 months, was recorded due to impairment losses and restructuring activities.
Challenges in North American Market
7-Eleven's Q3 results were below expectations due to inflationary pressures and disruptions like the CrowdStrike outage affecting sales systems.
Superstore Operations Struggle
Cumulative EBITDA for superstore operations fell short of the target due to rising costs and a slump in demand for clothing.
Company Guidance
During the Q3 2025 earnings call for Seven & i Holdings, extensive guidance was provided on various metrics and strategic initiatives. The company reported consolidated revenues from operations at JPY 9,069.5 billion, reflecting a 105.7% year-on-year increase but slightly missing the revised plan at 99.7%. Operating income was at JPY 315.4 billion, representing 76.9% year-on-year, a decrease of JPY 94.6 billion from the previous term, yet slightly above the revised plan at 102.3%. Net profit stood at JPY 63.6 billion, which is 34.9% of the previous term or a decline of JPY 118.5 billion, though it met 101% of the revised plan. The company is undergoing a strategic restructuring, aiming to complete these initiatives within the fiscal year to foster profit growth from 2025 onwards. Special losses recorded, including JPY 56.7 billion due to system integration and store closures, are expected to total JPY 149.6 billion for the full year. Additionally, Seven & i Holdings is focused on maximizing corporate value with an EBITDA target of over JPY 55 billion and a ROIC of more than 4% for fiscal 2025. In North America, 7-Eleven, Inc. is focusing on proprietary products with a margin of 40.5% and projected same-store sales of 1.5% for 2025. The global strategy includes expansion in Australia and Vietnam, aiming to double profit by 2030.

Seven & I Holdings Co Financial Statement Overview

Summary
Seven & I Holdings Co shows strong revenue growth and stable financial health. However, low profitability margins and potential for improved cash flow efficiency are areas for enhancement. The balance sheet is stable with a balanced use of debt and equity, but return on equity could be improved.
Income Statement
75
Positive
Seven & I Holdings Co has shown strong revenue growth in the TTM period with a 36.9% increase, indicating robust sales performance. The gross profit margin is healthy at approximately 24.76%, though it has declined from previous years. The net profit margin is relatively low at 1.50%, suggesting limited profitability after expenses. The EBIT and EBITDA margins are moderate, reflecting stable operational efficiency. Overall, the income statement reflects strong revenue growth but highlights the need for improved profitability.
Balance Sheet
70
Positive
The company's debt-to-equity ratio stands at 1.04, indicating a balanced approach to leveraging debt. Return on equity is modest at 4.46%, showing moderate efficiency in generating returns from shareholders' equity. The equity ratio is stable, suggesting a solid capital structure. While the balance sheet is stable, there is room for improvement in leveraging equity to enhance returns.
Cash Flow
68
Positive
Free cash flow has grown significantly by 30.27% in the TTM period, indicating improved cash generation. The operating cash flow to net income ratio is 0.27, and the free cash flow to net income ratio is 0.46, reflecting adequate cash conversion. While cash flow metrics are improving, the company should focus on further enhancing cash flow efficiency to support growth and investment.
BreakdownTTMDec 2024Dec 2023Dec 2022Dec 2021Dec 2020
Income Statement
Total Revenue11.60T11.97T11.47T11.81T8.75T5.77T
Gross Profit2.99T3.06T3.41T3.31T2.73T2.29T
EBITDA1.04T905.53B840.83B995.32B705.04B529.90B
Net Income200.69B173.07B224.62B280.98B210.77B179.26B
Balance Sheet
Total Assets11.14T11.39T10.59T10.55T8.74T6.95T
Cash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments1.47T1.37T1.56T1.67T1.42T2.19T
Total Debt4.02T4.20T3.84T4.04T2.96T1.76T
Total Liabilities7.18T7.17T6.69T6.90T5.59T4.12T
Stockholders Equity3.78T4.03T3.72T3.47T2.98T2.67T
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow542.69B400.59B215.37B517.59B312.05B190.16B
Operating Cash Flow995.67B831.46B673.01B928.48B736.48B540.00B
Investing Cash Flow-477.20B-731.74B-431.81B-413.23B-2.51T-394.13B
Financing Cash Flow-439.05B-392.65B-377.06B-270.37B937.08B690.54B

Seven & I Holdings Co Technical Analysis

Technical Analysis Sentiment
Negative
Last Price1917.00
Price Trends
50DMA
2075.42
Negative
100DMA
2092.74
Negative
200DMA
2211.99
Negative
Market Momentum
MACD
-31.32
Positive
RSI
34.22
Neutral
STOCH
-16.60
Positive
Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For JP:3382, the sentiment is Negative. The current price of 1917 is below the 20-day moving average (MA) of 1977.20, below the 50-day MA of 2075.42, and below the 200-day MA of 2211.99, indicating a bearish trend. The MACD of -31.32 indicates Positive momentum. The RSI at 34.22 is Neutral, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of -16.60 is Positive, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Negative sentiment for JP:3382.

Seven & I Holdings Co Peers Comparison

Overall Rating
UnderperformOutperform
Sector (63)
Financial Indicators
Name
Overall Rating
Market Cap
P/E Ratio
ROE
Dividend Yield
Revenue Growth
EPS Growth
63
Neutral
$20.42B14.38-2.77%3.17%2.07%-6.17%
57
Neutral
$5.10T25.405.25%2.05%3.98%0.37%
€2.20B17.5611.80%
€5.38B36.8817.87%
79
Outperform
¥214.22B12.01
2.22%4.90%12.63%
76
Outperform
¥153.58B12.27
1.62%9.83%21.58%
73
Outperform
¥110.45B12.27
1.16%7.94%0.06%
* Consumer Defensive Sector Average
Performance Comparison
Ticker
Company Name
Price
Change
% Change
JP:3382
Seven & I Holdings Co
1,917.00
-137.39
-6.69%
DE:5FV
Yaoko Co., Ltd.
53.50
-4.72
-8.11%
DE:59G
Kobe Bussan Co., Ltd.
23.80
-1.84
-7.18%
JP:2742
Halows Co., Ltd.
5,120.00
899.85
21.32%
JP:8194
Life Corporation
2,476.00
772.39
45.34%
JP:9974
BELC Co., Ltd.
7,390.00
1,231.40
19.99%

Seven & I Holdings Co Corporate Events

Seven & i Holdings Announces Share Acquisition Progress
Aug 1, 2025

Seven & i Holdings Co., Ltd. has announced the acquisition of 35,263,200 of its own shares, amounting to ¥73,620,909,750, during July 2025. This move is part of a larger plan approved in April 2025 to acquire up to 400,000,000 shares, indicating a strategic effort to consolidate ownership and potentially enhance shareholder value.

The most recent analyst rating on (JP:3382) stock is a Hold with a Yen2800.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Seven & I Holdings Co stock, see the JP:3382 Stock Forecast page.

Seven & i Holdings Responds to Alimentation Couche-Tard’s Withdrawal
Jul 17, 2025

Seven & i Holdings Co., Ltd. announced that Alimentation Couche-Tard Inc. has decided to withdraw its proposal to acquire the company, citing changes in the global economy and market conditions. Despite this, Seven & i remains committed to its standalone value creation plan, including the sale of its Superstore Business and an IPO of its North American convenience store business, aiming to return approximately JPY 2 trillion to shareholders by FY2030 through share buybacks.

The most recent analyst rating on (JP:3382) stock is a Hold with a Yen2800.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Seven & I Holdings Co stock, see the JP:3382 Stock Forecast page.

Seven & i Holdings Reports Strong Q1 FY2025 Results
Jul 10, 2025

Seven & i Holdings Co., Ltd. reported an increase in revenues and operating income for the first quarter of FY2025, with a significant rise in net income due to special gains and losses. The company maintains its full-year forecast and continues to implement management initiatives to enhance corporate and shareholder value.

The most recent analyst rating on (JP:3382) stock is a Hold with a Yen2800.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Seven & I Holdings Co stock, see the JP:3382 Stock Forecast page.

Seven & I Holdings Announces Strategic Subsidiary Transfer
Jul 10, 2025

Seven & I Holdings Co., Ltd. announced the transfer of 29 companies, including 22 subsidiaries and 7 affiliates, to a subsidiary of Bain Capital’s acquisition purpose company. This strategic move affects the company’s fiscal year 2025 performance forecasts, reflecting only the first-half performance of these companies. Additionally, Seven Bank and its subsidiaries have been excluded from consolidation, impacting the company’s financial reporting. These changes are expected to influence the company’s operations and financial structure significantly.

The most recent analyst rating on (JP:3382) stock is a Hold with a Yen2800.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Seven & I Holdings Co stock, see the JP:3382 Stock Forecast page.

Seven & i Holdings Co. Reports Mixed Q1 2025 Results and Positive Dividend Outlook
Jul 10, 2025

Seven & i Holdings Co. reported a mixed financial performance for the three months ended May 31, 2025, with a slight increase in revenues from operations by 1.6% to 2,777,370 million yen. Despite this, the company experienced a decline in ordinary income by 3.1% and a significant increase in net income attributable to owners of the parent by 129.2%. The company also announced a forecasted increase in annual dividends per share from 40.00 yen to 50.00 yen for the fiscal year ending February 28, 2026, indicating a positive outlook for shareholders.

The most recent analyst rating on (JP:3382) stock is a Hold with a Yen2800.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Seven & I Holdings Co stock, see the JP:3382 Stock Forecast page.

Seven & i Holdings Announces Share Buyback Progress
Jul 1, 2025

Seven & i Holdings Co., Ltd. announced the acquisition of 29,640,800 of its own shares, amounting to approximately ¥66.2 billion, during June 2025. This move is part of a larger plan approved by the Board of Directors to acquire up to 400 million shares by February 2026, reflecting the company’s strategy to enhance shareholder value and optimize its capital structure.

The most recent analyst rating on (JP:3382) stock is a Hold with a Yen2800.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Seven & I Holdings Co stock, see the JP:3382 Stock Forecast page.

Seven & i Holdings Finalizes Subsidiary Transfer Agreement
Jul 1, 2025

Seven & i Holdings Co., Ltd. has finalized an agreement to transfer the rights and obligations of 29 companies, including several key subsidiaries, to a new entity established by Bain Capital through an absorption-type split. This strategic move, which involves significant investment from Bain Capital and the company’s founder family, aims to streamline operations and potentially enhance market positioning without affecting the capital of the involved entities.

The most recent analyst rating on (JP:3382) stock is a Hold with a Yen2800.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Seven & I Holdings Co stock, see the JP:3382 Stock Forecast page.

Seven & i Holdings Completes Subsidiary Share Transfer to Seven Bank
Jun 24, 2025

Seven & i Holdings Co., Ltd. has completed the transfer of shares of its subsidiaries, including SEVEN-ELEVEN JAPAN CO., LTD., to Seven Bank, resulting in Seven Bank and its subsidiaries becoming equity method affiliates. This change is expected to have an immaterial impact on the company’s consolidated financial results for the fiscal year ending February 28, 2026.

The most recent analyst rating on (JP:3382) stock is a Hold with a Yen2800.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Seven & I Holdings Co stock, see the JP:3382 Stock Forecast page.

Seven & i Holdings Restructures Subsidiary Holdings to Focus on Core Business
Jun 19, 2025

Seven & i Holdings Co., Ltd. announced the transfer of shares in Seven Bank, Ltd., resulting in Seven Bank becoming an equity method affiliate and being excluded from the company’s consolidated subsidiaries. This move aligns with Seven & i’s strategy to focus on its core convenience store business, enhancing shareholder value and allowing Seven Bank to pursue growth with greater autonomy and flexibility.

The most recent analyst rating on (JP:3382) stock is a Hold with a Yen2800.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Seven & I Holdings Co stock, see the JP:3382 Stock Forecast page.

Seven & i Holdings Announces Significant Share Buyback
Jun 2, 2025

Seven & i Holdings Co., Ltd. announced the acquisition of 24,944,000 of its own shares, amounting to approximately ¥55.6 billion, as part of a larger buyback program. This strategic move, conducted through the Tokyo Stock Exchange, is part of a board-approved plan to acquire up to 400 million shares, enhancing shareholder value and potentially impacting market dynamics.

The most recent analyst rating on (JP:3382) stock is a Hold with a Yen2800.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Seven & I Holdings Co stock, see the JP:3382 Stock Forecast page.

Glossary
BuyA stock rated as a "Buy" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock is likely to deliver higher returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
HoldA stock rated as a "Hold" is expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the stock is neither particularly compelling nor unfavorable for investment. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
SellA stock rated as a "Sell" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock may deliver lower returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.

Disclaimer

This AI Analyst Stock Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in stocks carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.Date of analysis: Aug 29, 2025