Seven & I Holdings Co (3382) AI Stock Analysis

• Market Cap: ¥5.63T
• Dividend Yield: 2.02%
• Average Volume (3M): 6.48M
• Price to Earnings (P/E): 17.9
• Beta (1Y): 0.42
• Revenue Growth: -3.40%
• EPS Growth: 26.42%
• Country: JP
• Employees: 47,814
• Sector: Consumer Defensive
• Sector Strength: 42
• Industry: Grocery Stores
• EPS (TTM): 4.39
• Shares Outstanding: 2,604,556,000
• 10 Day Avg. Volume: 7,014,690
• 30 Day Avg. Volume: 6,478,673
• PEG Ratio: -1.50
• Price to Book (P/B): 1.38
• Price to Sales (P/S): 0.47
• P/FCF Ratio: 13.90
• Enterprise Value/Market Cap: N/A
• Enterprise Value/Revenue: N/A
• Enterprise Value/Gross Profit: N/A
• Enterprise Value/Ebitda: N/A
• 1Y Price Target: ¥2,667.50
• Price Target Upside: 32.35% Upside
• Rating Consensus: Strong Buy
• Number of Analyst Covering: 4
• EPS Forecast (FY): N/A
• Revenue Forecast (FY): N/A

• Rating: 61 Neutral
• Price Target: ¥2,395.00 ▲(18.83% Upside)

The score is primarily held back by middling financial performance (revenue decline, thin margins, and elevated leverage) and a mixed earnings-call picture with profit declines and sizable special losses. Offsetting these, technicals are supportive with the stock trading above key moving averages and positive MACD, while valuation/dividend are moderate but not especially compelling.

Positive Factors

Strong free cash flow generation

Consistent, large FCF provides durable internal funding for capex, restructuring and shareholder returns. Strong cash conversion eases reliance on external financing over the medium term and supports strategic investments despite cyclical retail demand swings.

High-margin proprietary products

Proprietary fresh-food and beverage lines deliver materially higher margins and drive customer frequency. Owning product development and supply chain boosts differentiation, supports sustained margin uplift and ROIC improvement versus reliance on third-party SKUs.

International expansion diversifies revenue

Growing international operations (Australia, Vietnam, broader 7‑Eleven expansion) reduce dependence on domestic retail cycles. Geographic diversification can steady sales and provide higher-growth markets, supporting long-term profit targets and strategic scale benefits.

Negative Factors

Elevated leverage limits flexibility

A debt-heavy capital structure constrains maneuverability for M&A, capex or dividend increases and raises interest-cost sensitivity if rates rise. With thin retail margins, higher leverage reduces resilience to shocks and limits strategic optionality over the medium term.

Revenue decline and thin margins

Sustained top-line weakness combined with low operating and net margins makes profitability highly sensitive to cost inflation and volume swings. Limited margin buffer restricts reinvestment capacity and slows ROIC improvement, challenging durable earnings growth.

Large special losses and North America headwinds

Material one-off impairments and restructuring charges signal asset writedowns and operational reset costs that erode capital and earnings. Combined with U.S. market disruptions and profitability pressure, these issues can sap management focus and delay structural profit recovery.

Seven & I Holdings Co Business Overview & Revenue Model

Company Description

Seven & I Holdings Co., Ltd. is a leading Japanese retail and distribution company headquartered in Tokyo. As the parent company of the well-known Seven-Eleven convenience store chain, it operates in various sectors, including retail, food services, and logistics. The company is involved in the management of convenience stores, supermarkets, and department stores, offering a wide range of products from daily groceries to clothing and household items. Seven & I Holdings also operates in the e-commerce space, enhancing its customer reach and service offerings.

How the Company Makes Money

Seven & I Holdings generates revenue primarily through its extensive network of convenience stores, supermarkets, and department stores. The company earns money by selling a diverse array of products, including food, beverages, clothing, and household goods. Its convenience stores, especially the iconic Seven-Eleven outlets, are significant revenue drivers, capitalizing on high foot traffic and the demand for quick, accessible shopping options. Additionally, the company benefits from franchise fees and royalties from store operators. E-commerce activities also contribute to revenue growth, as the company adapts to changing consumer behaviors. Partnerships with various suppliers and brands enable the company to offer exclusive products and promotions, further enhancing its sales potential. Furthermore, strategic initiatives in logistics and supply chain management allow Seven & I to optimize costs and improve profitability.

Seven & I Holdings Co Financial Statement Overview

Summary

Stable but not strong: TTM revenue declined (-5.4%) and margins remain thin (TTM net ~1.7%, EBIT ~3.1%), though margins improved versus the last annual period. Cash generation is solid (TTM FCF ~¥516B; +26% growth), but leverage is elevated (TTM debt-to-equity ~1.07), which limits flexibility.

Income Statement

TTM (Trailing-Twelve-Months) revenue declined (-5.4%), pointing to a softer top-line backdrop versus the prior annual growth rates. Profitability remains positive but thin for the sector profile, with TTM net margin at ~1.7% and EBIT margin at ~3.1%. Margins improved versus the most recent annual period (net margin ~1.4% in FY2025), but earnings are still sensitive to small changes in costs and pricing.

Balance Sheet

Leverage is elevated with debt slightly above equity (TTM debt-to-equity ~1.07; similar levels in recent years), which limits balance-sheet flexibility. Return on equity is moderate in TTM (~8.3%), improving versus the most recent annual period (~4.3%), but the capital structure remains debt-heavy. Overall asset base is substantial, but the leverage profile is a key constraint.

Cash Flow

Cash generation is solid, with TTM free cash flow of ~¥516B and strong TTM free cash flow growth (+26%). However, cash conversion is a watch item: free cash flow is only ~54% of net income in TTM, suggesting working-capital or reinvestment demands consume a meaningful share of earnings. Operating cash flow is steady year-to-year, supporting ongoing funding needs despite some variability in free cash flow growth across periods.

Breakdown	Dec 2025	Dec 2024	Dec 2023	Dec 2022	Dec 2021
Income Statement
Total Revenue	11.97T	11.47T	11.81T	8.75T	5.77T
Gross Profit	3.06T	3.02T	2.94T	2.45T	2.07T
EBITDA	905.53B	840.83B	927.94B	705.04B	529.90B
Net Income	173.07B	224.62B	280.98B	210.78B	179.26B
Balance Sheet
Total Assets	11.39T	10.59T	10.55T	8.74T	6.95T
Cash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments	1.37T	1.56T	1.67T	1.42T	2.19T
Total Debt	4.20T	3.84T	4.04T	2.96T	1.79T
Total Liabilities	7.17T	6.69T	6.90T	5.59T	4.12T
Stockholders Equity	4.03T	3.72T	3.47T	2.98T	2.67T
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow	400.59B	422.58B	536.26B	398.97B	262.14B
Operating Cash Flow	831.46B	760.01B	841.48B	736.48B	560.00B
Investing Cash Flow	-731.74B	-428.82B	-410.86B	-2.51T	-393.94B
Financing Cash Flow	-348.27B	-467.05B	-185.74B	936.74B	670.36B

Seven & I Holdings Co Technical Analysis

• Technical Analysis Sentiment: Neutral
• Last Price: 2015.50
• 50DMA: Negative
• 100DMA: Positive
• 200DMA: Positive
• MACD: Positive
• RSI: Neutral
• STOCH: Positive

Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For JP:3382, the sentiment is Neutral. The current price of 2015.5 is below the 20-day moving average (MA) of 2239.33, below the 50-day MA of 2198.65, and below the 200-day MA of 2093.01, indicating a neutral trend. The MACD of -3.34 indicates Positive momentum. The RSI at 44.07 is Neutral, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 13.18 is Positive, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Neutral sentiment for JP:3382.

Seven & I Holdings Co Peers Comparison

Name	Overall Rating	Market Cap	P/E Ratio	ROE	Dividend Yield	Revenue Growth	EPS Growth
9974	76 Outperform	¥156.92B	12.65	―	1.64%	10.13%	23.77%
2742	72 Outperform	¥97.25B	10.38	―	1.47%	7.75%	-1.68%
8194	72 Outperform	¥218.20B	12.09	―	2.43%	4.48%	13.17%
3038	69 Neutral	¥856.75B	26.94	22.48%	0.78%	8.63%	48.30%
Sector *	62 Neutral	$20.33B	14.63	-3.31%	3.23%	1.93%	-12.26%
3382	61 Neutral	¥5.63T	17.86	6.22%	2.02%	-3.40%	26.42%

Seven & I Holdings Co Corporate Events

Seven & i Reshapes Consolidation Scope and Accounting in FY2026 Q3 Update

Seven & i Holdings has published supplementary materials for its third-quarter results for the fiscal year ending February 28, 2026, detailing consolidated performance, segment information for domestic and overseas convenience stores, superstores and financial services, as well as store counts, floor space and capital expenditures. The company also outlines a major structural shift in its reporting scope, having deconsolidated Seven Bank and a 29‑company supermarket and specialty store group in mid-2025, which are now treated as equity-method affiliates from the second half onward and form the basis for its full-year earnings forecast; in addition, Seven & i has adopted Japan’s new accounting standard for current income taxes from FY2026, underscoring changes that will affect comparability of its results for investors and other stakeholders.

The most recent analyst rating on (JP:3382) stock is a Hold with a Yen2274.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Seven & I Holdings Co stock, see the JP:3382 Stock Forecast page.

Seven & i Holdings Lifts Profit and Guidance Despite Revenue Decline, Raises Dividend

Seven & i Holdings reported consolidated results for the nine months ended November 30, 2025, showing an 11.2% decline in revenues from operations to ¥8,050.9 billion but a 3.1% increase in operating income to ¥325.1 billion, while net income attributable to owners of the parent surged more than threefold to ¥198.5 billion, significantly lifting EPS and EPS before amortization of goodwill despite lower group total sales and a modest drop in EBITDA. The company’s financial position showed reduced total assets and net assets alongside a higher equity ratio, and it plans to raise its annual dividend to ¥50 per share for the fiscal year ending February 28, 2026; alongside a previously approved share buyback and treasury stock cancellation, it has revised its full-year forecast to anticipate lower revenue but higher profitability, with net income projected to jump 56%, underscoring a strategic emphasis on shareholder returns and earnings quality over top-line expansion.

The most recent analyst rating on (JP:3382) stock is a Hold with a Yen2274.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Seven & I Holdings Co stock, see the JP:3382 Stock Forecast page.

Seven & i Holdings Nears ¥509 Billion in Share Buybacks Under Large Repurchase Program

Seven & i Holdings Co., Ltd. reported the progress of its ongoing share buyback program, disclosing that it repurchased 28,867,700 common shares for a total of ¥62.8 billion between December 1 and December 31, 2025 through discretionary trading on the Tokyo Stock Exchange. This forms part of a larger Board-approved authorization from April 2025 allowing buybacks of up to 400 million shares or ¥600 billion through February 28, 2026; as of December 31, 2025, the company had cumulatively acquired 244,110,800 shares for approximately ¥508.9 billion, signaling an aggressive capital allocation policy likely aimed at enhancing shareholder returns and optimizing its capital structure.

The most recent analyst rating on (JP:3382) stock is a Hold with a Yen2274.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Seven & I Holdings Co stock, see the JP:3382 Stock Forecast page.

Seven & i Holdings Advances Share Buyback Strategy

Seven & i Holdings Co., Ltd. announced the acquisition of 21,213,900 of its own shares, amounting to approximately ¥42.59 billion, conducted on the Tokyo Stock Exchange from November 1 to November 30, 2025. This move is part of a larger plan approved by the Board of Directors to acquire up to 400 million shares, representing 15.4% of outstanding shares, by February 2026, with a total budget of ¥600 billion, indicating a strategic effort to enhance shareholder value.

The most recent analyst rating on (JP:3382) stock is a Hold with a Yen2094.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Seven & I Holdings Co stock, see the JP:3382 Stock Forecast page.

Seven & i Holdings Announces Share Buyback Progress

Seven & i Holdings Co., Ltd. announced the acquisition of 25,932,000 of its own shares, amounting to approximately ¥50.97 billion, during October 2025. This move is part of a broader strategy approved by the Board of Directors to acquire up to 400 million shares by February 2026, aiming to enhance shareholder value and optimize capital structure.

The most recent analyst rating on (JP:3382) stock is a Hold with a Yen2094.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Seven & I Holdings Co stock, see the JP:3382 Stock Forecast page.