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Seven & I Holdings Co Ltd (JP:3382)
:3382

Seven & I Holdings Co (3382) AI Stock Analysis

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Seven & I Holdings Co

(OTC:3382)

Rating:67Neutral
Price Target:
¥2,383.00
▲(6.38%Upside)
The overall stock score is driven primarily by strong financial performance and mixed technical indicators. Despite robust cash flow management and revenue growth, the company's profitability challenges and high P/E ratio impact its valuation appeal. Technical analysis suggests neutral momentum, requiring careful monitoring of market trends.
Positive Factors
Business Strategy
The disposal of its underperforming businesses and a greater focus on the profitable convenience store segment could potentially help Seven & I return to profit growth.
Expansion Plans
Seven & I plans to expand the global number of 7-Eleven stores to approximately 100,000 in 30 countries by 2030, up from the current 84,762 stores in 20 countries.
Product Strategy
Seven & I aims to increase the contribution of proprietary products in the US from the current 22% to 34% by 2025.
Negative Factors
Financial Performance
Operating income and attributable profit fell 24% and 88% year-on-year, respectively, missing expectations due to higher-than-expected selling expenses and one-off impairments.
Market Risks
Risks include rising competition post-pandemic, prolonged geopolitical uncertainties and inflation, slowdown in e-commerce growth, and shifting consumption behavior.

Seven & I Holdings Co (3382) vs. iShares MSCI Japan ETF (EWJ)

Seven & I Holdings Co Business Overview & Revenue Model

Company DescriptionSeven & i Holdings Co., Ltd. engages in retail, food, financial, and IT businesses in Japan, North America, and internationally. It operates through seven segments: Domestic Convenience Store operations, Overseas Convenience Store Operations, Superstore Operations, Department Store Operations, Financial Services, Specialty Stores Operations, and Others. The company's Domestic Convenience Store Operations segment operates convenience stores comprising directly managed corporate stores and franchised stores. Its Overseas Convenience Store Operations segment engages in convenience store operation and gasoline retail businesses. The company's Superstore Operations segment operates retail business that provide daily life necessities, such as food and other daily necessities. Its Department Store Operations operates department stores that provide various merchandise products. The company's Financial Services segment offers banking, leasing, and credit card services. Its Specialty Store Operations segment operates specialty retail stores. The company's others segment engages in real estate and other businesses. It operates approximately 22,500 stores in Japan and 71,800 stores internationally. The company was incorporated in 2005 and is headquartered in Tokyo, Japan.
How the Company Makes MoneySeven & I Holdings Co. generates revenue primarily through its extensive network of retail operations, with a significant portion coming from its convenience store segment, particularly the 7-Eleven brand. The company's revenue streams include sales of food, beverages, daily essentials, and other consumer goods. Additionally, Seven & I Holdings benefits from franchise fees and royalties from its franchised 7-Eleven stores worldwide. The company also derives income from its supermarket and department store operations, as well as its specialty retail and restaurant businesses. Financial services, including banking and electronic payment solutions, contribute to its earnings, supported by strategic partnerships and technological integration across its business units. The diverse portfolio and global presence of its brands enable Seven & I Holdings to maintain a stable and robust revenue model.

Seven & I Holdings Co Earnings Call Summary

Earnings Call Date:Apr 03, 2025
(Q3-2025)
|
% Change Since: 4.48%|
Next Earnings Date:Jul 10, 2025
Earnings Call Sentiment Neutral
The earnings call reflects a mixed picture with both positive initiatives showing promise, particularly in international operations and innovative strategies, but significant challenges in North American markets and operational profit declines impacting overall performance.
Q3-2025 Updates
Positive Updates
Revenue Growth in 7-Eleven International
Revenues from operations significantly increased compared to fiscal 2023, largely driven by the inclusion of Australia in consolidation. Despite a one-time expense, operating income would have increased without it.
Domestic CVS Business Recovery
Initiatives to improve customer numbers and same-store sales are showing results, with a notable increase in customer numbers. The 'pleasant value' products strategy has been particularly effective.
7-Eleven's Proprietary Products Drive Margin
Proprietary products, including fresh foods and beverages, are driving improvements in sales and customer traffic, with a 40.5% margin, outperforming the overall system margin of 33.3%.
7NOW Delivery Growth
7NOW delivery network is growing at a 24% rate on a same-store basis, with a goal of hitting $1 billion in sales by 2025. It offers a delivery time of 28 minutes or less.
Negative Updates
Operating Income Decline
Operating income was JPY 315.4 billion, a decrease of 76.9% year-on-year, showing a challenging environment, particularly in the U.S., affecting income.
Special Losses Impact
A significant amount of special losses, JPY 133.4 billion out of JPY 178.9 billion for 9 months, was recorded due to impairment losses and restructuring activities.
Challenges in North American Market
7-Eleven's Q3 results were below expectations due to inflationary pressures and disruptions like the CrowdStrike outage affecting sales systems.
Superstore Operations Struggle
Cumulative EBITDA for superstore operations fell short of the target due to rising costs and a slump in demand for clothing.
Company Guidance
During the Q3 2025 earnings call for Seven & i Holdings, extensive guidance was provided on various metrics and strategic initiatives. The company reported consolidated revenues from operations at JPY 9,069.5 billion, reflecting a 105.7% year-on-year increase but slightly missing the revised plan at 99.7%. Operating income was at JPY 315.4 billion, representing 76.9% year-on-year, a decrease of JPY 94.6 billion from the previous term, yet slightly above the revised plan at 102.3%. Net profit stood at JPY 63.6 billion, which is 34.9% of the previous term or a decline of JPY 118.5 billion, though it met 101% of the revised plan. The company is undergoing a strategic restructuring, aiming to complete these initiatives within the fiscal year to foster profit growth from 2025 onwards. Special losses recorded, including JPY 56.7 billion due to system integration and store closures, are expected to total JPY 149.6 billion for the full year. Additionally, Seven & i Holdings is focused on maximizing corporate value with an EBITDA target of over JPY 55 billion and a ROIC of more than 4% for fiscal 2025. In North America, 7-Eleven, Inc. is focusing on proprietary products with a margin of 40.5% and projected same-store sales of 1.5% for 2025. The global strategy includes expansion in Australia and Vietnam, aiming to double profit by 2030.

Seven & I Holdings Co Financial Statement Overview

Summary
Seven & I Holdings Co. displays a well-rounded financial performance with robust revenue growth and effective cash flow management. While the income statement shows strong top-line growth, maintaining stable margins remains a challenge. The balance sheet is stable with manageable leverage, and the cash flow statement highlights the company's strong liquidity and cash management practices. The company is well-positioned in the grocery store industry but should focus on improving profitability margins to enhance overall financial strength.
Income Statement
78
Positive
Seven & I Holdings Co demonstrates a strong revenue growth trajectory with a notable 36.7% increase from 2021 to 2025. Gross profit margins are healthy, averaging around 25% over the years. However, there is a decline in EBIT and EBITDA margins in recent years, indicating potential cost pressures or inefficiencies. The net profit margin has shown fluctuations, which could suggest volatility in operating expenses or other income. Overall, the income statement reflects strong revenue growth but some challenges in maintaining stable profitability margins.
Balance Sheet
72
Positive
The balance sheet of Seven & I Holdings Co reveals a moderate level of financial leverage, with a debt-to-equity ratio fluctuating around 1.0 to 1.1 in recent years. The equity ratio remains stable at around 35%, suggesting a balanced approach between debt and equity financing. ROE has varied, reflecting the changes in net income, but remains positive, indicating effective use of equity capital. Overall, the balance sheet shows a stable financial structure with manageable leverage but leaves room for improvement in equity utilization.
Cash Flow
80
Positive
Cash flow analysis indicates a robust operating cash flow that consistently exceeds net income, ensuring liquidity and operational stability. Free cash flow has seen significant growth, especially from 2024 to 2025, reflecting efficient capital expenditure management. The free cash flow to net income ratio is healthy, indicating strong cash generation relative to earnings. Overall, the cash flow statement portrays a strong liquidity position and effective cash management strategies.
Breakdown
Mar 2025Mar 2024Mar 2023Mar 2022Mar 2021
Income StatementTotal Revenue
11.97T11.47T11.81T8.75T5.77T
Gross Profit
3.06T3.41T3.31T2.73T2.29T
EBIT
420.99B534.25B506.52B387.65B366.33B
EBITDA
905.53B840.83B995.32B751.49B626.87B
Net Income Common Stockholders
173.07B224.62B280.98B210.77B179.26B
Balance SheetCash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments
1.37T1.56T1.69T1.42T2.19T
Total Assets
11.39T10.59T10.55T8.74T6.95T
Total Debt
4.20T3.84T3.93T2.90T1.76T
Net Debt
2.85T2.30T2.26T1.48T-427.94B
Total Liabilities
7.17T6.69T6.90T5.59T4.12T
Stockholders Equity
4.03T3.72T3.47T2.98T2.67T
Cash FlowFree Cash Flow
400.59B215.37B517.59B312.05B190.16B
Operating Cash Flow
831.46B673.01B928.48B736.48B540.00B
Investing Cash Flow
-731.74B-431.81B-413.23B-2.51T-394.13B
Financing Cash Flow
-348.27B-377.06B-270.37B937.08B690.54B

Seven & I Holdings Co Technical Analysis

Technical Analysis Sentiment
Positive
Last Price2240.00
Price Trends
50DMA
2133.74
Positive
100DMA
2222.32
Positive
200DMA
2240.86
Negative
Market Momentum
MACD
18.09
Positive
RSI
58.55
Neutral
STOCH
82.36
Negative
Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For JP:3382, the sentiment is Positive. The current price of 2240 is above the 20-day moving average (MA) of 2214.27, above the 50-day MA of 2133.74, and below the 200-day MA of 2240.86, indicating a neutral trend. The MACD of 18.09 indicates Positive momentum. The RSI at 58.55 is Neutral, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 82.36 is Negative, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Positive sentiment for JP:3382.

Seven & I Holdings Co Peers Comparison

Overall Rating
UnderperformOutperform
Sector (65)
Financial Indicators
Name
Overall Rating
Market Cap
P/E Ratio
ROE
Dividend Yield
Revenue Growth
EPS Growth
67
Neutral
$5.74T33.204.37%1.69%4.37%-21.44%
65
Neutral
$8.88B14.984.76%203.76%3.54%-2.49%
DE5FV
€2.26B18.2511.37%1.40%
DE59G
€6.04B37.2120.47%0.52%
78
Outperform
¥146.90B11.85
1.70%10.21%16.03%
78
Outperform
¥188.06B10.74
2.63%5.04%8.60%
74
Outperform
¥102.71B11.51
1.25%7.83%3.68%
* Consumer Defensive Sector Average
Performance Comparison
Ticker
Company Name
Price
Change
% Change
JP:3382
Seven & I Holdings Co
2,240.00
228.42
11.36%
DE:5FV
Yaoko Co., Ltd.
55.00
1.71
3.21%
DE:59G
Kobe Bussan Co., Ltd.
27.40
7.52
37.83%
JP:2742
Halows Co., Ltd.
4,880.00
678.20
16.14%
JP:8194
Life Corporation
2,117.00
99.20
4.92%
JP:9974
BELC Co., Ltd.
7,350.00
123.62
1.71%

Seven & I Holdings Co Corporate Events

Seven & i Holdings Announces Significant Share Buyback
Jun 2, 2025

Seven & i Holdings Co., Ltd. announced the acquisition of 24,944,000 of its own shares, amounting to approximately ¥55.6 billion, as part of a larger buyback program. This strategic move, conducted through the Tokyo Stock Exchange, is part of a board-approved plan to acquire up to 400 million shares, enhancing shareholder value and potentially impacting market dynamics.

The most recent analyst rating on (JP:3382) stock is a Hold with a Yen2800.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Seven & I Holdings Co stock, see the JP:3382 Stock Forecast page.

Seven & i Holdings Announces Share Buyback Plan
May 1, 2025

Seven & i Holdings Co., Ltd. announced the acquisition of 16,533,000 of its own shares at a total cost of ¥34,469,927,500. This move is part of a larger plan approved by the board to acquire up to 400,000,000 shares, representing 15.4% of outstanding shares, by February 2026, potentially impacting the company’s market positioning and shareholder value.

Seven & i Holdings Announces Leadership Restructuring
Apr 17, 2025

Seven & i Holdings Co., Ltd. announced significant changes in its management structure, including the reappointment of directors and audit members, and the appointment of a new Chairperson and Lead Independent Outside Director. These changes, effective May 27, 2025, are part of the company’s strategy to strengthen its leadership and enhance operational efficiency, potentially impacting its market positioning and stakeholder relations.

Seven & i Holdings Revises Director Compensation System
Apr 17, 2025

Seven & i Holdings Co., Ltd. announced a revision to its compensation system for directors and audit & supervisory board members, including a proposal to increase the monetary compensation upper limit and introduce a restricted stock unit plan. These changes aim to enhance corporate value by attracting globally experienced executive personnel and aligning compensation with business performance, reflecting the company’s commitment to strengthening its governance and competitive positioning.

Seven & i Holdings Proposes Capital Restructuring to Boost Strategy
Apr 17, 2025

Seven & i Holdings Co., Ltd. announced a proposal to decrease its additional paid-in capital by ¥450 billion, transferring this amount to other capital surplus. This strategic move aims to enhance the company’s future capital strategy and increase the amount available for distribution from retained earnings, although it is expected to have an insignificant effect on the company’s financial results.

Seven & i Holdings Corrects Financial Forecast for FY 2026
Apr 14, 2025

Seven & i Holdings Co., Ltd. announced a correction to its previously released consolidated financial results for the fiscal year ending February 2026. The correction pertains to the revenues from operations of its Domestic CVS operations, indicating a slight decrease in expected revenues. This adjustment may impact the company’s financial outlook and stakeholder expectations.

Seven & i Holdings Announces Share Repurchase Facility
Apr 9, 2025

Seven & i Holdings Co., Ltd. has announced the establishment of a facility for the repurchase of its own shares, aiming to buy back up to JPY 600 billion worth of shares by February 2026. This initiative is part of a broader strategy to repurchase JPY 2.0 trillion in capital by FY2030, reflecting the company’s commitment to enhancing shareholder value while maintaining flexibility for strategic investments and growth opportunities.

Seven & i Holdings Restructures with Major Subsidiary Transfers
Apr 9, 2025

Seven & i Holdings Co. announced the transfer of 29 companies, including 22 subsidiaries and 7 affiliates, to a subsidiary of Bain Capital’s acquisition company. This strategic move will impact the company’s earnings forecast for FY2025, reflecting only the first half performance of these entities. Additionally, the company plans to deconsolidate Seven Bank, Ltd. within FY2025, affecting its financial projections.

Seven & i Holdings Reports Decline in Income Despite Sales Growth
Apr 9, 2025

Seven & i Holdings Co. reported a decline in operating income and net income for the fiscal year ended February 28, 2025, despite an increase in total sales. The company’s financial position showed a slight improvement in net assets and owners’ equity ratio, but cash flow from operating activities increased significantly, indicating a strong cash generation capability. The dividend per share was reduced following a 3-for-1 stock split, reflecting a strategic adjustment in shareholder returns.

Seven & i Holdings Updates Corporate Governance Strategy
Mar 27, 2025

Seven & i Holdings Co., Ltd. has updated its corporate governance report, emphasizing its commitment to sustainable growth and increasing corporate value through effective governance practices. The company is focused on implementing management strategies that are conscious of capital costs and stock prices, as part of its Medium-Term Management Plan 2021-2025, to enhance cash flow and profitability, thereby strengthening its market position and stakeholder trust.

Glossary
OutperformA stock rated as "Outperform" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests that the stock is likely to deliver higher returns compared to the average returns of other stocks in the same sector or market index. Investors might consider this stock a good buying opportunity.
NeutralA stock rated as "Neutral" is expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the stock is neither particularly attractive nor unattractive for investment. Investors may consider holding onto the stock, as it is not expected to either significantly outperform or underperform the market.
UnderperformA stock rated as "Underperform" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests that the stock may deliver lower returns compared to the average returns of other stocks in the same sector or market index. Investors might consider selling the stock or avoiding it as an investment.

Disclaimer

This AI Analyst Stock Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in stocks carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.