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Seven & I Holdings Co (JP:3382)
:3382

Seven & I Holdings Co (3382) AI Stock Analysis

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JP:3382

Seven & I Holdings Co

(OTC:3382)

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Neutral 67 (OpenAI - 4o)
Rating:67Neutral
Price Target:
¥2,274.00
▲(12.83% Upside)
The overall stock score of 67 reflects a mixed financial performance with stable margins but declining revenue and cash flow. Technical indicators show moderate bullish momentum, while valuation metrics suggest limited upside. The earnings call presents a mixed sentiment with strategic initiatives and international growth, but also highlights challenges in key markets.
Positive Factors
Stable Profit Margins
Stable profit margins indicate efficient cost management and pricing strategies, which support long-term profitability and competitiveness.
Balanced Leverage
Balanced leverage suggests prudent financial management, providing flexibility for growth investments without overburdening the company with debt.
Strong Brand Portfolio
A strong brand portfolio enhances market presence and customer loyalty, supporting sustained revenue generation and competitive advantage.
Negative Factors
Declining Revenue Growth
Declining revenue growth can signal market share loss or reduced demand, potentially impacting long-term financial health and strategic positioning.
Negative Free Cash Flow Growth
Negative free cash flow growth may limit the company's ability to invest in new opportunities, affecting future growth and operational flexibility.
Modest Profitability
Modest profitability indicates limited efficiency in generating returns from equity, which could hinder the company's ability to attract investment and fuel growth.

Seven & I Holdings Co (3382) vs. iShares MSCI Japan ETF (EWJ)

Seven & I Holdings Co Business Overview & Revenue Model

Company DescriptionSeven & i Holdings Co., Ltd. engages in retail, food, financial, and IT businesses in Japan, North America, and internationally. It operates through seven segments: Domestic Convenience Store operations, Overseas Convenience Store Operations, Superstore Operations, Department Store Operations, Financial Services, Specialty Stores Operations, and Others. The company's Domestic Convenience Store Operations segment operates convenience stores comprising directly managed corporate stores and franchised stores. Its Overseas Convenience Store Operations segment engages in convenience store operation and gasoline retail businesses. The company's Superstore Operations segment operates retail business that provide daily life necessities, such as food and other daily necessities. Its Department Store Operations operates department stores that provide various merchandise products. The company's Financial Services segment offers banking, leasing, and credit card services. Its Specialty Store Operations segment operates specialty retail stores. The company's others segment engages in real estate and other businesses. It operates approximately 22,500 stores in Japan and 71,800 stores internationally. The company was incorporated in 2005 and is headquartered in Tokyo, Japan.
How the Company Makes MoneySeven & I Holdings generates revenue primarily through its extensive network of convenience stores, supermarkets, and department stores. The company earns money by selling a diverse array of products, including food, beverages, clothing, and household goods. Its convenience stores, especially the iconic Seven-Eleven outlets, are significant revenue drivers, capitalizing on high foot traffic and the demand for quick, accessible shopping options. Additionally, the company benefits from franchise fees and royalties from store operators. E-commerce activities also contribute to revenue growth, as the company adapts to changing consumer behaviors. Partnerships with various suppliers and brands enable the company to offer exclusive products and promotions, further enhancing its sales potential. Furthermore, strategic initiatives in logistics and supply chain management allow Seven & I to optimize costs and improve profitability.

Seven & I Holdings Co Earnings Call Summary

Earnings Call Date:Jan 09, 2025
(Q3-2025)
|
% Change Since: |
Next Earnings Date:Jan 08, 2026
Earnings Call Sentiment Neutral
The earnings call reflects a mixed picture with both positive initiatives showing promise, particularly in international operations and innovative strategies, but significant challenges in North American markets and operational profit declines impacting overall performance.
Q3-2025 Updates
Positive Updates
Revenue Growth in 7-Eleven International
Revenues from operations significantly increased compared to fiscal 2023, largely driven by the inclusion of Australia in consolidation. Despite a one-time expense, operating income would have increased without it.
Domestic CVS Business Recovery
Initiatives to improve customer numbers and same-store sales are showing results, with a notable increase in customer numbers. The 'pleasant value' products strategy has been particularly effective.
7-Eleven's Proprietary Products Drive Margin
Proprietary products, including fresh foods and beverages, are driving improvements in sales and customer traffic, with a 40.5% margin, outperforming the overall system margin of 33.3%.
7NOW Delivery Growth
7NOW delivery network is growing at a 24% rate on a same-store basis, with a goal of hitting $1 billion in sales by 2025. It offers a delivery time of 28 minutes or less.
Negative Updates
Operating Income Decline
Operating income was JPY 315.4 billion, a decrease of 76.9% year-on-year, showing a challenging environment, particularly in the U.S., affecting income.
Special Losses Impact
A significant amount of special losses, JPY 133.4 billion out of JPY 178.9 billion for 9 months, was recorded due to impairment losses and restructuring activities.
Challenges in North American Market
7-Eleven's Q3 results were below expectations due to inflationary pressures and disruptions like the CrowdStrike outage affecting sales systems.
Superstore Operations Struggle
Cumulative EBITDA for superstore operations fell short of the target due to rising costs and a slump in demand for clothing.
Company Guidance
During the Q3 2025 earnings call for Seven & i Holdings, extensive guidance was provided on various metrics and strategic initiatives. The company reported consolidated revenues from operations at JPY 9,069.5 billion, reflecting a 105.7% year-on-year increase but slightly missing the revised plan at 99.7%. Operating income was at JPY 315.4 billion, representing 76.9% year-on-year, a decrease of JPY 94.6 billion from the previous term, yet slightly above the revised plan at 102.3%. Net profit stood at JPY 63.6 billion, which is 34.9% of the previous term or a decline of JPY 118.5 billion, though it met 101% of the revised plan. The company is undergoing a strategic restructuring, aiming to complete these initiatives within the fiscal year to foster profit growth from 2025 onwards. Special losses recorded, including JPY 56.7 billion due to system integration and store closures, are expected to total JPY 149.6 billion for the full year. Additionally, Seven & i Holdings is focused on maximizing corporate value with an EBITDA target of over JPY 55 billion and a ROIC of more than 4% for fiscal 2025. In North America, 7-Eleven, Inc. is focusing on proprietary products with a margin of 40.5% and projected same-store sales of 1.5% for 2025. The global strategy includes expansion in Australia and Vietnam, aiming to double profit by 2030.

Seven & I Holdings Co Financial Statement Overview

Summary
Seven & I Holdings Co presents a mixed financial picture. While the company maintains stable profit margins and a balanced leverage position, the declining revenue and free cash flow growth rates are areas of concern. The company should focus on reversing these negative trends to enhance its financial performance and ensure long-term growth and stability.
Income Statement
65
Positive
Seven & I Holdings Co has shown a mixed performance in its income statement. The TTM data indicates a decline in revenue growth rate by 7.37%, which is concerning. However, the company maintains a stable gross profit margin of 28.34% and a net profit margin of 1.67%. The EBIT and EBITDA margins are moderate at 3.09% and 7.91%, respectively. The company needs to address the declining revenue trend to improve its financial health.
Balance Sheet
70
Positive
The balance sheet of Seven & I Holdings Co reflects a stable financial position with a debt-to-equity ratio of 1.07, indicating a balanced approach to leveraging. The return on equity is modest at 5.18%, suggesting moderate profitability. The equity ratio stands at 37.08%, showing a reasonable level of equity financing. Overall, the company maintains a stable balance sheet, but there is room for improvement in profitability.
Cash Flow
60
Neutral
The cash flow statement reveals some challenges for Seven & I Holdings Co. The free cash flow growth rate has declined by 17.58% in the TTM period, which is a concern. The operating cash flow to net income ratio is 0.25, and the free cash flow to net income ratio is 0.54, indicating that the company generates sufficient cash flow relative to its net income. However, the negative growth in free cash flow needs to be addressed to ensure long-term sustainability.
BreakdownTTMDec 2025Dec 2024Dec 2023Dec 2022Dec 2021
Income Statement
Total Revenue11.13T11.97T11.47T11.81T8.75T5.77T
Gross Profit3.05T3.06T3.02T2.94T2.45T2.07T
EBITDA1.01T905.53B840.83B927.94B705.04B529.90B
Net Income242.63B173.07B224.62B280.98B210.78B179.26B
Balance Sheet
Total Assets9.65T11.39T10.59T10.55T8.74T6.95T
Cash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments709.58B1.37T1.56T1.67T1.42T2.19T
Total Debt4.00T4.20T3.84T4.04T2.96T1.79T
Total Liabilities6.04T7.17T6.69T6.90T5.59T4.12T
Stockholders Equity3.58T4.03T3.72T3.47T2.98T2.67T
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow408.03B400.59B422.58B536.26B398.97B262.14B
Operating Cash Flow761.14B831.46B760.01B841.48B736.48B560.00B
Investing Cash Flow-1.01T-731.74B-428.82B-410.86B-2.51T-393.94B
Financing Cash Flow-494.26B-348.27B-467.05B-185.74B936.74B670.36B

Seven & I Holdings Co Technical Analysis

Technical Analysis Sentiment
Positive
Last Price2015.50
Price Trends
50DMA
2058.40
Positive
100DMA
2015.33
Positive
200DMA
2072.63
Positive
Market Momentum
MACD
43.18
Negative
RSI
64.61
Neutral
STOCH
89.18
Negative
Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For JP:3382, the sentiment is Positive. The current price of 2015.5 is below the 20-day moving average (MA) of 2147.95, below the 50-day MA of 2058.40, and below the 200-day MA of 2072.63, indicating a bullish trend. The MACD of 43.18 indicates Negative momentum. The RSI at 64.61 is Neutral, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 89.18 is Negative, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Positive sentiment for JP:3382.

Seven & I Holdings Co Peers Comparison

Overall Rating
UnderperformOutperform
Sector (62)
Financial Indicators
Name
Overall Rating
Market Cap
P/E Ratio
ROE
Dividend Yield
Revenue Growth
EPS Growth
76
Outperform
¥158.17B12.781.64%10.13%23.77%
76
Outperform
16.50%3.74%
72
Outperform
¥100.01B11.091.46%7.75%-1.68%
72
Outperform
¥222.61B12.322.43%4.48%13.17%
69
Neutral
¥846.81B26.6322.48%0.78%8.63%48.30%
67
Neutral
¥5.76T23.536.22%2.03%-3.40%26.42%
62
Neutral
$20.33B14.63-3.31%3.23%1.93%-12.26%
* Consumer Defensive Sector Average
Performance Comparison
Ticker
Company Name
Price
Change
% Change
JP:3382
Seven & I Holdings Co
2,221.50
-147.14
-6.21%
JP:8279
Yaoko Co., Ltd.
9,644.00
638.75
7.09%
JP:3038
Kobe Bussan Co., Ltd.
3,834.00
430.21
12.64%
JP:2742
Halows Co., Ltd.
4,670.00
755.16
19.29%
JP:8194
Life Corporation
2,573.00
898.51
53.66%
JP:9974
BELC Co., Ltd.
7,580.00
1,136.56
17.64%

Seven & I Holdings Co Corporate Events

Seven & i Holdings Advances Share Buyback Strategy
Dec 1, 2025

Seven & i Holdings Co., Ltd. announced the acquisition of 21,213,900 of its own shares, amounting to approximately ¥42.59 billion, conducted on the Tokyo Stock Exchange from November 1 to November 30, 2025. This move is part of a larger plan approved by the Board of Directors to acquire up to 400 million shares, representing 15.4% of outstanding shares, by February 2026, with a total budget of ¥600 billion, indicating a strategic effort to enhance shareholder value.

Seven & i Holdings Announces Share Buyback Progress
Nov 4, 2025

Seven & i Holdings Co., Ltd. announced the acquisition of 25,932,000 of its own shares, amounting to approximately ¥50.97 billion, during October 2025. This move is part of a broader strategy approved by the Board of Directors to acquire up to 400 million shares by February 2026, aiming to enhance shareholder value and optimize capital structure.

Seven & I Holdings Announces Strategic Deconsolidation of Key Subsidiaries
Oct 9, 2025

Seven & I Holdings Co. has announced the deconsolidation of Seven Bank, Ltd. and its subsidiaries, along with 29 companies from its supermarket and specialty store businesses, effective in the second half of the fiscal year ending February 28, 2026. This strategic move aims to reflect these entities as equity method affiliates in the company’s financial statements, potentially impacting its financial performance and market positioning.

Seven & i Holdings Reports Mixed Financial Results for First Half of 2025
Oct 9, 2025

Seven & i Holdings Co., Ltd. reported a decrease in revenues for the first half of 2025, with a 6.9% drop compared to the previous year. Despite this, the company saw a significant increase in net income attributable to owners of the parent, rising by 133.1%. The company has announced a dividend increase for the fiscal year ending February 2026, reflecting a positive outlook despite the revenue decline. The company has also revised its business results forecast and plans to acquire its own shares, which may impact earnings per share.

Seven & i Holdings Announces Significant Share Buyback
Oct 1, 2025

Seven & i Holdings Co., Ltd. has announced the acquisition of 35,217,100 of its own shares at a cost of ¥69,255,750,450, conducted on the Tokyo Stock Exchange from September 1 to September 30, 2025. This move is part of a larger plan approved by the Board of Directors to acquire up to 400 million shares by February 2026, aiming to enhance shareholder value and optimize capital structure.

Glossary
BuyA stock rated as a "Buy" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock is likely to deliver higher returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
HoldA stock rated as a "Hold" is expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the stock is neither particularly compelling nor unfavorable for investment. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
SellA stock rated as a "Sell" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock may deliver lower returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.

Disclaimer

This AI Analyst Stock Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in stocks carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.Date of analysis: Dec 07, 2025