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Nomura Real Estate Holdings (JP:3231)
:3231
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Nomura Real Estate Holdings (3231) AI Stock Analysis

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JP:3231

Nomura Real Estate Holdings

(3231)

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Neutral 56 (OpenAI - 5.2)
Rating:56Neutral
Price Target:
¥919.00
▼(-2.64% Downside)
Action:Reiterated
Date:04/26/26
The score is driven mainly by solid revenue/profitability trends but constrained by uneven cash conversion and meaningful leverage. Technical signals are bearish (negative MACD and below major moving averages), while valuation is moderately supportive due to a reasonable P/E and ~4% dividend yield.
Positive Factors
Diversified revenue streams
The company operates complementary lines—development, leasing, property/facility management and asset management—creating multiple, offsetting cash flow sources. This diversification reduces reliance on single-cycle sales, supports recurring fee income and improves resilience across real estate cycles over months.
Negative Factors
High leverage
Debt/equity of ~2.0x is material and typical for development-led real estate, but it raises refinancing, interest-rate and valuation risks. Elevated leverage can constrain capital flexibility, amplify earnings volatility and increase vulnerability if funding conditions tighten over coming months.
Read all positive and negative factors
Positive Factors
Negative Factors
Diversified revenue streams
The company operates complementary lines—development, leasing, property/facility management and asset management—creating multiple, offsetting cash flow sources. This diversification reduces reliance on single-cycle sales, supports recurring fee income and improves resilience across real estate cycles over months.
Read all positive factors

Nomura Real Estate Holdings (3231) vs. iShares MSCI Japan ETF (EWJ)

Nomura Real Estate Holdings Business Overview & Revenue Model

Company Description
Nomura Real Estate Holdings, Inc., a prominent real estate enterprise, conducts its wide-ranging operations across Japan and in international markets. The company is actively involved in the entire lifecycle of various property types, from develop...
How the Company Makes Money
Nomura Real Estate Holdings primarily earns revenue through multiple real-estate-linked businesses: (1) Property development and sales: The group develops residential condominiums and homes and recognizes revenue and profit from selling these unit...

Nomura Real Estate Holdings Earnings Call Summary

Earnings Call Date:Oct 25, 2024
(Q2-2024)
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% Change Since: |
Next Earnings Date:Jul 23, 2026
Earnings Call Sentiment Neutral
The earnings call reflected a strong performance in domestic operations, particularly in residential and commercial real estate. Challenges were noted in net income and overseas operations, specifically due to extraordinary losses and market conditions in the U.K. However, shareholder returns and strategic asset management were positive aspects.
Positive Updates
Record Operating Revenue
Operating revenue for the second quarter was JPY 368.3 billion, indicating strong performance in the Residential and Commercial Real Estate business units.
Negative Updates
Net Income Decline
Net income decreased by JPY 0.9 billion, a 2.7% decline due to extraordinary losses including impairment losses on intangible assets.
Read all updates
Q2-2024 Updates
Negative
Record Operating Revenue
Operating revenue for the second quarter was JPY 368.3 billion, indicating strong performance in the Residential and Commercial Real Estate business units.
Read all positive updates
Company Guidance
During the Nomura Real Estate Holdings earnings call for the second quarter of fiscal year 2024, several key metrics and guidance were highlighted. The company reported consolidated operating revenue of JPY 368.3 billion, with a business profit of JPY 61.4 billion, marking a 17.2% increase from the previous year, mainly due to strong performance in residential and commercial real estate development. Despite this, net income decreased by 2.7% to JPY 32.9 billion, attributed to extraordinary losses, including impairment losses from their U.K. subsidiary, Lothbury. The company maintained its full-year forecast, with expectations of continued strong sales in housing and property development. Shareholder returns were emphasized, with a planned dividend of JPY 130 per share and a total return ratio of 45.5%. The call also discussed strategic land acquisitions worth JPY 183 billion and a land bank of approximately JPY 1.8 trillion, positioning the company for mid- to long-term growth, while overseas business units are in an expansion phase with investments totaling JPY 610 billion.

Nomura Real Estate Holdings Financial Statement Overview

Summary
Income statement strength (score 78) is tempered by a leveraged balance sheet (score 56; debt/equity ~2.0x) and weak/volatile cash generation (cash flow score 41; inconsistent OCF and near-breakeven FCF in 2026 despite strong net income).
Income Statement
78
Positive
Balance Sheet
56
Neutral
Cash Flow
41
Neutral
BreakdownMar 2026Mar 2026Mar 2025Mar 2024Mar 2023
Income Statement
Total Revenue942.50B757.64B734.72B654.74B645.05B
Gross Profit273.22B245.71B224.02B202.07B185.81B
EBITDA157.70B141.03B131.19B118.90B109.37B
Net Income82.88B74.83B68.16B64.52B55.31B
Balance Sheet
Total Assets2.81T2.69T2.25T2.11T2.04T
Cash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments169.83B140.32B102.96B61.38B102.91B
Total Debt1.60T1.55T1.19T1.12T991.74B
Total Liabilities2.01T1.94T1.56T1.45T1.42T
Stockholders Equity801.32B750.18B691.28B653.96B619.69B
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow3.40B-251.43B19.52B-89.01B21.25B
Operating Cash Flow72.57B-84.09B85.54B-44.94B57.87B
Investing Cash Flow-58.97B-203.36B-83.64B-62.90B-46.28B
Financing Cash Flow15.54B318.46B39.92B65.67B-9.62B

Nomura Real Estate Holdings Technical Analysis

Technical Analysis Sentiment
Neutral
Last Price943.90
Price Trends
50DMA
978.83
Negative
100DMA
1013.68
Negative
200DMA
964.24
Negative
Market Momentum
MACD
-13.04
Negative
RSI
50.16
Neutral
STOCH
68.52
Neutral
Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For JP:3231, the sentiment is Neutral. The current price of 943.9 is above the 20-day moving average (MA) of 916.78, below the 50-day MA of 978.83, and below the 200-day MA of 964.24, indicating a neutral trend. The MACD of -13.04 indicates Negative momentum. The RSI at 50.16 is Neutral, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 68.52 is Neutral, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Neutral sentiment for JP:3231.

Nomura Real Estate Holdings Peers Comparison

Overall Rating
UnderperformOutperform
Sector (65)
Financial Indicators
Name
Overall Rating
Market Cap
P/E Ratio
ROE
Dividend Yield
Revenue Growth
EPS Growth
65
Neutral
$2.17B12.193.79%4.94%3.15%1.96%
65
Neutral
¥1.32T11.4513.29%3.25%24.50%11.52%
65
Neutral
¥687.29B14.1510.59%2.94%-5.83%-26.32%
62
Neutral
¥193.05B10.9716.39%2.38%11.56%14.99%
61
Neutral
¥115.55B7.3415.81%2.93%12.51%12.42%
56
Neutral
¥859.66B9.707.40%3.68%24.40%11.46%
56
Neutral
¥3.33T16.009.64%0.97%4.29%12.76%
* Real Estate Sector Average
Performance Comparison
Ticker
Company Name
Price
Change
% Change
JP:3231
Nomura Real Estate Holdings
939.10
131.54
16.29%
JP:3003
Hulic Co
1,739.50
345.57
24.79%
JP:2337
Ichigo
445.00
62.51
16.34%
JP:8934
Sun Frontier Fudousan Co
2,385.00
411.88
20.87%
JP:8830
Sumitomo Realty & Development Co
3,685.00
802.72
27.85%
JP:8804
Tokyo Tatemono Co
3,371.00
848.78
33.65%

Nomura Real Estate Holdings Corporate Events

Nomura Real Estate Lifts Revenue and Profit, Hikes Dividend and Forecasts Further Growth
Apr 24, 2026
Nomura Real Estate Holdings reported strong results for the fiscal year ended March 31, 2026, with operating revenue rising 24.4% to ¥942.5 billion and profit attributable to owners of the parent up 10.8% to ¥82.9 billion, supported by h...
Glossary
BuyA stock rated as a "Buy" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock is likely to deliver higher returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
HoldA stock rated as a "Hold" is expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the stock is neither particularly compelling nor unfavorable for investment. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
SellA stock rated as a "Sell" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock may deliver lower returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.

Disclaimer

This AI Analyst Stock Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in stocks carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.Date of analysis: Apr 26, 2026