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Nomura Real Estate Holdings (JP:3231)
:3231
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Nomura Real Estate Holdings (3231) AI Stock Analysis

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Nomura Real Estate Holdings

(OTC:3231)

Rating:78Outperform
Price Target:
¥981.00
▲(12.76%Upside)
Nomura Real Estate Holdings receives a strong score due to its robust financial performance highlighted by revenue growth and profitability, despite some financial risks from leverage and cash flow challenges. Positive technical indicators and attractive valuation metrics further strengthen its investment case.

Nomura Real Estate Holdings (3231) vs. iShares MSCI Japan ETF (EWJ)

Nomura Real Estate Holdings Business Overview & Revenue Model

Company DescriptionNomura Real Estate Holdings Inc. is a prominent real estate company based in Japan, engaged in the development, leasing, and management of residential, office, and commercial properties. The company operates through several segments, including Residential Development, Leasing, Investment Management, Property Brokerage & CRE, and Property & Facility Management. Nomura Real Estate Holdings is recognized for its expertise in creating high-quality living spaces and urban development projects, catering to a diverse clientele ranging from individual homeowners to corporate and institutional clients.
How the Company Makes MoneyNomura Real Estate Holdings generates revenue through multiple streams. The Residential Development segment is a key revenue driver, focusing on the sale of condominiums and detached housing. The Leasing segment contributes through rental income from office buildings, commercial facilities, and other properties. The Investment Management segment earns management fees from real estate investment trusts (REITs) and private funds. Additionally, the Property Brokerage & CRE segment facilitates real estate transactions, earning commissions and fees in the process. The Property & Facility Management segment provides building management, maintenance, and related services, generating additional income. Strategic partnerships and joint ventures in various real estate projects also enhance the company's earnings potential.

Nomura Real Estate Holdings Earnings Call Summary

Earnings Call Date:Apr 24, 2025
(Q2-2024)
|
% Change Since: -1.82%|
Next Earnings Date:Jul 30, 2025
Earnings Call Sentiment Neutral
The earnings call reflected a strong performance in domestic operations, particularly in residential and commercial real estate. Challenges were noted in net income and overseas operations, specifically due to extraordinary losses and market conditions in the U.K. However, shareholder returns and strategic asset management were positive aspects.
Q2-2024 Updates
Positive Updates
Record Operating Revenue
Operating revenue for the second quarter was JPY 368.3 billion, indicating strong performance in the Residential and Commercial Real Estate business units.
Increase in Business Profit
Business profit increased by JPY 8.9 billion, a 17.2% rise compared to the same period last year, driven by higher income in residential and commercial real estate development.
Consistent Shareholder Returns
Plan to raise full year dividend to JPY 130 per share for the 12th consecutive year and acquire treasury shares up to JPY 7 billion, resulting in a total return ratio of 45.5%.
Strong Residential Development Performance
Improved gross profit ratio in housing sales and higher rental housing sales with a total of JPY 16.8 billion in sales.
Strategic Asset Replacement
Commercial Real Estate Business Unit saw overall operating revenue and business profit improvement despite a decrease in office rental revenue.
Improved Vacancy Rate
Vacancy rate of leased assets averaged 4.0%, a 0.5 percentage point improvement from the previous quarter.
Property Brokerage & CRE Division Growth
Operating revenue increased due to higher brokerage transaction volume in both retail and wholesale sectors.
Property & Facility Management Expansion
Sales increased due to a higher number of housing units under management and an increase in sales of construction work on order.
Negative Updates
Net Income Decline
Net income decreased by JPY 0.9 billion, a 2.7% decline due to extraordinary losses including impairment losses on intangible assets.
Challenges in Overseas Business
Overseas business profit was lower year-on-year due to timing issues, with specific declines in Vietnam despite progress in Thailand.
Lothbury's Impairment Loss
Faced increasing cancellations by investors leading to impairment loss at U.K.-based Lothbury due to a sharp rise in interest rates.
Company Guidance
During the Nomura Real Estate Holdings earnings call for the second quarter of fiscal year 2024, several key metrics and guidance were highlighted. The company reported consolidated operating revenue of JPY 368.3 billion, with a business profit of JPY 61.4 billion, marking a 17.2% increase from the previous year, mainly due to strong performance in residential and commercial real estate development. Despite this, net income decreased by 2.7% to JPY 32.9 billion, attributed to extraordinary losses, including impairment losses from their U.K. subsidiary, Lothbury. The company maintained its full-year forecast, with expectations of continued strong sales in housing and property development. Shareholder returns were emphasized, with a planned dividend of JPY 130 per share and a total return ratio of 45.5%. The call also discussed strategic land acquisitions worth JPY 183 billion and a land bank of approximately JPY 1.8 trillion, positioning the company for mid- to long-term growth, while overseas business units are in an expansion phase with investments totaling JPY 610 billion.

Nomura Real Estate Holdings Financial Statement Overview

Summary
Nomura Real Estate Holdings demonstrates robust revenue growth and improved profitability margins. However, increased leverage and recent negative cash flows highlight potential financial risks, necessitating careful monitoring of cash flow management and leverage levels.
Income Statement
75
Positive
Nomura Real Estate Holdings has shown a consistent growth trajectory, with Total Revenue increasing from 580.66B JPY in 2021 to 757.64B JPY in 2025. The Gross Profit Margin increased from 31.52% in 2021 to 35.19% in 2025, indicating stronger profitability. Net Profit Margin improved to 9.87% in 2025 from 7.27% in 2021, showing enhanced efficiency in converting revenue to profit. However, the company faces challenges with fluctuating EBIT and EBITDA margins, which suggests some volatility in operational efficiency.
Balance Sheet
70
Positive
The balance sheet reflects a solid equity base with Stockholders' Equity growing from 584.73B JPY in 2021 to 750.18B JPY in 2025. The Debt-to-Equity ratio increased from 1.72 in 2021 to 2.06 in 2025, indicating rising leverage, which could pose a risk if not managed carefully. The Equity Ratio decreased slightly over the years, suggesting increased reliance on debt. Despite this, the company has maintained a strong asset base.
Cash Flow
65
Positive
The company's cash flow statement shows a challenging scenario with negative Free Cash Flow in 2025 at -251.43B JPY, a significant decline from a positive 4.87B JPY in 2024. The Operating Cash Flow also turned negative in 2025, indicating operational cash challenges. Despite these issues, the company has managed substantial Financing Cash Flows, which have helped support its capital expenditures and debt obligations.
BreakdownMar 2025Mar 2024Mar 2023Mar 2022Mar 2021
Income Statement
Total Revenue757.64B734.72B654.74B645.05B580.66B
Gross Profit266.60B244.47B222.66B205.31B183.06B
EBITDA139.85B132.56B120.19B110.30B96.36B
Net Income74.83B68.16B64.52B55.31B42.20B
Balance Sheet
Total Assets2.69T2.25T2.11T2.04T1.92T
Cash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments140.32B102.96B61.38B102.91B100.39B
Total Debt1.55T1.19T1.12T1.02T1.01T
Total Liabilities1.94T1.56T1.45T1.42T1.33T
Stockholders Equity750.18B691.28B653.96B619.69B584.73B
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow-251.43B4.87B-86.87B16.18B-109.17B
Operating Cash Flow-84.09B70.88B-42.81B52.79B-63.50B
Investing Cash Flow-203.36B-83.64B-62.90B-46.28B-55.79B
Financing Cash Flow318.46B39.92B65.67B-9.62B112.38B

Nomura Real Estate Holdings Technical Analysis

Technical Analysis Sentiment
Positive
Last Price870.00
Price Trends
50DMA
851.23
Positive
100DMA
852.27
Positive
200DMA
806.59
Positive
Market Momentum
MACD
4.89
Negative
RSI
58.24
Neutral
STOCH
78.51
Neutral
Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For JP:3231, the sentiment is Positive. The current price of 870 is above the 20-day moving average (MA) of 854.80, above the 50-day MA of 851.23, and above the 200-day MA of 806.59, indicating a bullish trend. The MACD of 4.89 indicates Negative momentum. The RSI at 58.24 is Neutral, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 78.51 is Neutral, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Positive sentiment for JP:3231.

Nomura Real Estate Holdings Peers Comparison

Overall Rating
UnderperformOutperform
Sector (70)
Financial Indicators
Name
Overall Rating
Market Cap
P/E Ratio
ROE
Dividend Yield
Revenue Growth
EPS Growth
81
Outperform
¥188.76B11.96
2.35%8.04%167.85%
78
Outperform
$802.12B10.1010.23%3.99%3.12%10.48%
76
Outperform
$540.82B7.8812.90%3.71%26.88%75.98%
75
Outperform
¥1.13T10.8412.74%3.86%45.14%17.11%
73
Outperform
$181.19B12.8613.04%2.42%-26.42%1.17%
70
Neutral
¥2.65T13.808.93%1.25%4.81%8.36%
70
Neutral
¥234.54B14.3810.62%3.72%17.89%20.82%
* Real Estate Sector Average
Performance Comparison
Ticker
Company Name
Price
Change
% Change
JP:3231
Nomura Real Estate Holdings
870.00
30.13
3.59%
JP:1766
Token Corporation
13,940.00
2,526.21
22.13%
JP:2337
Ichigo
373.00
-53.00
-12.44%
JP:8830
Sumitomo Realty & Development Co
5,524.00
451.35
8.90%
JP:8804
Tokyo Tatemono Co
2,564.50
-49.48
-1.89%
JP:3003
Hulic Co
1,465.50
16.67
1.15%

Nomura Real Estate Holdings Corporate Events

Nomura Real Estate Emphasizes Independence Amid Significant Stake by Nomura Holdings
Jun 26, 2025

Nomura Real Estate Holdings announced its relationship with Nomura Holdings, which holds a 37.23% voting stake in the company. Despite this significant shareholding, Nomura Real Estate maintains its independence in governance and decision-making, ensuring that transactions with Nomura Holdings are conducted at arm’s length, thus protecting minority shareholders.

The most recent analyst rating on (JP:3231) stock is a Buy with a Yen4300.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Nomura Real Estate Holdings stock, see the JP:3231 Stock Forecast page.

Nomura Real Estate Unveils Ambitious 2030 Business Plan
Apr 24, 2025

Nomura Real Estate Group has announced a new business plan extending to 2030, following the successful achievement of its previous targets. The plan outlines a long-term management policy and a three-year strategy to enhance customer-centric value creation, financial growth, and sustainable development. The company aims for high profit growth, improved asset and capital efficiency, and robust collaboration across its sectors to secure a strong market position and meet evolving customer needs.

Nomura Real Estate Holdings Reports Strong Financial Growth and Announces Stock Split
Apr 24, 2025

Nomura Real Estate Holdings reported a significant increase in its financial performance for the fiscal year ending March 31, 2025, with comprehensive income rising by 36.7% compared to the previous year. The company also announced a stock split and an increase in dividends, reflecting its strong financial position and commitment to returning value to shareholders.

Glossary
BuyA stock rated as a "Buy" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock is likely to deliver higher returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
HoldA stock rated as a "Hold" is expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the stock is neither particularly compelling nor unfavorable for investment. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
SellA stock rated as a "Sell" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock may deliver lower returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.

Disclaimer

This AI Analyst Stock Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in stocks carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.Date of analysis: Jul 10, 2025