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Okamura Foods Co. Ltd. (JP:2938)
:2938
Japanese Market

Okamura Foods Co. Ltd. (2938) AI Stock Analysis

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JP:2938

Okamura Foods Co. Ltd.

(2938)

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Neutral 63 (OpenAI - 5.2)
Rating:63Neutral
Price Target:
¥1,130.00
▲(8.24% Upside)
The overall stock score is primarily influenced by strong financial performance, despite cash flow volatility. Technical analysis indicates neutral momentum, and valuation metrics suggest the stock is relatively expensive with limited dividend yield.
Positive Factors
Revenue Growth
A 56.6% revenue increase signals durable demand and effective expansion across products, channels and exports. Sustained top-line growth creates scale economics, funds R&D and capacity investments, and strengthens negotiating leverage with retailers and food-service partners over months.
Profit Margins
Healthy gross and net margins reflect effective cost management and pricing power in processed foods. Sustained margin levels support internal funding for innovation and quality controls, improving competitive differentiation and long-term cash generation resilience across business cycles.
Improved Capital Structure
An improving, moderate debt-to-equity ratio and stable equity ratio indicate a stronger capital structure and reduced financial risk. Lower leverage decreases refinancing pressure, preserves flexibility for capex or strategic initiatives, and enhances resilience through industry cycles.
Negative Factors
Cash Flow Volatility
Positive free cash flow is encouraging, but historical volatility undermines predictability for reinvestment, dividends and working-capital needs. Inconsistent cash generation increases reliance on external funding for capex or inventory and can constrain strategic execution over the medium term.
Negative EPS Growth
Slight negative EPS growth (-2.58%) despite strong revenue suggests earnings are not scaling proportionately. Persistent EPS weakness can erode retained earnings and shareholder returns, and may reflect margin pressure, cost increases or recurring non-operating items needing structural remediation.
Declining ROE and Leverage Watch
A declining ROE, even if still positive, signals reduced efficiency in converting equity into profits. Coupled with management guidance to monitor leverage, this suggests limited headroom for aggressive capital allocation and the need for operational improvements to restore shareholder return levels.

Okamura Foods Co. Ltd. (2938) vs. iShares MSCI Japan ETF (EWJ)

Okamura Foods Co. Ltd. Business Overview & Revenue Model

Company DescriptionOkamura Foods Co., Ltd. farms, produces, and sells salmon trout in Japan and internationally. The company also processes and sells as salmon roe, sujiko, herring roe, raw salmon sushi toppings, baked grilled fish, and boiled fish. In addition, it wholesales marine products. The company was founded in 1971 and is headquartered in Aomori, Japan.
How the Company Makes MoneyOkamura Foods generates revenue through multiple channels, primarily by selling its processed food products to both retail and wholesale markets. Key revenue streams include direct sales to supermarkets, convenience stores, and food service providers, as well as exporting products to international markets. The company also benefits from strategic partnerships with major retail chains, which help enhance its distribution reach. Additionally, Okamura Foods invests in research and development to create new products that align with consumer trends, further driving sales and expanding their market presence.

Okamura Foods Co. Ltd. Financial Statement Overview

Summary
Okamura Foods Co. Ltd. shows strong revenue growth and profitability, with a stable balance sheet. However, cash flow volatility and the need for improved cash management slightly temper the overall financial performance.
Income Statement
85
Very Positive
Okamura Foods Co. Ltd. has demonstrated strong revenue growth, with a significant increase of 56.6% in the latest year. The company maintains healthy gross and net profit margins, indicating efficient cost management and profitability. However, the EBIT and EBITDA margins have shown slight fluctuations over the years, suggesting some variability in operational efficiency.
Balance Sheet
70
Positive
The company's balance sheet reflects a moderate debt-to-equity ratio, which has improved over the past year. Return on equity has decreased but remains positive, indicating that the company is generating returns on shareholders' investments. The equity ratio suggests a stable capital structure, though the company should monitor its leverage to avoid potential risks.
Cash Flow
60
Neutral
Cash flow analysis reveals a positive shift in free cash flow growth, moving from negative to positive territory. The operating cash flow to net income ratio has improved, indicating better cash generation relative to net income. However, historical volatility in free cash flow suggests potential challenges in maintaining consistent cash flow generation.
BreakdownTTMDec 2024Dec 2023Dec 2022Dec 2021Dec 2020
Income Statement
Total Revenue35.34B35.34B32.66B28.94B24.10B20.21B
Gross Profit7.39B7.39B6.46B6.95B5.92B4.11B
EBITDA4.42B4.47B4.33B4.46B4.04B2.21B
Net Income2.02B2.02B1.97B2.39B2.25B992.00M
Balance Sheet
Total Assets41.27B41.27B39.17B30.11B24.33B17.39B
Cash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments4.42B4.42B4.83B2.06B1.96B1.94B
Total Debt17.29B17.29B18.89B15.00B11.57B9.02B
Total Liabilities25.23B25.23B25.02B20.14B16.88B12.12B
Stockholders Equity16.04B16.04B14.15B9.97B7.45B5.27B
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow0.001.57B-2.06B-3.27B-2.54B2.12B
Operating Cash Flow0.003.54B277.00M-1.14B-863.00M3.61B
Investing Cash Flow0.00-1.99B-2.34B-2.13B-1.63B-1.20B
Financing Cash Flow0.00-1.93B4.73B3.30B2.46B-2.69B

Okamura Foods Co. Ltd. Technical Analysis

Technical Analysis Sentiment
Neutral
Last Price1044.00
Price Trends
50DMA
1084.66
Positive
100DMA
1145.51
Negative
200DMA
1104.09
Positive
Market Momentum
MACD
16.50
Negative
RSI
56.67
Neutral
STOCH
31.37
Neutral
Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For JP:2938, the sentiment is Neutral. The current price of 1044 is below the 20-day moving average (MA) of 1101.50, below the 50-day MA of 1084.66, and below the 200-day MA of 1104.09, indicating a bullish trend. The MACD of 16.50 indicates Negative momentum. The RSI at 56.67 is Neutral, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 31.37 is Neutral, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Neutral sentiment for JP:2938.

Okamura Foods Co. Ltd. Peers Comparison

Overall Rating
UnderperformOutperform
Sector (62)
Financial Indicators
Name
Overall Rating
Market Cap
P/E Ratio
ROE
Dividend Yield
Revenue Growth
EPS Growth
72
Outperform
¥23.84B10.662.81%5.47%44.78%
72
Outperform
¥22.04B4.382.46%5.27%9.51%
70
Neutral
¥95.95B11.973.59%4.55%79.33%
65
Neutral
¥38.12B11.380.72%-2.02%103.08%
64
Neutral
¥74.48B37.741.86%4.41%-41.71%
63
Neutral
¥56.23B28.300.34%4.70%-2.58%
62
Neutral
$20.33B14.63-3.31%3.23%1.93%-12.26%
* Consumer Defensive Sector Average
Performance Comparison
Ticker
Company Name
Price
Change
% Change
JP:2938
Okamura Foods Co. Ltd.
1,124.00
433.02
62.67%
JP:1381
AXYZ Co., Ltd.
4,245.00
1,654.44
63.86%
JP:2292
S Foods Inc.
3,035.00
724.56
31.36%
JP:2874
YOKOREI CO. LTD.
1,266.00
437.43
52.79%
JP:8041
OUG Holdings Inc.
3,975.00
1,422.77
55.75%
JP:9955
Yonkyu Co., Ltd.
3,110.00
1,048.80
50.88%

Okamura Foods Co. Ltd. Corporate Events

Okamura Foods Reports Mixed Quarterly Results with Positive Future Outlook
Nov 14, 2025

Okamura Foods Co., Ltd. reported its consolidated financial results for the three months ending September 30, 2025, showing a 3.2% increase in net sales compared to the previous year. However, the company experienced a decline in operating profit and profit attributable to owners of the parent by 5.4% and 6.7%, respectively. Despite these challenges, the company forecasts a significant increase in net sales and profits for the fiscal year ending June 30, 2026, indicating a positive outlook for future growth.

The most recent analyst rating on (JP:2938) stock is a Hold with a Yen1296.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Okamura Foods Co. Ltd. stock, see the JP:2938 Stock Forecast page.

Okamura Foods Expands with New Hong Kong Subsidiary
Nov 11, 2025

Okamura Foods Co., Ltd. has established a wholly-owned subsidiary in Hong Kong, named OKAMURA TRADING (HONG KONG) COMPANY LIMITED, as part of its strategic expansion. The new subsidiary, which was officially established on November 10, 2025, is expected to have an immaterial impact on the company’s consolidated results for the fiscal year ending June 2026.

The most recent analyst rating on (JP:2938) stock is a Hold with a Yen1296.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Okamura Foods Co. Ltd. stock, see the JP:2938 Stock Forecast page.

Okamura Foods Completes New Share Issuance for Restricted Stock Compensation
Oct 27, 2025

Okamura Foods Co., Ltd. has completed the payment procedures for issuing new shares as restricted stock compensation, as resolved in their September board meeting. This issuance involves 27,356 shares at a price of JPY1,254 per share, amounting to a total of JPY34,304,424, and is allocated to select directors and employees, potentially impacting the company’s equity structure and stakeholder interests.

The most recent analyst rating on (JP:2938) stock is a Hold with a Yen1296.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Okamura Foods Co. Ltd. stock, see the JP:2938 Stock Forecast page.

Okamura Foods Finalizes Equity Compensation Stock Options
Oct 24, 2025

Okamura Foods Co., Ltd. has finalized the details of equity compensation stock options for directors of its subsidiaries. The allocation involves 5,583 stock options, each valued at 1,211 yen, calculated using the Black-Scholes model, and will be offset against compensation claims owed to the company.

The most recent analyst rating on (JP:2938) stock is a Hold with a Yen1296.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Okamura Foods Co. Ltd. stock, see the JP:2938 Stock Forecast page.

Glossary
BuyA stock rated as a "Buy" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock is likely to deliver higher returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
HoldA stock rated as a "Hold" is expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the stock is neither particularly compelling nor unfavorable for investment. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
SellA stock rated as a "Sell" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock may deliver lower returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.

Disclaimer

This AI Analyst Stock Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in stocks carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.Date of analysis: Oct 29, 2025