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Showa Sangyo Co., Ltd. (JP:2004)
:2004
Japanese Market

Showa Sangyo Co., Ltd. (2004) AI Stock Analysis

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JP:2004

Showa Sangyo Co., Ltd.

(2004)

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Outperform 71 (OpenAI - 5.2)
Rating:71Outperform
Price Target:
¥3,740.00
▲(24.05% Upside)
Action:UpgradedDate:10/30/25
Showa Sangyo Co., Ltd. scores well due to its stable financial performance and attractive valuation. The company's strong equity base and effective cost management support its financial health. The stock's valuation is appealing with a reasonable P/E ratio and a solid dividend yield. Technical indicators are mixed, with some positive momentum but no strong signals. Overall, the stock is a solid performer in the agricultural farm products industry.
Positive Factors
Diversified Business Model
Showa Sangyo's mix of flour, edible oils and value-added processed foods across B2B and retail channels reduces reliance on any single end market. This product and channel diversification supports steadier volumes and revenue resilience versus pure-commodity peers over a multi-month horizon.
Strong Balance Sheet
A solid equity base and moderate leverage lower refinancing and solvency risk, giving the company flexibility to fund working capital for seasonal grain purchases, absorb input price swings, and invest in operations without excessive financial strain over 2–6 months.
Margin Resilience
Maintained gross and EBITDA margins despite a modest revenue decline indicate effective cost control and processing-spread management. This operational discipline supports sustainable earnings and cash flow generation capacity through near-term commodity cycles.
Negative Factors
Revenue Decline
A falling top line reduces operating leverage and limits the company's ability to grow earnings organically. If volume or pricing headwinds persist, management will need to find new sales channels or product gains to restore growth and fully leverage fixed milling and processing capacity.
Free Cash Flow Constraints
Weak and declining free cash flow constrains capacity to fund capex, working capital needs, debt paydown or dividend increases without tapping equity or debt markets. Over several months this reduces strategic flexibility, especially in a business with seasonal procurement needs.
Commodity Input Exposure
Heavy reliance on agricultural commodities exposes margins to raw-material price volatility and supply disruptions. Sustained commodity swings can compress processing spreads and profitability unless hedging or pricing power offsets the input-cost pass-through risk.

Showa Sangyo Co., Ltd. (2004) vs. iShares MSCI Japan ETF (EWJ)

Showa Sangyo Co., Ltd. Business Overview & Revenue Model

Company DescriptionShowa Sangyo Co., Ltd. manufactures, processes, and sells food products in Japan. Its household foods business offers a range of food products, including vegetable oils, wheat flour, tempura batter mixes, hotcake mixes and other premixes, pasta, health foods, and gift sets for home use. The company's flour milling business provides wheat flour and premixes. Its vegetable oils business produces vegetable oils, such as refined soybean oils, salad oils, specialty oils for cooking tempura, deep-fried foods, and donuts; functional and healthy premium oils; and soybean meals, soybean proteins, and commercial-use premixes and pasta. The company's starches and sweeteners business produces cornstarch, modified starch, and corn sweeteners, including dextrose, high fructose corn syrup, corn syrup, powdered corn syrup, dextrin, and isomalto-oligosaccharides. Its animal feed business supplies animal feed for poultry, swine, cows, beef cattle, and fish farming; egg packs for household consumption and foods made from processing eggs; and fertilizers, as well as operates pig-fattening farms. The company's warehousing business operates refrigerated and frozen warehouses; and provides freight transportation services. Its real estate business develops commercial facilities; and leases office and commercial buildings, distribution facilities, and land for business use. Showa Sangyo Co., Ltd. was incorporated in 1936 and is headquartered in Tokyo, Japan.
How the Company Makes MoneyShowa Sangyo Co., Ltd. generates revenue primarily through the trading of chemicals and industrial materials. The company acts as an intermediary between manufacturers and end-users, earning profits from the markup on products it sells. Key revenue streams include the sale of chemical products, plastics, and other industrial materials, along with potential consulting services related to supply chain management. Additionally, strategic partnerships with manufacturers and suppliers enhance its product offerings and market reach, contributing significantly to its earnings.

Showa Sangyo Co., Ltd. Financial Statement Overview

Summary
Showa Sangyo Co., Ltd. demonstrates a stable financial position with consistent profitability and a strong equity base. The company has managed to maintain margins despite a slight decline in revenue, indicating effective cost control. The balance sheet is healthy, with moderate leverage and a strong equity position, though return on equity could be improved. Cash flow management poses some challenges, particularly in terms of free cash flow, but overall, the company is financially sound.
Income Statement
75
Positive
Showa Sangyo Co., Ltd. has shown stable income statement metrics with a strong gross profit margin of 17.1% for the latest year. However, there was a slight decline in total revenue by approximately 3.4% from the previous year. The net profit margin stands at a healthy 3.5%, supported by a robust EBITDA margin of 8.1%. Despite a reduction in revenue, the company has managed to maintain profitability, indicating strong cost management.
Balance Sheet
70
Positive
The company's balance sheet reflects a sound equity position with a debt-to-equity ratio of 0.37, indicating moderate leverage. The return on equity (ROE) is 8.6%, which is decent but could be improved. The equity ratio of 52.8% suggests a strong equity buffer, underscoring financial stability. Overall, the balance sheet is stable with room for improvement in leveraging equity for higher returns.
Cash Flow
65
Positive
Cash flow analysis reveals challenges in free cash flow growth, with a decline from the previous year. The operating cash flow to net income ratio is 1.75, indicating strong cash generation relative to net income. However, the free cash flow to net income ratio is 0.73, suggesting potential constraints on free cash flow. Managing capital expenditures effectively could enhance cash flow stability.
BreakdownTTMMar 2025Mar 2024Mar 2023Mar 2022Mar 2021
Income Statement
Total Revenue333.14B334.43B346.36B335.05B287.63B256.00B
Gross Profit56.88B57.08B56.88B45.54B46.20B46.64B
EBITDA22.02B27.18B27.08B21.17B16.19B20.55B
Net Income9.18B11.60B12.36B7.78B4.01B10.12B
Balance Sheet
Total Assets258.35B255.50B262.24B247.77B231.31B213.31B
Cash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments7.72B8.11B8.14B6.22B9.17B11.16B
Total Debt51.68B50.59B54.18B61.66B53.12B45.77B
Total Liabilities118.45B116.88B128.99B131.41B122.22B110.23B
Stockholders Equity136.24B134.98B129.61B113.00B105.70B99.61B
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow0.008.49B12.64B-13.05B-10.03B3.01B
Operating Cash Flow0.0020.27B23.75B-2.93B1.33B13.77B
Investing Cash Flow0.00-11.38B-12.40B-6.16B-11.73B-26.38B
Financing Cash Flow0.00-10.06B-9.44B6.14B8.40B13.80B

Showa Sangyo Co., Ltd. Technical Analysis

Technical Analysis Sentiment
Positive
Last Price3015.00
Price Trends
50DMA
3123.16
Positive
100DMA
3059.74
Positive
200DMA
2994.67
Positive
Market Momentum
MACD
72.27
Negative
RSI
74.88
Negative
STOCH
85.88
Negative
Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For JP:2004, the sentiment is Positive. The current price of 3015 is below the 20-day moving average (MA) of 3274.50, below the 50-day MA of 3123.16, and above the 200-day MA of 2994.67, indicating a bullish trend. The MACD of 72.27 indicates Negative momentum. The RSI at 74.88 is Negative, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 85.88 is Negative, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Positive sentiment for JP:2004.

Showa Sangyo Co., Ltd. Peers Comparison

Overall Rating
UnderperformOutperform
Sector (62)
Financial Indicators
Name
Overall Rating
Market Cap
P/E Ratio
ROE
Dividend Yield
Revenue Growth
EPS Growth
76
Outperform
¥228.69B13.009.42%2.84%2.63%-7.81%
75
Outperform
¥63.41B9.992.44%5.74%76.28%
71
Outperform
¥108.67B10.733.80%-2.01%-29.88%
71
Outperform
¥65.02B19.253.98%1.21%-14.59%
70
Neutral
¥99.75B12.453.59%4.55%79.33%
63
Neutral
¥67.78B28.520.34%4.70%-2.58%
62
Neutral
$20.33B14.63-3.31%3.23%1.93%-12.26%
* Consumer Defensive Sector Average
Performance Comparison
Ticker
Company Name
Price
Change
% Change
JP:2004
Showa Sangyo Co., Ltd.
3,385.00
653.45
23.92%
JP:1333
Maruha Nichiro
1,492.00
468.64
45.79%
JP:1379
Hokuto Corporation
1,981.00
114.03
6.11%
JP:2003
Nitto Fuji Flour Milling Co., Ltd.
7,160.00
825.37
13.03%
JP:2292
S Foods Inc.
3,180.00
896.51
39.26%
JP:2938
Okamura Foods Co. Ltd.
1,266.00
556.14
78.35%

Showa Sangyo Co., Ltd. Corporate Events

Showa Sangyo Sets 2035 Profit Targets and Overhauls Dividend Policy
Feb 20, 2026

Showa Sangyo has revised its group management philosophy to emphasize “growing possibilities” from individual grains and people, reflecting a shift toward pursuing the broader potential of grains and long-term societal and environmental value. The company also unveiled a 10-year “SHOWA VISION 2035” targeting ROE of at least 9%, ROIC of at least 8%, and operating profit of ¥20 billion or more by FY2035, framing an ambitious profitability and efficiency roadmap.

To support this vision, Showa Sangyo launched a four-year Medium-Term Management Plan for FY2026–2029 focused on strengthening earnings through higher-value-added products, cost reductions, and expansion into overseas and new business domains, aiming to lift ROE to 8% and operating profit to ¥14 billion by FY2029. In tandem, it revised its dividend policy to prioritize shareholder returns via a payout ratio of 40% or a dividend-on-equity of 3%, whichever is higher, while maintaining stable dividends and balancing investment needs and financial conditions.

The most recent analyst rating on (JP:2004) stock is a Buy with a Yen3702.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Showa Sangyo Co., Ltd. stock, see the JP:2004 Stock Forecast page.

Showa Sangyo Reshapes Governance With Change in Representative Director Role
Feb 20, 2026

Showa Sangyo Co., Ltd. said its board has approved a change in representative directors as part of a broader review of its management structure. The move signals an adjustment in governance rather than a shift in day-to-day leadership, reflecting ongoing efforts to refine oversight as the company operates in a competitive food industry.

Effective April 1, 2026, Chairman Kazuhiko Niitsuma will step down as a representative director and remain as chairman in a non-representative capacity. The change removes his representative authority while maintaining his strategic role on the board, suggesting a clearer separation between executive representation and board oversight for stakeholders.

The most recent analyst rating on (JP:2004) stock is a Buy with a Yen3763.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Showa Sangyo Co., Ltd. stock, see the JP:2004 Stock Forecast page.

Showa Sangyo Posts Stable Sales but Lower Profit, Maintains Earnings and Dividend Outlook
Feb 6, 2026

Showa Sangyo reported consolidated net sales of ¥254.5 billion for the nine months ended December 31, 2025, down 0.4% year-on-year, with operating profit up 2.7% to ¥10.0 billion and ordinary profit flat, while profit attributable to owners of parent fell 14.0% to ¥8.9 billion, reflecting margin pressures despite stable overall operations. The company’s financial position strengthened with total assets rising to ¥277.2 billion and equity increasing, and it maintained its full-year forecast for FY2025/26, projecting modest net sales growth to ¥340.0 billion but declines in profit, while keeping its annual dividend forecast at ¥100 per share, signaling a commitment to shareholder returns amid expectations of weaker earnings.

The most recent analyst rating on (JP:2004) stock is a Hold with a Yen3225.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Showa Sangyo Co., Ltd. stock, see the JP:2004 Stock Forecast page.

Showa Sangyo Announces Secondary Offering of Shares
Nov 28, 2025

Showa Sangyo Co., Ltd. announced a secondary offering of shares involving several financial institutions, with a total of 3,236,000 shares of common stock to be sold. This move is aimed at adjusting the company’s capital structure and potentially enhancing its market position, although the exact financial impact will depend on market demand and pricing.

The most recent analyst rating on (JP:2004) stock is a Buy with a Yen3315.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Showa Sangyo Co., Ltd. stock, see the JP:2004 Stock Forecast page.

Glossary
BuyA stock rated as a "Buy" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock is likely to deliver higher returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
HoldA stock rated as a "Hold" is expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the stock is neither particularly compelling nor unfavorable for investment. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
SellA stock rated as a "Sell" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock may deliver lower returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.

Disclaimer

This AI Analyst Stock Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in stocks carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.Date of analysis: Oct 30, 2025