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Nakamuraya Co., Ltd.
(2204)
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Rating:74Outperform
Price Target:
¥3,438.00
▲(11.80% Upside)
Action:Upgraded
Date:05/21/26
The score is driven primarily by improved financial strength (profitability recovery, lower leverage, and stronger cash generation) and very attractive valuation (low P/E with a dividend). These positives are partly offset by weak technical momentum, with the stock trading below key moving averages and a negative MACD.
Positive Factors
Profitability turnaround
Nakamuraya's move from multi-year losses into sustained positive earnings through 2024–2026 indicates durable operational fixes: improved gross margins and cost control. This creates a stronger earnings base to fund reinvestment, dividends, and to absorb future input-cost shocks, improving long-term stability.
Negative Factors
Stagnant revenue growth
Flat top-line trends constrain operating leverage: without meaningful revenue growth, fixed-cost dilution is limited, capping margin expansion and return on capital. For a consumer packaged-food firm, sustained stagnant revenues reduce scale benefits and limit long-term profitability upside.
Read all positive and negative factors
Positive Factors
Negative Factors
Profitability turnaround
Nakamuraya's move from multi-year losses into sustained positive earnings through 2024–2026 indicates durable operational fixes: improved gross margins and cost control. This creates a stronger earnings base to fund reinvestment, dividends, and to absorb future input-cost shocks, improving long-term stability.
Read all positive factors
Nakamuraya Co., Ltd. (2204) vs. iShares MSCI Japan ETF (EWJ)
Market Cap
¥19.19B
Dividend Yield2.12%
Average Volume (3M)5.78K
Price to Earnings (P/E)20.3
Beta (1Y)0.27
Revenue Growth0.28%
EPS Growth4.33%
CountryJP
Employees822
SectorConsumer Defensive
Sector Strength42
IndustryPackaged Foods
Share Statistics
EPS (TTM)159.14
Shares Outstanding5,976,205
10 Day Avg. Volume5,480
30 Day Avg. Volume5,780
Financial Highlights & Ratios
PEG Ratio4.81
Price to Book (P/B)0.66
Price to Sales (P/S)0.51
P/FCF Ratio4.87
Enterprise Value/Market CapN/A
Enterprise Value/RevenueN/A
Enterprise Value/Gross ProfitN/A
Enterprise Value/EbitdaN/A
Forecast
1Y Price TargetN/A
Price Target UpsideN/A
Rating ConsensusN/A
Number of Analyst Covering0
EPS Forecast (FY)N/A
Revenue Forecast (FY)N/A
Nakamuraya Co., Ltd. Business Overview & Revenue Model
Company Description
Headquartered in Tokyo, Japan, Nakamuraya Co., Ltd. is a long-established company, founded in 1901. It primarily focuses on the production and sale of a diverse array of food products throughout Japan, encompassing traditional Japanese and Western...
How the Company Makes Money
Nakamuraya makes money primarily by selling food products it manufactures under its own brands. Revenue is generated through (1) consumer product sales to retail and distribution channels (e.g., supermarkets, convenience stores, and other food ret...
Nakamuraya Co., Ltd. Financial Statement Overview
Summary
Income Statement
67
Positive
Balance Sheet
82
Very Positive
Cash Flow
78
Positive
| Breakdown | Mar 2026 | Mar 2025 | Mar 2024 | Mar 2023 | Mar 2022 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Income Statement | |||||
| Total Revenue | 37.35B | 37.25B | 37.77B | 35.55B | 33.06B |
| Gross Profit | 13.98B | 13.52B | 13.55B | 12.15B | 11.72B |
| EBITDA | 3.13B | 2.58B | 2.33B | 1.37B | 1.38B |
| Net Income | 917.52M | 884.95M | 405.11M | -28.17M | 232.60M |
Balance Sheet | |||||
| Total Assets | 50.09B | 45.50B | 45.74B | 44.82B | 44.46B |
| Cash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments | 2.86B | 2.62B | 1.14B | 1.22B | 1.19B |
| Total Debt | 1.46B | 495.05M | 2.98B | 6.84B | 6.56B |
| Total Liabilities | 21.34B | 18.47B | 19.13B | 19.08B | 18.38B |
| Stockholders Equity | 28.75B | 27.04B | 26.61B | 25.74B | 26.08B |
Cash Flow | |||||
| Free Cash Flow | 3.92B | 4.48B | 3.89B | -90.58M | -29.75M |
| Operating Cash Flow | 6.19B | 5.17B | 4.71B | 658.08M | 503.97M |
| Investing Cash Flow | -6.26B | -653.75M | -109.96M | -605.15M | -250.12M |
| Financing Cash Flow | 308.38M | -3.03B | -4.68B | -17.36M | -212.76M |
Nakamuraya Co., Ltd. Technical Analysis
Positive
3075.00
Price Trends
3128.80
Positive
3189.95
Positive
3103.03
Positive
Market Momentum
26.27
Negative
60.11
Neutral
70.54
Neutral
Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For JP:2204, the sentiment is Positive. The current price of 3075 is below the 20-day moving average (MA) of 3176.00, below the 50-day MA of 3128.80, and below the 200-day MA of 3103.03, indicating a bullish trend. The MACD of 26.27 indicates Negative momentum. The RSI at 60.11 is Neutral, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 70.54 is Neutral, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Positive sentiment for JP:2204.
Nakamuraya Co., Ltd. Peers Comparison
UnderperformOutperform
Sector (62)
Name | Overall Rating | Market Cap | P/E Ratio | ROE | Dividend Yield | Revenue Growth | EPS Growth |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
74 Outperform | ¥19.19B | 20.27 | ― | 2.12% | 0.28% | 4.33% | |
73 Outperform | ¥676.01B | 15.64 | 9.18% | 1.13% | 5.55% | 17.29% | |
69 Neutral | ¥561.03B | 17.88 | ― | 3.15% | 1.59% | -3.14% | |
66 Neutral | ¥149.44B | 17.45 | ― | 1.08% | 4.45% | 11.13% | |
64 Neutral | ¥83.47B | 3.24 | ― | 1.47% | 33.69% | 354.99% | |
62 Neutral | $20.33B | 14.63 | -3.31% | 3.23% | 1.93% | -12.26% | |
61 Neutral | ¥353.74B | 48.80 | 4.15% | 1.66% | 0.49% | -40.63% |
* Consumer Defensive Sector Average
JP:2204
Nakamuraya Co., Ltd.
3,225.00
198.27
6.55%
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6,070.00
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96.56%
Glossary
BuyA stock rated as a "Buy" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock is likely to deliver higher returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
HoldA stock rated as a "Hold" is expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the stock is neither particularly compelling nor unfavorable for investment. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
SellA stock rated as a "Sell" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock may deliver lower returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
Disclaimer
This AI Analyst Stock Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in stocks carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.