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Nakamuraya Co., Ltd. (JP:2204)
:2204
Japanese Market
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Nakamuraya Co., Ltd. (2204) AI Stock Analysis

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JP:2204

Nakamuraya Co., Ltd.

(2204)

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Outperform 74 (OpenAI - 5.2)
Rating:74Outperform
Price Target:
¥3,438.00
▲(11.80% Upside)
Action:Upgraded
Date:05/21/26
The score is driven primarily by improved financial strength (profitability recovery, lower leverage, and stronger cash generation) and very attractive valuation (low P/E with a dividend). These positives are partly offset by weak technical momentum, with the stock trading below key moving averages and a negative MACD.
Positive Factors
Profitability turnaround
Nakamuraya's move from multi-year losses into sustained positive earnings through 2024–2026 indicates durable operational fixes: improved gross margins and cost control. This creates a stronger earnings base to fund reinvestment, dividends, and to absorb future input-cost shocks, improving long-term stability.
Negative Factors
Stagnant revenue growth
Flat top-line trends constrain operating leverage: without meaningful revenue growth, fixed-cost dilution is limited, capping margin expansion and return on capital. For a consumer packaged-food firm, sustained stagnant revenues reduce scale benefits and limit long-term profitability upside.
Read all positive and negative factors
Positive Factors
Negative Factors
Profitability turnaround
Nakamuraya's move from multi-year losses into sustained positive earnings through 2024–2026 indicates durable operational fixes: improved gross margins and cost control. This creates a stronger earnings base to fund reinvestment, dividends, and to absorb future input-cost shocks, improving long-term stability.
Read all positive factors

Nakamuraya Co., Ltd. (2204) vs. iShares MSCI Japan ETF (EWJ)

Nakamuraya Co., Ltd. Business Overview & Revenue Model

Company Description
Headquartered in Tokyo, Japan, Nakamuraya Co., Ltd. is a long-established company, founded in 1901. It primarily focuses on the production and sale of a diverse array of food products throughout Japan, encompassing traditional Japanese and Western...
How the Company Makes Money
Nakamuraya makes money primarily by selling food products it manufactures under its own brands. Revenue is generated through (1) consumer product sales to retail and distribution channels (e.g., supermarkets, convenience stores, and other food ret...

Nakamuraya Co., Ltd. Financial Statement Overview

Summary
Fundamentals reflect a clear turnaround: earnings shifted from losses (2021–2023) to positive profits (2024–2026) with improved gross profit, leverage has come down materially, and operating/free cash flow strengthened in 2024–2026. The main constraint remains mostly flat revenue, which limits operating leverage and return expansion.
Income Statement
67
Positive
Balance Sheet
82
Very Positive
Cash Flow
78
Positive
BreakdownMar 2026Mar 2025Mar 2024Mar 2023Mar 2022
Income Statement
Total Revenue37.35B37.25B37.77B35.55B33.06B
Gross Profit13.98B13.52B13.55B12.15B11.72B
EBITDA3.13B2.58B2.33B1.37B1.38B
Net Income917.52M884.95M405.11M-28.17M232.60M
Balance Sheet
Total Assets50.09B45.50B45.74B44.82B44.46B
Cash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments2.86B2.62B1.14B1.22B1.19B
Total Debt1.46B495.05M2.98B6.84B6.56B
Total Liabilities21.34B18.47B19.13B19.08B18.38B
Stockholders Equity28.75B27.04B26.61B25.74B26.08B
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow3.92B4.48B3.89B-90.58M-29.75M
Operating Cash Flow6.19B5.17B4.71B658.08M503.97M
Investing Cash Flow-6.26B-653.75M-109.96M-605.15M-250.12M
Financing Cash Flow308.38M-3.03B-4.68B-17.36M-212.76M

Nakamuraya Co., Ltd. Technical Analysis

Technical Analysis Sentiment
Positive
Last Price3075.00
Price Trends
50DMA
3170.90
Negative
100DMA
3166.01
Negative
200DMA
3091.38
Positive
Market Momentum
MACD
-11.67
Negative
RSI
51.47
Neutral
STOCH
56.64
Neutral
Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For JP:2204, the sentiment is Positive. The current price of 3075 is below the 20-day moving average (MA) of 3083.50, below the 50-day MA of 3170.90, and below the 200-day MA of 3091.38, indicating a neutral trend. The MACD of -11.67 indicates Negative momentum. The RSI at 51.47 is Neutral, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 56.64 is Neutral, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Positive sentiment for JP:2204.

Nakamuraya Co., Ltd. Peers Comparison

Overall Rating
UnderperformOutperform
Sector (62)
Financial Indicators
Name
Overall Rating
Market Cap
P/E Ratio
ROE
Dividend Yield
Revenue Growth
EPS Growth
74
Outperform
¥18.60B19.542.12%0.28%4.33%
73
Outperform
¥625.98B14.379.18%1.13%5.55%17.29%
69
Neutral
¥527.88B16.553.15%1.59%-3.14%
66
Neutral
¥129.82B14.921.08%4.45%11.13%
64
Neutral
¥81.30B3.131.47%33.69%355.00%
62
Neutral
$20.33B14.63-3.31%3.23%1.93%-12.26%
61
Neutral
¥324.51B45.194.15%1.66%0.49%-39.52%
* Consumer Defensive Sector Average
Performance Comparison
Ticker
Company Name
Price
Change
% Change
JP:2204
Nakamuraya Co., Ltd.
3,110.00
73.49
2.42%
JP:2810
House Foods Group
3,535.00
826.72
30.53%
JP:2212
Yamazaki Baking Co
3,060.00
-58.50
-1.88%
JP:2002
Nisshin Seifun Group Inc.
1,901.00
223.93
13.35%
JP:2220
Kameda Seika Co., Ltd.
1,214.00
-0.97
-0.08%
JP:2805
S&B Foods Inc.
4,940.00
1,856.84
60.22%
Glossary
BuyA stock rated as a "Buy" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock is likely to deliver higher returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
HoldA stock rated as a "Hold" is expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the stock is neither particularly compelling nor unfavorable for investment. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
SellA stock rated as a "Sell" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock may deliver lower returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.

Disclaimer

This AI Analyst Stock Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in stocks carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.Date of analysis: May 21, 2026