tiprankstipranks
Trending News
More News >
LIFULL CoLtd (JP:2120)
:2120

LIFULL Co (2120) AI Stock Analysis

Compare
0 Followers

Top Page

JP:2120

LIFULL Co

(2120)

Select Model
Select Model
Select Model
Outperform 72 (OpenAI - 5.2)
Rating:72Outperform
Price Target:
¥244.00
▲(41.04% Upside)
Action:ReiteratedDate:02/18/26
The score is driven by very strong valuation (low P/E and high dividend yield) and supportive technical momentum with the stock above key moving averages. Offsetting these positives, the financial picture is mixed: profitability has rebounded, but revenue is declining and free cash flow has been volatile with weaker conversion versus earnings.
Positive Factors
Very high gross margin and improved profitability
Sustained gross margins near 95% indicate a highly scalable, low-variable-cost platform business. That structural margin advantage supports durable operating leverage and cash generation if core demand holds, giving room for reinvestment or shareholder distributions.
Manageable leverage and strong return on equity
A modest debt load and ~21% ROE provide financial flexibility for capex, M&A or dividend support without excessive refinancing risk. This balance-sheet position reduces structural solvency risk and supports long-term strategic optionality.
Platform business with diversified recurring revenue streams
The multi-pronged platform model (listings, lead-gen, marketing services) creates recurring, contractable revenue and cross-sell opportunities. Structural network effects and client dependence on acquisition tools support steady demand from business customers over time.
Negative Factors
Revenue has trended lower recently
A persistent top-line decline undermines the durability of current margins and makes earnings more dependent on cost control or one-off items. Structural weakness in demand or client spend would limit long-term profitability and growth runway.
Free cash flow volatility and weak cash conversion
Inconsistent FCF and weaker conversion versus reported earnings reduce reliability of internally generated funding for capex, buybacks or dividends. Volatility raises the risk of external financing needs if earnings falter, constraining strategic choices.
Profitability has been volatile historically
Large swings from loss to profit indicate earnings are not yet consistently stable. This earnings volatility weakens planning certainty, increases downside risk if market conditions soften, and can quickly erode capital cushions built in profitable years.

LIFULL Co (2120) vs. iShares MSCI Japan ETF (EWJ)

LIFULL Co Business Overview & Revenue Model

Company DescriptionLIFULL Co., Ltd. provides real estate information services in Japan. It offers LIFULL HOME'S, a site of real estate and housing information; LIFULL Revitalize Rural Japan that suggest new lifestyles to people in Japan based on refurbishment of abandoned houses; LIFULL Move that provides reviews and rankings of the moving companies; LIFULL Nursing Care, a special care facility searching web service; LIFULL Life Plan that provide the opportunity for updating life plan; LIFULL FLOWER, an online flower gift shop; and LIFULL Investment, a money funding website. The company also provides LIFULL FaM that enables working mothers balance childcare with work while pursuing a career; LIFULL rental spaces, a site for rental spaces and meeting rooms, event venues, and other rental facilities; LIFULL Storage, a storage space searching web service; LIFULL HUB, a shared office; LIFULL Fab to expand possibilities of design and craftsmanship; LIFULL Table, a mixed-style deli restaurant; and LIFULL Marketing Partners that offers full Web assistance for real estate related companies. In addition, it offers LivingAnywhere Commons, a community to live; instant house products; LIFULL Real Estate Crowdsourcing, an online advertising platform for property crowd funding projects; Trovit, an aggregation website; and Mitula, a site that provides information in real estate and housing, used cars, recruitment, and fashion. The company was formerly known as NEXT Co., Ltd. and changed its name to LIFULL Co., Ltd.in April 2017. LIFULL Co., Ltd. was founded in 1997 and is headquartered in Tokyo, Japan.
How the Company Makes MoneyLIFULL Co generates revenue through multiple streams, primarily by charging fees for property listings on its online platform. Real estate agents and property owners pay to list their properties, and the company earns commission from successful transactions. Additionally, LIFULL offers premium services, such as enhanced visibility for property listings or advertising options for real estate businesses. The company also partners with various stakeholders in the real estate industry, including builders and developers, to provide comprehensive solutions that enhance its service offerings. These partnerships often lead to additional revenue opportunities through collaborative marketing and service agreements.

LIFULL Co Financial Statement Overview

Summary
Profitability rebounded sharply in TTM with very strong gross margin (~94.8%) and improved operating/net margins, and leverage is manageable (debt-to-equity ~0.35). However, revenue is contracting (~-4.9% TTM) and free cash flow is volatile with weaker cash conversion versus net income, reducing confidence in durability.
Income Statement
70
Positive
Profitability improved sharply in TTM (Trailing-Twelve-Months), with strong net income and healthy operating profitability (net margin ~18.9%, operating margin ~13.9%) versus a deep loss in FY2024. Gross margin remains exceptionally high (~94.8%), supporting earnings power. Offsetting this, growth is weak: revenue is down ~4.9% in TTM (Trailing-Twelve-Months) and has generally trended lower since FY2023, suggesting the turnaround is more margin/one-off driven than demand-led.
Balance Sheet
74
Positive
Leverage looks manageable with debt-to-equity around ~0.35 in TTM (Trailing-Twelve-Months), and equity remains sizable relative to assets. Returns on equity are strong in TTM (Trailing-Twelve-Months) (~21%), reflecting the earnings rebound. The main concern is volatility in profitability across years (loss-making FY2024), which can pressure balance-sheet quality if it reappears, even though current leverage is not elevated.
Cash Flow
42
Neutral
Cash generation is mixed. TTM (Trailing-Twelve-Months) operating cash flow is solid (~¥5.65B) and free cash flow is positive (~¥3.52B), but free cash flow has been highly volatile, including negative free cash flow in FY2025 annual data and a steep TTM (Trailing-Twelve-Months) decline in free cash flow growth. Additionally, free cash flow does not track reported earnings well in the latest period (free cash flow running below net income), raising questions on sustainability of the current profit level.
BreakdownTTMSep 2025Sep 2024Sep 2023Sep 2022Sep 2021
Income Statement
Total Revenue26.75B28.13B34.47B36.41B35.73B35.86B
Gross Profit25.46B26.67B32.21B32.55B31.67B31.91B
EBITDA5.41B3.93B-4.83B3.88B3.60B-4.64B
Net Income5.69B5.32B-8.46B1.03B1.18B-5.90B
Balance Sheet
Total Assets39.71B40.91B41.19B51.17B48.71B45.89B
Cash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments9.43B10.70B16.47B16.51B16.52B13.14B
Total Debt8.96B9.12B5.54B7.79B11.29B11.13B
Total Liabilities13.76B14.69B16.99B18.61B17.58B17.35B
Stockholders Equity25.72B26.02B24.11B32.55B31.00B28.41B
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow3.52B-3.35B1.27B5.71B2.02B509.81M
Operating Cash Flow5.65B4.81B1.67B6.23B2.70B1.29B
Investing Cash Flow-5.91B-11.70B-718.00M-1.74B388.87M-1.07B
Financing Cash Flow-336.00M3.74B-2.98B-5.08B-54.08M-3.29B

LIFULL Co Technical Analysis

Technical Analysis Sentiment
Positive
Last Price173.00
Price Trends
50DMA
186.42
Positive
100DMA
183.21
Positive
200DMA
185.15
Positive
Market Momentum
MACD
8.49
Negative
RSI
68.70
Neutral
STOCH
38.06
Neutral
Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For JP:2120, the sentiment is Positive. The current price of 173 is below the 20-day moving average (MA) of 194.75, below the 50-day MA of 186.42, and below the 200-day MA of 185.15, indicating a bullish trend. The MACD of 8.49 indicates Negative momentum. The RSI at 68.70 is Neutral, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 38.06 is Neutral, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Positive sentiment for JP:2120.

LIFULL Co Peers Comparison

Overall Rating
UnderperformOutperform
Sector (60)
Financial Indicators
Name
Overall Rating
Market Cap
P/E Ratio
ROE
Dividend Yield
Revenue Growth
EPS Growth
72
Outperform
¥28.50B4.879.76%5.66%-18.39%
70
Outperform
¥18.55B16.071.85%0.63%-1.84%
70
Outperform
¥47.36B11.231.54%10.84%5.13%
67
Neutral
¥69.26B17.2531.11%96.33%
65
Neutral
¥6.86B15.323.38%47.24%
60
Neutral
$48.67B4.58-11.27%4.14%2.83%-41.78%
54
Neutral
¥40.45B83.8022.37%655.34%
* Communication Services Sector Average
Performance Comparison
Ticker
Company Name
Price
Change
% Change
JP:2120
LIFULL Co
216.00
59.63
38.13%
JP:3491
GA technologies Co., Ltd.
1,687.00
577.48
52.05%
JP:3662
Ateam Inc.
1,040.00
149.91
16.84%
JP:3679
ZIGExN Co., Ltd.
445.00
29.01
6.97%
JP:5243
note inc.
2,216.00
895.00
67.75%
JP:7082
Jimoty, Inc.
731.00
17.50
2.45%

LIFULL Co Corporate Events

LIFULL Kicks Off FY 2026 With Profit Surge and AI-Driven Real Estate Push
Feb 12, 2026

LIFULL Co. reported a strong start to its fiscal year ending September 2026, with first-quarter revenue rising 8.3% year on year to ¥6.9 billion and operating profit surging 42.1% to ¥1.1 billion, driven primarily by its core HOME’S Services business. The company improved profitability ahead of the Q2 peak season as both its client network and average revenue per account expanded, supported by nine consecutive quarters of revenue growth and top external rankings for listing freshness and on-site assessment rates.

Management underscored its push into the “real estate × AI” space, launching an interactive AI agent, LIFULL AI, to shift the housing search from simple queries to conversational engagement while internally achieving widespread generative AI adoption that delivered roughly 50,000 hours of productivity gains in six months. LIFULL also highlighted group synergies, with its Kenbiya real estate investment platform posting 18.8% revenue growth after database integration with HOME’S, and outlined enhanced shareholder returns via a new benefit program and early dividend guidance as it targets FY 2028 consolidated revenue of ¥35–40 billion, operating profit of ¥5.5–6.0 billion, and an operating margin above 15%.

The most recent analyst rating on (JP:2120) stock is a Buy with a Yen190.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on LIFULL Co stock, see the JP:2120 Stock Forecast page.

LIFULL Launches New Shareholder Benefit Program to Boost Long-Term Investment
Feb 12, 2026

LIFULL has approved the introduction of a new shareholder benefit program as part of its mid-term management plan for fiscal 2026–2028, aligning with its goal of continuously enhancing shareholder returns and improving profitability through strategic investment. The scheme is designed to increase the attractiveness of its shares, deepen understanding of its services among investors, and encourage medium- to long-term shareholding.

Eligible shareholders who hold at least 4,000 shares for a defined continuous period will receive semiannual e-money payments totaling ¥30,000 per year. In addition, they will gain preferential access to LIFULL group services, including cashback on qualifying real estate transactions via LIFULL HOME’S, substantial discounts on investment properties listed on LIFULL STAY, and 20% price reductions on Instant House and Instant Sauna products, reinforcing stakeholder engagement and potentially supporting demand across the company’s core platforms.

The most recent analyst rating on (JP:2120) stock is a Buy with a Yen190.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on LIFULL Co stock, see the JP:2120 Stock Forecast page.

LIFULL Sets Lower FY 2026 Dividend but Targets 7.4% Total Shareholder Yield
Feb 12, 2026

LIFULL Co. has set a full-year dividend forecast of ¥5.21 per share for the fiscal year ending September 30, 2026, down from the previous year’s ¥10.41, which included a commemorative dividend and one-time gains from overseas business restructuring. Management reiterated its policy of targeting a 30% payout ratio on profit attributable to owners, while adjusting for non-recurring items such as tax benefits from the reversal of tax loss carryforwards tied to overseas subsidiary reorganizations.

To increase transparency for investors, the company linked its dividend guidance to full-year earnings and anticipated extraordinary factors, and highlighted the combined effect of dividends and a newly introduced shareholder benefit program. Based on the current share price and the threshold of holding 40 units, LIFULL estimates a total annual yield of about 7.4%, signaling an effort to maintain an attractive shareholder return profile even as the cash dividend level normalizes from last year’s one-off boost.

The most recent analyst rating on (JP:2120) stock is a Buy with a Yen190.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on LIFULL Co stock, see the JP:2120 Stock Forecast page.

LIFULL Delivers Strong Q1 Earnings but Expects Profit Decline for FY 2026
Feb 12, 2026

LIFULL reported revenue of ¥6,993 million for the quarter ended December 31, 2025, up 8.3% year on year from continuing operations, with operating profit surging 42.1% to ¥1,177 million and profit attributable to owners of the parent nearly doubling to ¥753 million. Earnings per share rose to ¥5.88, while the equity ratio improved to 64.8%, underscoring a solid financial base after the reclassification of overseas operations as discontinued.

The company maintained its full-year forecast for FY 2026/9, projecting revenue of ¥29.7 billion but a 21.4% decline in operating profit and a 64.3% drop in profit attributable to owners, indicating expectations of higher costs or reduced one-off gains compared with the prior year. LIFULL also revised its dividend outlook, shifting to a policy targeting a 30% payout ratio and introducing a new shareholder benefit program, signaling a stronger focus on shareholder returns despite anticipated profit pressure.

The most recent analyst rating on (JP:2120) stock is a Buy with a Yen190.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on LIFULL Co stock, see the JP:2120 Stock Forecast page.

LIFULL to Issue Restricted Stock to Directors to Strengthen Long-Term Incentives
Jan 28, 2026

LIFULL Co., Ltd. has approved the issuance of 179,828 new ordinary shares as restricted stock compensation for four internal directors, with an allotment date of February 27, 2026 and an issue price set at ¥177 per share, matching the prior day’s Tokyo Stock Exchange closing price to ensure the terms are aligned with market value and not excessively favorable. The issuance, totaling approximately ¥31.8 million, is part of a previously approved restricted stock compensation plan that shifts the company’s director pay from all-cash to a mix of cash and equity, imposes a 50‑year transfer restriction period, and links the lifting of restrictions to continued service, thereby aiming to better align management incentives with long-term corporate value and shareholder interests while strengthening governance and retention of key executives.

The most recent analyst rating on (JP:2120) stock is a Buy with a Yen190.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on LIFULL Co stock, see the JP:2120 Stock Forecast page.

LIFULL Finalizes Terms for Stock Options Grant to Directors and Employees
Jan 16, 2026

LIFULL Co., Ltd. has finalized key terms for a previously approved issuance of stock acquisition rights (stock options offered for value) to its directors, executive officers, and employees, as well as to directors and employees of its domestic subsidiaries. The grant covers 20,300 stock acquisition rights, corresponding to 2,030,000 shares of common stock (100 shares per right), allocated to 10 full-time directors and executive officers (9,000 units) and 213 employees and subsidiary officers and staff (11,300 units). The move underscores LIFULL’s use of equity-based compensation to align management and employee incentives with shareholder interests and long-term corporate value, potentially strengthening retention and motivation across the group and reinforcing its governance and human capital strategy.

The most recent analyst rating on (JP:2120) stock is a Buy with a Yen190.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on LIFULL Co stock, see the JP:2120 Stock Forecast page.

LIFULL Shareholders Approve All Proposals and Year-End Dividend at 31st AGM
Dec 24, 2025

At its 31st Ordinary General Meeting of Shareholders held on December 23, 2025, LIFULL Co., Ltd. reported that all proposals on the agenda were approved as originally submitted, reflecting strong shareholder support. The meeting endorsed an appropriation of surplus that includes a cash dividend of ¥10.41 per common share, totaling approximately ¥1.33 billion, with an effective date of December 24, 2025, signaling the company’s continued commitment to shareholder returns and financial stability as it moves forward.

The most recent analyst rating on (JP:2120) stock is a Hold with a Yen187.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on LIFULL Co stock, see the JP:2120 Stock Forecast page.

LIFULL Achieves Compliance with TSE Prime Market Criteria
Nov 20, 2025

LIFULL Co., Ltd. announced that it has met all the Tokyo Stock Exchange Prime Market Listing Maintenance Criteria as of September 30, 2025, following a series of strategic initiatives. These efforts included restructuring overseas businesses, increasing the dividend payout ratio, and engaging in proactive investor relations, which collectively improved market capitalization and share price, ensuring compliance and setting the stage for future growth.

The most recent analyst rating on (JP:2120) stock is a Hold with a Yen189.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on LIFULL Co stock, see the JP:2120 Stock Forecast page.

Glossary
BuyA stock rated as a "Buy" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock is likely to deliver higher returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
HoldA stock rated as a "Hold" is expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the stock is neither particularly compelling nor unfavorable for investment. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
SellA stock rated as a "Sell" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock may deliver lower returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.

Disclaimer

This AI Analyst Stock Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in stocks carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.Date of analysis: Feb 18, 2026