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Astroscale Holdings Inc. (JP:186A)
:186A
Japanese Market
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Astroscale Holdings Inc. (186A) AI Stock Analysis

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JP

Astroscale Holdings Inc.

(186A)

Rating:39Underperform
Price Target:
¥682.00
▲(3.81%Upside)
Astroscale Holdings Inc. faces significant financial challenges, with negative margins and cash flow issues being the most critical factors. The high leverage risk on the balance sheet further exacerbates the financial instability. Although technical indicators suggest potential short-term momentum, the overall bearish trend and valuation concerns contribute to a low stock score.

Astroscale Holdings Inc. (186A) vs. iShares MSCI Japan ETF (EWJ)

Astroscale Holdings Inc. Business Overview & Revenue Model

Company DescriptionAstroscale Holdings Inc. is a private company dedicated to addressing the growing issue of space debris and ensuring the sustainable use of outer space. The company operates in the aerospace sector, focusing on developing innovative technologies and services for space debris removal and satellite life extension. Astroscale's core products and services include end-of-life and active debris removal missions, as well as on-orbit servicing for satellites.
How the Company Makes MoneyAstroscale Holdings Inc. generates revenue primarily through contracts with government agencies, space agencies, and commercial satellite operators who are increasingly concerned about the hazards posed by space debris. The company offers services such as satellite end-of-life management, where they safely deorbit defunct satellites, and active debris removal missions to clean existing debris. Additionally, Astroscale is developing capabilities in satellite life extension services, which involve servicing and refueling satellites to extend their operational life. Key partnerships with space agencies and collaborations with commercial satellite operators are significant contributors to the company's earnings, alongside potential future contracts for on-orbit servicing missions.

Astroscale Holdings Inc. Financial Statement Overview

Summary
Astroscale Holdings Inc. faces substantial financial difficulties across its financial statements. Despite some revenue growth, negative margins and cash flow issues point to operational and financial challenges. The balance sheet shows high leverage risk with limited profitability, necessitating strategic improvements.
Income Statement
22
Negative
Astroscale Holdings Inc. exhibits significant challenges in its income statement. The company has a negative gross profit margin, indicating that production costs exceed revenue. The net profit margin is also deeply negative, showing ongoing losses. Despite revenue growth from 2022 to 2024, the substantial negative EBIT and EBITDA margins highlight operational inefficiencies and a lack of profitability.
Balance Sheet
35
Negative
The balance sheet reveals a heavily leveraged position with a high debt-to-equity ratio, suggesting financial risk. The return on equity is negative due to persistent losses, indicating that shareholder capital is not generating profit. However, the equity ratio is positive, showing that a reasonable portion of the company's assets is financed by equity rather than debt, providing some financial stability.
Cash Flow
30
Negative
Cash flow analysis shows negative free cash flow growth, indicating increasing cash outflows over the years. The operating cash flow to net income ratio is negative, reflecting inefficiencies in converting sales into cash. Despite significant financing activities, the free cash flow to net income ratio remains negative, emphasizing ongoing cash flow challenges.
BreakdownTTMJun 2024Jun 2023Jun 2022
Income Statement
Total Revenue2.36B2.85B1.79B910.37M
Gross Profit-5.71B-2.75B-5.57B-1.97B
EBITDA-17.86B-7.99B-8.70B-5.36B
Net Income-19.68B-9.18B-9.26B-5.48B
Balance Sheet
Total Assets35.85B24.99B30.44B20.13B
Cash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments23.66B14.20B22.68B16.87B
Total Debt13.98B13.18B9.73B2.50B
Total Liabilities26.34B19.59B15.55B6.03B
Stockholders Equity9.51B5.40B14.89B14.09B
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow-15.03B-13.99B-9.48B-6.01B
Operating Cash Flow-14.51B-12.82B-7.94B-5.50B
Investing Cash Flow-633.35M-1.18B-1.63B-662.66M
Financing Cash Flow22.62B4.15B15.23B13.79B

Astroscale Holdings Inc. Technical Analysis

Technical Analysis Sentiment
Negative
Last Price657.00
Price Trends
50DMA
695.22
Negative
100DMA
716.58
Negative
200DMA
799.52
Negative
Market Momentum
MACD
-11.01
Positive
RSI
42.07
Neutral
STOCH
32.49
Neutral
Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For JP:186A, the sentiment is Negative. The current price of 657 is below the 20-day moving average (MA) of 672.85, below the 50-day MA of 695.22, and below the 200-day MA of 799.52, indicating a bearish trend. The MACD of -11.01 indicates Positive momentum. The RSI at 42.07 is Neutral, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 32.49 is Neutral, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Negative sentiment for JP:186A.

Astroscale Holdings Inc. Peers Comparison

Overall Rating
UnderperformOutperform
Sector (58)
Financial Indicators
Name
Overall Rating
Market Cap
P/E Ratio
ROE
Dividend Yield
Revenue Growth
EPS Growth
82
Outperform
¥59.70B11.92
3.57%5.64%-4.56%
79
Outperform
¥58.38B13.56
3.13%1.85%-11.39%
74
Outperform
¥54.76B13.64
2.88%6.66%-34.82%
73
Outperform
¥55.81B12.60
2.98%2.75%-0.09%
68
Neutral
¥129.68B10.27
2.40%12.12%5.56%
58
Neutral
HK$14.16B4.53-3.01%6.82%3.67%-54.16%
39
Underperform
¥89.04B
* Industrials Sector Average
Performance Comparison
Ticker
Company Name
Price
Change
% Change
JP:186A
Astroscale Holdings Inc.
661.00
-129.00
-16.33%
JP:6237
Iwaki Co. Ltd.
2,557.00
-343.14
-11.83%
JP:6363
Torishima Pump Mfg.Co., Ltd.
2,066.00
-1,028.16
-33.23%
JP:6364
HOKUETSU INDUSTRIES CO., LTD.
2,067.00
-170.16
-7.61%
JP:6381
ANEST IWATA Corp.
1,482.00
-43.26
-2.84%
JP:6420
FUKUSHIMA GALILEI CO., LTD.
3,070.00
-263.27
-7.90%

Astroscale Holdings Inc. Corporate Events

Astroscale Completes Key Phase in UK Space Debris Removal Mission
May 26, 2025

Astroscale Holdings Inc. announced the successful completion of the COSMIC Phase 2 contract with the UK Space Agency, marking a significant milestone in the UK Active Debris Removal mission. This phase involved maturing technologies for satellite removal, including a robotic arm capture system and detumbling technology. The completion of this contract is strategically important for Astroscale’s continued leadership in ADR services and has been factored into their financial forecasts.

Astroscale Announces International Offering to Fund Strategic Investments
May 19, 2025

Astroscale Holdings Inc. has announced the determination of issue price and other matters for its international offering of new shares, aiming to raise approximately ¥11.7 billion. The proceeds will be used to invest in defense-related projects, commercial LEX missions, and future missions and facilities, reflecting the company’s strategic focus on expanding its capabilities and capturing market demand in the rapidly evolving space industry.

Astroscale Revises Financial Forecast Amid Auditor Review
May 8, 2025

Astroscale Holdings Inc. announced the completion of an independent auditor’s review of its consolidated financial statements for the nine months ended January 31, 2025. This review was conducted in conjunction with the issuance of new shares through an international offering. The company has made significant corrections to its financial forecast, including adjustments to projected income and profit figures, reflecting a more cautious outlook for the fiscal year ending April 30, 2025. These changes may impact the company’s financial strategy and market positioning, as it navigates challenges in the space industry.

Astroscale Announces International Share Offering to Fund Expansion
May 8, 2025

Astroscale Holdings Inc. announced the issuance of new shares through an international offering to raise funds for project development, research, and infrastructure investment. This strategic move aims to support the company’s expansion of on-orbit services to meet growing market demand, further solidifying its position in the global space economy.

Astroscale Revises FY2025 Financial Forecast Amid New Contract Opportunities
Apr 22, 2025

Astroscale Holdings Inc. is revising its financial forecast for FY2025, with a focus on securing contracts for its LEXI satellite docking mechanism, which is compatible with a majority of geostationary satellites. The company is exploring contract opportunities with new customers, which could enhance its business prospects. Despite a potential foreign exchange loss, Astroscale anticipates maintaining sufficient equity and is considering financing options for growth. The company aims to achieve break-even in gross profit by FY2026, driven by reduced R&D expenses and improved profit margins, although operating profit break-even remains challenging.

Astroscale Revises FY2025 Earnings Forecast Downward
Apr 22, 2025

Astroscale Holdings Inc. has announced a downward revision of its earnings forecast for the fiscal year ending April 30, 2025. This revision reflects the company’s current assessment of economic, regulatory, and market conditions, which may impact its operations and industry positioning. The announcement highlights the inherent uncertainties and risks in the company’s projections and the broader industry environment.

Astroscale Revises Financial Forecast Amid Contract Delays
Apr 21, 2025

Astroscale Holdings Inc. has revised its consolidated financial forecast for the fiscal year ending April 2025, citing delays in contract signings and government subsidies as key factors. The company anticipates a significant decrease in revenue and profit, but remains optimistic about potential interest from other commercial customers for its LEXI servicer projects. The delay in revenue recognition is expected to be temporary, with recovery projected in the following fiscal year.

Astroscale Expands APS-R Project with Increased Contract for Satellite Refueling
Apr 8, 2025

Astroscale Holdings Inc. announced an expansion of its APS-R project, increasing the contract amount to $41.2 million to advance the development and operational demonstration of its satellite refueling capabilities. This project, awarded by the United States Space Force, marks a significant step in establishing scalable refueling services in space, enhancing Astroscale’s strategic positioning in the growing market for on-orbit services and addressing increasing defense-related demands.

Astroscale Announces Partial Loan Prepayment to Reduce Future Costs
Mar 31, 2025

Astroscale Holdings Inc. announced a partial prepayment of ¥3 billion on its ¥5 billion term loan from MUFG Bank, Ltd., aimed at reducing future repayment obligations and interest costs. This financial maneuver is expected to have minimal impact on the company’s consolidated financial forecast for the fiscal year ending April 2025.

Astroscale Secures ¥3 Billion Credit Line for Financial Stability
Mar 30, 2025

Astroscale Holdings Inc. has secured a ¥3 billion credit line from Resona Bank to enhance its financial stability and support future growth investments. This move is aimed at optimizing interest costs and expanding flexible financing options, with minimal expected impact on the company’s financial results for the fiscal year ending April 2025.

Astroscale Secures Major Contract for Sustainable Space Operations
Mar 25, 2025

Astroscale Holdings Inc. announced a significant contract secured by its UK subsidiary, Astroscale Ltd, with Airbus Constellations Satellites SAS for over 100 second-generation docking plates. These plates will be used on low Earth orbit satellites, enhancing operational risk mitigation and regulatory compliance through Astroscale’s End-of-Life services. This contract marks a milestone in the large-scale commercial adoption of Astroscale’s technology, reflecting the growing industry recognition of the need for sustainable space operations and the company’s innovative approach to on-orbit servicing.

Astroscale Secures ¥3 Billion Credit Line for Growth
Mar 14, 2025

Astroscale Holdings Inc. has announced a new commitment line agreement with Resona Bank, Limited, securing a ¥3 billion credit line to enhance its financial stability and support future growth investments. This agreement is part of Astroscale’s strategy to optimize interest costs and maintain financial flexibility, with minimal expected impact on the company’s financial results for the fiscal year ending April 2025.

Astroscale Reports Significant Foreign Exchange Gain in Latest Financial Results
Mar 14, 2025

Astroscale Holdings Inc. reported a foreign exchange gain of ¥342 million for the three months ending January 31, 2025, attributed to currency fluctuations affecting its foreign currency holdings and loans. This gain is reflected in the company’s consolidated financial results, indicating a positive impact on its financial performance despite previous losses in earlier periods.

Astroscale Reports FY2025 Q3 Financial Results
Mar 14, 2025

Astroscale Holdings Inc. presented its financial results for the third quarter of fiscal year 2025. The presentation highlighted the company’s ongoing commitment to addressing space sustainability challenges. Despite the inherent risks and uncertainties in the industry, Astroscale continues to focus on its strategic plans and market positioning to drive future growth and innovation.

Astroscale Reports Increased Revenue but Faces Financial Losses
Mar 14, 2025

Astroscale Holdings Inc. reported its consolidated financial results for the nine months ending January 31, 2025, showing a significant increase in project income by 38.4% compared to the previous year. However, the company also reported substantial losses, with a profit before tax of negative 16,323 million yen, reflecting ongoing challenges in its financial performance. Despite the losses, the company’s total assets and equity have increased, indicating potential for future growth and stability.

Glossary
BuyA stock rated as a "Buy" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock is likely to deliver higher returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
HoldA stock rated as a "Hold" is expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the stock is neither particularly compelling nor unfavorable for investment. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
SellA stock rated as a "Sell" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock may deliver lower returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.

Disclaimer

This AI Analyst Stock Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in stocks carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.Date of analysis: May 20, 2025