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Obayashi (JP:1802)
:1802

Obayashi (1802) AI Stock Analysis

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JP

Obayashi

(OTC:1802)

Rating:78Outperform
Price Target:
¥2,521.00
▲(17.50%Upside)
Obayashi Corporation's stock demonstrates strong financial performance with consistent revenue growth and solid profitability. The technical indicators support a positive trend, enhancing the stock's appeal. The valuation is attractive due to a reasonable P/E ratio and robust dividend yield. These factors collectively suggest a well-positioned stock in the Engineering & Construction industry.

Obayashi (1802) vs. iShares MSCI Japan ETF (EWJ)

Obayashi Business Overview & Revenue Model

Company DescriptionObayashi Corporation engages in the construction business in Japan, North America, Asia, the Middle East, Europe, and Oceania. The company constructs buildings, including offices, condominiums, commercial facilities, factories, hospitals, and schools; and civil engineering projects, such as tunnels, bridges, dams, riverbanks, railroads, and expressways. It is also involved in the development and leasing of real estate properties in various locations, primarily in metropolitan areas, as well as property management activities; solar, biomass, hydropower, geothermal, and wind power generation business; and PPP and agriculture business. In addition, the company sells materials and equipment for construction; develops and sells computer software; sells and leases electronic equipment; offers finance-related services; and operates golf clubs. Further, it engages in the provision of urban development, contracted engineering, management, consultancy services, etc.; and is involved in the M&E design and construction activities. The company was founded in 1892 and is headquartered in Tokyo, Japan.
How the Company Makes MoneyObayashi Corporation generates its revenue primarily through its construction and engineering services. The company takes on contracts for large-scale building and infrastructure projects, which include commercial and residential buildings, transportation systems, and industrial facilities. Revenue is earned through project contracts, which are often secured through competitive bidding processes. Additionally, Obayashi engages in real estate development, where it invests in, develops, and sells or leases properties, further contributing to its income. The company also forms strategic partnerships and joint ventures to expand its project portfolio and enhance its capabilities, which can lead to additional revenue streams.

Obayashi Financial Statement Overview

Summary
Obayashi's financial statements reveal a strong financial position with consistent revenue growth, solid profitability, and improved cash flow generation. The conservative use of debt enhances financial stability, while robust equity returns highlight efficient management. Although there are areas for improvement in cash flow conversion, the overall financial health of the company is commendable.
Income Statement
85
Very Positive
The company has shown robust revenue growth of 12.69% from 2024 to 2025. Gross profit margin remains stable at 11.36% for 2025, with a net profit margin of 5.57%. EBIT and EBITDA margins are healthy at 5.47% and 9.48% respectively, indicating strong operational efficiency and profitability. The consistent upward trend in revenue and profitability metrics suggests solid performance in the income statement.
Balance Sheet
80
Positive
The debt-to-equity ratio is 0.32, indicating a conservative leverage strategy. The return on equity (ROE) stands at 12.61%, reflecting good profitability relative to equity. The equity ratio is 38.05%, suggesting a balanced capital structure. Overall, the balance sheet portrays financial stability with efficient leverage usage and solid equity returns.
Cash Flow
78
Positive
The company achieved significant improvement in free cash flow from a deficit in 2024 to a positive 35.45 billion Yen in 2025. The operating cash flow to net income ratio is 0.59, indicating adequate cash generation relative to net income. The free cash flow to net income ratio is 0.24, reflecting moderate conversion of profits to free cash flow. This positive trend in cash flow metrics shows improved liquidity and cash management.
BreakdownTTMMar 2025Mar 2024Mar 2023Mar 2022Mar 2021
Income Statement
Total Revenue1.90T2.62T2.33T1.98T1.92T1.77T
Gross Profit232.77B297.83B219.60B216.57B154.34B225.78B
EBITDA140.30B248.22B138.49B140.30B78.61B156.60B
Net Income91.61B146.05B75.06B77.67B39.13B98.78B
Balance Sheet
Total Assets3.06T3.04T3.02T2.61T2.42T2.27T
Cash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments279.15B406.14B347.62B426.69B271.03B262.95B
Total Debt449.09B373.63B332.90B344.36B280.87B266.99B
Total Liabilities1.87T1.83T1.82T1.57T1.43T1.31T
Stockholders Equity1.14T1.16T1.15T997.11B955.69B931.01B
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow0.0035.45B-27.99B131.87B11.67B-32.63B
Operating Cash Flow0.0085.63B50.40B228.46B69.70B24.80B
Investing Cash Flow0.0010.78B-84.47B-101.61B-49.83B-79.08B
Financing Cash Flow0.00-51.77B-51.92B22.12B-12.46B-8.48B

Obayashi Technical Analysis

Technical Analysis Sentiment
Neutral
Last Price2145.50
Price Trends
50DMA
2188.16
Negative
100DMA
2095.37
Positive
200DMA
2015.90
Positive
Market Momentum
MACD
-3.83
Positive
RSI
42.69
Neutral
STOCH
23.39
Neutral
Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For JP:1802, the sentiment is Neutral. The current price of 2145.5 is below the 20-day moving average (MA) of 2191.82, below the 50-day MA of 2188.16, and above the 200-day MA of 2015.90, indicating a neutral trend. The MACD of -3.83 indicates Positive momentum. The RSI at 42.69 is Neutral, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 23.39 is Neutral, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Neutral sentiment for JP:1802.

Obayashi Peers Comparison

Overall Rating
UnderperformOutperform
Sector (58)
Financial Indicators
Name
Overall Rating
Market Cap
P/E Ratio
ROE
Dividend Yield
Revenue Growth
EPS Growth
78
Outperform
$1.54T10.5612.49%3.72%12.68%94.75%
58
Neutral
$1.34B4.24-2.93%7.38%3.67%-51.13%
DE2PW
€1.56B8.2916.30%5.42%
$12.58B15.2310.06%0.02%
$7.30B17.687.47%2.44%
$10.67B13.1013.61%3.23%
75
Outperform
¥283.30B11.05
3.14%12.29%59.92%
* Industrials Sector Average
Performance Comparison
Ticker
Company Name
Price
Change
% Change
JP:1802
Obayashi
2,145.50
285.52
15.35%
DE:2PW
Hazama Ando
8.55
2.17
34.01%
KAJMF
Kajima
26.62
9.88
59.02%
SHMUF
Shimizu
11.00
5.46
98.56%
TISCF
TAISEI
58.67
20.81
54.97%
JP:1860
Toda Corporation
940.90
-67.63
-6.71%

Obayashi Corporate Events

Obayashi Completes Share Buyback to Enhance Shareholder Value
Jun 25, 2025

Obayashi Corporation announced the completion of its acquisition of 1,939,400 of its own common shares, valued at approximately ¥4.25 billion, as part of a broader plan to acquire up to 20 million shares. This move is part of a strategic initiative to manage its capital structure and enhance shareholder value, reflecting the company’s commitment to optimizing its financial operations.

The most recent analyst rating on (JP:1802) stock is a Buy with a Yen2400.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Obayashi stock, see the JP:1802 Stock Forecast page.

Obayashi Corporation Advances Share Buyback Program
Jun 4, 2025

Obayashi Corporation announced the acquisition of 2,368,100 of its own common shares, totaling approximately ¥5.2 billion, as part of a larger buyback program authorized by its Board of Directors. This move is part of a strategic initiative to enhance shareholder value and optimize capital structure, reflecting the company’s commitment to its investors.

The most recent analyst rating on (JP:1802) stock is a Buy with a Yen2250.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Obayashi stock, see the JP:1802 Stock Forecast page.

Obayashi Corporation Proposes Increased Year-End Dividend
May 13, 2025

Obayashi Corporation announced a proposal to increase its year-end dividend to 41 yen per share, up from the previously forecasted 40 yen, as part of its commitment to stable dividends. This decision reflects a consolidated dividend payout ratio of 39.7%, indicating a strategic focus on rewarding shareholders while maintaining financial stability.

The most recent analyst rating on (JP:1802) stock is a Buy with a Yen2250.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Obayashi stock, see the JP:1802 Stock Forecast page.

Obayashi Corporation Reports Strong Financial Performance for Fiscal Year 2025
May 13, 2025

Obayashi Corporation reported a strong financial performance for the fiscal year ended March 31, 2025, with net sales increasing by 12.7% and profit attributable to owners of the parent rising by 94.6% year-on-year. This robust growth reflects positively on the company’s operational efficiency and market positioning, indicating a solid return on equity and a stable financial position, which could have favorable implications for stakeholders.

The most recent analyst rating on (JP:1802) stock is a Buy with a Yen2250.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Obayashi stock, see the JP:1802 Stock Forecast page.

Obayashi Corporation Updates on Share Buyback Progress
May 8, 2025

Obayashi Corporation announced the status of its share buyback program, acquiring 4,362,700 common shares for approximately ¥8.6 billion between April 1 and April 30, 2025. This move is part of a larger plan authorized by the Board of Directors to acquire up to 20 million shares, aiming to enhance shareholder value and optimize capital structure.

Obayashi Corporation Revises Financial Forecasts Upward for FY 2025
Apr 10, 2025

Obayashi Corporation has revised its financial forecasts for the fiscal year ended March 31, 2025, showing an increase in net sales, operating income, and profit attributable to owners of the parent. The revisions are attributed to improved profitability in construction projects and better-than-expected progress in the sale of cross-shareholdings, impacting both domestic and international subsidiaries positively.

Glossary
BuyA stock rated as a "Buy" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock is likely to deliver higher returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
HoldA stock rated as a "Hold" is expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the stock is neither particularly compelling nor unfavorable for investment. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
SellA stock rated as a "Sell" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock may deliver lower returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.

Disclaimer

This AI Analyst Stock Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in stocks carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.Date of analysis: May 27, 2025