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Itochu Corporation Unsponsored Adr (ITOCY)
OTHER OTC:ITOCY
US Market
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Itochu (ITOCY) AI Stock Analysis

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ITOCY

Itochu

(OTC:ITOCY)

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Neutral 67 (OpenAI - 5.2)
Rating:67Neutral
Price Target:
$14.00
â–²(10.67% Upside)
Action:DowngradedDate:05/03/26
The score is driven primarily by solid financial performance—steady growth, resilient profitability, and strong, consistent free cash flow—tempered by operating margin variability and meaningful absolute debt. Technical signals are mixed with neutral momentum and a negative MACD, while valuation appears reasonable with a modest dividend yield.
Positive Factors
Diversified trading-house model
Itochu's sogo shosha model spans commodities, consumer goods, infrastructure, ICT and investments, producing multiple, complementary revenue streams. This structural diversification reduces reliance on any single end market, supports cross-border supply‑chain roles and preserves earnings resilience over months.
Negative Factors
Sizable absolute debt level
Despite improving ratios, a large absolute debt stock can amplify earnings and cash‑flow volatility in downturns, constrain strategic optionality and raise refinancing exposure. Over the coming months, sustained macro weakness or higher rates would strain flexibility and elevate financial risk.
Read all positive and negative factors
Positive Factors
Negative Factors
Diversified trading-house model
Itochu's sogo shosha model spans commodities, consumer goods, infrastructure, ICT and investments, producing multiple, complementary revenue streams. This structural diversification reduces reliance on any single end market, supports cross-border supply‑chain roles and preserves earnings resilience over months.
Read all positive factors

Itochu (ITOCY) vs. SPDR S&P 500 ETF (SPY)

Itochu Business Overview & Revenue Model

Company Description
ITOCHU Corporation trades and imports/exports various products worldwide. The Textile segment produces and sells raw materials, threads, and textiles; and garments, home furnishings, and industrial materials. Its Machinery segment engages in the p...
How the Company Makes Money
Itochu makes money through a mix of (1) trading and distribution margins, (2) profits from owned and operated businesses, (3) earnings from investments in subsidiaries and affiliates, and (4) fees from arranging and managing transactions. 1) Trad...

Itochu Earnings Call Summary

Earnings Call Date:Nov 06, 2024
(Q2-2025)
|
% Change Since: |
Next Earnings Date:Jul 31, 2026
Earnings Call Sentiment Positive
The earnings call highlighted several positive developments, including an increase in consolidated net profit and record-setting cash flows, alongside strong performances in specific sectors like Textile and Food. However, challenges such as declines in Metals & Minerals and Energy & Chemicals profits were noted. Despite these challenges, the overall sentiment is positive due to the significant gains and strategic investments being made.
Positive Updates
Increase in Consolidated Net Profit
Consolidated net profit increased by 6% or ¥25.5 billion year-on-year to ¥438.4 billion, achieving 50% of the annual forecast.
Negative Updates
Decline in Metals & Minerals Profit
Metals & Minerals saw a decrease in profit despite increased dividends from Brazilian iron ore business due to deteriorating profitability in Marubeni Itochu Steel's North American business.
Read all updates
Q2-2025 Updates
Negative
Increase in Consolidated Net Profit
Consolidated net profit increased by 6% or ¥25.5 billion year-on-year to ¥438.4 billion, achieving 50% of the annual forecast.
Read all positive updates
Company Guidance
In the call, Itochu Corporation's President, Keita Ishii, provided guidance on various financial metrics for the first half of FYE2025. The consolidated net profit increased by 6% year-on-year to ¥438.4 billion, achieving 50% of the annual forecast. Core profit reached ¥396 billion, marking the second-highest profit level after FYE2023, with a 3% year-on-year growth across sectors including Textile, Chemicals, and Food. Core operating cash flows exceeded ¥500 billion for the first time in a half-year, reaching ¥513 billion, setting an all-time high. The overall annual forecast remains unchanged at ¥880 billion, despite revisions in sector forecasts: Textile is expected to increase by ¥40 billion, while Metals & Minerals are revised down by ¥40 billion. Total shareholders' equity rose by ¥170 billion to ¥5.6 trillion, and the company plans to maintain a total payout ratio of 50%, with a dividend per share of ¥200 and the largest-ever share buybacks of ¥150 billion.

Itochu Financial Statement Overview

Summary
Strong overall fundamentals: consistent revenue growth (notably stronger in the latest year), steady net margins (~5.7%–6.7%), and reliably positive free cash flow with improved 2026 cash flow versus 2025. Offsets include uneven operating profitability (EBIT margin volatility) and meaningful absolute debt despite improving leverage.
Income Statement
74
Positive
Balance Sheet
71
Positive
Cash Flow
77
Positive
BreakdownMar 2026Mar 2025Mar 2024Mar 2023Mar 2022
Income Statement
Total Revenue15.72T14.72T14.03T13.95T12.29T
Gross Profit2.63T2.38T2.23T2.13T1.94T
EBITDA1.23T1.71T1.29T1.25T1.28T
Net Income954.58B880.25B801.77B800.52B820.27B
Balance Sheet
Total Assets16.81T15.13T14.49T13.11T12.15T
Cash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments651.25B636.91B689.06B688.80B724.83B
Total Debt4.78T4.62T4.40T4.01T3.92T
Total Liabilities9.59T8.84T8.50T7.65T7.39T
Stockholders Equity6.62T5.76T5.43T4.82T4.20T
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow924.33B769.81B775.56B743.98B644.02B
Operating Cash Flow1.20T997.28B978.11B938.06B801.16B
Investing Cash Flow-412.32B-516.27B-205.99B-453.81B38.64B
Financing Cash Flow-770.29B-525.00B-801.17B-500.08B-846.71B

Itochu Technical Analysis

Technical Analysis Sentiment
Negative
Last Price12.65
Price Trends
50DMA
13.27
Negative
100DMA
12.88
Negative
200DMA
12.01
Positive
Market Momentum
MACD
-0.16
Positive
RSI
43.56
Neutral
STOCH
7.35
Positive
Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For ITOCY, the sentiment is Negative. The current price of 12.65 is below the 20-day moving average (MA) of 12.73, below the 50-day MA of 13.27, and above the 200-day MA of 12.01, indicating a neutral trend. The MACD of -0.16 indicates Positive momentum. The RSI at 43.56 is Neutral, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 7.35 is Positive, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Negative sentiment for ITOCY.

Itochu Peers Comparison

Overall Rating
UnderperformOutperform
Sector (63)
Financial Indicators
Name
Overall Rating
Market Cap
P/E Ratio
ROE
Dividend Yield
Revenue Growth
EPS Growth
67
Neutral
$99.55B14.9314.58%2.16%1.80%187.51%
63
Neutral
$10.79B15.437.44%2.01%2.89%-14.66%
61
Neutral
$135.04B43.6823.56%2.24%1.15%-19.00%
56
Neutral
$74.74B29.4266.03%1.82%2.08%-34.33%
* Industrials Sector Average
Performance Comparison
Ticker
Company Name
Price
Change
% Change
ITOCY
Itochu
12.83
2.84
28.46%
MMM
3M
143.29
-4.32
-2.93%
HON
Honeywell International
213.12
10.80
5.34%
Glossary
BuyA stock rated as a "Buy" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock is likely to deliver higher returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
HoldA stock rated as a "Hold" is expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the stock is neither particularly compelling nor unfavorable for investment. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
SellA stock rated as a "Sell" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock may deliver lower returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.

Disclaimer

This AI Analyst Stock Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in stocks carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.Date of analysis: May 03, 2026