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Terna S.p.A. (IT:TRN)
:TRN

Terna S.p.A. (TRN) AI Stock Analysis

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IT:TRN

Terna S.p.A.

(TRN)

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Outperform 72 (OpenAI - 5.2)
Rating:72Outperform
Price Target:
€10.50
▲(1.74% Upside)
Action:ReiteratedDate:09/24/25
Terna S.p.A. receives a solid score driven by strong financial performance, characterized by robust revenue growth and profitability. The valuation is reasonable with an attractive dividend yield. Technical analysis presents mixed signals, indicating a neutral market sentiment. The absence of earnings call data and corporate events does not impact the score.
Positive Factors
Regulated revenue model
Terna's revenues are derived from a regulated tariff framework set by the Italian authority, providing predictable, contract-like cash flows. This structural stability reduces demand cyclicality, supports long-term investment planning, and underpins reliable funding for grid modernization over multi-year horizons.
Negative Factors
High leverage
A debt-to-equity ratio near 1.84 signals meaningful leverage common in utilities but raises sensitivity to interest rates and refinancing cycles. Elevated leverage can constrain strategic flexibility, increase funding costs on adverse market moves, and amplify downside in stress scenarios over the medium term.
Read all positive and negative factors
Positive Factors
Negative Factors
Regulated revenue model
Terna's revenues are derived from a regulated tariff framework set by the Italian authority, providing predictable, contract-like cash flows. This structural stability reduces demand cyclicality, supports long-term investment planning, and underpins reliable funding for grid modernization over multi-year horizons.
Read all positive factors

Terna S.p.A. (TRN) vs. iShares MSCI Italy ETF (EWI)

Terna S.p.A. Business Overview & Revenue Model

Company Description
Terna - Rete Elettrica Nazionale Società per Azioni, together with its subsidiaries, engages in the electricity transmission and dispatching activities in Italy, Euro-area countries, and internationally. The company operates through Regulated, Non...
How the Company Makes Money
Terna generates revenue primarily through the transmission of electricity over its high-voltage grid, charging fees to electricity producers and distributors for the use of its infrastructure. The company earns significant income from regulated ta...

Terna S.p.A. Financial Statement Overview

Summary
Terna S.p.A. demonstrates strong financial health with robust revenue growth, high profitability margins, and effective capital management. The balance sheet is stable, despite high leverage typical of the utilities sector. Cash flow generation is solid, although negative free cash flow due to high capital expenditures should be monitored.
Income Statement
85
Very Positive
Balance Sheet
78
Positive
Cash Flow
70
Positive
BreakdownTTMDec 2024Dec 2023Dec 2022Dec 2021Dec 2020
Income Statement
Total Revenue2.87B3.65B3.15B2.92B2.57B2.40B
Gross Profit1.74B3.34B2.58B2.42B2.16B2.06B
EBITDA2.08B2.58B2.11B2.07B1.87B1.80B
Net Income1.10B1.06B885.40M857.00M789.40M785.50M
Balance Sheet
Total Assets28.08B27.19B23.47B22.83B22.39B20.70B
Cash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments2.83B2.74B1.74B2.41B2.55B3.31B
Total Debt14.75B13.86B12.98B11.76B12.42B12.34B
Total Liabilities20.55B19.64B17.10B16.63B17.60B16.28B
Stockholders Equity7.51B7.52B6.32B5.15B4.68B4.37B
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow-1.37B-1.16B-963.90M831.40M-511.90M-245.20M
Operating Cash Flow695.70M1.47B1.08B2.32B832.30M941.40M
Investing Cash Flow-2.40B-2.40B-2.33B-1.86B-863.30M-1.39B
Financing Cash Flow1.07B1.87B464.30M92.50M-1.05B2.08B

Terna S.p.A. Technical Analysis

Technical Analysis Sentiment
Positive
Last Price10.32
Price Trends
50DMA
9.79
Positive
100DMA
9.41
Positive
200DMA
8.96
Positive
Market Momentum
MACD
0.11
Negative
RSI
66.05
Neutral
STOCH
91.47
Negative
Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For IT:TRN, the sentiment is Positive. The current price of 10.32 is above the 20-day moving average (MA) of 9.87, above the 50-day MA of 9.79, and above the 200-day MA of 8.96, indicating a bullish trend. The MACD of 0.11 indicates Negative momentum. The RSI at 66.05 is Neutral, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 91.47 is Negative, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Positive sentiment for IT:TRN.

Terna S.p.A. Peers Comparison

Overall Rating
UnderperformOutperform
Sector (55)
Financial Indicators
Name
Overall Rating
Market Cap
P/E Ratio
ROE
Dividend Yield
Revenue Growth
EPS Growth
72
Outperform
€20.73B16.3714.70%4.41%10.18%8.43%
63
Neutral
€100.20B22.7723.22%5.05%-3.10%26.28%
63
Neutral
€10.73B4.814.05%-3.34%8.88%
61
Neutral
€3.36B23.799.06%5.06%10.48%9.06%
56
Neutral
€6.10B8.7013.30%3.76%15.98%19.01%
55
Neutral
$6.65B3.83-15.92%6.20%10.91%7.18%
* General Sector Average
Performance Comparison
Ticker
Company Name
Price
Change
% Change
IT:TRN
Terna S.p.A.
10.32
2.49
31.73%
IT:ENEL
Enel S.p.A.
9.87
3.18
47.61%
IT:HER
HERA S.p.A.
4.17
0.44
11.94%
IT:IRE
Iren S.p.A.
2.62
0.43
19.67%
IT:IG
Italgas S.p.A.
10.56
4.63
77.99%
IT:DEA
Distribuzione Elettrica Adriatica S.p.A
8.70
1.83
26.64%

Terna S.p.A. Corporate Events

Terna Secures €200 Million ESG-Linked Credit Line
Nov 20, 2025
Terna S.p.A. has secured a 200 million euro credit line from BPER Banca S.p.A, linked to its ESG performance indicators. This move underscores Terna’s dedication to sustainability and strengthens its financial position, emphasizing its strat...
Terna S.p.A. Announces 2025 Dividend Advance Payment
Nov 14, 2025
Terna S.p.A. announced that its Board of Directors has approved an advance dividend payment for the 2025 financial year, amounting to 0.1192 Euro per share. The payment will commence on November 26, 2025, following the detachment of coupon no. 43....
Terna S.p.A. Reports Robust 2025 Financial Performance with Increased Investments
Nov 13, 2025
Terna S.p.A. reported strong financial results for the first nine months of 2025, with investments exceeding 2 billion euros, marking a 22.9% increase from the previous year. The company’s strategic focus on renewable energy and infrastructu...
Glossary
BuyA stock rated as a "Buy" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock is likely to deliver higher returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
HoldA stock rated as a "Hold" is expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the stock is neither particularly compelling nor unfavorable for investment. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
SellA stock rated as a "Sell" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock may deliver lower returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.

Disclaimer

This AI Analyst Stock Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in stocks carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.Date of analysis: Sep 24, 2025