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Stellantis (IT:STLAM)
:STLAM

Stellantis (STLAM) AI Stock Analysis

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IT:STLAM

Stellantis

(STLAM)

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Neutral 48 (OpenAI - 5.2)
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Neutral 48 (OpenAI - 5.2)
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Neutral 48 (OpenAI - 5.2)
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Neutral 48 (OpenAI - 5.2)
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Neutral 48 (OpenAI - 5.2)
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Neutral 48 (OpenAI - 5.2)
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Neutral 48 (OpenAI - 5.2)
Rating:48Neutral
Price Target:
€5.50
▼(-0.54% Downside)
Action:ReiteratedDate:03/05/26
The score is primarily held down by weakened financial performance (losses, higher cash burn, and reduced balance-sheet resilience) and bearish technical signals (below key moving averages with negative MACD). Offsetting factors are a very high dividend yield and earnings-call commentary pointing to expected second-half improvement supported by strong liquidity, but current profitability and cash flow pressures remain the dominant risks.
Positive Factors
Large liquidity reserves
EUR 47B of industrial liquidity (EUR 31B cash/securities) gives Stellantis durable financial flexibility to fund product launches, manage working capital swings, and absorb near-term losses without urgent refinancing. This supports multi-quarter execution of strategic initiatives and helps underwrite investments in EVs and software.
Extensive global brand portfolio
A diversified lineup across mass-market, premium, trucks, and regional brands spreads demand risk and supports recurring parts & service revenue. Brand breadth enables cross-market product leverage, scale procurement savings, and resilience across cycles, aiding multi-quarter revenue and margin recovery efforts.
Product pipeline & market share gains
New product introductions and a notable European share gain indicate improving competitiveness and fresh sales momentum. A strong pipeline and improving order intake in North America support a durable sequential revenue recovery and better mix over coming quarters, which can sustainably lift AOI if execution holds.
Negative Factors
Sharp swing to losses
The move from historically healthy margins to negative gross and operating profitability reflects structural pressure on pricing, mix, and cost absorption. Sustained negative margins undermine internal capital generation and will require consistent operational improvement or structural changes to restore durable profitability.
Negative operating and free cash flow
Persistent negative operating and free cash flow erode the company’s ability to self-fund capex, electrification and R&D. Over several quarters this increases reliance on external financing, pressures liquidity cushions, and can limit strategic optionality or force asset sales if cash generation does not reaccelerate.
Weakened balance sheet and higher leverage
Rising debt alongside materially lower equity raises leverage and refinancing risk. Higher financial obligations increase interest sensitivity and reduce headroom for M&A or large investments. Over 2–6 months, this constrains flexibility and raises the cost of capital if profitability remains impaired.

Stellantis (STLAM) vs. iShares MSCI Italy ETF (EWI)

Stellantis Business Overview & Revenue Model

Company DescriptionStellantis N.V. engages in the design, engineering, manufacturing, distribution, and sale of automobiles and light commercial vehicles, engines, transmission systems, metallurgical products, mobility services, and production systems worldwide. It provides luxury and premium vehicles; sport utility vehicles; American and European brand vehicles; and parts and services, as well as retail and dealer financing, leasing, and rental services. The company offers its products under the Abarth, Alfa Romeo, Chrysler, Citroën, DS, Dodge, Fiat, Jeep, Maserati, Ram, Opel, Lancia, Vauxhall, Peugeot, and Comau brand names through distributors and dealers. Stellantis N.V. was founded in 1899 and is based in Hoofddorp, the Netherlands.
How the Company Makes MoneyStellantis primarily generates revenue by selling vehicles to dealers, distributors, and fleet customers (and in some markets directly to end customers), with pricing and product mix (e.g., trucks/SUVs, premium brands, and higher-content trims) materially influencing revenue and margins. A second major stream comes from parts and services: sales of original equipment and replacement parts, accessories, and aftersales service activities tied to its installed vehicle base; this business can benefit from recurring demand over the life of vehicles. Stellantis also earns revenue from its financial services activities where available, including arranging or providing retail and dealer financing, leasing, and related products (interest income, fees, and other financing-related revenues), which can support vehicle sales and contribute earnings across the cycle. Additional revenue sources can include software- and connectivity-enabled features and services (such as subscriptions), commercial agreements with suppliers and dealers, and licensing/royalty income; if specific amounts by category are not disclosed in a given period, null.

Stellantis Earnings Call Summary

Earnings Call Date:Jul 29, 2025
(Q2-2025)
|
% Change Since: |
Next Earnings Date:Jul 23, 2026
Earnings Call Sentiment Negative
The earnings call indicates a challenging first half of 2025 for Stellantis, with significant revenue and cash flow declines due to adverse market conditions, tariffs, and foreign exchange headwinds. However, the company has shown promising signs of recovery with new product launches, increased market share in Europe, and strong liquidity. Despite these positive developments, the lowlights highlight that the challenges outweigh the improvements at this time.
Q2-2025 Updates
Positive Updates
New Product Launches
Stellantis launched four new products in H1 2025, including competitive B segment products in Europe such as the Citroën C3 Aircross, Opel Frontera, and Fiat Grande Panda. More new products are expected later in the year, including iconic nameplates and a variety of powertrains.
North America and Europe Market Share
Market share in Europe increased by 1.3 percentage points to 17% in H1 2025 compared to H2 2024. North America's order book improved by 90% year-over-year, driven by better relationship with dealers and new product launches.
Industrial Liquidity and Cash Management
Stellantis' industrial liquidity remained strong at EUR 47 billion, with EUR 31 billion in cash and liquid securities, bolstered by bond issuances of EUR 3.6 billion.
Growth in South America and MEA
Stellantis maintained market share leadership in South America with growth in key markets like Brazil and Argentina. Middle East and Africa showed continued business momentum despite currency headwinds.
Negative Updates
Decline in Net Revenue
Net revenue declined by 13% year-over-year due to adverse regional mix and lower pricing. Consolidated shipments fell 7% with declines in North America and Europe.
Industrial Free Cash Flow Outflow
Stellantis experienced an industrial free cash flow outflow of EUR 3 billion in the first half of 2025, mainly due to low AOI generation and working capital increase.
Tariff and Foreign Exchange Headwinds
Tariffs and foreign exchange challenges negatively impacted AOI, with expected net tariff expense for the year at approximately EUR 1.5 billion. Turkish lira decline also impacted AOI by EUR 600 million.
Challenges in North America and Europe
North America and Europe remain in turnaround phases, with performance impacted by tariffs, lower fleet performance, and lower industry volumes in Europe.
Company Guidance
In the Stellantis Half Year 2025 results call, the company outlined its financial guidance and strategic priorities for the remainder of the year. Stellantis reported that their consolidated shipments fell by 7% to 2.7 million units, with net revenue dropping 13% to EUR 74 billion, largely due to adverse regional mix and lower pricing. The company experienced a significant industrial free cash flow outflow of EUR 3 billion in the first half of 2025. Despite these challenges, Stellantis anticipates a gradual sequential improvement in the second half, driven by new product launches and improved execution. The company expects net revenues to increase, with AOI margins in the low single digits, and improvements in industrial free cash flow. Stellantis is addressing several external factors, such as tariffs and foreign exchange headwinds, and plans to leverage its product wave and new leadership to catalyze growth, particularly in North America and Europe. The company also mentioned the strategic decision to end its fuel cell initiatives in Europe and focus on products with clear market opportunities.

Stellantis Financial Statement Overview

Summary
Financial statements show a sharp deterioration versus 2021–2023: 2025 swung to significant losses with negative gross/operating profitability, cash flow weakened to negative operating cash flow and deeply negative free cash flow, and the balance sheet also weakened with higher debt and materially lower equity.
Income Statement
28
Negative
After solid profitability in 2021–2023 (net margin near ~9–10% and healthy operating profitability), results deteriorated sharply. 2025 shows a steep swing to losses with negative gross profit and deeply negative operating and net margins, despite revenue being slightly higher than 2021 and up modestly versus the prior year. Revenue also became less stable, with a meaningful decline in 2024 followed by a modest rebound in 2025.
Balance Sheet
55
Neutral
The balance sheet was relatively conservative through 2022–2024 with moderate leverage and strong equity, but 2025 shows clear weakening. Debt rose while equity fell materially, pushing leverage higher and driving a strongly negative return on equity due to the large loss. Total assets remain sizable, but the year-over-year shift suggests reduced balance-sheet resilience versus the prior two years.
Cash Flow
30
Negative
Cash generation has become inconsistent. Strong operating cash flow and positive free cash flow in 2021–2023 reversed in 2024 (negative free cash flow despite positive earnings) and worsened in 2025 with negative operating cash flow and deeply negative free cash flow. While 2025 free cash flow was mechanically positive versus net income (loss year), the overall trajectory points to higher cash burn and weaker internal funding capacity recently.
BreakdownDec 2025Dec 2024Dec 2023Dec 2022Dec 2021
Income Statement
Total Revenue153.51B156.88B189.54B179.59B149.42B
Gross Profit-4.21B20.52B38.14B35.27B29.48B
EBITDA-15.25B12.78B31.30B28.95B21.63B
Net Income-22.33B5.47B18.60B16.80B14.20B
Balance Sheet
Total Assets195.15B207.61B202.13B186.16B171.77B
Cash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments31.37B37.08B48.41B50.27B51.41B
Total Debt45.95B37.23B29.46B27.15B33.58B
Total Liabilities141.15B125.49B120.01B113.77B115.46B
Stockholders Equity53.55B81.69B81.69B72.00B55.91B
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow-13.79B-7.05B12.29B10.95B8.53B
Operating Cash Flow-4.65B4.01B22.48B19.96B18.65B
Investing Cash Flow-5.90B-15.98B-15.05B-10.53B8.67B
Financing Cash Flow7.57B2.06B-9.20B-13.17B-1.37B

Stellantis Technical Analysis

Technical Analysis Sentiment
Negative
Last Price5.53
Price Trends
50DMA
7.07
Negative
100DMA
8.20
Negative
200DMA
8.30
Negative
Market Momentum
MACD
-0.41
Negative
RSI
30.92
Neutral
STOCH
11.99
Positive
Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For IT:STLAM, the sentiment is Negative. The current price of 5.53 is below the 20-day moving average (MA) of 6.15, below the 50-day MA of 7.07, and below the 200-day MA of 8.30, indicating a bearish trend. The MACD of -0.41 indicates Negative momentum. The RSI at 30.92 is Neutral, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 11.99 is Positive, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Negative sentiment for IT:STLAM.

Stellantis Peers Comparison

Overall Rating
UnderperformOutperform
Sector (61)
Financial Indicators
Name
Overall Rating
Market Cap
P/E Ratio
ROE
Dividend Yield
Revenue Growth
EPS Growth
79
Outperform
€3.74B11.063.23%-0.22%-12.64%
66
Neutral
€5.55B11.728.81%4.33%1.64%14.73%
61
Neutral
$18.38B12.79-2.54%3.03%1.52%-15.83%
48
Neutral
€20.82B-1.2226.27%7.23%-17.07%-118.99%
42
Neutral
€524.23M18.968.39%4.42%-10.26%-45.52%
* Consumer Cyclical Sector Average
Performance Comparison
Ticker
Company Name
Price
Change
% Change
IT:STLAM
Stellantis
5.65
-4.74
-45.61%
IT:BRE
Brembo SPA
7.64
-0.78
-9.22%
IT:LNDR
Landi Renzo S.p.A.
0.81
-0.61
-43.13%
IT:PIA
Piaggio & C. SPA
1.50
-0.43
-22.19%
IT:SGF
Sogefi SPA
1.89
0.11
5.99%
IT:PIRC
Pirelli & C. SpA
5.71
0.05
0.88%
Glossary
BuyA stock rated as a "Buy" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock is likely to deliver higher returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
HoldA stock rated as a "Hold" is expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the stock is neither particularly compelling nor unfavorable for investment. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
SellA stock rated as a "Sell" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock may deliver lower returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.

Disclaimer

This AI Analyst Stock Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in stocks carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.Date of analysis: Mar 05, 2026