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Ferrari NV (IT:RACE)
NYSE:RACE

Ferrari (RACE) AI Stock Analysis

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IT:RACE

Ferrari

(NYSE:RACE)

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Outperform 77 (OpenAI - 5.2)
Rating:77Outperform
Price Target:
€314.00
▲(4.96% Upside)
Action:ReiteratedDate:02/21/26
The score is primarily supported by exceptional profitability and strong cash generation, reinforced by positive earnings-call guidance and long order-book visibility. It is tempered by mixed technical positioning (below longer-term moving averages) and a relatively expensive valuation (P/E ~34.5 with a low dividend yield).
Positive Factors
High Profitability & Margins
Ferrari's sustained premium margins reflect durable pricing power from brand exclusivity, a high-margin mix (personalizations and limited-run models) and efficient operations. These margins support reinvestment, R&D and shareholder returns, making profitability resilient across cycles.
Negative Factors
Material Leverage
Leverage has improved but remains material; debt amplifies ROE but reduces resilience to macro shocks. In a tightening-rate or weaker-demand scenario, interest and refinancing exposure could constrain capital allocation and raise funding costs, limiting strategic optionality.
Read all positive and negative factors
Positive Factors
Negative Factors
High Profitability & Margins
Ferrari's sustained premium margins reflect durable pricing power from brand exclusivity, a high-margin mix (personalizations and limited-run models) and efficient operations. These margins support reinvestment, R&D and shareholder returns, making profitability resilient across cycles.
Read all positive factors

Ferrari (RACE) vs. iShares MSCI Italy ETF (EWI)

Ferrari Business Overview & Revenue Model

Company Description
Ferrari N.V., through its subsidiaries, designs, engineers, produces, and sells luxury performance sports cars. The company offers sports, GT, and special series cars; limited edition hyper cars; one-off and track cars; and Icona cars. It also pro...
How the Company Makes Money
Ferrari primarily makes money by selling luxury sports cars and related services. Its key revenue streams include: (1) Sales of cars: Revenue from delivering Ferrari-branded vehicles to customers, typically through a controlled network of authoriz...

Ferrari Earnings Call Summary

Earnings Call Date:Feb 10, 2026
(Q4-2025)
|
% Change Since: |
Next Earnings Date:May 05, 2026
Earnings Call Sentiment Positive
The call highlighted strong financial and operational performance in FY2025 — record revenue (>EUR 7.1bn), robust margins (EBIT margin 29.5%), and exceptional industrial free cash flow (+~50% to >EUR 1.5bn), together with successful product launches and racing achievements. Key near-term headwinds include an acknowledged EUR ~200m FX drag for 2026, tariff impacts, higher SG&A and R&D/F1 costs and model-changeover timing that creates delivery phasing risk. On balance, the company demonstrated execution strength, ample cash generation and a clear strategic roadmap, while flagging manageable but meaningful macro and timing challenges for 2026.
Positive Updates
Record Revenue
Net revenues exceeded EUR 7.1 billion in FY2025, representing year-over-year growth of ~8% at constant currency (7% including FX headwinds).
Negative Updates
Significant FX Headwind for 2026
Management expects an approximately EUR 200 million negative impact to 2026 results from foreign exchange (assumption: USD ~120/EUR and current JPY rates) after considering hedges.
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Q4-2025 Updates
Negative
Record Revenue
Net revenues exceeded EUR 7.1 billion in FY2025, representing year-over-year growth of ~8% at constant currency (7% including FX headwinds).
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Company Guidance
Ferrari guided 2026 as “another year of growth,” driven by a stronger product mix (with the clearest improvement in H2) and model ramp‑ups, while expecting personalizations to remain around 20% of cars & spare‑parts revenues; higher SG&A (brand, retail and digital), higher D&A, roughly stable R&D on the P&L (with possible F1 volatility) and CapEx slightly above 2025. Management assumes a USD ≈120/EUR rate and flagged a net FX headwind of about €200m (including hedges), an effective tax rate of ≈23% (Patent Box benefit only), and expects industrial free cash flow to stay robust after 2025’s >€1.5bn (≈+50% YoY) generation; 2025 base metrics were revenues >€7.1bn, EBIT >€2.1bn (EBIT margin 29.5%, EBITDA margin 38.8%), shipments kept flat YoY, order book visibility into end‑2027, and the continuation of new‑model launches (7 in production) including F80 ramp and Ferrari Luce full introduction (deliveries starting Q4).

Ferrari Financial Statement Overview

Summary
High-quality financial profile driven by premium profitability (TTM gross margin ~52%, EBIT margin ~30%, net margin ~22%) and strong, improving cash generation (TTM FCF ~€1.52B). Offsetting factors include a not-fully-conservative balance sheet with meaningful debt (~€3.0B; TTM debt-to-equity ~0.76) and only moderate FCF conversion (~58% of net income).
Income Statement
92
Very Positive
Balance Sheet
78
Positive
Cash Flow
84
Very Positive
BreakdownDec 2025Dec 2024Dec 2023Dec 2022Dec 2021
Income Statement
Total Revenue7.15B6.68B5.97B5.10B4.27B
Gross Profit3.69B3.35B2.97B2.45B2.19B
EBITDA2.13B2.59B2.29B1.77B1.53B
Net Income1.60B1.52B1.25B932.61M830.77M
Balance Sheet
Total Assets9.86B9.50B8.05B7.77B6.86B
Cash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments1.55B1.75B1.13B1.40B1.35B
Total Debt3.02B3.35B2.48B2.81B2.63B
Total Liabilities5.95B5.95B4.98B5.16B4.65B
Stockholders Equity3.91B3.53B3.06B2.59B2.21B
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow1.86B937.50M847.73M598.72M545.58M
Operating Cash Flow2.35B1.93B1.72B1.40B1.28B
Investing Cash Flow-944.14M-987.11M-866.45M-805.41M-732.74M
Financing Cash Flow-1.67B-324.76M-1.11B-553.56M-579.67M

Ferrari Technical Analysis

Technical Analysis Sentiment
Positive
Last Price299.15
Price Trends
50DMA
298.03
Positive
100DMA
308.25
Negative
200DMA
351.31
Negative
Market Momentum
MACD
0.38
Negative
RSI
53.71
Neutral
STOCH
70.88
Neutral
Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For IT:RACE, the sentiment is Positive. The current price of 299.15 is above the 20-day moving average (MA) of 288.40, above the 50-day MA of 298.03, and below the 200-day MA of 351.31, indicating a neutral trend. The MACD of 0.38 indicates Negative momentum. The RSI at 53.71 is Neutral, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 70.88 is Neutral, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Positive sentiment for IT:RACE.

Ferrari Peers Comparison

Overall Rating
UnderperformOutperform
Sector (61)
Financial Indicators
Name
Overall Rating
Market Cap
P/E Ratio
ROE
Dividend Yield
Revenue Growth
EPS Growth
78
Outperform
€14.72B24.0818.89%2.32%0.87%-5.61%
77
Outperform
€71.32B35.4843.22%0.93%9.53%12.89%
72
Outperform
€4.22B14.263.23%-0.22%-12.64%
61
Neutral
$18.38B12.79-2.54%3.03%1.52%-15.83%
60
Neutral
€6.15B11.728.81%4.33%1.64%14.73%
48
Neutral
€25.94B-1.2226.27%7.23%-17.07%-118.99%
46
Neutral
€56.79M-54.82-26.84%-9.84%-4133.33%
* Consumer Cyclical Sector Average
Performance Comparison
Ticker
Company Name
Price
Change
% Change
IT:RACE
Ferrari
299.15
-83.07
-21.73%
IT:STLAM
Stellantis
6.69
-0.94
-12.34%
IT:BRE
Brembo SPA
8.27
0.89
12.12%
IT:MONC
Moncler S.p.A.
53.04
-0.47
-0.87%
IT:PINF
Pininfarina SPA
0.71
-0.04
-5.05%
IT:PIRC
Pirelli & C. SpA
6.07
1.22
25.08%
Glossary
BuyA stock rated as a "Buy" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock is likely to deliver higher returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
HoldA stock rated as a "Hold" is expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the stock is neither particularly compelling nor unfavorable for investment. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
SellA stock rated as a "Sell" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock may deliver lower returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.

Disclaimer

This AI Analyst Stock Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in stocks carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.Date of analysis: Feb 21, 2026