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Banca Profilo SPA (IT:PRO)
:PRO

Banca Profilo SPA (PRO) AI Stock Analysis

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IT:PRO

Banca Profilo SPA

(PRO)

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Neutral 64 (OpenAI - 5.2)
Rating:64Neutral
Price Target:
€0.19
▲(6.67% Upside)
Banca Profilo SPA's overall stock score is primarily driven by its strong balance sheet and attractive dividend yield, which provide financial stability and income potential. However, operational inefficiencies and inconsistent revenue growth present challenges. Technical indicators suggest limited momentum, contributing to a cautious outlook.
Positive Factors
Strong balance sheet (no debt)
A debt-free capital structure and healthy equity ratio provide durable financial resilience. This reduces refinancing and interest-rate risk, preserves regulatory capital headroom, and gives management flexibility to fund client services, absorb shocks, or support strategic investments over the medium term.
Fee-based wealth management model
A core business built on advisory, portfolio management, custody and brokerage fees creates recurring, client-anchored revenues. For a private bank serving HNW clients, fee diversification across mandates and custody reduces cyclicality vs. pure trading income and supports predictable cash flows over time.
Positive free cash flow
Sustained positive free cash flow underpins dividend capacity and reinvestment without relying on external funding. Over months, this enables steady capital allocation to client platforms, technology, or selective growth initiatives while providing a buffer against volatility in operating cash generation.
Negative Factors
Inconsistent and declining revenues
A material revenue decline and irregular top-line trends undermine the bank's ability to scale recurring fee income. Persistently lower revenues pressurize margins, limit reinvestment capacity, and force reliance on cost cuts or one-off gains, weakening growth prospects across the medium term.
Declining operating cash flow
Weaker conversion of reported income into operating cash signals earnings-quality issues and reduces liquidity flexibility. Over several months, this can constrain funding for client needs, technology upgrades, or distributions, and raises risk of management needing to preserve cash or curtail strategic spending.
Negative operating profitability
A negative EBIT margin reflects structural cost inefficiencies relative to revenue base. If persistent, this erodes internal capital generation, limits ability to invest in client-facing capabilities, and weakens competitive positioning versus peers with leaner operating models over the medium term.

Banca Profilo SPA (PRO) vs. iShares MSCI Italy ETF (EWI)

Banca Profilo SPA Business Overview & Revenue Model

Company DescriptionBanca Profilo S.p.A. provides various banking and financial services to private and institutional clients in Italy and internationally. It offers investment planning services; wealth planning, insurance, and foreign solutions; financing services; and trust services, including asset consolidation services. The company also provides investment management services, such as tailor made asset management and portfolio advisory services; and investment banking services comprising corporate finance and capital market advisory services. In addition, it offers trading in stocks and bonds, and analyzing derivative instruments and structured securities; collateralized funding solutions for electronic repurchase agreements; management of real estate portfolios; analysis and research services; and mobile banking services, as well as operates reserved investment clubs. The company was founded in 1988 and is based in Milan, Italy. Banca Profilo S.p.A. is a subsidiary of Arepo BP S.p.A.
How the Company Makes MoneyBanca Profilo generates revenue through multiple streams, including fees from asset management services, commissions from securities trading, and interest income from lending activities. The bank charges management fees for overseeing client portfolios and performance fees based on investment outcomes. Additionally, Banca Profilo earns commissions on trades executed on behalf of clients and interest from loans provided to clients. The bank may also engage in strategic partnerships with asset management firms and financial advisors to expand its service offerings and client base, further contributing to its earnings.

Banca Profilo SPA Financial Statement Overview

Summary
Banca Profilo SPA exhibits a stable balance sheet with no debt and a solid equity base, contributing to overall financial stability. However, income statement metrics reveal operational inefficiencies and inconsistent revenue growth, affecting profitability. Cash flow trends show potential liquidity issues with declining operating cash flow, although free cash flow remains positive, supporting short-term financial health.
Income Statement
60
Neutral
The company's revenue has shown inconsistency, with a significant decrease from 2023 to 2024. The gross profit margin remains strong, but the negative EBIT margin in 2024 is concerning, indicating operational inefficiencies. The net income saw a decline, reflecting challenges in maintaining profitability.
Balance Sheet
75
Positive
The company maintains a strong equity position with no total debt in 2024, reflecting financial stability. The equity ratio is healthy, indicating a robust capital structure. However, the return on equity has decreased, suggesting less efficient use of equity capital in generating profits.
Cash Flow
65
Positive
Operating cash flow has declined from previous years, impacting free cash flow growth. The free cash flow remains positive, which is a positive sign for liquidity. However, the operating cash flow to net income ratio indicates challenges in converting income into cash flow efficiently.
BreakdownTTMDec 2024Dec 2023Dec 2022Dec 2021Dec 2020
Income Statement
Total Revenue133.43M143.70M119.43M75.56M71.68M63.69M
Gross Profit75.06M77.80M79.42M73.04M69.53M62.03M
EBITDA7.09M13.28M16.26M15.80M13.54M13.65M
Net Income4.75M9.29M12.12M11.13M11.71M8.71M
Balance Sheet
Total Assets2.40B2.55B2.14B1.89B1.67B1.85B
Cash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments132.18M138.78M116.49M71.11M31.53M88.66M
Total Debt0.000.000.000.004.28M4.55M
Total Liabilities2.24B2.39B1.97B1.73B1.50B1.65B
Stockholders Equity157.20M161.06M165.93M160.55M163.85M176.47M
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow0.0031.06M54.58M48.93M-28.20M24.64M
Operating Cash Flow0.0034.64M54.93M52.32M-25.87M26.81M
Investing Cash Flow0.00-3.58M-1.77M-3.39M-5.37M-2.18M
Financing Cash Flow0.00-10.23M-9.23M-9.84M-25.73M-2.44M

Banca Profilo SPA Technical Analysis

Technical Analysis Sentiment
Positive
Last Price0.18
Price Trends
50DMA
0.17
Positive
100DMA
0.16
Positive
200DMA
0.17
Positive
Market Momentum
MACD
<0.01
Positive
RSI
59.96
Neutral
STOCH
33.33
Neutral
Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For IT:PRO, the sentiment is Positive. The current price of 0.18 is above the 20-day moving average (MA) of 0.18, above the 50-day MA of 0.17, and above the 200-day MA of 0.17, indicating a bullish trend. The MACD of <0.01 indicates Positive momentum. The RSI at 59.96 is Neutral, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 33.33 is Neutral, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Positive sentiment for IT:PRO.

Banca Profilo SPA Peers Comparison

Overall Rating
UnderperformOutperform
Sector (55)
Financial Indicators
Name
Overall Rating
Market Cap
P/E Ratio
ROE
Dividend Yield
Revenue Growth
EPS Growth
73
Outperform
€5.27B8.1214.69%6.23%-7.81%4.89%
71
Outperform
€1.65B9.258.85%8.44%-3.63%-5.12%
64
Neutral
€117.09M10.297.01%7.69%-12.26%31.82%
55
Neutral
$6.65B3.83-15.92%6.20%10.91%7.18%
54
Neutral
€496.13M-30.78-12.79%22.48%69.78%
53
Neutral
€1.23B10.467.87%4.86%-5.81%-11.05%
* General Sector Average
Performance Comparison
Ticker
Company Name
Price
Change
% Change
IT:PRO
Banca Profilo SPA
0.18
<0.01
4.07%
IT:IF
Banca Ifis SPA
27.44
8.24
42.90%
IT:BDB
Banco di Desio e Della Brianza SPA
9.34
1.69
22.03%
IT:CE
Credito Emiliano SPA Credem
15.50
4.73
43.99%
IT:DOV
doValue S.p.A
2.62
0.99
60.98%

Banca Profilo SPA Corporate Events

Banca Profilo Sets 2026 Calendar for Financial Reporting and Governance Events
Jan 30, 2026

Banca Profilo has published its 2026 corporate events calendar, outlining the key governance and financial reporting dates for the year. The bank has scheduled board meetings across February, March, May, July and November to approve preliminary 2025 results, the 2025 annual report, and the interim and half-year consolidated financial reports, with the annual shareholders’ meeting to approve the 2025 financial statements set for 23 April 2026, providing investors and stakeholders with clear visibility on the timing of major financial disclosures and corporate decisions.

The most recent analyst rating on (IT:PRO) stock is a Hold with a EUR0.18 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Banca Profilo SPA stock, see the IT:PRO Stock Forecast page.

Banca Profilo Responds to Bank of Italy Inspection with Governance Overhaul and Fund Exit Plan
Dec 30, 2025

Banca Profilo and its parent Arepo BP have reviewed the outcome of a broad, routine inspection by Banca d’Italia, which highlighted the need to reinforce internal controls, operating limits, remuneration practices and board reporting, but did not affect the bank’s balance sheet representation or restrict current operations. In parallel, Sator Capital and Arepo BP will study an accelerated closure of the Sator Private Equity Fund, defining how to allocate Banca Profilo shares directly to fund unitholders and adjust the bank’s governance to the resulting ownership changes, while the board has strengthened its management team by appointing Giorgio Cardenà as Co-General Manager Products and Markets and interim head of Finance, and Andrea Semmoloni as Head of Risk Management, moves that support the bank’s ongoing repositioning and regulatory remediation efforts.

Banca Profilo Strengthens Arepo Fiduciaria Governance with New Chairman and Board Member
Dec 23, 2025

Arepo Fiduciaria, the fiduciary company wholly owned by Banca Profilo, has appointed veteran Italian industrial and financial executive Claudio Calabi as Chairman of its Board of Directors, where he will work alongside CEO Massimo Longhi to support the firm’s further strengthening and development. The shareholders’ meeting also approved the entry of Banca Profilo board member Maria Rita Scolaro onto Arepo Fiduciaria’s board, in a move presented as part of a broader governance reinforcement designed to underpin the company’s growth strategy and maintain top-tier professional and service standards for its clientele.

Banca Profilo Strengthens Governance with New Appointments
Dec 15, 2025

Banca Profilo S.p.A. held an Ordinary Meeting to appoint new members to its Board of Statutory Auditors and Board of Directors, enhancing its governance structure. The appointments, proposed by the parent company Arepo BP S.p.A., aim to strengthen the bank’s compliance and governance, with Dr. Giancarlo Restori and Dr. Serenella Rossano joining the Board of Statutory Auditors, and Dr. Rosy Alaia being confirmed as an independent member of the Board of Directors.

Banca Profilo’s Shareholders’ Meeting Agenda Proposals Announced
Dec 1, 2025

Banca Profilo S.p.A.’s controlling shareholder, Arepo BP S.p.A., has submitted individual proposals for resolutions and voting on key agenda items for the upcoming Shareholders’ Meeting. These proposals are accessible to the public through various channels, indicating a transparent approach to governance and potentially influencing the company’s strategic direction.

Banca Profilo Clarifies Auditor Succession in Reissued Report
Nov 26, 2025

Banca Profilo has reissued its Explanatory Report to clarify details regarding the succession of Auditors, enhancing transparency and communication with stakeholders. This move reflects the company’s commitment to maintaining clear governance practices, potentially impacting its reputation positively in the financial industry.

Banca Profilo Appoints New Independent Director to Strengthen Governance
Nov 24, 2025

Banca Profilo S.p.A. has appointed Dr. Rosy Alaia as an independent non-executive Director to restore the full composition of its Board following a recent resignation. This move ensures compliance with regulations requiring a majority of independent directors, reinforcing the bank’s commitment to governance and sustainability.

Banca Profilo S.p.A. Announces Virtual Ordinary Meeting for Board Appointments
Nov 14, 2025

Banca Profilo S.p.A. has announced an Ordinary Meeting scheduled for December 15, 2025, to discuss the integration of its Board of Statutory Auditors and the appointment of a new Board of Directors member. The meeting will be conducted exclusively via telecommunications, with shareholder participation facilitated through a designated representative, Computershare S.p.A. This approach underscores the company’s commitment to maintaining shareholder engagement while adapting to modern communication methods.

Banca Profilo Reports Strong Profit Growth and Strategic Plan Update
Nov 7, 2025

Banca Profilo reported a consolidated net profit increase of 30.3% year-over-year for the first nine months of 2025, despite a 4.4% decline in net revenues. The bank has updated its Industrial Plan for 2026-2028, focusing on strategic growth in private banking and digital services, while maintaining a high CET 1 ratio of 22.6%. The bank is actively managing a reduction in customer deposits and the exit of bankers, with initiatives to strengthen its commercial and organizational structure, ensuring sustainable growth and competitive positioning.

Banca Profilo Director Resigns Due to Time Constraints
Nov 2, 2025

Banca Profilo S.p.A. announced the resignation of Dr. Paola Santarelli, a non-executive and independent director, due to her inability to dedicate sufficient time to her role. Her resignation also affects her positions on the Nomination, Governance and Sustainability Committee and the Remuneration Committee. The bank’s Board of Directors will seek a replacement in accordance with legal and statutory provisions.

Glossary
BuyA stock rated as a "Buy" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock is likely to deliver higher returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
HoldA stock rated as a "Hold" is expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the stock is neither particularly compelling nor unfavorable for investment. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
SellA stock rated as a "Sell" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock may deliver lower returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.

Disclaimer

This AI Analyst Stock Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in stocks carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.Date of analysis: Oct 16, 2025