Intrusion (INTZ)
NASDAQ:INTZ
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Intrusion
(NASDAQ:INTZ)
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Rating:41Neutral
Price Target:
$0.79
▼(-13.91% Downside)
Action:ReiteratedDate:04/10/26
The score is weighed down primarily by weak financial performance (ongoing large losses and sustained cash burn) and a clearly bearish technical setup (below major moving averages with negative MACD). Offsetting factors include high gross margins and management’s expectation for delayed contract revenue and a 2026 breakeven target, but liquidity pressure and restrictive secured financing add risk.
Positive Factors
Recurring SaaS revenue from Shield
A subscription‑based Shield product creates recurring revenue and customer stickiness through ongoing threat intelligence updates. Over 2–6 months this supports revenue visibility, predictable renewal flows, and the potential to upsell modules or channel integrations as sales investments mature.
Negative Factors
Persistent negative cash flow
Sustained negative operating and free cash flow signals ongoing cash burn requiring external capital or deep cost cuts. Over months this constrains growth investments, increases refinancing risk, and raises the probability of dilutive or covenant‑driven financing that can impede strategic flexibility.
Read all positive and negative factors
Positive Factors
Negative Factors
Recurring SaaS revenue from Shield
A subscription‑based Shield product creates recurring revenue and customer stickiness through ongoing threat intelligence updates. Over 2–6 months this supports revenue visibility, predictable renewal flows, and the potential to upsell modules or channel integrations as sales investments mature.
Read all positive factors
Intrusion (INTZ) vs. SPDR S&P 500 ETF (SPY)
Market Cap
$16.34M
Dividend YieldN/A
Average Volume (3M)147.44K
Price to Earnings (P/E)―
Beta (1Y)2.58
Revenue Growth33.49%
EPS Growth82.01%
CountryUS
Employees45
SectorTechnology
Sector Strength88
IndustrySoftware - Infrastructure
Share Statistics
EPS (TTM)-0.14
Shares Outstanding20,369,066
10 Day Avg. Volume119,423
30 Day Avg. Volume147,442
Financial Highlights & Ratios
PEG Ratio0.04
Price to Book (P/B)3.13
Price to Sales (P/S)3.21
P/FCF Ratio-3.02
Enterprise Value/Market Cap0.89
Enterprise Value/Revenue2.04
Enterprise Value/Gross Profit2.69
Enterprise Value/Ebitda-1.89
Forecast
1Y Price Target
$1.00Price Target Upside8.70% Upside
Rating ConsensusHold
Number of Analyst Covering1
EPS Forecast (FY)-0.39
Revenue Forecast (FY)$8.94M
Intrusion Business Overview & Revenue Model
Company Description
Intrusion Inc., together with its subsidiaries, develops, markets, and supports entity identification, data mining, cybercrime, and advanced persistent threat detection products in the United States. It offers INTRUSION Shield, a cybersecurity sol...
How the Company Makes Money
Intrusion makes money primarily by selling access to its cybersecurity products and, to a lesser extent, through services where applicable. The key revenue stream is recurring revenue from Shield sold on a subscription basis (typically structured ...
Intrusion Earnings Call Summary
Earnings Call Date:Mar 24, 2026
(Q4-2025)
| % Change Since: |
Next Earnings Date:May 20, 2026
Earnings Call Sentiment Neutral
The call balanced meaningful operational progress—23% full-year revenue growth, product launches (Shield Cloud, Shield Stratus), successful PortNexus partnership and pilot adoption, and earlier debt elimination—against notable near-term financial pressures: a sharp Q4 revenue decline (-25% sequential, -12% YoY) driven by delayed government funding, increasing operating expenses, a wider net loss, modest margin compression, and limited cash ($3.6M) with planned debt financing. Management is investing in sales and expects delayed government revenue to be recognized in H1 2026 and aims for breakeven in 2026, but execution and external procurement timing are key risks.Positive Updates
Full-Year Revenue Growth
Total revenues for fiscal 2025 were $7.1 million, up 23% year-over-year, driven largely by contract expansion with the U.S. Department of War.
Negative Updates
Material Fourth-Quarter Revenue Decline
Q4 revenue was $1.5 million, down 25% sequentially and down 12% year-over-year. Management attributes the decline primarily to delayed incremental funding of a major U.S. government contract (estimated impact at least ~$0.5 million in the quarter).
Read all updates
Q4-2025 Updates
Positive
Negative
Full-Year Revenue Growth
Total revenues for fiscal 2025 were $7.1 million, up 23% year-over-year, driven largely by contract expansion with the U.S. Department of War.
Read all positive updates
Company Guidance
Management guided that a substantial portion of the delayed Department of War contract (which they said cost roughly $0.5M of Q4 revenue) should be recognized in the first half of 2026, that they will continue to invest in sales & marketing (Q1 approximates the new run rate but will increase) while seeking cost efficiencies elsewhere, and that they plan a small debt financing (update on the Q1 call) to support growth as they scale critical‑infrastructure and Shield cloud opportunities (first critical‑infrastructure contract ~ $3.0M annual) and the PortNexus/P.O.S.S.E pipeline; key metrics cited include FY2025 revenue $7.1M (+23% YoY), Q4 revenue $1.5M (-25% sequential, -12% YoY), Q4 consulting $1.1M and Shield $0.4M, Q4 gross margin 74% (FY 76%, down ~93 bps YoY), Q4 operating expenses $4.0M (FY OpEx $14.5M, +$1.7M YoY), Q4 net loss $2.8M ($0.14/sh) and FY net loss $9.1M ($0.46/sh), and cash of $3.6M at 12/31/2025, with management expressing a target to reach breakeven operations in 2026 (ideally by Q3).Intrusion Financial Statement Overview
Summary
Income Statement
18
Very Negative
Balance Sheet
52
Neutral
Cash Flow
14
Very Negative
| Breakdown | Dec 2025 | Dec 2024 | Dec 2023 | Dec 2022 | Dec 2021 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Income Statement | |||||
| Total Revenue | 7.09M | 5.77M | 5.61M | 7.53M | 7.28M |
| Gross Profit | 5.38M | 4.43M | 4.35M | 4.17M | 3.66M |
| EBITDA | -9.16M | -6.14M | -10.34M | -12.26M | -18.00M |
| Net Income | -9.06M | -7.79M | -13.89M | -16.23M | -18.80M |
Balance Sheet | |||||
| Total Assets | 10.39M | 11.51M | 6.25M | 9.28M | 9.23M |
| Cash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments | 3.62M | 4.85M | 139.00K | 3.02M | 4.10M |
| Total Debt | 1.76M | 2.73M | 12.93M | 11.32M | 3.50M |
| Total Liabilities | 3.11M | 5.26M | 15.80M | 13.49M | 5.31M |
| Stockholders Equity | 7.28M | 6.25M | -9.55M | -4.21M | 3.92M |
Cash Flow | |||||
| Free Cash Flow | -7.54M | -8.10M | -9.21M | -14.67M | -17.70M |
| Operating Cash Flow | -6.76M | -6.29M | -7.77M | -13.19M | -16.56M |
| Investing Cash Flow | -2.55M | -1.81M | -1.45M | -1.48M | -1.15M |
| Financing Cash Flow | 8.08M | 12.81M | 6.34M | 13.58M | 5.10M |
Intrusion Technical Analysis
Negative
0.92
Price Trends
0.98
Negative
1.15
Negative
1.52
Negative
Market Momentum
-0.07
Positive
38.11
Neutral
32.82
Neutral
Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For INTZ, the sentiment is Negative. The current price of 0.92 is below the 20-day moving average (MA) of 0.96, below the 50-day MA of 0.98, and below the 200-day MA of 1.52, indicating a bearish trend. The MACD of -0.07 indicates Positive momentum. The RSI at 38.11 is Neutral, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 32.82 is Neutral, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Negative sentiment for INTZ.
Intrusion Risk Analysis
Intrusion disclosed 26 risk factors in its most recent earnings report. Intrusion reported the most risks in the "Tech & Innovation" category.
Finance & Corporate - Financial and accounting risks. Risks related to the execution of corporate activity and strategy
Latest Risks Added 0 New Risks
Intrusion Peers Comparison
UnderperformOutperform
Sector (61)
Name | Overall Rating | Market Cap | P/E Ratio | ROE | Dividend Yield | Revenue Growth | EPS Growth |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
61 Neutral | $37.18B | 12.37 | -10.20% | 1.83% | 8.50% | -7.62% | |
57 Neutral | $41.09M | 22.16 | 0.58% | ― | 20.68% | 84.51% | |
52 Neutral | $103.47M | -4.91 | -93.10% | ― | 312.20% | ― | |
42 Neutral | $9.10M | -2.78 | -88.69% | ― | 68.56% | 89.48% | |
42 Neutral | $16.62M | -0.71 | -180.18% | ― | 141.81% | -21.61% | |
41 Neutral | $16.34M | -2.51 | -86.02% | ― | 33.49% | 82.01% |
* Technology Sector Average
INTZ
Intrusion
0.80
-0.30
-27.09%
DTSS
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JG
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6.85
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AUID
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CISO
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ZENA
ZenaTech, Inc.
2.17
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-3.56%
Intrusion Corporate Events
Private Placements and FinancingRegulatory Filings and Compliance
Intrusion Secures New $3.23 Million Secured Promissory Note
Negative
Apr 9, 2026
On April 6, 2026, Intrusion Inc. entered into a Note Purchase Agreement with Streeterville Capital, issuing a secured promissory note with an original principal of $3.23 million for $3 million in cash proceeds, reflecting an original issue discoun...
Glossary
BuyA stock rated as a "Buy" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock is likely to deliver higher returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
HoldA stock rated as a "Hold" is expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the stock is neither particularly compelling nor unfavorable for investment. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
SellA stock rated as a "Sell" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock may deliver lower returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
Disclaimer
This AI Analyst Stock Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in stocks carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.