Intrusion (INTZ)
NASDAQ:INTZ
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Intrusion
(NASDAQ:INTZ)
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Rating:44Neutral
Price Target:
$0.81
▼(-11.54% Downside)
Action:Reiterated
Date:05/15/26
The score is primarily weighed down by weak financial performance—large losses, declining TTM revenue, and ongoing cash burn—paired with bearish technicals (below key moving averages and negative MACD). Earnings-call progress and guidance offer some upside potential, but near-term liquidity/listing risks from recent corporate events materially raise uncertainty.
Positive Factors
Recurring SaaS Revenue
Intrusion's business is centered on Shield subscription revenue, giving it a recurring SaaS model. Recurring contracts improve revenue predictability and customer lifetime value, providing a durable foundation for scaling sales and realizing operating leverage if retention and upsell execution continue.
Negative Factors
Cash Burn & Negative Free Cash Flow
Persistent negative operating and free cash flow signals the business is not self-funding. Continued cash burn increases reliance on external capital, raises dilution or debt risk, and limits the company’s ability to sustain go-to-market investments or respond to competitive moves over the next several quarters.
Read all positive and negative factors
Positive Factors
Negative Factors
Recurring SaaS Revenue
Intrusion's business is centered on Shield subscription revenue, giving it a recurring SaaS model. Recurring contracts improve revenue predictability and customer lifetime value, providing a durable foundation for scaling sales and realizing operating leverage if retention and upsell execution continue.
Read all positive factors
Intrusion (INTZ) vs. SPDR S&P 500 ETF (SPY)
Market Cap
$16.91M
Dividend YieldN/A
Average Volume (3M)113.31K
Price to Earnings (P/E)―
Beta (1Y)2.27
Revenue Growth-3.21%
EPS Growth56.91%
CountryUS
Employees45
SectorTechnology
Sector Strength88
IndustrySoftware - Infrastructure
Share Statistics
EPS (TTM)-0.52
Shares Outstanding20,369,066
10 Day Avg. Volume124,267
30 Day Avg. Volume113,307
Financial Highlights & Ratios
PEG Ratio0.04
Price to Book (P/B)3.13
Price to Sales (P/S)3.21
P/FCF Ratio-3.02
Enterprise Value/Market Cap1.02
Enterprise Value/Revenue2.76
Enterprise Value/Gross Profit3.65
Enterprise Value/Ebitda-1.77
Forecast
1Y Price Target
$5.75Price Target Upside531.87% Upside
Rating ConsensusModerate Buy
Number of Analyst Covering2
EPS Forecast (FY)-0.39
Revenue Forecast (FY)$8.94M
Intrusion Business Overview & Revenue Model
Company Description
Intrusion Inc., together with its subsidiaries, develops, markets, and supports entity identification, data mining, cybercrime, and advanced persistent threat detection products in the United States. It offers INTRUSION Shield, a cybersecurity sol...
How the Company Makes Money
Intrusion makes money primarily by selling access to its cybersecurity products and, to a lesser extent, through services where applicable. The key revenue stream is recurring revenue from Shield sold on a subscription basis (typically structured ...
Intrusion Earnings Call Summary
Earnings Call Date:Mar 24, 2026
(Q4-2025)
| % Change Since: |
Next Earnings Date:Aug 18, 2026
Earnings Call Sentiment Neutral
The call balanced meaningful operational progress—23% full-year revenue growth, product launches (Shield Cloud, Shield Stratus), successful PortNexus partnership and pilot adoption, and earlier debt elimination—against notable near-term financial pressures: a sharp Q4 revenue decline (-25% sequential, -12% YoY) driven by delayed government funding, increasing operating expenses, a wider net loss, modest margin compression, and limited cash ($3.6M) with planned debt financing. Management is investing in sales and expects delayed government revenue to be recognized in H1 2026 and aims for breakeven in 2026, but execution and external procurement timing are key risks.Positive Updates
Full-Year Revenue Growth
Total revenues for fiscal 2025 were $7.1 million, up 23% year-over-year, driven largely by contract expansion with the U.S. Department of War.
Negative Updates
Material Fourth-Quarter Revenue Decline
Q4 revenue was $1.5 million, down 25% sequentially and down 12% year-over-year. Management attributes the decline primarily to delayed incremental funding of a major U.S. government contract (estimated impact at least ~$0.5 million in the quarter).
Read all updates
Q4-2025 Updates
Positive
Negative
Full-Year Revenue Growth
Total revenues for fiscal 2025 were $7.1 million, up 23% year-over-year, driven largely by contract expansion with the U.S. Department of War.
Read all positive updates
Company Guidance
Management guided that a substantial portion of the delayed Department of War contract (which they said cost roughly $0.5M of Q4 revenue) should be recognized in the first half of 2026, that they will continue to invest in sales & marketing (Q1 approximates the new run rate but will increase) while seeking cost efficiencies elsewhere, and that they plan a small debt financing (update on the Q1 call) to support growth as they scale critical‑infrastructure and Shield cloud opportunities (first critical‑infrastructure contract ~ $3.0M annual) and the PortNexus/P.O.S.S.E pipeline; key metrics cited include FY2025 revenue $7.1M (+23% YoY), Q4 revenue $1.5M (-25% sequential, -12% YoY), Q4 consulting $1.1M and Shield $0.4M, Q4 gross margin 74% (FY 76%, down ~93 bps YoY), Q4 operating expenses $4.0M (FY OpEx $14.5M, +$1.7M YoY), Q4 net loss $2.8M ($0.14/sh) and FY net loss $9.1M ($0.46/sh), and cash of $3.6M at 12/31/2025, with management expressing a target to reach breakeven operations in 2026 (ideally by Q3).Intrusion Financial Statement Overview
Summary
Income Statement
18
Very Negative
Balance Sheet
42
Neutral
Cash Flow
16
Very Negative
| Breakdown | TTM | Dec 2025 | Dec 2024 | Dec 2023 | Dec 2022 | Dec 2021 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Income Statement | ||||||
| Total Revenue | 6.21M | 7.09M | 5.77M | 5.61M | 7.53M | 7.28M |
| Gross Profit | 4.70M | 5.38M | 4.43M | 4.35M | 4.17M | 3.66M |
| EBITDA | -9.70M | -9.16M | -6.14M | -10.34M | -12.26M | -18.00M |
| Net Income | -10.52M | -9.06M | -7.79M | -13.89M | -16.23M | -18.80M |
Balance Sheet | ||||||
| Total Assets | 7.94M | 10.39M | 11.51M | 6.25M | 9.28M | 9.23M |
| Cash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments | 1.37M | 3.62M | 4.85M | 139.00K | 3.02M | 4.10M |
| Total Debt | 1.63M | 1.76M | 2.73M | 12.93M | 11.32M | 3.50M |
| Total Liabilities | 4.24M | 3.11M | 5.26M | 15.80M | 13.49M | 5.31M |
| Stockholders Equity | 3.70M | 7.28M | 6.25M | -9.55M | -4.21M | 3.92M |
Cash Flow | ||||||
| Free Cash Flow | -8.71M | -7.54M | -8.10M | -9.21M | -14.67M | -17.70M |
| Operating Cash Flow | -6.89M | -6.76M | -6.29M | -7.77M | -13.19M | -16.56M |
| Investing Cash Flow | -2.01M | -2.55M | -1.81M | -1.45M | -1.48M | -1.15M |
| Financing Cash Flow | -474.00K | 8.08M | 12.81M | 6.34M | 13.58M | 5.10M |
Intrusion Technical Analysis
Neutral
0.91
Price Trends
0.84
Negative
0.97
Negative
1.30
Negative
Market Momentum
>-0.01
Negative
53.66
Neutral
72.05
Neutral
Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For INTZ, the sentiment is Neutral. The current price of 0.91 is above the 20-day moving average (MA) of 0.77, above the 50-day MA of 0.84, and below the 200-day MA of 1.30, indicating a neutral trend. The MACD of >-0.01 indicates Negative momentum. The RSI at 53.66 is Neutral, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 72.05 is Neutral, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Neutral sentiment for INTZ.
Intrusion Risk Analysis
Intrusion disclosed 28 risk factors in its most recent earnings report. Intrusion reported the most risks in the "Finance & Corporate" category.
Finance & Corporate - Financial and accounting risks. Risks related to the execution of corporate activity and strategy
Latest Risks Added 0 New Risks
Intrusion Peers Comparison
UnderperformOutperform
Sector (61)
Name | Overall Rating | Market Cap | P/E Ratio | ROE | Dividend Yield | Revenue Growth | EPS Growth |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
64 Neutral | $35.69M | 60.95 | 0.58% | ― | 13.23% | ― | |
61 Neutral | $37.18B | 12.37 | -10.20% | 1.83% | 8.50% | -7.62% | |
46 Neutral | $20.65M | -1.14 | -180.18% | ― | 116.95% | 17.04% | |
44 Neutral | $16.91M | -1.60 | -129.84% | ― | -3.21% | 56.91% | |
43 Neutral | $78.13M | -1.69 | -113.24% | ― | 548.78% | ― | |
42 Neutral | $8.81M | -2.83 | -88.69% | ― | 20.31% | 90.57% |
* Technology Sector Average
INTZ
Intrusion
0.83
-0.85
-50.60%
DTSS
Datasea
0.84
-1.45
-63.19%
JG
Aurora Mobile
5.95
-4.43
-42.68%
AUID
Ipsidy
1.28
-3.87
-75.15%
CISO
Cerberus Cyber Sentinel Corp
0.45
-0.57
-55.94%
ZENA
ZenaTech, Inc.
1.63
-1.27
-43.77%
Intrusion Corporate Events
Delistings and Listing ChangesRegulatory Filings and ComplianceStock Split
Intrusion Receives Nasdaq Notice for Minimum Bid Deficiency
Negative
May 13, 2026
On May 7, 2026, Intrusion disclosed that it had received a notice from Nasdaq stating that its common stock failed to meet the $1.00 minimum closing bid price requirement over the 30 trading days from March 25 to May 6, 2026. The company now has u...
Private Placements and FinancingRegulatory Filings and Compliance
Intrusion Secures New $3.23 Million Secured Promissory Note
Negative
Apr 9, 2026
On April 6, 2026, Intrusion Inc. entered into a Note Purchase Agreement with Streeterville Capital, issuing a secured promissory note with an original principal of $3.23 million for $3 million in cash proceeds, reflecting an original issue discoun...
Glossary
BuyA stock rated as a "Buy" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock is likely to deliver higher returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
HoldA stock rated as a "Hold" is expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the stock is neither particularly compelling nor unfavorable for investment. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
SellA stock rated as a "Sell" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock may deliver lower returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
Disclaimer
This AI Analyst Stock Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in stocks carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.