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Inseego Corp (INSG)
NASDAQ:INSG

Inseego (INSG) AI Stock Analysis

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Inseego

(NASDAQ:INSG)

48Neutral
Inseego's overall stock score reflects significant challenges in financial stability and valuation concerns, offset somewhat by strategic initiatives and debt restructuring efforts. The technical indicators point to a bearish outlook, and while recent corporate changes are promising, the immediate financial risks remain a concern.
Positive Factors
Financial Performance
Inseego exceeded expectations, driven by strong mobile solutions and stable, high-margin services.
Financial Strategy
Efforts to restore operations and fix the balance sheet have been outstanding.
Leadership
Announces new CEO, Juho Sarvikas, who served most recently as Qualcomm’s VP and President of North America, bringing strong leadership and highly relevant experience.
Negative Factors
EBITDA Impact
The sale of the non-core Telematics business negatively impacts annual EBITDA by $8-10M.
Revenue Guidance
A soft 4Q revenue guide heightens concerns around the outlook for growth over the mid-to-longer term.

Inseego (INSG) vs. S&P 500 (SPY)

Inseego Business Overview & Revenue Model

Company DescriptionInseego Corp. engages in the design and development of fixed and mobile wireless solutions, industrial Internet of Things (IIoT), and cloud solutions for large enterprise verticals, service providers, small and medium-sized businesses, governments, and consumers worldwide. The company provides wireless 4G and 5G hardware products, including private LTE/5G networks, First responders network authority/Firstnet, SD-WAN, telematics, remote monitoring and surveillance, and fixed wireless access and mobile broadband devices. Its products include 4G and 5G fixed wireless routers and gateways, mobile hotspots, and wireless gateways and routers for IIoT applications; and Gb speed 4G LTE hotspots and USB modems, integrated telematics, and mobile tracking hardware devices, which are supported by applications software and cloud services designed to enable customers to analyze data insights and configure/manage their hardware remotely. In addition, the company sells software-as-a-service (SaaS), software, and services solutions in various mobile and IIoT vertical markets comprising fleet management, vehicle telematics, stolen vehicle recovery, asset tracking, monitoring, business connectivity, and subscription management. Its SaaS delivery platforms include telematics, asset tracking, and management platforms which provide fleet, vehicle, aviation, asset, and other telematics applications; and Inseego Subscribe, a hosted SaaS platform that helps organizations in managing the selection, deployment, and spend of their customers wireless assets by helping them to save money on personnel and telecom expenses. Inseego Corp. was founded in 1996 and is based in San Diego, California.
How the Company Makes MoneyInseego generates revenue through the sale of its wireless connectivity products, including mobile hotspots, routers, and modems that support 5G and 4G LTE networks. The company also earns money from its enterprise software solutions, which offer device management and IoT solutions on a subscription basis. Additionally, Inseego engages in strategic partnerships with telecommunications companies and service providers to expand its market reach and enhance its product offerings. These collaborations often involve co-development and co-marketing arrangements, contributing significantly to the company's revenue.

Inseego Financial Statement Overview

Summary
Inseego faces financial challenges with declining revenues and negative net profit margins, despite an improvement in cash flow. The company's negative equity and high leverage highlight significant risks.
Income Statement
45
Neutral
Inseego's revenue has shown a declining trend over the years, with a revenue decrease of 2.27% from 2022 to 2023 and a further decline of 2.27% from 2023 to 2024. The company has struggled with profitability, as indicated by negative net profit margins across multiple years. For 2024, the net profit margin is -7.51%, and the gross profit margin is 35.96%, showing moderate profitability at the gross level but significant challenges in achieving net profitability. EBIT margin improved to 0.90% in 2024, but historical negative figures highlight ongoing challenges in efficient operations.
Balance Sheet
30
Negative
Inseego's balance sheet shows a significant negative stockholders' equity of -$12.86 million in 2024, indicating more liabilities than assets. The debt-to-equity ratio is not calculable due to negative equity, but the high total debt of $59.36 million suggests considerable leverage. The equity ratio is also negative, further pointing to financial instability and potential risk in meeting long-term obligations.
Cash Flow
55
Neutral
The free cash flow has improved significantly from -$3.00 million in 2023 to $33.42 million in 2024, indicating positive cash flow management. The operating cash flow to net income ratio is 2.33, suggesting strong cash flow relative to reported net income losses. However, historical negative cash flows pose concerns about sustainability in cash generation.
Breakdown
Dec 2024Dec 2023Dec 2022Dec 2021Dec 2020
Income StatementTotal Revenue
191.24M195.69M245.32M262.40M313.83M
Gross Profit
68.80M52.45M66.91M75.92M90.84M
EBIT
1.72M-36.28M-54.90M-45.32M-22.73M
EBITDA
9.76M-13.71M-32.62M-15.52M-72.55M
Net Income Common Stockholders
-14.37M-46.19M-67.97M-47.91M-111.19M
Balance SheetCash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments
39.60M7.52M7.14M46.47M40.02M
Total Assets
100.00M121.80M159.02M215.84M227.39M
Total Debt
59.36M170.73M167.10M157.87M165.15M
Net Debt
19.77M163.21M159.96M111.39M125.13M
Total Liabilities
112.86M223.90M229.13M240.70M255.29M
Stockholders Equity
-12.86M-102.11M-70.12M-24.85M-27.81M
Cash FlowFree Cash Flow
33.42M-3.00M-46.61M-54.05M-15.05M
Operating Cash Flow
33.52M7.17M-33.29M-25.21M20.05M
Investing Cash Flow
43.03M-10.17M-13.32M6.08M-34.71M
Financing Cash Flow
-38.78M2.21M5.43M29.92M42.08M

Inseego Technical Analysis

Technical Analysis Sentiment
Negative
Last Price7.29
Price Trends
50DMA
9.71
Negative
100DMA
10.56
Negative
200DMA
12.52
Negative
Market Momentum
MACD
-0.70
Negative
RSI
36.14
Neutral
STOCH
66.03
Neutral
Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For INSG, the sentiment is Negative. The current price of 7.29 is below the 20-day moving average (MA) of 7.97, below the 50-day MA of 9.71, and below the 200-day MA of 12.52, indicating a bearish trend. The MACD of -0.70 indicates Negative momentum. The RSI at 36.14 is Neutral, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 66.03 is Neutral, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Negative sentiment for INSG.

Inseego Risk Analysis

Inseego disclosed 66 risk factors in its most recent earnings report. Inseego reported the most risks in the “Finance & Corporate” category.
Finance & Corporate - Financial and accounting risks. Risks related to the execution of corporate activity and strategy
Latest Risks Added 0 New Risks

Inseego Peers Comparison

Overall Rating
UnderperformOutperform
Sector (58)
Financial Indicators
Name
Overall Rating
Market Cap
P/E Ratio
ROE
Dividend Yield
Revenue Growth
EPS Growth
73
Outperform
$153.89M19.4432.69%3.37%
58
Neutral
$10.03B10.00-6.85%3.09%7.49%-11.58%
54
Neutral
$79.52M-6.35%12.96%48.58%
54
Neutral
$78.65M-8.70%-53.18%49.22%
50
Neutral
$99.81M-7.73%-14.33%29.34%
48
Neutral
$109.40M124.62111.75%5.41%
45
Neutral
$113.41M-152.89%-54.16%31.61%
* Technology Sector Average
Performance Comparison
Ticker
Company Name
Price
Change
% Change
INSG
Inseego
7.29
4.29
143.00%
KVHI
KVH Industries
5.05
0.24
4.99%
LTRX
Lantronix
2.05
-1.12
-35.33%
BKTI
BK Technologies
43.07
29.47
216.69%
SILC
Silicom
13.64
-1.56
-10.26%
ONDS
Ondas Holdings
0.89
0.06
7.23%

Inseego Earnings Call Summary

Earnings Call Date: Feb 19, 2025 | % Change Since: -38.32% | Next Earnings Date: May 8, 2025
Earnings Call Sentiment Neutral
The earnings call highlighted significant revenue growth and successful debt restructuring in 2024, with strategic plans to expand in the wireless broadband market. However, challenges such as an expected Q1 2025 revenue decline and specific revenue challenges in the Fixed Wireless Access segment were noted.
Highlights
Strong Revenue Growth in Q4 2024
Inseego achieved 34% year-over-year revenue growth in Q4, marking the third consecutive quarter of positive GAAP operating income.
Expansion in Software and Services
Inseego's Inseego Subscribe SaaS offering grew by 62% year-over-year in Q4 2024, contributing to a 40% year-over-year growth in services revenue for the full year.
Successful Debt Restructuring
The company reduced its total debt from over $165 million at the beginning of 2024 to $56 million by the end of the year, with a healthy cash position of $40 million.
Strategic Focus on Wireless Broadband
Inseego is focusing on expanding its Fixed Wireless Access (FWA) and MiFi businesses, with plans to accelerate the software and services roadmap.
Positive Adjusted EBITDA
Q4 2024 adjusted EBITDA was $5.4 million, more than double the prior year quarter, with an adjusted EBITDA margin of 11.2%.
Lowlights
Q1 2025 Revenue Decline
The company expects a sequential decline in Q1 2025 revenue due to higher than anticipated customer inventory, product transitions, and a reduction in promotional initiatives.
Fixed Wireless Access Revenue Challenges
FWA revenue declined slightly year-over-year in Q4 2024 due to larger prior period purchases by a carrier customer and slower purchasing from another carrier customer.
End of Special National Mobile Hotspot Program
A special national mobile hotspot program at a North American carrier customer ended in 2024, impacting revenue expectations for Q1 2025.
Company Guidance
During the call, Inseego Corp provided guidance for the first quarter of 2025, expecting total revenue to range between $30 million and $33 million and adjusted EBITDA between $2 million and $3 million. The company anticipates a sequential decline in Q1 revenue due to higher-than-anticipated customer inventory at year-end, product transitions, and a promotional initiative that was more robust in the latter half of 2024. However, Inseego remains optimistic about achieving year-over-year revenue growth in 2025, driven by initiatives to introduce new products and expand their customer base. In Q4 2024, Inseego reported a revenue of $48.1 million, a 34% increase from the previous year, with strong performance in carrier hotspot products and services. They also noted a 37.4% non-GAAP gross margin for Q4, marking a 260 basis point improvement from Q3 2024.

Inseego Corporate Events

Executive/Board ChangesBusiness Operations and Strategy
Inseego Announces Leadership Changes and Strategic Transition
Positive
Feb 5, 2025

On February 5, 2025, Inseego Corp. announced the departure of Phil Brace from the role of Executive Chairman of the Board of Directors to become CEO of Skyworks Solutions, Inc. Under Brace’s leadership, Inseego underwent significant transformations, including restructuring its capital, divesting non-core businesses, and appointing a new CEO, Juho Sarvikas. Jeff Tuder was appointed as the new independent Chairman of the Board. This transition is expected to further strengthen Inseego’s position in the wireless market and drive future growth, with no changes to the company’s financial guidance for Q4 2024.

Glossary
OutperformA stock rated as "Outperform" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests that the stock is likely to deliver higher returns compared to the average returns of other stocks in the same sector or market index. Investors might consider this stock a good buying opportunity.
NeutralA stock rated as "Neutral" is expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the stock is neither particularly attractive nor unattractive for investment. Investors may consider holding onto the stock, as it is not expected to either significantly outperform or underperform the market.
UnderperformA stock rated as "Underperform" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests that the stock may deliver lower returns compared to the average returns of other stocks in the same sector or market index. Investors might consider selling the stock or avoiding it as an investment.

Disclaimer

This AI Analyst Stock Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in stocks carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.