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TCI Express Ltd. (IN:TCIEXP)
:TCIEXP
India Market

TCI Express Ltd. (TCIEXP) AI Stock Analysis

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IN:TCIEXP

TCI Express Ltd.

(TCIEXP)

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Neutral 63 (OpenAI - 5.2)
Rating:63Neutral
Price Target:
₹575.00
▼(-14.50% Downside)
The overall stock score for TCI Express Ltd. is primarily driven by its strong financial performance, which provides a solid foundation. However, the technical analysis indicates bearish momentum, which negatively impacts the score. The valuation suggests the stock might be overvalued, further moderating the overall score. The absence of earnings call data and corporate events means these factors do not influence the score.
Positive Factors
Operational efficiency and revenue consistency
Management has delivered steady top-line expansion alongside efficient operations, indicating scalable hub-and-spoke execution. Durable operating efficiency supports margin resilience and repeatable B2B volumes, underpinning sustainable cash generation and long-term competitive positioning.
Strong balance sheet with low leverage
A persistently low debt-to-equity profile and high equity ratio reduce financial risk and preserve strategic optionality. This balance sheet strength allows continued investment in network capacity and technology without risking solvency, supporting long-term growth and stability.
Consistent positive operating cash flow
Reliable operating cash conversion funds working capital and capex internally, limiting reliance on external financing. Positive OCF supports reinvestment in hubs and last-mile capabilities, enabling sustainable expansion of service lanes and preserving margin structure over time.
Negative Factors
Recent revenue contraction
A negative revenue growth rate signals a recent setback in volume or pricing momentum that can slow network utilization and unit economics. If sustained, muted top-line growth pressures return on invested capital and could constrain reinvestment in capacity and service improvements.
Decline in free cash flow in 2025
A drop in free cash flow reduces discretionary funds for capex, technology upgrades, or shareholder returns. Persisting FCF weakness would force trade-offs between growth investments and balance sheet preservation, limiting long-term improvements in network density and service reach.
Pressure on net profit margin
A narrowing net margin points to rising costs or pricing pressure that can erode long-term profitability. Sustained margin compression reduces retained earnings for reinvestment, weakens ROE, and may force higher focus on cost controls rather than strategic growth initiatives.

TCI Express Ltd. (TCIEXP) vs. iShares MSCI India ETF (INDA)

TCI Express Ltd. Business Overview & Revenue Model

Company DescriptionTCI Express Limited provides express delivery solutions in India and internationally. It provides surface express; reverse express; domestic and international air express; e-commerce express; C2C express; rail express; and cold chain express services. The company serves pharmaceutical, engineering, telecom, automotive, consumer durable, textile, retail, e-commerce, and plastic industries, as well as supermarkets. It has approximately 40,000 pickup points and 50,000 delivery locations with approximately 5,000 containerized vehicles. The company was formerly known as TCI Properties (Pune) Limited. TCI Express Limited was founded in 1996 and is based in Gurugram, India.
How the Company Makes MoneyTCI Express generates revenue primarily through its express delivery services, which cater to businesses and individuals requiring fast and reliable logistics solutions. The company charges clients based on the weight, dimensions, and distance of the parcels being shipped. Key revenue streams include domestic express services, international shipment services, and specialized logistics solutions for sectors like e-commerce and pharmaceuticals. TCI Express also benefits from partnerships with various e-commerce platforms and retailers, enhancing its volume of shipments and broadening its customer base. Additionally, the company's investment in technology, such as tracking systems and automated processes, improves operational efficiency and customer satisfaction, contributing to increased earnings.

TCI Express Ltd. Financial Statement Overview

Summary
TCI Express Ltd. demonstrates solid financial performance with consistent revenue growth and strong operational efficiency. The company maintains a low leverage profile, providing stability and reducing financial risk. While profitability metrics show slight pressure, the firm continues to generate positive cash flows, underpinning its financial health and potential for future growth.
Income Statement
82
Very Positive
TCI Express Ltd. has shown consistent revenue growth over the years, with revenue increasing from 2021 to 2025. The gross profit margin has been stable, indicating effective cost management. However, the net profit margin has slightly decreased in 2025 compared to previous years, suggesting some pressure on profitability. The EBIT and EBITDA margins are robust, reflecting strong operational performance.
Balance Sheet
88
Very Positive
The company maintains a strong balance sheet with a consistently low debt-to-equity ratio, indicating lower financial risk. The equity ratio is high, showcasing a solid financial foundation and effective asset management. TCI Express Ltd.'s return on equity has been healthy, reflecting efficient use of shareholders' funds.
Cash Flow
78
Positive
The cash flow from operations has been positive and strong over the years, supporting the company's operations and capital expenditures. The free cash flow has seen fluctuations, with a decline in 2025, which may impact future investments. The operating cash flow to net income ratio remains favorable, indicating good cash conversion from earnings.
BreakdownTTMDec 2025Dec 2024Dec 2023Dec 2022Dec 2021
Income Statement
Total Revenue12.02B12.08B12.54B12.41B10.81B8.44B
Gross Profit1.79B1.84B2.40B2.21B1.99B1.59B
EBITDA1.24B1.38B1.94B2.02B1.83B1.42B
Net Income829.50M858.10M1.32B1.39B1.29B1.01B
Balance Sheet
Total Assets0.009.19B8.50B7.35B6.57B5.47B
Cash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments1.60B1.63B1.07B459.60M1.03B842.30M
Total Debt0.0098.60M104.60M70.70M11.20M22.40M
Total Liabilities-7.64B1.54B1.46B1.39B1.21B1.13B
Stockholders Equity7.64B7.64B7.04B5.96B5.36B4.34B
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow0.00685.30M838.50M207.70M471.00M446.00M
Operating Cash Flow0.001.19B1.36B1.47B1.28B1.02B
Investing Cash Flow0.00-927.20M-1.05B-647.10M-902.70M-960.10M
Financing Cash Flow0.00-316.90M-277.60M-837.40M-307.10M-82.20M

TCI Express Ltd. Technical Analysis

Technical Analysis Sentiment
Neutral
Last Price672.55
Price Trends
50DMA
557.30
Negative
100DMA
619.75
Negative
200DMA
670.82
Negative
Market Momentum
MACD
-15.62
Negative
RSI
52.78
Neutral
STOCH
73.43
Neutral
Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For IN:TCIEXP, the sentiment is Neutral. The current price of 672.55 is above the 20-day moving average (MA) of 523.93, above the 50-day MA of 557.30, and above the 200-day MA of 670.82, indicating a neutral trend. The MACD of -15.62 indicates Negative momentum. The RSI at 52.78 is Neutral, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 73.43 is Neutral, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Neutral sentiment for IN:TCIEXP.

TCI Express Ltd. Peers Comparison

Overall Rating
UnderperformOutperform
Sector (55)
Financial Indicators
Name
Overall Rating
Market Cap
P/E Ratio
ROE
Dividend Yield
Revenue Growth
EPS Growth
74
Outperform
₹6.89B16.0234.34%2.00%
73
Outperform
₹47.35B20.272.79%4.74%176.63%
68
Neutral
₹29.45B11.114.74%4.77%-0.62%
63
Neutral
₹20.73B25.281.37%-2.79%-26.28%
62
Neutral
₹15.61B-9.5919.52%-15.70%-343.97%
55
Neutral
$13.29B17.4210.03%0.93%7.13%-12.93%
50
Neutral
₹6.48B222.112.44%9.91%-66.86%
* Services Sector Average
Performance Comparison
Ticker
Company Name
Price
Change
% Change
IN:TCIEXP
TCI Express Ltd.
539.50
-233.65
-30.22%
IN:ALLCARGO
Allcargo Logistics Limited
10.42
-4.16
-28.53%
IN:BALMLAWRIE
Balmer Lawrie & Co. Ltd.
172.20
-10.12
-5.55%
IN:RITCO
Ritco Logistics Ltd.
240.70
-102.35
-29.84%
IN:SNOWMAN
Snowman Logistics Ltd
38.78
-18.32
-32.08%
IN:VRLLOG
VRL Logistics Ltd.
270.65
43.57
19.19%

TCI Express Ltd. Corporate Events

TCI Express Board to Weigh First Interim Dividend for FY 2025-26 on February 3
Jan 26, 2026

TCI Express Limited has notified the stock exchanges that its Board of Directors, at the meeting scheduled on February 3, 2026 to approve the unaudited standalone and consolidated financial results for the quarter and nine months ended December 31, 2025, may also consider or recommend a first interim dividend on equity shares for the financial year 2025-26, with a proposed record date of February 7, 2026 if the dividend is declared. The company also reiterated that its trading window for dealing in equity shares has been closed from January 1, 2026 until 48 hours after the financial results are communicated, in compliance with SEBI listing and disclosure regulations, underscoring its adherence to corporate governance norms ahead of potential shareholder payouts.

TCI Express Completes Acquisition of Singapore Logistics Arm to Bolster Regional Presence
Jan 26, 2026

TCI Express Limited has announced that its wholly owned subsidiary, TCI Express Pte. Ltd., has completed the acquisition of 100% equity shares of TCI Global (Singapore) Pte. Ltd. from related party TCI Holdings Asia Pacific Pte. Ltd., making the Singapore-based logistics and transport firm a step-down wholly owned subsidiary. The all-cash deal, priced at SGD 18,000, is aimed at accelerating and cost-effectively expanding TCI Express’s presence in the Singapore region, consolidating group operations in a key logistics hub despite TCI Global (Singapore) generating no turnover in the last three financial years, and potentially strengthening the company’s regional network and strategic positioning in Asian logistics corridors.

TCI Express Sets Board Meet to Review Q3 Results, Considers Interim Dividend for FY 2025-26
Jan 26, 2026

TCI Express Ltd. has notified stock exchanges that its Board of Directors will meet on 3 February 2026 to consider and approve the company’s standalone and consolidated unaudited financial results for the third quarter and nine months ended 31 December 2025. In the same meeting, the board may also consider and recommend a first interim dividend for the 2025-26 financial year, with 7 February 2026 set as the record date for determining shareholders’ eligibility if a dividend is declared, while the trading window for the company’s shares remains closed from 1 January 2026 until 48 hours after the results are communicated in line with securities regulations.

TCI Express to Appeal GST Demand Order of Over ₹51 Crore, Says No Material Business Impact
Jan 16, 2026

TCI Express Ltd. has disclosed that an order from the Office of the Commissioner (Appeals) of Central Goods and Service Tax, Gurugram, has upheld an earlier GST demand order under Section 74(1) of the CGST Act, 2017, for the financial years 2017-18 to 2021-22, keeping the original demand in force. The demand, amounting to ₹51.36 crore plus applicable interest and penalties under the CGST and Haryana GST Acts, has been uploaded on the GST portal as of 14 January 2026, but the company maintains it has a strong case on merits, plans to challenge the order before the appropriate GST appellate authority, and asserts that there is no material impact on its financials, operations or other activities at this stage.

TCI Express to Transfer Long-Unclaimed Shares and Dividends to IEPF
Jan 1, 2026

TCI Express Ltd. has announced that it has published notices in Nav Telangana and Financial Express regarding the transfer of certain equity shares and associated unclaimed dividends to the Investor Education and Protection Fund (IEPF) Authority. The move concerns equity shares and dividends related to the company’s second interim dividend for the financial year 2018-19, which have remained unpaid or unclaimed for seven consecutive years and are currently held in the company’s Unclaimed Suspense Account. In line with Section 124 of the Companies Act, 2013 and related IEPF rules, TCI Express is also sending reminder letters to affected shareholders, signaling a procedural clean-up of legacy unclaimed amounts and reinforcing its compliance with Indian securities and corporate governance regulations.

TCI Express Closes Trading Window Ahead of Q3 FY2026 Results
Dec 27, 2025

TCI Express Ltd. has announced the closure of its trading window for dealings in the company’s equity shares from 1 January 2026 until 48 hours after the announcement of its unaudited standalone and consolidated financial results for the quarter and nine months ended 31 December 2025. The move, made in compliance with SEBI’s Prohibition of Insider Trading Regulations and the company’s internal code of conduct, is a standard governance measure aimed at preventing insider trading and reinforces its adherence to regulatory and disclosure norms for investors and market participants.

TCI Express Reports No Re-Lodgement Requests for Physical Share Transfers
Dec 22, 2025

TCI Express Limited has informed the stock exchanges that, in line with a SEBI circular on re-lodgement of transfer requests for physical shares, it has submitted reports from its registrar and share transfer agent, Kfin Technologies, for the months ended October 31 and November 30, 2025. According to Kfin Technologies, no shareholder requests for re-lodgement of physical share transfers were received, processed, approved, or rejected during the period, indicating no pending or operational impact from such requests on the company’s share transfer processes under the SEBI-mandated special window.

Glossary
BuyA stock rated as a "Buy" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock is likely to deliver higher returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
HoldA stock rated as a "Hold" is expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the stock is neither particularly compelling nor unfavorable for investment. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
SellA stock rated as a "Sell" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock may deliver lower returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.

Disclaimer

This AI Analyst Stock Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in stocks carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.Date of analysis: Nov 08, 2025