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One 97 Communications Ltd. (IN:PAYTM)
:PAYTM
India Market

One 97 Communications Ltd. (PAYTM) AI Stock Analysis

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IN:PAYTM

One 97 Communications Ltd.

(PAYTM)

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Neutral 45 (OpenAI - 5.2)
Rating:45Neutral
Price Target:
₹1,112.00
▼(-4.85% Downside)
Overall score is held back mainly by weak financial performance (revenue decline, ongoing losses, and negative operating/free cash flow). Technicals are also bearish with the stock below key moving averages and negative MACD, despite oversold readings. Valuation offers limited support due to a negative P/E and no stated dividend yield.
Positive Factors
Balance Sheet Strength
A high equity ratio and substantial cash reserve provide durable financial stability, lowering refinancing risk while the business scales. This conservative leverage profile supports continued investment in merchant devices and product distribution, and cushions the company through operating losses.
Diversified Revenue Model
Multiple, structurally different revenue streams (payments acceptance, merchant subscriptions/devices, and financial product distribution) reduce single-channel dependency. This diversification enables cross-sell, stabilizes receipts across cycles, and supports long-term unit-economics improvement as scale and product mix evolve.
Improving Margins / Narrowing Losses
Sequential margin improvement and narrowing losses suggest operational leverage is beginning to emerge. If sustained, these trends point to better cost control and higher contribution margins on transaction volumes, improving the pathway to consistent profitability as revenue stabilizes or grows.
Negative Factors
Sharp Revenue Decline
A 39% year-over-year revenue drop is a durable red flag: scale-driven unit economics weaken, merchant and consumer engagement may be deteriorating, and recovery will require sustained re-monetization or new product uptake. Prolonged top-line shrinkage impairs long-term margin recovery.
Negative Operating and Free Cash Flow
Persistent negative operating and free cash flow erodes optionality and forces reliance on cash reserves or external funding. Over months, this constrains investment in merchant acquisition, device rollouts, and product development, reducing competitiveness unless cash generation reverses to positive levels.
Ongoing Net Losses
Continued negative net margins mean the business model has not yet achieved self-sustaining profitability. This limits retained earnings for reinvestment, may pressure partner economics, and raises execution risk: structural fixes or meaningful revenue recovery are required to justify long-term growth investments.

One 97 Communications Ltd. (PAYTM) vs. iShares MSCI India ETF (INDA)

One 97 Communications Ltd. Business Overview & Revenue Model

Company DescriptionOne97 Communications Limited provides payment, commerce and cloud, and financial services to consumers and merchants in India. The company provides payment and financial services, which primarily includes payment facilitator services, facilitation of consumer and merchant lending to consumers and merchants, wealth management, etc. It also offers commerce and cloud services, including aggregator for digital products; ticketing business; and providing voice and messaging platforms to the telecom operators, enterprise customers, and other businesses, etc. In addition, the company provides consumers a range of instruments, both third party like cards; net banking and Paytm payment instruments, such as wallet, Paytm postpaid to make online payments for mobile recharge, utility bills, rent, education, wallet top-ups and money transfers using the Paytm app; and make online payments on third party apps and in-store payments through QR codes and devices. Further, it offers mobile banking, lending, insurance, and wealth management for consumers and merchants; merchant services including ability to sell tickets to customers; advertising; and loyalty solutions, such as deals and gift vouchers; and software and cloud services to enterprises, telecom companies, and digital and fintech platforms to track and enhance customer engagement, build payment systems, and unlock customer insights. Additionally, the company provides lifestyle destination for consumers to avail services, such as travel and entertainment ticketing, gaming, and more. One97 Communications Limited was incorporated in 2000 and is headquartered in Noida, India.
How the Company Makes MoneyPaytm generates revenue through multiple streams, primarily from transaction fees charged on digital payments made via its platform, which includes both consumer and merchant transactions. Additional revenue comes from value-added services such as insurance, financial products, and lending services provided through its Payments Bank. Advertising and promotional services on its marketplace also contribute to earnings, alongside partnerships with various brands and merchants for couponing and marketing initiatives. Furthermore, Paytm has been expanding its revenue base by integrating financial services, allowing it to earn from loan interest and fees associated with its financial products.

One 97 Communications Ltd. Financial Statement Overview

Summary
Income statement is weak with a sharp revenue decline (2024→2025) and continued negative margins, though losses appear to be narrowing. Balance sheet is comparatively solid with a high equity ratio and low leverage plus meaningful cash reserves. Cash flow is the biggest drag due to negative operating and free cash flow in 2025.
Income Statement
45
Neutral
The company has shown volatility in its revenue growth with a 39% decline from 2024 to 2025. Gross profit margin improved slightly in 2025, but the net profit margin remains negative, indicating ongoing losses. EBIT and EBITDA margins also reflect negative profitability, though there is a narrowing of losses which suggests potential improvement.
Balance Sheet
60
Neutral
The balance sheet shows a strong equity position with a high equity ratio of 70% in 2025. The debt-to-equity ratio is low, indicating conservative leverage levels. However, fluctuations in total assets and liabilities pose potential risks. The company maintains a substantial cash reserve, enhancing financial stability.
Cash Flow
35
Negative
Cash flow analysis reveals challenges with negative free cash flow and operating cash flow in 2025, indicating cash management issues. The operating cash flow to net income ratio is unfavorable due to persistent losses. However, the company had a better cash flow position in prior periods, suggesting potential for recovery.
BreakdownTTMDec 2025Dec 2024Dec 2023Dec 2022Dec 2021
Income Statement
Total Revenue73.16B69.00B99.78B79.90B49.74B28.02B
Gross Profit20.56B13.94B20.13B11.74B-2.46B-3.19B
EBITDA-2.82B-12.34B-8.55B-16.83B-23.67B-17.95B
Net Income3.03B-6.59B-14.17B-17.76B-23.93B-16.96B
Balance Sheet
Total Assets0.00214.48B171.39B179.66B179.92B91.51B
Cash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments131.48B106.81B75.80B81.60B46.47B30.24B
Total Debt0.001.60B1.77B2.23B2.21B6.12B
Total Liabilities-149.97B64.51B38.41B49.73B38.62B26.35B
Stockholders Equity149.97B150.27B133.27B130.16B141.52B65.35B
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow0.00-4.43B-1.71B-2.90B-17.43B-22.75B
Operating Cash Flow0.00-1.21B6.51B4.16B-12.36B-20.82B
Investing Cash Flow0.00-20.43B3.18B26.25B-54.89B19.30B
Financing Cash Flow0.00-527.00M-221.00M-11.12B80.53B-2.22B

One 97 Communications Ltd. Technical Analysis

Technical Analysis Sentiment
Negative
Last Price1168.70
Price Trends
50DMA
1287.19
Negative
100DMA
1269.13
Negative
200DMA
1126.59
Positive
Market Momentum
MACD
-41.53
Positive
RSI
32.75
Neutral
STOCH
19.50
Positive
Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For IN:PAYTM, the sentiment is Negative. The current price of 1168.7 is below the 20-day moving average (MA) of 1256.54, below the 50-day MA of 1287.19, and above the 200-day MA of 1126.59, indicating a neutral trend. The MACD of -41.53 indicates Positive momentum. The RSI at 32.75 is Neutral, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 19.50 is Positive, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Negative sentiment for IN:PAYTM.

One 97 Communications Ltd. Peers Comparison

Overall Rating
UnderperformOutperform
Sector (61)
Financial Indicators
Name
Overall Rating
Market Cap
P/E Ratio
ROE
Dividend Yield
Revenue Growth
EPS Growth
72
Outperform
₹675.07B27.885.05%2.78%-5.10%
72
Outperform
₹230.64B30.471.88%-12.65%-42.72%
72
Outperform
₹37.46B21.491.54%6.36%-54.41%
70
Outperform
₹262.08B49.711.26%0.29%7.17%
61
Neutral
$37.18B12.37-10.20%1.83%8.50%-7.62%
49
Neutral
₹277.70B-162.1830.27%65.87%
45
Neutral
₹727.37B-420.15-6.78%11.38%
* Technology Sector Average
Performance Comparison
Ticker
Company Name
Price
Change
% Change
IN:PAYTM
One 97 Communications Ltd.
1,137.00
360.90
46.50%
IN:ANGELONE
Angel One Limited
2,538.55
246.33
10.75%
IN:ITI
ITI Limited
289.00
-35.35
-10.90%
IN:OFSS
Oracle Financial Services Software Limited
7,757.45
-950.50
-10.92%
IN:ROUTE
Route Mobile, Ltd.
594.55
-591.71
-49.88%
IN:TATATECH
Tata Technologies Limited
645.90
-129.36
-16.69%

One 97 Communications Ltd. Corporate Events

Paytm Explains PIDF Incentive Exposure, Sees Limited Long-Term Impact if Scheme Ends
Jan 23, 2026

One 97 Communications Ltd. has clarified that it has been recognising incentives under the Reserve Bank of India’s Payment Infrastructure Development Fund (PIDF) scheme for qualifying expenditure on deploying payment acceptance devices in Tier-3 to Tier-6 centres and certain other regions, including the northeastern states and the Union Territory of Jammu, Kashmir and Ladakh, with incentives amounting to ₹128 crore for the six months ended 30 September 2025. The company noted that the PIDF scheme is currently valid until 31 December 2025 and that there has been no announcement yet on its extension or replacement, but indicated that if the scheme is discontinued, it expects to substantially offset any impact over time through higher revenues and more targeted sales efforts, seeking to reassure markets after recent share price volatility and pledging to continue making required disclosures to the stock exchanges.

One 97 Communications Sets Board Meet and Earnings Call for Q3 FY2026 Results
Jan 16, 2026

One 97 Communications has scheduled a meeting of its Board of Directors on 29 January 2026 to consider and approve the unaudited standalone and consolidated financial results for the quarter and nine months ended 31 December 2025. The company will follow this with an earnings conference call for investors and analysts on 30 January 2026, providing a platform to discuss its latest financial performance, while keeping its trading window closed for designated persons and their immediate relatives until 31 January 2026 in line with securities regulations, underscoring its adherence to disclosure and governance norms.

Paytm Payments Services Secures RBI Approval for Offline and Cross-Border Payment Aggregation
Dec 17, 2025

Paytm Payments Services Limited, a wholly-owned subsidiary of One 97 Communications Ltd., has received authorization from the Reserve Bank of India (RBI) to act as a Payment Aggregator for offline and cross-border transactions, in addition to its earlier approval for online payment aggregation. This expanded authorization positions PPSL as a comprehensive payment aggregation provider across key segments, enhancing its service offering for merchants and contributing to a seamless, end-to-end payment experience. The move signifies a strategic growth initiative, strengthening the company’s domestic and international payment acceptance capabilities while potentially reinforcing its market positioning.

One 97 Communications Increases Equity Shares Through Employee Stock Options
Dec 2, 2025

One 97 Communications Limited has announced the allotment of 225,559 equity shares to its employees under its stock option schemes. This move, approved by the company’s Nomination and Remuneration Committee, increases the company’s total issued share capital, reflecting its commitment to employee incentives and potentially impacting its market positioning by aligning employee interests with shareholder value.

One 97 Communications Transfers Offline Merchant Payments to Subsidiary
Nov 28, 2025

One 97 Communications Ltd. has executed a Business Transfer Agreement to transfer its Offline Merchant Payments Business to Paytm Payments Services Limited, a wholly-owned subsidiary, effective from midnight of November 30, 2025. This move, approved by shareholders, aligns with regulatory requirements and aims to consolidate operations for enhanced efficiency, with key management personnel also transitioning to the subsidiary.

One 97 Communications Transfers Offline Payment Business to Subsidiary
Nov 28, 2025

One 97 Communications Limited has announced the transfer of its Offline Merchants Payment Business to its wholly-owned subsidiary, Paytm Payments Services Limited (PPSL), effective from midnight of November 30, 2025. This move, approved by the company’s shareholders, is part of an internal restructuring to comply with the Reserve Bank of India’s regulations and aims to consolidate related business operations for enhanced efficiency. The transfer includes the movement of senior management personnel to PPSL, ensuring continuity in leadership and operations.

One 97 Communications Simplifies Group Structure with Key Acquisitions
Nov 28, 2025

One 97 Communications Ltd. has completed the acquisition of remaining stakes in Foster Payment Networks, Paytm Insuretech, and Paytm Financial Services, making them wholly owned subsidiaries. This strategic move simplifies the company’s group structure and extends its control over various financial service entities, potentially strengthening its position in the digital payments and financial services sector.

Paytm Payments Services Secures RBI Authorization as Payment Aggregator
Nov 26, 2025

Paytm Payments Services Limited, a subsidiary of One 97 Communications Ltd., has received a Certificate of Authorization from the Reserve Bank of India to operate as a Payment Aggregator under the Payment and Settlement Systems Act, 2007. This authorization is expected to enhance the company’s operations and financial performance, reflecting positively in its consolidated financials, and potentially strengthening its position in the digital payments industry.

Paytm Partners with Groq to Enhance AI Capabilities
Nov 5, 2025

Paytm has announced a partnership with Groq to enhance its platform with real-time AI capabilities. By integrating Groq’s LPU technology, Paytm aims to improve the efficiency and scalability of its AI-driven services, enhancing transaction processing, risk assessment, and customer engagement. This collaboration is expected to strengthen Paytm’s position in the payments and financial services industry by providing faster, more reliable, and intelligent experiences for its users.

One 97 Communications Releases Financial Results for September 2025
Nov 5, 2025

One 97 Communications Limited has announced the publication of its unaudited standalone and consolidated financial results for the quarter and half year ending September 30, 2025. The results have been published in major newspapers and are available on the company’s website. This disclosure is part of the company’s compliance with regulatory requirements, reflecting its commitment to transparency and stakeholder communication.

One 97 Communications Releases Q3 2025 Monitoring Report
Nov 4, 2025

One 97 Communications Ltd. has released its Monitoring Agency Report for the quarter ending September 30, 2025, which details the utilization of proceeds from its Initial Public Offering (IPO). The report, reviewed by Axis Bank Limited and approved by the company’s Audit Committee and Board of Directors, is part of regulatory compliance under SEBI regulations. This disclosure is aimed at maintaining transparency with stakeholders regarding the financial management and strategic deployment of funds raised through the IPO.

Glossary
BuyA stock rated as a "Buy" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock is likely to deliver higher returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
HoldA stock rated as a "Hold" is expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the stock is neither particularly compelling nor unfavorable for investment. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
SellA stock rated as a "Sell" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock may deliver lower returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.

Disclaimer

This AI Analyst Stock Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in stocks carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.Date of analysis: Jan 24, 2026