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Indian Railway Finance Corp. Ltd. (IN:IRFC)
:IRFC
India Market
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Indian Railway Finance Corp. Ltd. (IRFC) AI Stock Analysis

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IN:IRFC

Indian Railway Finance Corp. Ltd.

(IRFC)

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Neutral 61 (OpenAI - 4o)
Rating:61Neutral
Price Target:
₹128.00
▲(7.47% Upside)
The overall stock score of 61 reflects strong profitability and efficient cost management, but is tempered by declining revenue growth, high leverage, and negative cash flow trends. Technical indicators suggest bearish momentum, and the valuation appears stretched with a high P/E ratio. The absence of earnings call data and corporate events limits additional insights.

Indian Railway Finance Corp. Ltd. (IRFC) vs. iShares MSCI India ETF (INDA)

Indian Railway Finance Corp. Ltd. Business Overview & Revenue Model

Company DescriptionIndian Railway Finance Corporation Limited operates as a financing company in India. The company engages in borrowing funds from the financial markets to finance the acquisition/creation of assets that are leased out to the Indian Railways as finance lease. It also operates as a non-deposit taking non-banking financial and infrastructure finance company. The company was incorporated in 1986 and is based in New Delhi, India.
How the Company Makes MoneyIRFC generates revenue primarily through interest income from loans provided to the Indian Railways and other associated entities for capital projects. The company raises funds by issuing bonds in the domestic and international capital markets, which are then used to finance railway projects. Additionally, IRFC earns income through fees for financial services and consultancy related to project financing. The strong backing of the Indian government and the strategic importance of the railways in the national economy ensure a steady demand for IRFC's financial products. Furthermore, IRFC's partnerships with various governmental and financial institutions enhance its ability to raise capital and provide competitive financing solutions, contributing to its overall earnings.

Indian Railway Finance Corp. Ltd. Financial Statement Overview

Summary
Indian Railway Finance Corp. Ltd. demonstrates strong profitability with a consistent net profit margin and improved gross profit margin. However, challenges include declining revenue growth and high leverage, which could pose risks to financial stability. The negative growth in free cash flow also requires attention.
Income Statement
75
Positive
The income statement shows strong profitability with a consistent net profit margin of around 30% in TTM. However, the revenue growth rate is negative at -2.37% for TTM, indicating a decline in revenue. The gross profit margin has improved to 30.58% in TTM from 24.53% in the previous annual report, showing efficiency in cost management. Overall, the company maintains solid profitability despite the revenue decline.
Balance Sheet
65
Positive
The balance sheet reveals a high debt-to-equity ratio of 7.44 in TTM, indicating significant leverage, which is a potential risk. However, the return on equity is stable at 12.67%, reflecting efficient use of equity to generate profits. The equity ratio is relatively low, suggesting a reliance on debt financing. The company should focus on reducing leverage to improve financial stability.
Cash Flow
60
Neutral
Cash flow analysis shows a decline in free cash flow growth by -8.83% in TTM, which is concerning. The operating cash flow to net income ratio is very high, indicating strong cash generation relative to net income. However, the negative growth in free cash flow suggests potential challenges in maintaining cash flow stability. The company needs to address the declining cash flow trend.
BreakdownTTMDec 2025Dec 2024Dec 2023Dec 2022Dec 2021
Income Statement
Total Revenue266.73B270.65B265.30B236.51B202.80B157.51B
Gross Profit149.45B146.01B122.01B113.26B117.06B105.33B
EBITDA148.73B144.99B121.44B112.95B115.64B103.81B
Net Income68.35B65.02B64.12B61.67B60.90B44.16B
Balance Sheet
Total Assets5.04T4.89T4.85T4.91T4.50T3.80T
Cash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments193.46B61.43B6.00B6.74B8.92B6.80B
Total Debt4.08T4.12T4.12T4.19T3.88T3.23T
Total Liabilities4.48T4.36T4.36T4.46T4.09T3.45T
Stockholders Equity561.94B526.68B491.79B446.80B409.96B359.13B
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow45.60B82.29B79.06B-285.89B-644.19B-899.08B
Operating Cash Flow45.61B82.30B79.14B-285.88B-644.12B-899.07B
Investing Cash Flow-8.91B-1.00M-75.40M910.00K-47.19M4.23M
Financing Cash Flow31.43B-25.72B-80.46B286.44B642.66B902.02B

Indian Railway Finance Corp. Ltd. Technical Analysis

Technical Analysis Sentiment
Negative
Last Price119.10
Price Trends
50DMA
123.66
Negative
100DMA
126.21
Negative
200DMA
127.61
Negative
Market Momentum
MACD
-0.97
Positive
RSI
37.40
Neutral
STOCH
20.60
Neutral
Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For IN:IRFC, the sentiment is Negative. The current price of 119.1 is below the 20-day moving average (MA) of 121.92, below the 50-day MA of 123.66, and below the 200-day MA of 127.61, indicating a bearish trend. The MACD of -0.97 indicates Positive momentum. The RSI at 37.40 is Neutral, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 20.60 is Neutral, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Negative sentiment for IN:IRFC.

Indian Railway Finance Corp. Ltd. Peers Comparison

Overall Rating
UnderperformOutperform
Sector (68)
Financial Indicators
Name
Overall Rating
Market Cap
P/E Ratio
ROE
Dividend Yield
Revenue Growth
EPS Growth
75
Outperform
₹976.27B5.665.50%18.51%16.04%
72
Outperform
₹1.31T5.384.27%13.05%16.78%
68
Neutral
$18.00B11.429.92%3.81%9.73%1.22%
62
Neutral
₹879.89B37.26
61
Neutral
₹1.60T23.361.55%-0.41%4.98%
55
Neutral
₹315.65B5.721.83%4.79%13.08%
52
Neutral
₹151.47B47.22-12.62%175.71%
* Financial Sector Average
Performance Comparison
Ticker
Company Name
Price
Change
% Change
IN:IRFC
Indian Railway Finance Corp. Ltd.
119.10
-25.07
-17.39%
IN:BAJAJHFL
Bajaj Housing Finance Ltd.
105.60
-23.70
-18.33%
IN:IFCI
IFCI Limited
52.49
-12.04
-18.66%
IN:LICHSGFIN
LIC Housing Finance Ltd
545.60
-71.09
-11.53%
IN:PFC
Power Finance Corporation Limited
369.65
-96.59
-20.72%
IN:RECLTD
REC Limited
358.05
-136.84
-27.65%

Indian Railway Finance Corp. Ltd. Corporate Events

IRFC Enhances Transparency with Post-Results Call Recording
Oct 16, 2025

Indian Railway Finance Corporation Limited announced that it has uploaded the audio recording of its post-results conference call with analysts and investors on its website. This move is in line with regulatory requirements and aims to enhance transparency and communication with stakeholders by providing them access to detailed discussions on the company’s financial performance.

IRFC Publishes Financial Results for September 2025 Quarter
Oct 16, 2025

Indian Railway Finance Corporation Limited has announced the publication of its financial results for the quarter and half-year ended September 30, 2025, in compliance with SEBI’s listing regulations. This announcement is significant as it provides stakeholders with insights into the company’s financial health and performance, which could impact its operations and industry positioning.

IRFC Board Meeting to Consider Financial Results and Interim Dividend
Oct 7, 2025

Indian Railway Finance Corporation Limited has announced that its Board of Directors will meet on October 15, 2025, to consider and approve the unaudited financial results for the quarter and half-year ended September 30, 2025. The Board will also deliberate on the declaration of an interim dividend for the financial year 2025-26, with the record date set for October 24, 2025. The announcement impacts shareholders as the trading window remains closed until 48 hours after the board meeting, and shareholders are reminded to update their tax information to avoid higher tax deductions on dividends. This move reflects IRFC’s ongoing commitment to maintaining transparency and shareholder value, while also aligning with regulatory requirements.

Glossary
BuyA stock rated as a "Buy" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock is likely to deliver higher returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
HoldA stock rated as a "Hold" is expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the stock is neither particularly compelling nor unfavorable for investment. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
SellA stock rated as a "Sell" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock may deliver lower returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.

Disclaimer

This AI Analyst Stock Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in stocks carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.Date of analysis: Nov 16, 2025