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Indian Railway Finance Corp. Ltd. (IN:IRFC)
:IRFC
India Market
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Indian Railway Finance Corp. Ltd. (IRFC) AI Stock Analysis

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IN:IRFC

Indian Railway Finance Corp. Ltd.

(IRFC)

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Neutral 53 (OpenAI - 5.2)
Rating:53Neutral
Price Target:
₹102.00
▼(-23.60% Downside)
Action:Reiterated
Date:05/15/26
The score is primarily held back by high leverage and uneven cash flow quality despite strong reported profitability. Technicals add caution with the price below key moving averages and weak momentum. Valuation and a modest dividend yield provide partial support but do not fully offset the balance-sheet and cash-generation risks.
Positive Factors
Government backing / Exclusive role
IRFC's statutory role and government ownership create a durable structural advantage: predictable mandate to finance Indian Railways, strong policy priority and implicit sovereign support. This underpins long-term funding demand, stable counterparty exposure and preferential market access for debt issuance.
Negative Factors
Very high leverage
Extremely high and rising leverage materially increases refinancing and interest-rate sensitivity for a debt-funded lessor. Even with government ties, the heavy reliance on borrowed funds magnifies funding cost shifts, heightens default/rollover risk in stress, and reduces flexibility to absorb shocks without new support.
Read all positive and negative factors
Positive Factors
Negative Factors
Government backing / Exclusive role
IRFC's statutory role and government ownership create a durable structural advantage: predictable mandate to finance Indian Railways, strong policy priority and implicit sovereign support. This underpins long-term funding demand, stable counterparty exposure and preferential market access for debt issuance.
Read all positive factors

Indian Railway Finance Corp. Ltd. (IRFC) vs. iShares MSCI India ETF (INDA)

Indian Railway Finance Corp. Ltd. Business Overview & Revenue Model

Company Description
Indian Railway Finance Corporation Limited operates as a financing company in India. The company engages in borrowing funds from the financial markets to finance the acquisition/creation of assets that are leased out to the Indian Railways as fina...
How the Company Makes Money
IRFC makes money primarily through a spread-based financing model tied to funding Indian Railways. (1) Interest income / lease rentals from Indian Railways: IRFC raises debt (bonds, loans, and other borrowings) and on-lends the proceeds to Indian ...

Indian Railway Finance Corp. Ltd. Financial Statement Overview

Summary
Profitability has been strong historically with consistently high net margins and earnings rising through 2026, but the profile is weakened by very high leverage (debt-to-equity ~7.8x–9.5x), rising debt, and volatile cash generation (multi-year negative FCF, brief improvement in 2024–2025, then a sharp drop in 2026). Recent margin compression in 2026 versus 2025 is an additional concern.
Income Statement
72
Positive
Balance Sheet
48
Neutral
Cash Flow
44
Neutral
BreakdownMar 2026Mar 2025Mar 2024Mar 2023Mar 2022
Income Statement
Total Revenue273.38B270.65B265.30B236.51B202.80B
Gross Profit73.21B146.01B122.01B113.26B117.06B
EBITDA70.15B144.99B121.44B112.95B115.64B
Net Income70.09B65.02B64.12B61.67B60.90B
Balance Sheet
Total Assets5.17T4.89T4.85T4.91T4.50T
Cash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments9.78B61.43B6.00B6.74B8.92B
Total Debt4.36T4.12T4.12T4.19T3.88T
Total Liabilities4.60T4.36T4.36T4.46T4.09T
Stockholders Equity567.49B526.68B491.79B446.80B409.96B
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow40.42B82.29B79.06B-285.89B-644.19B
Operating Cash Flow40.56B82.30B79.14B-285.88B-644.12B
Investing Cash Flow-307.81B-1.00M-75.40M910.00K-47.19M
Financing Cash Flow215.60B-25.72B-80.46B286.44B642.66B

Indian Railway Finance Corp. Ltd. Technical Analysis

Technical Analysis Sentiment
Negative
Last Price133.50
Price Trends
50DMA
99.35
Negative
100DMA
107.55
Negative
200DMA
114.24
Negative
Market Momentum
MACD
-0.87
Positive
RSI
38.29
Neutral
STOCH
17.78
Positive
Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For IN:IRFC, the sentiment is Negative. The current price of 133.5 is above the 20-day moving average (MA) of 102.97, above the 50-day MA of 99.35, and above the 200-day MA of 114.24, indicating a bearish trend. The MACD of -0.87 indicates Positive momentum. The RSI at 38.29 is Neutral, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 17.78 is Positive, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Negative sentiment for IN:IRFC.

Indian Railway Finance Corp. Ltd. Peers Comparison

Overall Rating
UnderperformOutperform
Sector (68)
Financial Indicators
Name
Overall Rating
Market Cap
P/E Ratio
ROE
Dividend Yield
Revenue Growth
EPS Growth
68
Neutral
$18.00B11.429.92%3.81%9.73%1.22%
66
Neutral
₹1.42T4.844.62%5.79%12.66%
65
Neutral
₹19.28B4.83-18.77%47.18%
64
Neutral
₹411.29B7.922.92%19.73%48.94%
62
Neutral
₹355.93B16.7929.45%19.37%
62
Neutral
₹876.60B6.355.56%5.53%2.67%
53
Neutral
₹1.27T16.911.52%0.67%7.82%
* Financial Sector Average
Performance Comparison
Ticker
Company Name
Price
Change
% Change
IN:IRFC
Indian Railway Finance Corp. Ltd.
98.15
-36.08
-26.88%
IN:HUDCO
Housing & Urban Development Corp. Ltd.
205.90
-15.48
-6.99%
IN:IREDA
Indian Renewable Energy Development Agency Ltd.
127.90
-42.80
-25.07%
IN:PFC
Power Finance Corporation Limited
430.75
40.72
10.44%
IN:PFS
PTC India Financial Services Limited
30.95
-5.19
-14.36%
IN:RECLTD
REC Limited
333.35
-47.76
-12.53%

Indian Railway Finance Corp. Ltd. Corporate Events

IRFC Secures BSE Waiver of SEBI Compliance Fines for 2022–2025
Apr 27, 2026
Indian Railway Finance Corporation Ltd., the government-owned financing arm of Indian Railways, focuses on mobilising capital for rail infrastructure and rolling stock through market borrowings. The company is listed on key Indian exchanges and op...
IRFC Secures NSE Waiver of SEBI Compliance Fines for 2022–2025
Apr 24, 2026
Indian Railway Finance Corporation Ltd. has disclosed that the National Stock Exchange of India has favorably considered its request to waive fines imposed for past non-compliances under several SEBI Listing Obligations and Disclosure Requirements...
IRFC seals Rs 12,842 crore refinancing deal for HURL to advance whole-of-government financing push
Mar 23, 2026
Indian Railway Finance Corporation has signed a major rupee term loan agreement with Hindustan Urvarak and Rasayan for refinancing up to Rs 12,842 crore of HURL’s existing long-term debt. The deal aligns with IRFC’s IRFC 2.0 strategy t...
Glossary
BuyA stock rated as a "Buy" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock is likely to deliver higher returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
HoldA stock rated as a "Hold" is expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the stock is neither particularly compelling nor unfavorable for investment. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
SellA stock rated as a "Sell" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock may deliver lower returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.

Disclaimer

This AI Analyst Stock Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in stocks carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.Date of analysis: May 15, 2026