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Alphageo (India) Ltd. (IN:ALPHAGEO)
:ALPHAGEO
India Market

Alphageo (India) Ltd. (ALPHAGEO) AI Stock Analysis

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IN:ALPHAGEO

Alphageo (India) Ltd.

(ALPHAGEO)

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Neutral 47 (OpenAI - 5.2)
,
Neutral 47 (OpenAI - 5.2)
,
Neutral 47 (OpenAI - 5.2)
Rating:47Neutral
Price Target:
₹176.00
▼(-23.44% Downside)
Action:ReiteratedDate:01/29/26
The score is held down primarily by deteriorating profitability and notably negative FY2025 operating/free cash flow, despite a revenue rebound. Technicals also lean weak with the stock below key longer-term moving averages and a negative MACD. A moderate dividend yield and low leverage provide some support but are not enough to offset current operating and cash-flow risks.
Positive Factors
Conservative balance sheet (no debt)
Near-zero leverage materially lowers financial distress risk and preserves flexibility to fund working capital, equipment or small acquisitions from internal resources or equity. Over 2–6 months this supports contract bidding capacity and resilience to sector cyclicality.
Revenue rebound / improving top line
A 17.4% revenue rebound signals recovering demand for onshore seismic services and suggests the company can rebuild utilization and scale project delivery. If sustained, top-line momentum can convert to improved margins as fixed costs are absorbed across more contracts.
Specialized seismic services and market position
Specialized seismic acquisition and geoscience services are technical, asset-heavy and relationship-driven, creating higher switching costs and recurring project pipelines with existing clients. This niche expertise supports durable revenue opportunities in exploration and field development cycles.
Negative Factors
Negative operating and free cash flow
Negative operating and free cash flow erodes liquidity and increases dependence on external funding or asset sales to finance operations. Over a multi-month horizon this constrains the ability to mobilize crews/equipment for new contracts and raises execution risk on ongoing projects.
Margin deterioration and net loss
A negative gross profit indicates pricing or cost misalignment on projects, making core operations unprofitable. Sustained negative margins threaten the business model's viability, forcing price increases, cost cuts or renegotiation of contracts that can damage long-term customer relationships.
High earnings and cash-flow volatility
Large swings in earnings and cash flow reflect project-timing and execution risks inherent in contract work. This volatility reduces forecasting reliability, complicates capital allocation and makes sustaining workforce/equipment utilization harder across exploration cycles.

Alphageo (India) Ltd. (ALPHAGEO) vs. iShares MSCI India ETF (INDA)

Alphageo (India) Ltd. Business Overview & Revenue Model

Company DescriptionAlphageo (India) Limited provides geophysical seismic data acquisition, processing, and interpretation services for exploration of hydrocarbons and minerals in India and internationally. It offers services, including designing and preplanning of 2D/3D/4D/3C surveys; seismic data acquisition in 2D/3D/4D/3C; seismic data processing and reprocessing/special processing comprising pre-stack imaging, AVO inversion, etc.; and seismic data interpretation that consists of structural and stratigraphic interpretation, and evaluation of blocks for exploration, as well as generation, evaluation, and ranking of prospects. The company's services also include consultancy on 3D/4D/3C surveys; API of EM and GM surveys; reservoir data acquisition and analysis; tape transcription and digitization of hard copies of maps, seismic sections, and well logs into CGM/SEGY/LAS formats; third party quality control for 2D/3D seismic data acquisition and processing; topographic surveys with GPS/RTK; airborne surveys; and geophysical mapping surveys through gravity and magnetic methods for identification of potential areas from mineral prognostication point of view. In addition, it provides onshore and offshore oil and gas field services; and renting of drilling equipment and machinery. Further, the company offers marine survey and aerial geophysical services. Alphageo (India) Limited was incorporated in 1987 and is headquartered in Hyderabad, India.
How the Company Makes MoneyAlphageo primarily makes money by executing geophysical/seismic services contracts for clients in the oil & gas sector. Revenue is earned on a project/contract basis for delivering seismic data acquisition and related field services (including mobilizing survey crews and equipment, conducting surveys, and delivering acquired datasets and project outputs as specified in customer scopes). Earnings are therefore driven by the value and volume of awarded contracts, project execution timelines, utilization of crews/equipment, and pricing/margins negotiated per contract. Specific breakdowns of revenue streams, named major customers, and details of significant partnerships are null.

Alphageo (India) Ltd. Financial Statement Overview

Summary
Despite a FY2025 revenue rebound (+17.4% YoY), profitability and cash generation weakened sharply (negative gross profit, net loss, and negative operating/free cash flow). The main offset is a conservative balance sheet with essentially no debt, reducing financial risk but not solving the current earnings and cash-flow volatility.
Income Statement
34
Negative
Revenue rebounded in FY2025 (+17.4% YoY), but profitability deteriorated sharply: gross profit turned negative and the company posted a net loss (about -4.9% net margin). Earnings have been volatile across the period (strong FY2022 profitability followed by weaker FY2023–FY2025), which reduces confidence in the durability of margins despite occasional solid EBITDA.
Balance Sheet
74
Positive
The balance sheet is conservatively positioned with essentially no debt (debt-to-equity ~0 across years), which materially lowers financial risk. However, returns on equity are weak and recently negative (FY2025), indicating the equity base is not currently generating attractive profits even though leverage is minimal.
Cash Flow
28
Negative
Cash generation has become a key concern: FY2025 operating cash flow turned negative and free cash flow was deeply negative, signaling higher cash burn and/or working-capital pressure. Cash flow has also been highly swingy (very strong in FY2022, then meaningfully weaker thereafter), which increases execution risk and reduces financial flexibility.
BreakdownTTMMar 2025Mar 2024Mar 2023Mar 2022Mar 2021
Income Statement
Total Revenue1.28B1.26B986.68M659.50M1.55B1.43B
Gross Profit-62.85M-57.90M71.64M155.33M346.78M213.16M
EBITDA-71.46M64.35M181.92M309.48M385.31M382.65M
Net Income-165.40M-61.12M3.79M130.03M121.92M64.45M
Balance Sheet
Total Assets2.90B3.12B2.95B2.91B3.10B3.09B
Cash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments1.47B1.22B1.42B1.48B1.33B601.64M
Total Debt0.000.000.000.000.00710.00K
Total Liabilities296.60M427.86M151.29M73.15M384.04M462.09M
Stockholders Equity2.60B2.68B2.79B2.83B2.72B2.63B
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow84.91M-323.21M-160.82M-39.69M730.52M59.38M
Operating Cash Flow98.52M-33.09M10.74M126.37M794.19M301.63M
Investing Cash Flow-154.14M147.92M100.82M-677.25M-235.54M-162.67M
Financing Cash Flow-52.02M-50.92M-52.78M-55.51M-62.29M-279.49M

Alphageo (India) Ltd. Peers Comparison

Overall Rating
UnderperformOutperform
Sector (65)
Financial Indicators
Name
Overall Rating
Market Cap
P/E Ratio
ROE
Dividend Yield
Revenue Growth
EPS Growth
71
Outperform
₹5.62B15.590.40%56.33%160.76%
69
Neutral
₹15.61B36.12212.48%135.64%
68
Neutral
₹13.51B-12.450.18%34.80%252.88%
65
Neutral
$15.17B7.614.09%5.20%3.87%-62.32%
54
Neutral
₹16.25B62.34-16.59%-16.91%
47
Neutral
₹1.13B-6.123.53%
* Energy Sector Average
Performance Comparison
Ticker
Company Name
Price
Change
% Change
IN:ALPHAGEO
Alphageo (India) Ltd.
178.25
-61.72
-25.72%
IN:DOLPHIN
Dolphin Offshore Enterprises India Ltd.
390.15
133.50
52.02%
IN:HINDOILEXP
Hindustan Oil Exploration Co., Ltd.
122.90
-49.15
-28.57%
IN:JINDRILL
Jindal Drilling & Industries Ltd.
466.10
-443.25
-48.74%
IN:SOUTHWEST
South West Pinnacle Exploration Ltd.
188.49
83.25
79.10%
Glossary
BuyA stock rated as a "Buy" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock is likely to deliver higher returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
HoldA stock rated as a "Hold" is expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the stock is neither particularly compelling nor unfavorable for investment. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
SellA stock rated as a "Sell" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock may deliver lower returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.

Disclaimer

This AI Analyst Stock Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in stocks carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.Date of analysis: Jan 29, 2026