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Alphageo (India) Ltd. (IN:ALPHAGEO)
:ALPHAGEO
India Market

Alphageo (India) Ltd. (ALPHAGEO) AI Stock Analysis

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IN:ALPHAGEO

Alphageo (India) Ltd.

(ALPHAGEO)

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Neutral 47 (OpenAI - 5.2)
Rating:47Neutral
Price Target:
₹214.00
▼(-6.92% Downside)
The score is held down primarily by deteriorating profitability and notably negative FY2025 operating/free cash flow, despite a revenue rebound. Technicals also lean weak with the stock below key longer-term moving averages and a negative MACD. A moderate dividend yield and low leverage provide some support but are not enough to offset current operating and cash-flow risks.
Positive Factors
Low leverage / conservative balance sheet
Essentially zero debt materially lowers financial risk over multiple cycles, reducing interest burden and default risk. This balance-sheet conservatism gives the company structural flexibility to endure oilfield spending cyclicality and pursue contract opportunities without leverage-driven constraints.
Revenue rebound in FY2025
A meaningful revenue rebound suggests recovering demand for seismic services and improved contract awards. Sustained top-line growth supports better crew and equipment utilization and provides a runway to restore margins if cost control and pricing normalize across upcoming contract cycles.
Specialized seismic services business model
A focused, technical service offering in seismic acquisition creates structural competitive advantages: specialized equipment, trained crews, and project execution know-how. These attributes raise barriers to entry and support repeat project work from exploration and field-development clients.
Negative Factors
Negative operating and free cash flow
Negative operating and free cash flow erode liquidity and limit the firm's ability to fund operations, invest in equipment, or absorb project delays. Over several months this reduces bidding capacity, increases reliance on external financing, and elevates execution risk for multi-month contracts.
Deteriorating profitability and negative gross profit
Negative gross profit and net losses indicate current pricing or cost structures don't cover direct project costs. Persisting negative margins undermine retained earnings, weaken ROE, and constrain reinvestment, making it harder to rebuild competitive capabilities or absorb future contract-cost overruns.
High volatility in earnings and cash generation
Large swings in cash flow and earnings increase forecasting and execution risk in a project-driven business. Volatility hampers long-term planning, raises working-capital needs during downturns, and can limit access to financing or deter large customers who favor suppliers with predictable execution.

Alphageo (India) Ltd. (ALPHAGEO) vs. iShares MSCI India ETF (INDA)

Alphageo (India) Ltd. Business Overview & Revenue Model

Company DescriptionAlphageo (India) Limited provides geophysical seismic data acquisition, processing, and interpretation services for exploration of hydrocarbons and minerals in India and internationally. It offers services, including designing and preplanning of 2D/3D/4D/3C surveys; seismic data acquisition in 2D/3D/4D/3C; seismic data processing and reprocessing/special processing comprising pre-stack imaging, AVO inversion, etc.; and seismic data interpretation that consists of structural and stratigraphic interpretation, and evaluation of blocks for exploration, as well as generation, evaluation, and ranking of prospects. The company's services also include consultancy on 3D/4D/3C surveys; API of EM and GM surveys; reservoir data acquisition and analysis; tape transcription and digitization of hard copies of maps, seismic sections, and well logs into CGM/SEGY/LAS formats; third party quality control for 2D/3D seismic data acquisition and processing; topographic surveys with GPS/RTK; airborne surveys; and geophysical mapping surveys through gravity and magnetic methods for identification of potential areas from mineral prognostication point of view. In addition, it provides onshore and offshore oil and gas field services; and renting of drilling equipment and machinery. Further, the company offers marine survey and aerial geophysical services. Alphageo (India) Limited was incorporated in 1987 and is headquartered in Hyderabad, India.
How the Company Makes Money

Alphageo (India) Ltd. Financial Statement Overview

Summary
Despite a FY2025 revenue rebound (+17.4% YoY), profitability and cash generation weakened sharply (negative gross profit, net loss, and negative operating/free cash flow). The main offset is a conservative balance sheet with essentially no debt, reducing financial risk but not solving the current earnings and cash-flow volatility.
Income Statement
34
Negative
Revenue rebounded in FY2025 (+17.4% YoY), but profitability deteriorated sharply: gross profit turned negative and the company posted a net loss (about -4.9% net margin). Earnings have been volatile across the period (strong FY2022 profitability followed by weaker FY2023–FY2025), which reduces confidence in the durability of margins despite occasional solid EBITDA.
Balance Sheet
74
Positive
The balance sheet is conservatively positioned with essentially no debt (debt-to-equity ~0 across years), which materially lowers financial risk. However, returns on equity are weak and recently negative (FY2025), indicating the equity base is not currently generating attractive profits even though leverage is minimal.
Cash Flow
28
Negative
Cash generation has become a key concern: FY2025 operating cash flow turned negative and free cash flow was deeply negative, signaling higher cash burn and/or working-capital pressure. Cash flow has also been highly swingy (very strong in FY2022, then meaningfully weaker thereafter), which increases execution risk and reduces financial flexibility.
BreakdownTTMDec 2025Dec 2024Dec 2023Dec 2022Dec 2021
Income Statement
Total Revenue1.41B1.26B986.68M659.50M1.55B1.43B
Gross Profit11.78M-57.90M71.64M155.33M346.78M213.16M
EBITDA-20.17M64.35M181.92M309.48M385.31M382.65M
Net Income-90.52M-61.12M3.79M130.03M121.92M64.45M
Balance Sheet
Total Assets0.003.12B2.95B2.91B3.10B3.09B
Cash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments1.22B1.22B1.42B1.48B1.33B601.64M
Total Debt0.000.000.000.000.00710.00K
Total Liabilities-2.69B427.86M151.29M73.15M384.04M462.09M
Stockholders Equity2.69B2.68B2.79B2.83B2.72B2.63B
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow0.00-323.21M-160.82M-39.69M730.52M59.38M
Operating Cash Flow0.00-33.09M10.74M126.37M794.19M301.63M
Investing Cash Flow0.00147.92M100.82M-677.25M-235.54M-162.67M
Financing Cash Flow0.00-50.92M-52.78M-55.51M-62.29M-279.49M

Alphageo (India) Ltd. Peers Comparison

Overall Rating
UnderperformOutperform
Sector (65)
Financial Indicators
Name
Overall Rating
Market Cap
P/E Ratio
ROE
Dividend Yield
Revenue Growth
EPS Growth
72
Outperform
₹19.38B18.800.34%-12.23%
71
Outperform
₹5.88B23.120.40%56.33%160.76%
69
Neutral
₹18.15B35.82212.48%135.64%
69
Neutral
₹13.93B5.810.18%34.80%252.88%
65
Neutral
$15.17B7.614.09%5.20%3.87%-62.32%
58
Neutral
₹20.54B14.55-16.59%-16.91%
47
Neutral
₹1.34B-8.103.53%
* Energy Sector Average
Performance Comparison
Ticker
Company Name
Price
Change
% Change
IN:ALPHAGEO
Alphageo (India) Ltd.
210.55
-171.65
-44.91%
IN:DOLPHIN
Dolphin Offshore Enterprises India Ltd.
453.65
82.85
22.34%
IN:HINDOILEXP
Hindustan Oil Exploration Co., Ltd.
155.35
-42.65
-21.54%
IN:JINDRILL
Jindal Drilling & Industries Ltd.
480.55
-425.95
-46.99%
IN:SELAN
Selan Exploration Technology Limited
551.20
-136.75
-19.88%
IN:SOUTHWEST
South West Pinnacle Exploration Ltd.
197.25
68.83
53.60%
Glossary
BuyA stock rated as a "Buy" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock is likely to deliver higher returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
HoldA stock rated as a "Hold" is expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the stock is neither particularly compelling nor unfavorable for investment. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
SellA stock rated as a "Sell" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock may deliver lower returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.

Disclaimer

This AI Analyst Stock Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in stocks carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.Date of analysis: Jan 29, 2026