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Top Gum Industries Ltd. (IL:TPGM)
TASE:TPGM
Israel Market

Top Gum (TPGM) AI Stock Analysis

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IL:TPGM

Top Gum

(TASE:TPGM)

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Neutral 46 (OpenAI - 5.2)
Rating:46Neutral
Price Target:
1,488.00
▲(14.90% Upside)
Action:ReiteratedDate:04/03/26
The score is held back primarily by weakening financial performance—losses in 2024–2025, consistently negative free cash flow, and rising leverage—despite strong revenue growth and positive operating cash flow. Technical signals are mixed/neutral, while valuation looks expensive (P/E ~42) with no dividend yield support provided.
Positive Factors
Revenue Growth
A pronounced revenue step-up in 2025 demonstrates scalable demand and expanding market penetration. Over a 2–6 month horizon this supports operating leverage potential, justifies incremental investment in distribution and marketing, and forms the backbone for restoring profitability if cost structure is managed.
Negative Factors
Negative Profitability
Sizable and persistent net losses materially weaken retained earnings and reduce return metrics. Over several months this increases pressure to improve operating efficiency or secure funding; absent margin recovery, continued losses can impair strategic flexibility and investor confidence.
Read all positive and negative factors
Positive Factors
Negative Factors
Revenue Growth
A pronounced revenue step-up in 2025 demonstrates scalable demand and expanding market penetration. Over a 2–6 month horizon this supports operating leverage potential, justifies incremental investment in distribution and marketing, and forms the backbone for restoring profitability if cost structure is managed.
Read all positive factors

Top Gum (TPGM) vs. iShares MSCI Israel ETF (EIS)

Top Gum Business Overview & Revenue Model

Company Description
Top Gum (TPGM) is a leading provider in the gum and confectionery industry, specializing in the production and distribution of high-quality chewing gum products. The company operates in various sectors, including consumer goods and food manufactur...

Top Gum Financial Statement Overview

Summary
Revenue growth is strong (sharp step-up in 2025), and operating cash flow is positive and improving. However, profitability has deteriorated into sizable losses (deeply negative net margin) and free cash flow remains consistently negative, with leverage trending higher—raising execution and funding risk.
Income Statement
34
Negative
Balance Sheet
58
Neutral
Cash Flow
41
Neutral
BreakdownDec 2025Dec 2024Dec 2023Dec 2022Dec 2021
Income Statement
Total Revenue100.95M59.27M45.60M43.91M33.07M
Gross Profit32.36M20.51M15.10M15.25M9.89M
EBITDA-8.04M-2.61M6.27M6.23M4.49M
Net Income-15.94M-6.49M3.21M3.63M1.58M
Balance Sheet
Total Assets206.00M108.20M104.84M63.68M59.57M
Cash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments32.83M10.14M12.11M4.33M17.93M
Total Debt51.26M31.20M25.06M7.99M2.40M
Total Liabilities115.10M45.62M37.26M17.41M12.13M
Stockholders Equity90.90M62.58M67.59M46.27M47.44M
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow-9.37M-6.70M-25.43M-12.18M-6.48M
Operating Cash Flow10.28M6.69M1.44M1.08M1.09M
Investing Cash Flow-32.37M-12.99M-28.22M-13.40M-7.51M
Financing Cash Flow41.91M4.50M33.20M263.00K22.12M

Top Gum Technical Analysis

Technical Analysis Sentiment
Positive
Last Price1295.00
Price Trends
50DMA
1602.56
Negative
100DMA
1435.94
Positive
200DMA
1185.17
Positive
Market Momentum
MACD
-2.16
Negative
RSI
49.52
Neutral
STOCH
54.81
Neutral
Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For IL:TPGM, the sentiment is Positive. The current price of 1295 is below the 20-day moving average (MA) of 1530.55, below the 50-day MA of 1602.56, and above the 200-day MA of 1185.17, indicating a neutral trend. The MACD of -2.16 indicates Negative momentum. The RSI at 49.52 is Neutral, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 54.81 is Neutral, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Positive sentiment for IL:TPGM.

Top Gum Peers Comparison

Overall Rating
UnderperformOutperform
Sector (62)
Financial Indicators
Name
Overall Rating
Market Cap
P/E Ratio
ROE
Dividend Yield
Revenue Growth
EPS Growth
67
Neutral
₪670.00M26.615.30%7.70%-34.56%
66
Neutral
₪693.80M13.453.17%-0.71%2.35%
62
Neutral
$20.33B14.63-3.31%3.23%1.93%-12.26%
46
Neutral
₪2.00B-32.6650.27%-192.16%
* Consumer Defensive Sector Average
Performance Comparison
Ticker
Company Name
Price
Change
% Change
IL:TPGM
Top Gum
1,537.00
767.40
99.71%
IL:CRMT
Carmit
1,867.00
702.00
60.26%
IL:KAFR
Kafrit
2,859.00
21.86
0.77%
IL:ANGL
Salomon A. Angel Ltd.
1,931.00
-1,627.00
-45.73%
IL:EMDV
Emilia Devel
2,395.00
-265.59
-9.98%
IL:HLMS
Holmes Place
665.50
49.41
8.02%
Glossary
BuyA stock rated as a "Buy" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock is likely to deliver higher returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
HoldA stock rated as a "Hold" is expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the stock is neither particularly compelling nor unfavorable for investment. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
SellA stock rated as a "Sell" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock may deliver lower returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.

Disclaimer

This AI Analyst Stock Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in stocks carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.Date of analysis: Apr 03, 2026