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iHeartMedia (IHRT)
NASDAQ:IHRT
US Market

iHeartMedia (IHRT) AI Stock Analysis

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IHRT

iHeartMedia

(NASDAQ:IHRT)

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Neutral 48 (OpenAI - 5.2)
Rating:48Neutral
Price Target:
$3.00
▼(-7.12% Downside)
Action:ReiteratedDate:03/03/26
IHRT scores lower primarily due to a stressed financial profile (high leverage, negative equity, and persistent net losses with limited recent free cash flow). The earnings call provides a meaningful offset via upbeat 2026 EBITDA/FCF guidance and defined cost-savings and digital growth drivers, but technicals remain weak and valuation signals are constrained by negative earnings.
Positive Factors
Strong podcast revenue growth and higher-margin digital audio
Sustained double-digit podcast growth and materially higher local-sales mix indicate structurally improving monetization and margin profile for digital audio. Over 2–6 months this supports durable revenue diversification away from broadcast cyclicality and contributes accretive EBITDA as ad spend shifts to on-demand audio.
Programmatic build and strategic DSP partnerships
Partnerships with major DSPs and a targeted programmatic revenue ramp create a structural, scalable monetization channel. Programmatic increases yield, audience targeting and recurring revenue, strengthening competitive placement of audio inventory and supporting long-term digital ad mix shift.
Material cost savings and improving free cash flow conversion
Realized and targeted efficiency actions combined with improving EBITDA-to-FCF conversion signal durable operating leverage potential. Higher free cash flow guidance and prior execution reduce reliance on external financing and provide a structural path to de-lever over the medium term if trends persist.
Negative Factors
Very high debt and negative shareholders' equity
A large nominal debt load and multi-year negative equity materially limit financial flexibility. Over several months this elevates refinancing risk, constrains strategic choices, and amplifies downside sensitivity to advertising cycles or programmatic timing mismatches if operating trends falter.
Persistent net losses and weak GAAP profitability
Despite revenue rebound and positive EBITDA, ongoing GAAP losses and negative EBIT show structural profit conversion issues after interest and noncash items. This underscores dependence on cost programs and FCF execution to reach sustained profitability and increases risk if ad demand softens.
High interest expense and elevated leverage coverage burden
Substantial annual interest expense consumes a large portion of operating cash flow and reduces reinvestment capacity. Over the medium term this makes margin improvements and FCF critical to avoid covenant or refinancing stress, and it leaves the business exposed to rate or demand shocks.

iHeartMedia (IHRT) vs. SPDR S&P 500 ETF (SPY)

iHeartMedia Business Overview & Revenue Model

Company DescriptioniHeartMedia, Inc. operates as a media and entertainment company worldwide. It operates through three segments: Multiplatform Group, Digital Audio Group, and Audio & Media Services Group. The Multiplatform Group segment offers broadcast radio stations, sponsorship, and live and virtual events; and operates Premiere Networks, a national radio network that produces, distributes, or represents approximately 120 syndicated radio programs and services to approximately 6,400 radio station affiliates. It also delivers real-time traffic flow and incident information, and weather updates, sports, and news through approximately 2,100 radio stations and 170 television affiliates, and Internet and mobile partnerships. As of December 31, 2021, this segment owned 863 radio stations, which included 249 AM and 614 FM radio stations. The Digital Audio Group segment provides podcasting, digital sites, newsletters, digital services, and programs; and iHeartRadio, a mobile app and web-based service for radio stations, digital-only stations, custom artist stations, and podcasts. The Audio and Media Services Group segment engages in the media representation business. This segment also provides cloud and on-premises broadcast software, such as radio and television automation, music scheduling, newsroom automation, advertising sales management, disaster recovery solutions; and real-time audio recognition technology to approximately 10,000 radio and television stations, cable channels, record labels, advertisers, and agencies, as well as media streaming and research services. The company was formerly known as CC Media Holdings, Inc. and changed its name to iHeartMedia, Inc. in September 2014. iHeartMedia, Inc. is headquartered in San Antonio, Texas.
How the Company Makes MoneyiHeartMedia generates revenue primarily through advertising sales, which account for a significant portion of its earnings. The company sells advertising inventory across its radio stations and digital platforms, allowing businesses to reach diverse audiences through targeted marketing campaigns. Additionally, iHeartMedia monetizes its podcasting initiatives and streaming services, attracting advertisers looking to engage with listeners in innovative ways. The company also earns revenue from live events, including concerts and festivals, which not only serve as entertainment but also as platforms for brand sponsorships. Strategic partnerships with various advertisers and technology providers enhance iHeartMedia's ability to deliver comprehensive advertising solutions, further solidifying its revenue streams.

iHeartMedia Earnings Call Summary

Earnings Call Date:Mar 02, 2026
(Q4-2025)
|
% Change Since: |
Next Earnings Date:Apr 30, 2026
Earnings Call Sentiment Positive
The call emphasizes strong momentum in Digital Audio and podcasting (double-digit revenue and EBITDA growth, improving margins), meaningful programmatic and partnership progress, improved free cash flow and a concrete cost-savings plan. Offsetting these positives are near-term profitability pressure in the Multiplatform and Audio & Media Services segments (largely driven by tough political-year comps), high net leverage and interest expense, and some timing-related EBITDA volatility from noncash programmatic investments. Management provided constructive 2026 guidance (targeting ~$800M EBITDA, ~$200M FCF, and ~50% programmatic growth) and clear cost-savings targets, signaling confidence in recovery and margin expansion over the year.
Q4-2025 Updates
Positive Updates
Consolidated Revenue Growth (Ex-Political)
Consolidated revenue of $1.1B in Q4, up 0.8% year-over-year; excluding the impact of political revenue, consolidated revenue was up 7.7%.
Digital Audio Group Outperformance
Digital Audio Group (DAG) Q4 revenue $387M, up 14.1% YoY and above guidance; DAG adjusted EBITDA $132M, up 10.7% YoY; DAG adjusted EBITDA margins 34.1% in Q4 and full-year 34.4% (up from 32.5% prior year).
Strong Podcast Momentum
Podcast revenue grew to $174M in Q4, up 24.5% YoY and above guidance; ~47% of podcast revenue generated by local sales (vs ~13% in Q4 2020); podcasting margins accretive to company EBITDA.
Growth in Non‑Podcast Digital
Non-podcast digital revenue grew 6.8% YoY in Q4 to $213M, contributing to overall digital strength.
Programmatic & Strategic Partnerships
Committed programmatic build with partnerships (Amazon DSP, Yahoo! DSP, etc.); expected inclusion of broadcast inventory on Amazon DSP in H2; company expects programmatic revenue of ~$200M in 2026 (up ~50% vs $135M in 2025).
Free Cash Flow Improvement and Conversion
Q4 free cash flow $138M (or $158M including real estate proceeds) vs negative $24M prior year; Q4 EBITDA-to-free-cash-flow conversion ~70%; company guiding to ~ $200M free cash flow for full year.
Cost Savings and Efficiency Gains
Achieved previously announced $150M net cost savings in 2025; targeting $100M of in-year cost reductions for 2026 (includes $50M newly announced savings starting in Q2).
Positive Guidance and Roadmap for 2026
Q1 guidance: consolidated revenue up high single digits, adjusted EBITDA ~ $100M; Full-year guidance: adjusted EBITDA ~ $800M, FCF ~ $200M; expect Multiplatform Group to return to EBITDA growth and podcast & programmatic momentum to continue.
Negative Updates
Q4 Adjusted EBITDA Decline
Q4 consolidated adjusted EBITDA was $220M (midpoint of guidance) vs $246M prior year (down $26M, ~10.6%); prior-year quarter benefited from approximately $80M of political revenue, making comps challenging.
Multiplatform Group Profitability Pressure
Multiplatform Group revenue $665M, down 2.8% YoY; adjusted EBITDA $129M, down 14.2% YoY; adjusted EBITDA margin fell to 19.4% from 21.9% in prior-year quarter (prior benefited from ~ $40M political).
Audio & Media Services Decline
Audio & Media Services revenue $79M, down 19.3% YoY (prior-year quarter benefited from ~$35M political); adjusted EBITDA $31M, down 35.7% YoY — largely driven by political revenue comps.
High Leverage and Significant Interest Expense
Year-end net debt ~ $4.5B and net debt-to-adjusted-EBITDA 6.6x; total liquidity $640M and cash $271M (includes $50M borrowed under ABL); company expects interest expense of ~ $440M in 2026.
Quarterly Timing and Noncash Mismatches from Programmatic Build
Use of noncash co-marketing partnerships to build programmatic and audience database creates quarterly mismatches of noncash revenues and expenses that can drag near-term EBITDA and complicate quarter-to-quarter comparability.
GAAP Operating Income Decline
Q4 GAAP operating income $86M vs $105M in prior year, reflecting lower operating profitability on a GAAP basis.
Macro & Weather-Related Advertising Uncertainty
Management cited Q4 disruption from major weather events and macro/geo-political uncertainty (Middle East) that impacted advertising demand and contributed to short-term volatility.
Company Guidance
iHeart guided to Q1 2026 adjusted EBITDA of approximately $100 million and consolidated revenue up high single digits (January was up ~1% YoY, versus a tough Jan‑2025 comp of +5.5%). Q1 segment guidance: Digital Audio Group revenue up mid‑teens with podcast revenue up in the low‑20s, Multiplatform Group revenue up mid‑single digits, and Audio & Media Services revenue up high single digits. For full‑year 2026 they expect adjusted EBITDA of ≈$800 million and free cash flow of ≈$200 million, including ~ $200 million of programmatic revenue (up ~50% from $135M in 2025), ~$100 million of in‑year cost savings ( $50M previously announced + $50M new, benefitting beginning in Q2), interest expense of ≈$440M, cash taxes ~5% of adjusted EBITDA, capex ≈$90M, cash restructuring ≈$50M, working capital to be a source of cash (driven by upfront political receipts), and a year‑end net leverage target in the mid‑5s (vs. ~6.6x at year‑end 2025); management also expects the Multiplatform Group to return to EBITDA growth and continued podcast and programmatic momentum.

iHeartMedia Financial Statement Overview

Summary
Revenue rebounded sharply in 2025 (+23.2% YoY) and operating cash flow stayed positive, but profitability remains weak with persistent net losses and negative EBIT. Balance-sheet risk is elevated due to very high debt (~$5.8B) and negative equity (2023–2025), while free cash flow was only narrowly positive in 2025 (~$11M) after turning negative in 2024.
Income Statement
34
Negative
Revenue rebounded strongly in 2025 (+23.2% YoY) after modest growth in 2024 and a decline in 2023, showing demand has improved. However, profitability remains weak: net losses persist across every year shown (2020–2025), and 2025 still posted a sizable loss (net margin about -12.2%). Operating performance is mixed—EBITDA is positive (2025 EBITDA margin ~7.5%) but has compressed versus 2021–2023 levels, while EBIT remains negative in recent years, indicating ongoing cost/interest burden that the core business has not consistently out-earned.
Balance Sheet
18
Very Negative
Leverage is the key constraint. Total debt remains very high (~$5.8B in 2025), and stockholders’ equity is negative in 2023–2025, which is a meaningful balance-sheet stress signal and reduces financial flexibility. While total assets are sizable (~$5.1B in 2025), the negative equity position and history of heavy losses raise refinancing and volatility risk, especially if operating results soften.
Cash Flow
41
Neutral
Cash generation is positive but inconsistent. Operating cash flow stayed positive in each year shown, but it is relatively light in 2024–2025 ($71M and $93M) versus stronger performance in 2022–2023. Free cash flow swung from strong positives in 2021–2023 to negative in 2024, then narrowly positive in 2025 (~$11M), highlighting limited cushion. The business is converting only a modest portion of accounting losses into cash in 2024–2025 (free cash flow is small relative to net loss), which is helpful, but not yet strong enough to materially de-risk the capital structure.
BreakdownDec 2025Dec 2024Dec 2023Dec 2022Dec 2021
Income Statement
Total Revenue3.86B3.85B3.75B3.91B3.56B
Gross Profit1.89B2.27B2.26B2.43B2.23B
EBITDA288.90M569.15M599.46M529.39M682.01M
Net Income-472.87M-1.01B-1.10B-264.66M-159.20M
Balance Sheet
Total Assets5.13M5.57B6.95B8.34B8.88B
Cash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments270.90K259.58M346.38M336.24M352.13M
Total Debt5.79B5.86B6.05B6.33B6.57B
Total Liabilities6.71B6.94B7.34B7.65B7.97B
Stockholders Equity-1.58B-1.38B-394.15M674.90M907.36M
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow10.91M-26.16M110.39M259.11M147.20M
Operating Cash Flow92.58M71.43M213.06M420.07M330.57M
Investing Cash Flow-66.24M508.00K-51.33M-129.23M-346.79M
Financing Cash Flow-15.31M-158.34M-152.16M-306.11M-352.12M

iHeartMedia Technical Analysis

Technical Analysis Sentiment
Neutral
Last Price3.23
Price Trends
50DMA
3.63
Negative
100DMA
3.70
Negative
200DMA
2.88
Positive
Market Momentum
MACD
-0.13
Positive
RSI
45.42
Neutral
STOCH
50.19
Neutral
Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For IHRT, the sentiment is Neutral. The current price of 3.23 is below the 20-day moving average (MA) of 3.33, below the 50-day MA of 3.63, and above the 200-day MA of 2.88, indicating a neutral trend. The MACD of -0.13 indicates Positive momentum. The RSI at 45.42 is Neutral, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 50.19 is Neutral, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Neutral sentiment for IHRT.

iHeartMedia Risk Analysis

iHeartMedia disclosed 28 risk factors in its most recent earnings report. iHeartMedia reported the most risks in the "Finance & Corporate" category.
Finance & Corporate - Financial and accounting risks. Risks related to the execution of corporate activity and strategy
Latest Risks Added 0 New Risks

iHeartMedia Peers Comparison

Overall Rating
UnderperformOutperform
Sector (60)
Financial Indicators
Name
Overall Rating
Market Cap
P/E Ratio
ROE
Dividend Yield
Revenue Growth
EPS Growth
62
Neutral
$73.61M-35.990.18%8.81%-0.77%-93.46%
60
Neutral
$48.67B4.58-11.27%4.14%2.83%-41.78%
52
Neutral
$392.62M-3.481.81%-3.27%86.01%
49
Neutral
$274.75M-3.37-81.68%6.56%-45.95%-75.87%
48
Neutral
$450.23M-1.371.39%61.75%
44
Neutral
$52.01M-1.45-53.47%83.96%-73.70%
40
Underperform
$7.04M-0.67-5.90%-7.78%-369.53%
* Communication Services Sector Average
Performance Comparison
Ticker
Company Name
Price
Change
% Change
IHRT
iHeartMedia
3.23
1.37
73.66%
BBGI
Beasley Broadcast Group
3.90
-2.61
-40.09%
SSP
E. W. Scripps Company Class A
4.41
2.93
197.97%
EVC
Entravision
3.02
1.11
58.12%
SGA
Saga Communications
11.43
0.87
8.22%
MDIA
Mediaco Holding
0.64
-0.50
-44.30%
Glossary
BuyA stock rated as a "Buy" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock is likely to deliver higher returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
HoldA stock rated as a "Hold" is expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the stock is neither particularly compelling nor unfavorable for investment. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
SellA stock rated as a "Sell" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock may deliver lower returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.

Disclaimer

This AI Analyst Stock Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in stocks carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.Date of analysis: Mar 03, 2026