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International Consolidated Airlines Group, S.A. (ICAGY)
OTHER OTC:ICAGY

International Consolidated Airlines (ICAGY) AI Stock Analysis

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International Consolidated Airlines

(OTC:ICAGY)

73Outperform
International Consolidated Airlines receives a well-rounded score of 73.0. The company shows strong financial recovery and profitability, supported by effective cash flow management. Although technical indicators suggest bearish trends, the stock is undervalued with a strong earnings outlook. Challenges such as high debt levels and operational issues at Aer Lingus require careful management.

International Consolidated Airlines (ICAGY) vs. S&P 500 (SPY)

International Consolidated Airlines Business Overview & Revenue Model

Company DescriptionInternational Consolidated Airlines Group, S.A. (ICAGY) is a leading global airline holding company, based in Spain and the United Kingdom. The group operates through its principal airline brands, including British Airways, Iberia, Aer Lingus, Vueling, and LEVEL. ICAGY offers passenger and cargo air transportation services across Europe, the Americas, Africa, and Asia, catering to both business and leisure travelers. The company's portfolio of airlines provides a range of flight options from low-cost to premium services, contributing to its extensive market reach and customer base.
How the Company Makes MoneyInternational Consolidated Airlines Group (ICAGY) generates revenue primarily through the sale of passenger tickets, which constitute the bulk of its earnings. The company offers a variety of fare classes and services, from budget-friendly options to premium cabins, allowing it to cater to a diverse customer base. Additionally, ICAGY earns money through ancillary services, including baggage fees, seat selection, and in-flight purchases, which enhance the overall travel experience and increase revenue per passenger. Cargo operations, facilitated by its extensive flight network, also contribute a significant portion of the group's income. Strategic partnerships and alliances, such as membership in the oneworld alliance, play a crucial role in expanding its global reach and customer offerings, boosting both passenger and cargo revenues. The group's financial performance is further supported by its focus on operational efficiency and cost management, which helps maintain profitability amid fluctuating demand and market conditions.

International Consolidated Airlines Financial Statement Overview

Summary
International Consolidated Airlines has demonstrated a strong financial recovery with remarkable revenue and profit growth, supported by effective cash flow management. The high debt-to-equity ratio suggests a need for prudent financial management to ensure long-term stability, but the company's financial performance positions it well within the transportation industry.
Income Statement
85
Very Positive
International Consolidated Airlines has demonstrated a substantial recovery in its financial performance, with total revenue growing from $29.45 billion in 2023 to $32.1 billion in 2024, resulting in a revenue growth rate of 8.73%. The gross profit margin stands at 23.61%, while the net profit margin is 8.51%, indicating strong profitability relative to revenue. The EBIT margin of 13.34% and EBITDA margin of 21.27% further highlight efficient operations and cost management. These metrics reflect robust profitability and a positive growth trajectory, positioning the company strongly in the transportation sector.
Balance Sheet
72
Positive
The company's balance sheet is marked by a relatively high debt-to-equity ratio of 2.81, reflecting significant leverage, which poses potential risks in terms of financial stability. However, the return on equity (ROE) is impressive at 44.26%, signaling effective use of equity to generate profits. The equity ratio of 14.09% indicates a moderate level of shareholder equity in relation to total assets. The company's ability to manage its liabilities and equity efficiently is evident, though the high leverage warrants careful monitoring to mitigate risks.
Cash Flow
78
Positive
International Consolidated Airlines showcases strong cash flow management, with a free cash flow growth rate of 169.39% from 2023 to 2024. The operating cash flow to net income ratio is 2.33, reflecting robust cash generation relative to net income, while the free cash flow to net income ratio of 1.30 indicates healthy cash flow available for investment and debt repayment. These metrics underscore the company's strong cash position and ability to support its operations and strategic initiatives.
Breakdown
TTMDec 2024Dec 2023Dec 2022Dec 2021Dec 2020
Income StatementTotal Revenue
21.95B32.10B29.45B23.07B8.46B7.81B
Gross Profit
5.30B7.58B7.91B5.36B164.00M-1.10B
EBIT
1.88B4.28B3.51B1.39B-2.94B-4.34B
EBITDA
2.60B6.83B4.43B2.20B-2.25B-5.08B
Net Income Common Stockholders
1.41B2.73B2.65B431.00M-2.93B-6.93B
Balance SheetCash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments
6.23B9.80B6.81B9.57B7.91B5.88B
Total Assets
28.03B43.80B37.68B39.30B34.41B30.26B
Total Debt
7.51B17.34B16.08B19.98B19.61B15.68B
Net Debt
3.71B9.16B10.64B10.79B11.72B9.90B
Total Liabilities
21.31B37.63B34.40B37.28B33.56B28.95B
Stockholders Equity
6.71B6.17B3.27B2.02B840.00M1.31B
Cash FlowFree Cash Flow
1.77B3.56B1.32B960.00M-885.00M-5.24B
Operating Cash Flow
5.20B6.37B4.86B4.83B-141.00M-3.30B
Investing Cash Flow
-1.27B-2.50B-3.42B-3.46B-181.00M1.56B
Financing Cash Flow
-4.45B-1.18B-5.19B-56.00M2.23B3.67B

International Consolidated Airlines Technical Analysis

Technical Analysis Sentiment
Negative
Last Price6.37
Price Trends
50DMA
7.82
Negative
100DMA
7.55
Negative
200DMA
6.21
Positive
Market Momentum
MACD
-0.30
Positive
RSI
30.11
Neutral
STOCH
-0.13
Positive
Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For ICAGY, the sentiment is Negative. The current price of 6.37 is below the 20-day moving average (MA) of 6.98, below the 50-day MA of 7.82, and above the 200-day MA of 6.21, indicating a neutral trend. The MACD of -0.30 indicates Positive momentum. The RSI at 30.11 is Neutral, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of -0.13 is Positive, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Negative sentiment for ICAGY.

International Consolidated Airlines Peers Comparison

Overall Rating
UnderperformOutperform
Sector (62)
Financial Indicators
Name
Overall Rating
Market Cap
P/E Ratio
ROE
Dividend Yield
Revenue Growth
EPS Growth
UAUAL
77
Outperform
$23.19B7.5128.63%6.23%20.08%
DADAL
75
Outperform
$28.60B7.8527.52%1.24%4.91%-27.21%
73
Outperform
$14.34B4.9659.10%0.89%9.05%3.58%
73
Outperform
$21.43B13.3721.21%1.91%5.39%-15.92%
LULUV
64
Neutral
$16.39B37.854.50%2.52%5.34%-6.20%
62
Neutral
$7.68B13.063.21%3.34%3.62%-14.40%
AAAAL
52
Neutral
$7.31B10.03-21.27%2.70%2.20%
* Industrials Sector Average
Performance Comparison
Ticker
Company Name
Price
Change
% Change
ICAGY
International Consolidated Airlines
6.37
2.19
52.39%
DAL
Delta Air Lines
39.36
-7.76
-16.47%
RYAAY
Ryanair Holdings
42.44
-14.66
-25.67%
LUV
Southwest Airlines
25.79
-2.07
-7.43%
UAL
United Airlines Holdings
62.75
19.71
45.79%
AAL
American Airlines
9.51
-4.11
-30.18%

International Consolidated Airlines Earnings Call Summary

Earnings Call Date: Feb 28, 2025 | % Change Since: -25.50% | Next Earnings Date: May 9, 2025
Earnings Call Sentiment Positive
The earnings call reflects a strong financial performance for IAG, with record-breaking profit and revenue growth, robust cash flow generation, and significant shareholder returns. However, challenges such as industrial actions at Aer Lingus, increased non-fuel unit costs, and legal expenses slightly tempered these achievements. Despite these issues, the company maintained a strong balance sheet and reduced net debt, indicating a positive outlook.
Highlights
Record Operating Profit and Revenue Growth
International Airlines Group (IAG) achieved a record operating profit of €4.4 billion, up nearly €1 billion from the previous year, and revenue growth of 9% during the fiscal year 2024.
Strong Free Cash Flow Generation
IAG generated almost €3.6 billion of free cash flow after investing €2.8 billion in the business, demonstrating robust cash flow management.
High Operating Margins
The group secured a structural step-up in operating margins to an industry-leading 13.8%, with British Airways' margin at 14.2% and Iberia achieving over €1 billion in operating profit for the first time.
IAG Loyalty's Impressive Growth
IAG Loyalty delivered a profit of £420 million, growing by over 40%, and became the third-largest operating company by profit within the group.
Commitment to Shareholder Returns
IAG announced a sustainable ordinary dividend and plans to return up to €1 billion of excess capital to shareholders in the next 12 months.
Reduction in Net Debt
The company reduced its net debt by over €1.7 billion compared to the previous year, achieving a net leverage of 1.1 times, well below its target of 1.8 times.
Lowlights
Challenges in Aer Lingus
Aer Lingus faced significant industrial action and strong competition in Dublin, leading to a lower operating margin of nearly 9%.
Tax and Legal Expenses
IAG faced an exceptional charge of €160 million related to employee restructuring and a €50 million charge to terminate an acquisition agreement. Additionally, they are required to pay £557 million for VAT pending a legal appeal.
Impact of Engine Maintenance Issues
The Trent 1000 engine maintenance issues continued to affect British Airways' capacity, requiring adjustments to maximize aircraft availability.
Higher Non-Fuel Unit Costs
Total non-fuel unit costs increased by 2.6% in 2024, driven by pay deals, investments in resilience, and foreign exchange impacts.
Company Guidance
In the call, International Airlines Group (IAG) outlined its strong fiscal year 2024 performance metrics and guidance for the future. The company reported a 9% increase in revenue, reaching €32 billion, and a 27% rise in operating profits to €4.4 billion, resulting in an industry-leading operating margin of 13.8%. Free cash flow after investments was nearly €3.6 billion, with the company planning a sustainable ordinary dividend and a €1 billion share buyback within the next 12 months. IAG's return on invested capital was an impressive 17.3%, surpassing its target range of 13% to 16%. The group experienced robust demand across core markets, particularly in North America, where unit revenue increased by 6.2% in the fourth quarter. Looking ahead to 2025, IAG anticipates a capacity growth of around 3% and expects unit costs to rise by 2.6% due to inflation and foreign exchange impacts. The company's strategic focus remains on strengthening its core business, expanding higher-margin asset-light operations, and delivering sustainable earnings growth.
Glossary
OutperformA stock rated as "Outperform" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests that the stock is likely to deliver higher returns compared to the average returns of other stocks in the same sector or market index. Investors might consider this stock a good buying opportunity.
NeutralA stock rated as "Neutral" is expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the stock is neither particularly attractive nor unattractive for investment. Investors may consider holding onto the stock, as it is not expected to either significantly outperform or underperform the market.
UnderperformA stock rated as "Underperform" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests that the stock may deliver lower returns compared to the average returns of other stocks in the same sector or market index. Investors might consider selling the stock or avoiding it as an investment.

Disclaimer

This AI Analyst Stock Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in stocks carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.