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Fusion Fuel Green (HTOO)
NASDAQ:HTOO

Fusion Fuel Green (HTOO) AI Stock Analysis

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HTOO

Fusion Fuel Green

(NASDAQ:HTOO)

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Underperform 39 (OpenAI - 5.2)
Rating:39Underperform
Price Target:
$3.00
▼(-26.65% Downside)
Fusion Fuel Green's stock score is primarily impacted by its weak financial performance, characterized by ongoing losses and negative cash flows. The technical analysis indicates a bearish trend with weak momentum. Valuation metrics are unfavorable due to a negative P/E ratio and lack of dividend yield. These factors collectively result in a low overall stock score.
Positive Factors
Proprietary green-hydrogen technology
Owning specialized technology for producing green hydrogen supports a durable competitive edge in a capital-intensive, emerging market. It enables potential cost reductions, repeatable project execution and technology licensing or EPC roles that can sustain revenues as the hydrogen market scales.
Partner-funded project investment platform
The Bright Hydrogen Holding platform secures partner funding and positions BrightHy as manager/EPC, creating asset-light, fee-based revenue streams. External capital reduces Fusion Fuel’s balance-sheet intensity, accelerating project rollout and recurring management/performance fees over the medium term.
Growing project pipeline and commercial wins
Securing engineering contracts and project awards (Dubai projects, European electrolyzer/refueling work and biomass projects) builds a repeatable revenue base and commercial track record. A consistent project pipeline improves revenue visibility and supports long-term industrial credibility.
Negative Factors
Negative free cash flow
Persistent negative free cash flow constrains the company’s ability to self-fund growth or absorb project delays. Over months this necessitates external capital, increases financing risk, and limits flexibility to scale operations or invest in efficiency improvements essential for long-term profitability.
Ongoing operating losses and negative margins
Despite early revenue gains, large net losses and negative operating margins indicate the business has yet to reach sustainable unit economics. Without margin improvement or scale, profitability remains distant, increasing reliance on funding and exposing the company to execution and market-risk over time.
Liquidity management driving equity-linked settlements
Settling liabilities via warrants and issuing new warrants to raise cash preserves short-term liquidity but signals ongoing funding needs. This approach increases potential shareholder dilution and ties long-term capital structure to equity market access, a structural risk for sustained financing.

Fusion Fuel Green (HTOO) vs. SPDR S&P 500 ETF (SPY)

Fusion Fuel Green Business Overview & Revenue Model

Company DescriptionFusion Fuel Green PLC focuses on the production of hydrogen in Portugal, Southern Europe, and Morocco. The company intends to provide hydrogen generators to clients that operate their own green hydrogen plants; green hydrogen as an output from green hydrogen plants; and operational and monitoring services of green hydrogen plants using fusion fuel hydrogen generators. It serves natural gas networks and grids, ammonia producers, oil refineries, regulators, and related government departments. The company was founded in 2018 and is based in Dublin, Ireland.
How the Company Makes MoneyFusion Fuel Green generates revenue primarily through the sale of green hydrogen produced from its proprietary technology. The company partners with various industries that are looking to transition to greener energy solutions, providing them with hydrogen for use in their operations. Additionally, Fusion Fuel may engage in joint ventures and collaborations with other firms to develop hydrogen infrastructure or projects, which can also contribute to revenue. The company could benefit from government incentives and subsidies aimed at promoting renewable energy and reducing carbon emissions, further bolstering its financial performance.

Fusion Fuel Green Financial Statement Overview

Summary
Fusion Fuel Green faces significant financial challenges, with ongoing losses despite some revenue growth. The balance sheet shows manageable leverage but requires stronger equity support. Persistent negative cash flows highlight the need for enhanced cash management and profitability improvements to achieve financial stability and long-term growth.
Income Statement
35
Negative
Fusion Fuel Green has shown some improvement in revenue generation, with total revenue increasing from $0 to $1,605,000 in the latest year. However, the company is still experiencing significant losses, with a net loss of $13,786,000, resulting in a negative net profit margin. The EBIT and EBITDA margins are also negative, indicating challenges in achieving operational profitability. Despite the revenue growth, the ongoing losses reflect financial instability.
Balance Sheet
40
Negative
The balance sheet shows a moderate debt-to-equity ratio, with total debt at $2,232,000 and stockholders' equity at $12,791,000, suggesting some leverage but not excessively high. The equity ratio is 45.5%, indicating that less than half of the company's assets are financed by equity. There is a need for improving equity levels and managing liabilities to enhance financial stability.
Cash Flow
30
Negative
The company is experiencing negative free cash flow, with a decline from -$18,129,602 to -$8,469,000. This indicates ongoing cash flow challenges. The negative operating cash flow of -$8,279,000 compared to net income suggests difficulties in converting profits into cash. The need for improved cash generation is apparent to support business operations.
BreakdownTTMDec 2024Dec 2023Dec 2022Dec 2021Dec 2020
Income Statement
Total Revenue4.72M1.60M4.14M0.000.000.00
Gross Profit-9.37M437.00K-15.94M-8.77M-365.00K0.00
EBITDA-31.01M-10.54M-27.77M-31.23M-6.82M-178.34M
Net Income-31.02M-13.79M-31.02M-27.35M23.56M-183.13M
Balance Sheet
Total Assets42.35M28.13M42.35M65.36M69.25M62.42M
Cash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments860.00K214.00K860.00K5.24M35.13M58.01M
Total Debt12.11M2.23M12.11M8.32M800.00K0.00
Total Liabilities39.62M17.43M39.62M36.01M19.74M55.06M
Stockholders Equity2.73M12.79M2.73M29.35M49.51M7.36M
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow-17.77M-8.47M-17.77M-40.54M-33.42M-5.63M
Operating Cash Flow-9.18M-8.28M-9.18M-29.85M-14.66M-4.19M
Investing Cash Flow-1.16M800.00K-1.16M24.96M-45.50M-1.44M
Financing Cash Flow3.07M6.46M3.07M2.37M9.58M64.31M

Fusion Fuel Green Technical Analysis

Technical Analysis Sentiment
Negative
Last Price4.09
Price Trends
50DMA
3.87
Negative
100DMA
4.18
Negative
200DMA
5.79
Negative
Market Momentum
MACD
-0.08
Positive
RSI
36.51
Neutral
STOCH
8.16
Positive
Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For HTOO, the sentiment is Negative. The current price of 4.09 is below the 20-day moving average (MA) of 4.10, above the 50-day MA of 3.87, and below the 200-day MA of 5.79, indicating a bearish trend. The MACD of -0.08 indicates Positive momentum. The RSI at 36.51 is Neutral, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 8.16 is Positive, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Negative sentiment for HTOO.

Fusion Fuel Green Risk Analysis

Fusion Fuel Green disclosed 81 risk factors in its most recent earnings report. Fusion Fuel Green reported the most risks in the "Finance & Corporate" category.
Finance & Corporate - Financial and accounting risks. Risks related to the execution of corporate activity and strategy
Latest Risks Added 1 New Risks
1.
Our business may be materially adversely affected by current global geopolitical conditions resulting from the ongoing Russia-Ukraine conflict and the recent escalation of the Israel-Hamas conflict. Q4, 2023

Fusion Fuel Green Peers Comparison

Overall Rating
UnderperformOutperform
Sector (66)
Financial Indicators
Name
Overall Rating
Market Cap
P/E Ratio
ROE
Dividend Yield
Revenue Growth
EPS Growth
66
Neutral
$17.65B18.105.60%3.62%6.62%11.55%
61
Neutral
$1.97B18.967.64%42.09%219.69%
45
Neutral
$29.50M-8.63-54.43%-40.99%-46.52%
43
Neutral
$85.54M-5.46-21.33%23.66%
42
Neutral
$1.55M-0.05-327.21%
39
Underperform
$6.17M-0.24-125.98%
* Utilities Sector Average
Performance Comparison
Ticker
Company Name
Price
Change
% Change
HTOO
Fusion Fuel Green
3.41
-12.53
-78.61%
RNW
ReNew Energy Global
5.42
-0.94
-14.78%
WAVE
Eco Wave Power Global
5.05
-2.46
-32.76%
VGAS
Verde Clean Fuels
1.92
-2.08
-52.00%
BNRG
Brenmiller
2.82
-44.78
-94.08%

Fusion Fuel Green Corporate Events

Fusion Fuel Green Restructures Legal Fees With Equity-Linked Warrant Issuance
Jan 8, 2026

On December 31, 2025, Fusion Fuel Green PLC amended its engagement agreement with its outside securities counsel, Bevilacqua PLLC, to restructure payment of $395,502.28 in outstanding legal fees accrued through November 30, 2025. Under the revised terms, the law firm agreed to reduce the outstanding amount by $200,000 in exchange for a five-year warrant to purchase 71,429 Class A ordinary shares at an exercise price of $0.88 per share, subject to demand registration rights and a daily trading volume cap that limits dispositions of the warrant shares to 10% of the stock’s aggregate trading volume on the primary market. Chief Executive Officer John-Paul Backwell framed the move as part of a broader effort to preserve the company’s cash resources by partially settling liabilities in equity, a step that underscores both the company’s ongoing liquidity management and the willingness of key service providers to accept equity-linked compensation, with implications for future dilution and trading dynamics for existing shareholders.

The most recent analyst rating on (HTOO) stock is a Sell with a $3.50 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Fusion Fuel Green stock, see the HTOO Stock Forecast page.

Fusion Fuel’s BrightHy Unit Sets Up €30m Hydrogen Investment Platform with First Project in Spain
Dec 29, 2025

On 29 December 2025, Fusion Fuel Green announced that its wholly owned subsidiary Bright Hydrogen Solutions (BrightHy Solutions) had signed definitive agreements with a green energy technologies provider to create Bright Hydrogen Holding Company Limited, a dedicated, partner-funded investment platform for industrial-scale hydrogen projects. The partner will provide up to €30 million of capital in three potential tranches of €10 million, with Bright Hydrogen Holding—wholly owned by the partner—serving as the holding company for project vehicles and BrightHy Solutions acting as exclusive manager, developer and potential EPC contractor, earning management and performance fees that could add a scalable, asset-light revenue stream and reinforce Fusion Fuel’s positioning in European green hydrogen infrastructure; the first project under the platform, a green hydrogen plant supplying an industrial cement operator in Spain, is expected to begin construction in the first quarter of 2026, underscoring the platform’s near-term commercial impact and its role in enabling industrial decarbonization.

The most recent analyst rating on (HTOO) stock is a Sell with a $3.50 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Fusion Fuel Green stock, see the HTOO Stock Forecast page.

Fusion Fuel Green Announces Warrant Exchange Agreement
Dec 5, 2025

On December 5, 2025, Fusion Fuel Green PLC entered into a Warrants Cancellation and Exchange Agreement with certain investors, replacing previously issued warrants with new ones. This strategic move is expected to generate approximately $9.7 million in gross proceeds if all new warrants are exercised, which the company plans to use for working capital and general corporate purposes.

The most recent analyst rating on (HTOO) stock is a Sell with a $3.50 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Fusion Fuel Green stock, see the HTOO Stock Forecast page.

Fusion Fuel Green Secures $1.37 Million Engineering Contracts in Dubai
Dec 3, 2025

On December 3, 2025, Fusion Fuel Green PLC announced that its subsidiary, Al Shola Al Modea Gas Distribution LLC, secured two engineering contracts worth approximately $1.37 million for residential developments in Dubai. These contracts, signed in late November 2025, include the design and construction of central LPG gas systems, with expected recurring revenue from LPG supply. The projects reflect the company’s expanding presence in the Dubai market and its growing portfolio of engineered gas systems.

The most recent analyst rating on (HTOO) stock is a Sell with a $3.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Fusion Fuel Green stock, see the HTOO Stock Forecast page.

Fusion Fuel Green PLC Grants Executive Share Options to Bolster Leadership
Nov 28, 2025

On October 12, 2025, Fusion Fuel Green PLC’s board approved the grant of options to purchase 400,000 Class A ordinary shares to key executives, including the CEO and Interim CFO, under an amended equity incentive plan. The options, part of a strategic move to incentivize leadership, were registered on November 21, 2025, and formalized through an Option Agreement on November 26, 2025. This initiative is expected to strengthen the company’s leadership stability and align executive interests with long-term shareholder value, potentially enhancing its competitive positioning in the green hydrogen market.

The most recent analyst rating on (HTOO) stock is a Sell with a $3.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Fusion Fuel Green stock, see the HTOO Stock Forecast page.

Fusion Fuel’s BrightHy Solutions Secures Major Hydrogen Project in Southern Europe
Nov 25, 2025

On November 25, 2025, Fusion Fuel Green PLC announced that its subsidiary, Bright Hydrogen Solutions Ltd, signed a contract to deliver an electrolyzer system and hydrogen refueling station for a green hydrogen project in southern Europe. Valued at approximately €1.7 million, this project supports the region’s commitment to clean mobility and renewable energy transition, marking a significant step in expanding hydrogen infrastructure in the area. Engineering work has already begun, with the full plant expected to be operational in 2026, strengthening Fusion Fuel’s position in the green hydrogen market.

The most recent analyst rating on (HTOO) stock is a Sell with a $3.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Fusion Fuel Green stock, see the HTOO Stock Forecast page.

Fusion Fuel Green Approves Shareholder Proposals and Elects New Directors
Nov 7, 2025

On November 6, 2025, Fusion Fuel Green PLC held an extraordinary general meeting where all shareholder proposals were approved. The meeting resulted in an increase in the company’s authorized share capital and the election of Pierce Crosby and Steven Gold as Class II Directors. This approval provides Fusion Fuel with the flexibility to engage in strategic transactions, enhancing its operational capabilities and market positioning. The meeting also saw the resignation of board members Jeffrey E. Schwarz and Rune Magnus Lundetrae, marking a significant shift in the company’s leadership.

The most recent analyst rating on (HTOO) stock is a Sell with a $3.50 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Fusion Fuel Green stock, see the HTOO Stock Forecast page.

Fusion Fuel Green Launches Biomass Project in South Africa
Nov 4, 2025

On November 4, 2025, Fusion Fuel Green PLC announced the commencement of construction and equipment fabrication for its biomass-powered industrial steam project at a major dairy processing facility in South Africa. This project, undertaken by its majority-owned subsidiary BioSteam Energy, marks Fusion Fuel’s first operational footprint in the Southern African market and is a significant step in its industrial decarbonization strategy. The project aims to replace fossil-fuel-based steam generation with a carbon-neutral biomass solution, reducing greenhouse gas emissions and generating carbon credits.

The most recent analyst rating on (HTOO) stock is a Sell with a $3.50 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Fusion Fuel Green stock, see the HTOO Stock Forecast page.

Glossary
BuyA stock rated as a "Buy" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock is likely to deliver higher returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
HoldA stock rated as a "Hold" is expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the stock is neither particularly compelling nor unfavorable for investment. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
SellA stock rated as a "Sell" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock may deliver lower returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.

Disclaimer

This AI Analyst Stock Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in stocks carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.Date of analysis: Dec 03, 2025