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Hillman Solutions Corp. (HLMN)
:HLMN
HLMN Analyst Ratings
Moderate Buy
4 Buy
3 Hold
0 Sell
TipRanks enables you to focus on the analyst rating consensus of all analysts or only the top performers in the past 3 months
HLMN Stock 12 Month Forecast
Average Price Target
$12.46
▲(25.35% Upside)
| Highest Price Target$15.00 | Average Price Target$12.46 | Lowest Price Target$10.00 |
The highest, average, and lowest price target of all analysts. Click on ‘Top Analysts’ to focus on the best performers.
Detailed List of Analyst Forecasts
Detailed List of Analyst Forecasts
TR | OpenAI - 4o
$10.5
Buy
5.63%
Upside
Reiterated
08/22/25
Robert W. Baird
$10→$12
Hold
20.72%
Upside
Reiterated
08/21/25
Canaccord Genuity
$15
Buy
50.91%
Upside
Reiterated
08/13/25
Barclays
$8→$10
Hold
0.60%
Upside
Reiterated
08/06/25
Benchmark Co.
$15
Buy
50.91%
Upside
Reiterated
08/06/25
Stifel Nicolaus
$9.5→$10.75
Buy
8.15%
Upside
Reiterated
08/06/25
Raymond James
$12
Buy
20.72%
Upside
Reiterated
08/06/25
William Blair
―
Hold
―
Reiterated
08/05/25
Cautious Hold on Hillman Solutions Amid Tariff Uncertainties and Margin PressuresWe are impressed by performance early in the tariff cycle but caution that the biggest risk is ahead as higher price (low- to midteens run-rate) might hurt demand and passing on costs dollar for dollar pressures gross margin rate. The key focus will be where gross margin settles and how volumes hold up. Until we get clarity on margins and volumes, we encourage investors to stay guarded. Management provided its initial outlook for 2026, implying roughly 10% price and low- to midsingle-digit EBITDA growth assuming flat market volumes, implying 100 basis points of EBITDA margin compression. We believe this is a big reason for the stock move as implied margin degradation is better than feared. There may be some upside in the second half should volumes remain steady, as implied guidance calls for market volumes down 9% after first-half volumes fell 2%.
Jefferies
$11
Buy
10.66%
Upside
Reiterated
04/16/25
Ranks
Any
Analyst Rating
Any
Upside/ Downside
Any
Action
Any
TR | OpenAI - 4o
$10.5
Buy
5.63%
Upside
Reiterated
08/22/25
Robert W. Baird
$10→$12
Hold
20.72%
Upside
Reiterated
08/21/25
Canaccord Genuity
$15
Buy
50.91%
Upside
Reiterated
08/13/25
Barclays
$8→$10
Hold
0.60%
Upside
Reiterated
08/06/25
Benchmark Co.
$15
Buy
50.91%
Upside
Reiterated
08/06/25
Stifel Nicolaus
$9.5→$10.75
Buy
8.15%
Upside
Reiterated
08/06/25
Raymond James
$12
Buy
20.72%
Upside
Reiterated
08/06/25
William Blair
―
Hold
―
Reiterated
08/05/25
Cautious Hold on Hillman Solutions Amid Tariff Uncertainties and Margin PressuresWe are impressed by performance early in the tariff cycle but caution that the biggest risk is ahead as higher price (low- to midteens run-rate) might hurt demand and passing on costs dollar for dollar pressures gross margin rate. The key focus will be where gross margin settles and how volumes hold up. Until we get clarity on margins and volumes, we encourage investors to stay guarded. Management provided its initial outlook for 2026, implying roughly 10% price and low- to midsingle-digit EBITDA growth assuming flat market volumes, implying 100 basis points of EBITDA margin compression. We believe this is a big reason for the stock move as implied margin degradation is better than feared. There may be some upside in the second half should volumes remain steady, as implied guidance calls for market volumes down 9% after first-half volumes fell 2%.
Jefferies
$11
Buy
10.66%
Upside
Reiterated
04/16/25
Best Analysts Covering Hillman Solutions
1 Month
xxx
Success Rate
10/15 ratings generated profit
Average Return
+1.20%
reiterated a xxx
rating 16 days ago
Copying xxxxxxxxxxxxxxxxxx
trades and holding each position for 1 Month would result in 66.67% of your transactions generating a profit, with an average return of +1.20% per trade.
3 Months
xxx
Success Rate
6/11 ratings generated profit
Average Return
+2.35%
reiterated a xxx
rating 23 days ago
Copying xxxxxxxxxxxxxxxxxx
trades and holding each position for 3 Months would result in 54.55% of your transactions generating a profit, with an average return of +2.35% per trade.
1 Year
Success Rate
7/11 ratings generated profit
Average Return
+3.30%
reiterated a buy rating 23 days ago
Copying Reuben Garner's trades and holding each position for 1 Year would result in 63.64% of your transactions generating a profit, with an average return of +3.30% per trade.
2 Years
xxx
Success Rate
11/15 ratings generated profit
Average Return
+11.95%
reiterated a xxx
rating 16 days ago
Copying xxxxxxxxxxxxxxxxxx
trades and holding each position for 2 Years would result in 73.33% of your transactions generating a profit, with an average return of +11.95% per trade.
The Best Analyst Covering tool allows you to follow the analysts who have the best success rates and average returns on a specific stock. Only analysts that gave a Buy or Sell rating on the stock in the past 12 months are eligible for inclusion in this tool. Follow the analysts of your choice to receive real-time updates when they publish a new rating.
HLMN Analyst Recommendation Trends
Rating
Mar 25
Apr 25
May 25
Jul 25
Aug 25
Strong Buy
2
5
4
5
4
Buy
4
7
4
5
7
Hold
8
11
8
14
12
Sell
0
0
0
0
0
Strong Sell
0
0
0
0
0
total
14
23
16
24
23
Each month's total comprises the sum of three months' worth of ratings.
HLMN Financial Forecast
HLMN Stock Forecast FAQ
What is HLMN’s average 12-month price target, according to analysts?
Based on analyst ratings, Hillman Solutions Corp.’s 12-month average price target is 12.46.
What is HLMN’s upside potential, based on the analysts’ average price target?
Hillman Solutions Corp. has 25.35% upside potential, based on the analysts’ average price target.
Can I see which stocks the top-ranking analysts are rating?
Yes, go to the Analysts’ Top Stocks tool to see stocks with a Strong Buy or Strong Sell analyst rating consensus, according to the top performers.
How can I follow the stock ratings of top Wall Street analysts?
Head over to our Expert Center to see a list of the top 100 Wall Street analysts and follow the analysts of your choice. Visit their profiles for more details about their stock ratings and see how they perform on a stock-by-stock basis.
Is HLMN a Buy, Sell or Hold?
Hillman Solutions Corp. has a consensus rating of Moderate Buy which is based on 4 buy ratings, 3 hold ratings and 0 sell ratings.
What is Hillman Solutions Corp.’s price target?
The average price target for Hillman Solutions Corp. is 12.46. This is based on 7 Wall Streets Analysts 12-month price targets, issued in the past 3 months.
The highest analyst price target is $15.00 ,the lowest forecast is $10.00. The average price target represents 25.35% Increase from the current price of $9.94.
The highest analyst price target is $15.00 ,the lowest forecast is $10.00. The average price target represents 25.35% Increase from the current price of $9.94.
What do analysts say about Hillman Solutions Corp.?
Hillman Solutions Corp.’s analyst rating consensus is a Moderate Buy. This is based on the ratings of 7 Wall Streets Analysts.
How can I buy shares of HLMN?
Open a brokerage account, see exclusive account opening deals on our Best Online Brokers page.