Greentown Management Holdings Co., Ltd. (9979) AI Stock Analysis

• Market Cap: HK$6.30B
• Dividend Yield: 8.23%
• Average Volume (3M): 8.75M
• Price to Earnings (P/E): 10.4
• Beta (1Y): 0.87
• Revenue Growth: -8.25%
• EPS Growth: -44.86%
• Country: HK
• Employees: 2,377
• Sector: Real Estate
• Sector Strength: 53
• Industry: Real Estate - Services
• EPS (TTM): 0.14
• Shares Outstanding: 2,010,000,000
• 10 Day Avg. Volume: 10,622,520
• 30 Day Avg. Volume: 8,753,002
• PEG Ratio: N/A
• Price to Book (P/B): N/A
• Price to Sales (P/S): N/A
• P/FCF Ratio: N/A
• Enterprise Value/Market Cap: N/A
• Enterprise Value/Revenue: N/A
• Enterprise Value/Gross Profit: N/A
• Enterprise Value/Ebitda: N/A
• 1Y Price Target: HK$3.55
• Price Target Upside: 11.29% Upside
• Rating Consensus: Strong Buy
• Number of Analyst Covering: 3

• Rating: 79 Outperform
• Price Target: HK$4.00 ▲(25.39% Upside)

Greentown Management Holdings Co., Ltd. is well-positioned with strong financial performance and attractive valuation metrics. The technical analysis indicates bullish momentum, though caution is advised due to overbought signals. The absence of earnings call and corporate events data does not impact the overall positive outlook.

Positive Factors

Strong Financial Health

The company's robust financial health, marked by consistent revenue growth and a stable balance sheet, provides a solid foundation for long-term operations and strategic investments.

Low Financial Leverage

Low financial leverage reduces risk and enhances financial flexibility, enabling the company to navigate economic fluctuations and invest in growth opportunities without significant debt burdens.

Strong Brand Reputation

A strong brand reputation and established relationships with major developers enhance competitive positioning, facilitating sustained revenue streams and market leadership in the real estate management sector.

Negative Factors

Decline in Revenue Growth

The decline in revenue growth indicates potential challenges in maintaining market share or project acquisition, which could impact future earnings and strategic initiatives.

Operational Cost Pressures

Increasing operational costs can erode profit margins and strain financial resources, necessitating effective cost management strategies to maintain profitability and competitive advantage.

Cash Flow Concerns

Insufficient operating cash flow may hinder the company's ability to fund operations and growth initiatives, posing risks to financial stability and long-term sustainability.

Greentown Management Holdings Co., Ltd. Business Overview & Revenue Model

Company Description

Greentown Management Holdings Company Limited, an investment holding company, provides project management services in the People's Republic of China. It operates through Commercial Project Management, Governmental Project Management, and Others segments. The company offers property development management services for commercial projects, and government on resettlement housing property development and public infrastructure projects. It also provides construction design and consulting services, as well as other services. The company was founded in 2010 and is headquartered in Hangzhou, the People's Republic of China. Greentown Management Holdings Company Limited is a subsidiary of Greentown China Holdings Limited.

How the Company Makes Money

Greentown Management Holdings Co., Ltd. generates revenue primarily through its project management services for real estate developers. The company earns fees based on the management services it provides throughout the lifecycle of a real estate project. These fees may include a percentage of the project's total budget or fixed service fees negotiated with the property developers. Additionally, Greentown Management may engage in consultancy services, providing strategic advice and planning for real estate projects, which also contributes to its revenue streams. Key factors contributing to the company's earnings include its extensive experience, strong brand reputation, and established relationships with major real estate developers in China.

Greentown Management Holdings Co., Ltd. Financial Statement Overview

Summary

Greentown Management Holdings Co., Ltd. shows strong financial health with consistent revenue growth and a robust balance sheet. The company has healthy profit margins, though recent operational cost pressures are noted. Cash flow is mostly positive, but recent operating cash flow concerns need attention.

Income Statement

The company has demonstrated a strong revenue growth trajectory, with a consistent increase in total revenue over the past years. Gross profit and net profit margins are also healthy, indicating efficient cost management. However, there is a slight decline in EBIT and EBITDA margins in the most recent year, suggesting increased operational costs.

Balance Sheet

The company's balance sheet is robust with a low debt-to-equity ratio, indicating low financial leverage. The return on equity is strong, reflecting effective use of shareholders' capital. The equity ratio is high, showcasing a solid capital structure with a significant proportion of assets financed by equity.

Cash Flow

While the company has shown positive free cash flow generation, the lack of operating cash flow in the most recent year is a concern. The free cash flow to net income ratio is high in previous years, suggesting strong cash conversion from profits, but recent fluctuations may pose risks.

Breakdown	Dec 2024	Dec 2023	Dec 2022	Dec 2021	Dec 2020
Income Statement
Total Revenue	3.44B	3.30B	2.66B	2.24B	1.81B
Gross Profit	1.71B	1.72B	1.39B	1.04B	865.83M
EBITDA	1.11B	1.27B	1.01B	752.93M	549.89M
Net Income	801.13M	973.61M	744.54M	565.22M	439.32M
Balance Sheet
Total Assets	6.78B	6.73B	6.16B	5.24B	4.75B
Cash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments	1.52B	2.09B	2.01B	2.21B	2.40B
Total Debt	10.45M	7.58M	17.01M	15.19M	17.39M
Total Liabilities	2.84B	2.60B	2.29B	1.87B	1.65B
Stockholders Equity	3.81B	4.00B	3.74B	3.34B	3.08B
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow	274.85M	930.57M	695.90M	544.95M	889.81M
Operating Cash Flow	291.67M	955.08M	724.65M	565.66M	903.33M
Investing Cash Flow	208.74M	-61.41M	-530.24M	-496.67M	-92.40M
Financing Cash Flow	-1.00B	-766.01M	-400.40M	-322.19M	485.89M

Greentown Management Holdings Co., Ltd. Technical Analysis

• Technical Analysis Sentiment: Positive
• Last Price: 3.19
• 50DMA: Positive
• 100DMA: Positive
• 200DMA: Positive
• MACD: Negative
• RSI: Neutral
• STOCH: Neutral

Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For HK:9979, the sentiment is Positive. The current price of 3.19 is above the 20-day moving average (MA) of 3.07, above the 50-day MA of 2.97, and above the 200-day MA of 2.78, indicating a bullish trend. The MACD of 0.09 indicates Negative momentum. The RSI at 58.92 is Neutral, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 42.22 is Neutral, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Positive sentiment for HK:9979.

Greentown Management Holdings Co., Ltd. Peers Comparison

Name	Overall Rating	Market Cap	P/E Ratio	ROE	Dividend Yield	Revenue Growth	EPS Growth
9979	79 Outperform	HK$6.30B	10.35	15.57%	8.23%	-8.25%	-44.86%
3316	74 Outperform	6.54B	10.39	35.75%	7.19%	21.11%	9.61%
2156	73 Outperform	4.51B	11.28	18.36%	4.69%	-7.78%	-29.31%
6989	66 Neutral	1.43B	4.66	8.37%	12.02%	-0.79%	-6.52%
3319	44 Neutral	4.19B	-2.99	-34.77%	2.21%	-10.06%	35.81%
Sector *	65 Neutral	$2.17B	12.19	3.79%	4.94%	3.15%	1.96%

Greentown Management Holdings Co., Ltd. Corporate Events

Greentown Management Announces Share Repurchase Scheme

Greentown Management Holdings Co., Ltd. has announced a voluntary share repurchase scheme, allowing the company to buy back up to 10% of its issued shares, excluding treasury shares. This decision reflects the company’s confidence in its development and business prospects, as well as its strong cash reserves and improved operating cash flow, aiming to enhance shareholder value.

The most recent analyst rating on (HK:9979) stock is a Buy with a HK$3.50 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Greentown Management Holdings Co., Ltd. stock, see the HK:9979 Stock Forecast page.

Greentown Management Reports Strong Interim Results for 2025

Greentown Management Holdings Co., Ltd. reported its interim results for the first half of 2025, highlighting a revenue of approximately RMB1.374 billion and a gross profit margin of 40%. The company achieved a net profit attributable to owners of RMB256 million, with a net profit margin of 19%. The company saw a 45% increase in net cash inflow from operating activities, reaching RMB112 million. Additionally, the total Gross Floor Area of newly contracted projects increased by 13.9%, and the project management fee for these projects rose by 19.1%, positioning the company as a leader in the industry. The company declared an interim dividend of RMB0.076 per share.

The most recent analyst rating on (HK:9979) stock is a Buy with a HK$3.50 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Greentown Management Holdings Co., Ltd. stock, see the HK:9979 Stock Forecast page.

Greentown Management Appoints New Nomination Committee Member

Greentown Management Holdings Co., Ltd. has announced the appointment of Ms. Nie Huanxin as a member of its Nomination Committee, effective August 22, 2025. This change brings the committee’s membership to four, including Mr. Lin Zhihong as chairman, and is part of the company’s ongoing efforts to strengthen its governance structure.

The most recent analyst rating on (HK:9979) stock is a Buy with a HK$3.50 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Greentown Management Holdings Co., Ltd. stock, see the HK:9979 Stock Forecast page.

Greentown Management Announces Interim Dividend for 2025

Greentown Management Holdings Co., Ltd. has announced an interim cash dividend of RMB 0.076 per share for the six months ending June 30, 2025, payable in Hong Kong dollars at HKD 0.083308 per share. This announcement reflects the company’s ongoing commitment to delivering shareholder value and may enhance its attractiveness to investors by providing regular returns.

The most recent analyst rating on (HK:9979) stock is a Buy with a HK$3.50 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Greentown Management Holdings Co., Ltd. stock, see the HK:9979 Stock Forecast page.

Greentown Management Holdings Schedules Board Meeting for Interim Results

Greentown Management Holdings Co., Ltd. has announced that its Board of Directors will convene on August 22, 2025, to review and approve the interim financial results for the first half of the year ending June 30, 2025. The meeting will also consider the potential distribution of an interim dividend and address other business matters, reflecting the company’s ongoing commitment to transparency and shareholder engagement.

The most recent analyst rating on (HK:9979) stock is a Hold with a HK$2.90 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Greentown Management Holdings Co., Ltd. stock, see the HK:9979 Stock Forecast page.

Greentown Management Issues Profit Warning Amid Market Challenges

Greentown Management Holdings Co., Ltd. has issued a profit warning, expecting a 40% to 50% decrease in net profit for the first half of 2025 compared to the previous year. This decline is attributed to intensified competition, a downturn in the real estate market, and decreased project revenue. Despite these challenges, the company has seen growth in newly contracted projects, with a 13.9% increase in total gross floor area and a 19.1% rise in project management fees, indicating robust market expansion and a foundation for sustainable development.

The most recent analyst rating on (HK:9979) stock is a Buy with a HK$4.50 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Greentown Management Holdings Co., Ltd. stock, see the HK:9979 Stock Forecast page.

Greentown Management Reports Growth in Project Management Business

Greentown Management Holdings Co., Ltd. has reported a notable increase in its project management business for the first half of 2025. The total gross floor area of newly contracted projects reached 19.89 million square meters, marking a 13.9% rise compared to the previous year, and the estimated project management fee increased by 19.1% to RMB5.00 billion. These figures, although preliminary and unaudited, suggest a positive trajectory for the company’s operations and may enhance its industry positioning. However, stakeholders are advised to exercise caution and seek professional advice due to the preliminary nature of the data.

The most recent analyst rating on (HK:9979) stock is a Hold with a HK$2.90 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Greentown Management Holdings Co., Ltd. stock, see the HK:9979 Stock Forecast page.

Greentown Management Passes All AGM Resolutions

Greentown Management Holdings Co., Ltd. announced the successful passing of all resolutions at their Annual General Meeting held on June 18, 2025. The resolutions included the approval of financial statements, the declaration of a final dividend, the re-election of directors, the re-appointment of auditors, and the granting of mandates to repurchase and issue shares. This outcome reflects strong shareholder support and positions the company for continued operational stability and strategic flexibility.

The most recent analyst rating on (HK:9979) stock is a Hold with a HK$2.90 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Greentown Management Holdings Co., Ltd. stock, see the HK:9979 Stock Forecast page.

Greentown Management Holdings Announces Final Dividend for 2024

Greentown Management Holdings Co., Ltd. announced a final cash dividend of RMB 0.24 per share for the year ending December 31, 2024, which will be paid in Hong Kong dollars at an exchange rate of RMB 1 to HKD 1.093408. This announcement reflects the company’s financial health and commitment to providing returns to its shareholders, potentially enhancing its attractiveness to investors.

The most recent analyst rating on (HK:9979) stock is a Hold with a HK$2.90 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Greentown Management Holdings Co., Ltd. stock, see the HK:9979 Stock Forecast page.