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Tree Holdings Ltd. (HK:8395)
:8395
Hong Kong Market
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Tree Holdings Ltd. (8395) AI Stock Analysis

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HK

Tree Holdings Ltd.

(8395)

Rating:36Underperform
Price Target:
Tree Holdings Ltd. receives a low stock score due to significant financial challenges, including declining revenue, negative profitability, and increasing leverage. Technical analysis indicates bearish momentum, with the stock trading below key moving averages and showing oversold conditions. The valuation is also unattractive due to a negative P/E ratio and lack of dividends, further weighing on the stock's appeal.

Tree Holdings Ltd. (8395) vs. iShares MSCI Hong Kong ETF (EWH)

Tree Holdings Ltd. Business Overview & Revenue Model

Company DescriptionTree Holdings Limited sells and distributes furniture and home accessories in the People's Republic of China. It operates in Furniture Sale and Consultancy Services, and Furniture Agency Service segments. The company offers a range of furniture, including tables, chairs, storage solutions, sofas, and beds; and home accessories, such as kitchenware, bed and bathroom related products, jars, cushions, mattresses, utensils, and baskets. It also provides furniture agency and rental, as well as styling and consulting services. In addition, the company operates 2 cafes under the Flagship Store and Sha Tin store names. It serves customers through a network of retail stores and distributors. The company was founded in 2005 and is headquartered in Ap Lei Chau, Hong Kong. TREE Holdings Limited is a subsidiary of Tiptop Honour Limited.
How the Company Makes MoneyTree Holdings Ltd. generates revenue through a combination of management fees, performance fees, and consultancy charges. The company earns management fees by overseeing investment portfolios and charging clients a percentage of the assets under management. Performance fees are collected based on the achievement of specific investment benchmarks or returns. Additionally, Tree Holdings provides financial consultancy services, charging fees for strategic financial planning and advisory services. Strategic partnerships with financial institutions and a strong client base further support its revenue streams.

Tree Holdings Ltd. Financial Statement Overview

Summary
Tree Holdings Ltd. is experiencing financial difficulties with declining revenue, negative profitability, and increased leverage. The income statement shows deteriorating margins, while the balance sheet indicates higher debt levels and reduced equity. Cash flow challenges further affect the company's financial stability.
Income Statement
30
Negative
Tree Holdings Ltd. has faced declining revenue and profitability over the past few years. The revenue decreased significantly from 2021 to 2024, with a notable drop in gross profit margin from previous levels. The net profit margin has turned negative due to consistent net losses, and the EBIT and EBITDA margins reflect operating challenges. These factors indicate financial instability and declining business performance.
Balance Sheet
45
Neutral
The balance sheet shows a concerning trend with decreasing stockholders' equity and increasing debt levels, leading to a rising debt-to-equity ratio. The equity ratio has also decreased, indicating higher leverage and potential solvency issues. However, the company maintains a reasonable level of cash and short-term investments, providing some liquidity cushion.
Cash Flow
40
Negative
Cash flow analysis reveals inconsistent operating cash flow, with recent periods showing a minimal positive cash flow, contrasting sharply with previous years' stronger performance. Free cash flow growth is negative, reflecting cash constraints. The operating cash flow to net income ratio is low, indicating cash flow challenges relative to earnings.
BreakdownMar 2024Mar 2023Mar 2022Mar 2021Mar 2020
Income Statement
Total Revenue64.97M78.19M95.91M120.55M91.10M
Gross Profit41.86M51.58M63.52M74.22M65.26M
EBITDA-4.89M1.79M19.07M32.73M17.92M
Net Income-17.27M-11.05M5.23M14.56M5.22M
Balance Sheet
Total Assets106.81M99.79M114.97M138.27M129.13M
Cash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments12.19M9.48M22.18M29.14M16.77M
Total Debt32.82M19.34M20.94M22.56M25.91M
Total Liabilities71.54M48.11M52.29M67.88M73.58M
Stockholders Equity35.27M51.68M62.68M70.39M55.55M
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow-922.00K-2.02M26.21M34.77M1.65M
Operating Cash Flow78.00K-1.50M26.77M35.22M2.48M
Investing Cash Flow-1.27M-522.00K-7.61M-12.78M-4.33M
Financing Cash Flow3.98M-10.73M-25.82M-10.12M-4.17M

Tree Holdings Ltd. Technical Analysis

Technical Analysis Sentiment
Positive
Last Price0.24
Price Trends
50DMA
0.23
Positive
100DMA
0.25
Negative
200DMA
0.37
Negative
Market Momentum
MACD
<0.01
Negative
RSI
51.85
Neutral
STOCH
32.93
Neutral
Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For HK:8395, the sentiment is Positive. The current price of 0.24 is above the 20-day moving average (MA) of 0.23, above the 50-day MA of 0.23, and below the 200-day MA of 0.37, indicating a neutral trend. The MACD of <0.01 indicates Negative momentum. The RSI at 51.85 is Neutral, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 32.93 is Neutral, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Positive sentiment for HK:8395.

Tree Holdings Ltd. Peers Comparison

Overall Rating
UnderperformOutperform
Sector (63)
Financial Indicators
Name
Overall Rating
Market Cap
P/E Ratio
ROE
Dividend Yield
Revenue Growth
EPS Growth
63
Neutral
$16.78B10.88-7.08%3.04%1.73%-25.15%
61
Neutral
HK$146.00M81.110.60%5.07%-30.83%-89.29%
58
Neutral
HK$153.84M31.720.41%16.97%-59.72%
52
Neutral
HK$50.40M-92.80%-13.99%12.24%
41
Neutral
HK$67.46M-1969.58%-17.33%5.35%
36
Underperform
HK$392.83M235.0031.07%-13.93%75.32%
HK$347.11M-2.73%
* Consumer Cyclical Sector Average
Performance Comparison
Ticker
Company Name
Price
Change
% Change
HK:8395
Tree Holdings Ltd.
0.24
-0.41
-63.08%
HK:1545
Design Capital Limited
0.08
<0.01
14.29%
HK:1572
China Art Financial Holdings Ltd
0.09
-0.04
-30.77%
HK:1711
Ulferts International Limited
0.06
-0.02
-25.00%
HK:2122
Kidsland International Holdings Limited
0.06
0.02
50.00%
HK:0620
DTXS Silk Road Investment Holdings Company Limited
0.52
0.30
136.36%
Glossary
BuyA stock rated as a "Buy" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock is likely to deliver higher returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
HoldA stock rated as a "Hold" is expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the stock is neither particularly compelling nor unfavorable for investment. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
SellA stock rated as a "Sell" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock may deliver lower returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.

Disclaimer

This AI Analyst Stock Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in stocks carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.Date of analysis: Apr 22, 2025