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Grace Wine Holdings Limited (HK:8146)
:8146
Hong Kong Market
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Grace Wine Holdings Limited (8146) AI Stock Analysis

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HK:8146

Grace Wine Holdings Limited

(8146)

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Neutral 42 (OpenAI - 5.2)
Rating:42Neutral
Price Target:
HK$0.54
▲(49.17% Upside)
Action:ReiteratedDate:04/21/26
The score is held down primarily by weak financial performance—recent net losses and persistent negative operating/free cash flow—despite an improved, low-leverage balance sheet. Technical indicators also remain soft (below key moving averages with negative MACD), while valuation is constrained by negative earnings and no stated dividend support.
Positive Factors
Low leverage / improved balance sheet
A materially reduced debt load and low debt-to-equity provide durable financial flexibility over the coming months. This strengthens the firm's ability to withstand negative cash flows, access credit if needed, and prioritize restructuring or targeted investment without immediate refinancing pressure.
Negative Factors
Persistent negative cash flow
Sustained negative operating and free cash flow means the business is not self-funding and likely relies on balance-sheet resources or external financing. Over months this limits ability to invest, pay down liabilities, or scale marketing and sales to restore growth without depleting reserves.
Read all positive and negative factors
Positive Factors
Negative Factors
Low leverage / improved balance sheet
A materially reduced debt load and low debt-to-equity provide durable financial flexibility over the coming months. This strengthens the firm's ability to withstand negative cash flows, access credit if needed, and prioritize restructuring or targeted investment without immediate refinancing pressure.
Read all positive factors

Grace Wine Holdings Limited (8146) vs. iShares MSCI Hong Kong ETF (EWH)

Grace Wine Holdings Limited Business Overview & Revenue Model

Company Description
Grace Wine Holdings Limited, an investment holding company, engages in the production and distribution of wine and other alcoholic products in Hong Kong, Mainland China, and internationally. It operates in two segments, Production of Wines and Pro...

Grace Wine Holdings Limited Financial Statement Overview

Summary
Overall fundamentals are weak: profitability deteriorated into losses in 2024–2025 and revenue has trended down recently. The balance sheet is a relative strength after a sharp debt reduction (low leverage), but cash flow is a major concern with negative operating cash flow in 2023–2025 and persistently negative free cash flow.
Income Statement
34
Negative
Balance Sheet
62
Positive
Cash Flow
24
Negative
BreakdownDec 2025Dec 2024Dec 2023Dec 2022Dec 2021
Income Statement
Total Revenue33.98M34.55M64.98M62.12M84.69M
Gross Profit21.14M26.30M47.65M36.46M45.77M
EBITDA4.50M-1.15M21.21M8.95M19.47M
Net Income-4.50M-41.02M10.22M-598.00K7.74M
Balance Sheet
Total Assets189.19M318.56M331.20M330.83M309.33M
Cash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments21.76M34.49M43.31M75.05M68.45M
Total Debt2.88M65.05M47.70M27.93M967.00K
Total Liabilities20.32M92.43M64.38M74.56M49.22M
Stockholders Equity88.55M226.13M266.82M256.27M260.10M
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow-20.83M-35.15M-39.57M-15.43M-22.02M
Operating Cash Flow-15.51M-17.20M-9.43M645.00K11.22M
Investing Cash Flow90.38M-17.90M-30.83M-15.81M-32.92M
Financing Cash Flow-87.33M27.54M8.99M20.74M-1.10M

Grace Wine Holdings Limited Technical Analysis

Technical Analysis Sentiment
Negative
Last Price0.36
Price Trends
50DMA
0.67
Negative
100DMA
0.54
Positive
200DMA
0.33
Positive
Market Momentum
MACD
-0.03
Positive
RSI
34.48
Neutral
STOCH
34.07
Neutral
Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For HK:8146, the sentiment is Negative. The current price of 0.36 is below the 20-day moving average (MA) of 0.60, below the 50-day MA of 0.67, and above the 200-day MA of 0.33, indicating a neutral trend. The MACD of -0.03 indicates Positive momentum. The RSI at 34.48 is Neutral, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 34.07 is Neutral, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Negative sentiment for HK:8146.

Grace Wine Holdings Limited Peers Comparison

Overall Rating
UnderperformOutperform
Sector (62)
Financial Indicators
Name
Overall Rating
Market Cap
P/E Ratio
ROE
Dividend Yield
Revenue Growth
EPS Growth
75
Outperform
HK$280.00M7.5711.22%15.66%-1.25%
62
Neutral
$20.33B14.63-3.31%3.23%1.93%-12.26%
54
Neutral
HK$294.36M26.244.24%1.30%-37.35%-59.07%
51
Neutral
HK$112.49M-4.28-3.76%-13.76%-7.06%
42
Neutral
HK$487.80M-61.50-16.93%0.90%94.78%
41
Neutral
HK$53.59M-1.3919.01%3.35%17.48%
40
Underperform
HK$84.44M458.76-65.18%47.97%99.73%
* Consumer Defensive Sector Average
Performance Comparison
Ticker
Company Name
Price
Change
% Change
HK:8146
Grace Wine Holdings Limited
0.60
0.40
195.57%
HK:0389
China Tontine Wines Group
0.28
-0.15
-34.88%
HK:0060
Hong Kong Food Investment Holdings Limited
0.44
0.00
0.00%
HK:8057
Madison Holdings Group Limited
0.09
0.01
14.67%
HK:0828
Dynasty Fine Wines Group Limited
0.21
-0.11
-33.86%
HK:8509
Wine's Link International Holdings Limited
0.70
0.18
34.62%
Glossary
BuyA stock rated as a "Buy" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock is likely to deliver higher returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
HoldA stock rated as a "Hold" is expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the stock is neither particularly compelling nor unfavorable for investment. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
SellA stock rated as a "Sell" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock may deliver lower returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.

Disclaimer

This AI Analyst Stock Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in stocks carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.Date of analysis: Apr 21, 2026