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Grace Wine Holdings Limited
(8146)
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Rating:46Neutral
Price Target:
HK$0.37
▲(3.33% Upside)
Action:Reiterated
Date:06/11/26
The score is held down primarily by weak financial performance—recent losses and ongoing operating/free-cash-flow deficits—despite improved leverage from the 2025 debt reduction. Technical indicators also reflect a bearish trend (price below key moving averages and negative MACD), with oversold readings offering only limited offset. Valuation provides minimal support because the negative P/E reflects continued unprofitability and no dividend yield is available.
Positive Factors
Debt reduction / improved leverage
A significant debt reduction in 2025 meaningfully lowers solvency and refinancing risk and increases financial flexibility. Over 2–6 months this supports the company's ability to fund operating needs, negotiate terms, and pursue restructuring or growth without immediate external pressure.
Negative Factors
Persistent negative operating cash flow
Three consecutive years of negative operating cash flow and persistent free cash outflows indicate the business is not self-funding. Over months this erodes liquidity, forces reliance on balance sheet resources or external financing, and constrains reinvestment and recovery options.
Read all positive and negative factors
Positive Factors
Negative Factors
Debt reduction / improved leverage
A significant debt reduction in 2025 meaningfully lowers solvency and refinancing risk and increases financial flexibility. Over 2–6 months this supports the company's ability to fund operating needs, negotiate terms, and pursue restructuring or growth without immediate external pressure.
Read all positive factors
Grace Wine Holdings Limited (8146) vs. iShares MSCI Hong Kong ETF (EWH)
Market Cap
HK$321.14M
Dividend YieldN/A
Average Volume (3M)114.33K
Price to Earnings (P/E)―
Beta (1Y)1.05
Revenue Growth0.90%
EPS Growth94.78%
CountryHK
Employees118
SectorConsumer Defensive
Sector Strength42
IndustryBeverages - Wineries & Distilleries
Share Statistics
EPS (TTM)>-0.01
Shares Outstanding813,000,000
10 Day Avg. Volume80,000
30 Day Avg. Volume114,333
Financial Highlights & Ratios
PEG Ratio1.09
Price to Book (P/B)3.13
Price to Sales (P/S)8.15
P/FCF Ratio-13.29
Enterprise Value/Market CapN/A
Enterprise Value/RevenueN/A
Enterprise Value/Gross ProfitN/A
Enterprise Value/EbitdaN/A
Forecast
1Y Price TargetN/A
Price Target UpsideN/A
Rating ConsensusN/A
Number of Analyst Covering0
EPS Forecast (FY)N/A
Revenue Forecast (FY)N/A
Grace Wine Holdings Limited Business Overview & Revenue Model
Company Description
Grace Wine Holdings Limited operates as an investment holding company, deeply involved in the global production and distribution of wine and various other alcoholic beverages. Its market reach extends across Hong Kong, mainland China, and internat...
How the Company Makes Money
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Grace Wine Holdings Limited Financial Statement Overview
Summary
Income Statement
34
Negative
Balance Sheet
62
Positive
Cash Flow
24
Negative
| Breakdown | Dec 2025 | Dec 2024 | Dec 2023 | Dec 2022 | Dec 2021 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Income Statement | |||||
| Total Revenue | 33.98M | 34.55M | 64.98M | 62.12M | 84.69M |
| Gross Profit | 21.14M | 26.30M | 47.65M | 36.46M | 45.77M |
| EBITDA | 4.50M | -1.15M | 21.21M | 8.95M | 19.47M |
| Net Income | -4.50M | -41.02M | 10.22M | -598.00K | 7.74M |
Balance Sheet | |||||
| Total Assets | 189.19M | 318.56M | 331.20M | 330.83M | 309.33M |
| Cash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments | 21.76M | 34.49M | 43.31M | 75.05M | 68.45M |
| Total Debt | 2.88M | 65.05M | 47.70M | 27.93M | 967.00K |
| Total Liabilities | 20.32M | 92.43M | 64.38M | 74.56M | 49.22M |
| Stockholders Equity | 88.55M | 226.13M | 266.82M | 256.27M | 260.10M |
Cash Flow | |||||
| Free Cash Flow | -20.83M | -35.15M | -39.57M | -15.43M | -22.02M |
| Operating Cash Flow | -15.51M | -17.20M | -9.43M | 645.00K | 11.22M |
| Investing Cash Flow | 90.38M | -17.90M | -30.83M | -15.81M | -32.92M |
| Financing Cash Flow | -87.33M | 27.54M | 8.99M | 20.74M | -1.10M |
Grace Wine Holdings Limited Technical Analysis
Negative
0.36
Price Trends
0.49
Negative
0.55
Negative
0.44
Negative
Market Momentum
-0.02
Negative
38.98
Neutral
86.25
Negative
Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For HK:8146, the sentiment is Negative. The current price of 0.36 is below the 20-day moving average (MA) of 0.42, below the 50-day MA of 0.49, and below the 200-day MA of 0.44, indicating a bearish trend. The MACD of -0.02 indicates Negative momentum. The RSI at 38.98 is Neutral, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 86.25 is Negative, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Negative sentiment for HK:8146.
Grace Wine Holdings Limited Peers Comparison
UnderperformOutperform
Sector (62)
Name | Overall Rating | Market Cap | P/E Ratio | ROE | Dividend Yield | Revenue Growth | EPS Growth |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
76 Outperform | HK$437.08M | 5.82 | 10.82% | 4.07% | 3.68% | ― | |
75 Outperform | HK$240.00M | 4.40 | 11.22% | ― | -4.14% | 0.91% | |
62 Neutral | $20.33B | 14.63 | -3.31% | 3.23% | 1.93% | -12.26% | |
52 Neutral | HK$51.27M | -52.55 | -65.18% | ― | 47.97% | 99.73% | |
47 Neutral | HK$252.10M | 18.45 | 4.24% | 1.30% | -37.35% | -59.07% | |
46 Neutral | HK$321.14M | -100.55 | -1.75% | ― | 0.90% | 94.78% | |
42 Neutral | HK$132.09M | -3.12 | -14.05% | 10.64% | ― | ― |
* Consumer Defensive Sector Average
HK:8146
Grace Wine Holdings Limited
0.40
0.27
208.59%
HK:0389
China Tontine Wines Group
0.17
-0.26
-60.47%
HK:0236
San Miguel Brewery HK Ltd.
1.17
0.22
22.90%
HK:0828
Dynasty Fine Wines Group Limited
0.18
-0.13
-42.26%
HK:8509
Wine's Link International Holdings Limited
0.60
-0.04
-6.25%
HK:6911
Pu'er Lancang Ancient Tea Co., Ltd.
2.38
-0.60
-20.13%
Glossary
BuyA stock rated as a "Buy" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock is likely to deliver higher returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
HoldA stock rated as a "Hold" is expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the stock is neither particularly compelling nor unfavorable for investment. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
SellA stock rated as a "Sell" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock may deliver lower returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
Disclaimer
This AI Analyst Stock Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in stocks carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.