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Grace Wine Holdings Limited (HK:8146)
:8146
Hong Kong Market

Grace Wine Holdings Limited (8146) AI Stock Analysis

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HK:8146

Grace Wine Holdings Limited

(8146)

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Neutral 45 (OpenAI - 5.2)
Rating:45Neutral
Price Target:
HK$0.74
▲(105.83% Upside)
Action:ReiteratedDate:01/16/26
The score is mainly weighed down by weak financial performance—sharp revenue decline, negative margins, and negative operating cash flow—despite a relatively stable, low-leverage balance sheet. Technicals show strong recent upside versus moving averages, but momentum is overextended (high RSI/Stoch), and valuation is constrained by loss-making earnings (negative P/E) with no dividend yield provided.
Positive Factors
Balance Sheet Strength
Low leverage and a solid asset base give the company durable financial resilience. This balance-sheet strength improves access to credit, supports capital spending or restructuring, and provides a buffer while operating performance and cash flows recover, preserving solvency risk.
Negative Factors
Steep Revenue Decline
A near-50% revenue drop signals structural demand or execution issues that impair scale economics. Reduced topline shrinks gross margin absorption, limits reinvestment capacity, and raises the bar for management to restore sustainable growth without dilutive financing.
Read all positive and negative factors
Positive Factors
Negative Factors
Balance Sheet Strength
Low leverage and a solid asset base give the company durable financial resilience. This balance-sheet strength improves access to credit, supports capital spending or restructuring, and provides a buffer while operating performance and cash flows recover, preserving solvency risk.
Read all positive factors

Grace Wine Holdings Limited (8146) vs. iShares MSCI Hong Kong ETF (EWH)

Grace Wine Holdings Limited Business Overview & Revenue Model

Company Description
Grace Wine Holdings Limited, an investment holding company, engages in the production and distribution of wine and other alcoholic products in Hong Kong, Mainland China, and internationally. It operates in two segments, Production of Wines and Pro...
How the Company Makes Money
Grace Wine Holdings Limited generates revenue through several key streams. Primarily, the company makes money by selling its wines directly to consumers and through various distribution channels, including restaurants, hotels, and retail outlets. ...

Grace Wine Holdings Limited Financial Statement Overview

Summary
Overall fundamentals are weak: revenue fell sharply (down 46.8% from 2023 to 2024), profitability deteriorated with negative net/EBIT/EBITDA margins, and operating cash flow was negative with no free cash flow. The balance sheet is comparatively steadier with low leverage, but it does not offset earnings and cash flow pressure.
Income Statement
35
Negative
Balance Sheet
70
Positive
Cash Flow
30
Negative
BreakdownTTMDec 2024Dec 2023Dec 2022Dec 2021Dec 2020
Income Statement
Total Revenue36.74M34.55M64.98M62.12M84.69M60.22M
Gross Profit25.18M26.30M47.65M36.46M45.77M28.54M
EBITDA-1.97M-1.15M21.21M8.95M19.47M9.63M
Net Income-40.23M-41.02M10.22M-598.00K7.74M-562.00K
Balance Sheet
Total Assets199.69M318.56M331.20M330.83M309.33M278.90M
Cash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments34.46M34.49M43.31M75.05M68.45M90.84M
Total Debt2.62M65.05M47.70M27.93M967.00K1.95M
Total Liabilities28.82M92.43M64.38M74.56M49.22M26.43M
Stockholders Equity89.72M226.13M266.82M256.27M260.10M252.47M
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow-24.49M-35.15M-39.57M-15.43M-22.02M-1.43M
Operating Cash Flow-11.09M-17.20M-9.43M645.00K11.22M9.58M
Investing Cash Flow84.24M-17.90M-30.83M-15.81M-32.92M-10.52M
Financing Cash Flow-89.48M27.54M8.99M20.74M-1.10M-908.00K

Grace Wine Holdings Limited Technical Analysis

Technical Analysis Sentiment
Neutral
Last Price0.36
Price Trends
50DMA
0.72
Negative
100DMA
0.50
Positive
200DMA
0.31
Positive
Market Momentum
MACD
-0.02
Positive
RSI
34.80
Neutral
STOCH
12.64
Positive
Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For HK:8146, the sentiment is Neutral. The current price of 0.36 is below the 20-day moving average (MA) of 0.64, below the 50-day MA of 0.72, and above the 200-day MA of 0.31, indicating a neutral trend. The MACD of -0.02 indicates Positive momentum. The RSI at 34.80 is Neutral, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 12.64 is Positive, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Neutral sentiment for HK:8146.

Grace Wine Holdings Limited Peers Comparison

Overall Rating
UnderperformOutperform
Sector (62)
Financial Indicators
Name
Overall Rating
Market Cap
P/E Ratio
ROE
Dividend Yield
Revenue Growth
EPS Growth
75
Outperform
HK$284.00M7.5713.15%15.66%-1.25%
62
Neutral
$20.33B14.63-3.31%3.23%1.93%-12.26%
57
Neutral
HK$132.94M-4.28-3.76%-13.76%-7.06%
54
Neutral
HK$309.85M26.244.24%1.30%-4.14%-21.15%
45
Neutral
HK$455.28M-61.50-25.48%-18.68%-3305.88%
40
Underperform
HK$91.98M458.76-65.18%
40
Underperform
HK$84.75M-1.3919.01%3.35%17.48%
* Consumer Defensive Sector Average
Performance Comparison
Ticker
Company Name
Price
Change
% Change
HK:8146
Grace Wine Holdings Limited
0.56
0.41
263.64%
HK:0389
China Tontine Wines Group
0.31
-0.13
-29.07%
HK:0060
Hong Kong Food Investment Holdings Limited
0.52
0.06
13.04%
HK:8057
Madison Holdings Group Limited
0.14
0.05
61.90%
HK:0828
Dynasty Fine Wines Group Limited
0.22
-0.05
-17.29%
HK:8509
Wine's Link International Holdings Limited
0.71
0.33
86.84%
Glossary
BuyA stock rated as a "Buy" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock is likely to deliver higher returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
HoldA stock rated as a "Hold" is expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the stock is neither particularly compelling nor unfavorable for investment. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
SellA stock rated as a "Sell" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock may deliver lower returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.

Disclaimer

This AI Analyst Stock Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in stocks carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.Date of analysis: Jan 16, 2026