tiprankstipranks
Tenfu (Cayman) Holdings Co Ltd (HK:6868)
:6868
Hong Kong Market

Tenfu (Cayman) Holdings Co (6868) AI Stock Analysis

1 Followers

Top Page

HK:6868

Tenfu (Cayman) Holdings Co

(6868)

Select Model
Select Model
Select Model
Neutral 65 (OpenAI - 5.2)
Rating:65Neutral
Price Target:
HK$3.00
▲(11.11% Upside)
Action:ReiteratedDate:04/13/26
The score is driven primarily by solid fundamentals—strong free cash flow generation and a healthy, improving leverage profile—tempered by weakening operating trends (notably the 2025 revenue decline and multi-year margin compression). Technically, indicators point to subdued momentum (negative MACD, low RSI, and price below key moving averages), while valuation is mixed with a decent dividend yield but a P/E that looks demanding relative to recent growth/margin pressure.
Positive Factors
Cash Generation
Very strong operating and free cash flow—FCF ~394M and ~0.95x of net income—indicate high earnings quality and durable internal funding. This supports debt service, reinvestment, and shareholder returns without relying on external financing over the medium term.
Negative Factors
Revenue Trend
A significant YoY revenue drop signals weakening demand, lower store productivity or lost share. Reduced top-line scale can erode fixed-cost absorption, pressure margins and constrain reinvestment plans unless growth stabilizes or new channels materially recover sales.
Read all positive and negative factors
Positive Factors
Negative Factors
Cash Generation
Very strong operating and free cash flow—FCF ~394M and ~0.95x of net income—indicate high earnings quality and durable internal funding. This supports debt service, reinvestment, and shareholder returns without relying on external financing over the medium term.
Read all positive factors

Tenfu (Cayman) Holdings Co (6868) vs. iShares MSCI Hong Kong ETF (EWH)

Tenfu (Cayman) Holdings Co Business Overview & Revenue Model

Company Description
Tenfu (Cayman) Holdings Company Limited, together with its subsidiaries, operates as a traditional Chinese tea-product company. It sells and markets various tea products; and develops product concepts, tastes, and packaging designs. The company of...
How the Company Makes Money
Tenfu primarily makes money by selling tea products and tea-related goods to consumers and distributors. Key revenue streams generally include (1) direct retail sales through company-operated outlets where it sells packaged teas, tea foods/snacks,...

Tenfu (Cayman) Holdings Co Financial Statement Overview

Summary
Cash generation is a key strength (strong operating cash flow and very strong free cash flow with good earnings quality), and leverage is moderate and improving (debt-to-equity ~0.36). Offsetting this, revenue fell meaningfully in 2025 (-9.2% YoY) and profitability has compressed versus prior peaks, indicating weaker operating momentum.
Income Statement
62
Positive
Balance Sheet
72
Positive
Cash Flow
78
Positive
BreakdownDec 2025Dec 2024Dec 2023Dec 2022Dec 2021
Income Statement
Total Revenue1.29B1.56B1.73B1.72B1.92B
Gross Profit612.86M806.33M940.42M920.12M1.14B
EBITDA286.32M303.03M484.11M377.19M684.89M
Net Income119.40M138.88M213.24M206.45M359.48M
Balance Sheet
Total Assets2.92B2.97B3.00B3.14B3.21B
Cash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments515.88M361.98M278.45M352.59M373.38M
Total Debt651.41M734.06M681.44M855.71M757.62M
Total Liabilities1.09B1.21B1.22B1.37B1.38B
Stockholders Equity1.79B1.77B1.79B1.77B1.83B
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow393.73M203.59M406.71M307.78M211.99M
Operating Cash Flow416.25M280.71M488.85M405.29M308.58M
Investing Cash Flow-30.00M-9.42M-129.15M-38.93M-114.14M
Financing Cash Flow-213.62M-206.21M-435.17M-272.98M-314.12M

Tenfu (Cayman) Holdings Co Technical Analysis

Technical Analysis Sentiment
Negative
Last Price2.70
Price Trends
50DMA
2.90
Negative
100DMA
2.80
Positive
200DMA
2.93
Negative
Market Momentum
MACD
-0.01
Positive
RSI
38.12
Neutral
STOCH
75.77
Neutral
Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For HK:6868, the sentiment is Negative. The current price of 2.7 is below the 20-day moving average (MA) of 2.89, below the 50-day MA of 2.90, and below the 200-day MA of 2.93, indicating a bearish trend. The MACD of -0.01 indicates Positive momentum. The RSI at 38.12 is Neutral, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 75.77 is Neutral, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Negative sentiment for HK:6868.

Tenfu (Cayman) Holdings Co Peers Comparison

Overall Rating
UnderperformOutperform
Sector (62)
Financial Indicators
Name
Overall Rating
Market Cap
P/E Ratio
ROE
Dividend Yield
Revenue Growth
EPS Growth
67
Neutral
HK$55.00B8.3723.50%3.26%2.03%1.43%
65
Neutral
HK$3.04B21.756.90%3.70%-16.51%-35.38%
65
Neutral
HK$73.22B13.6124.09%5.46%-1.68%22.06%
62
Neutral
$20.33B14.63-3.31%3.23%1.93%-12.26%
58
Neutral
HK$6.69B13.007.63%2.21%-3.39%91.63%
54
Neutral
HK$8.23B11.0920.49%5.80%
45
Neutral
HK$41.59M-2.20114.90%-7.42%-0.97%
* Consumer Defensive Sector Average
Performance Comparison
Ticker
Company Name
Price
Change
% Change
HK:6868
Tenfu (Cayman) Holdings Co
2.86
-0.40
-12.16%
HK:0151
Want Want China Holdings
4.46
-0.38
-7.81%
HK:0322
Tingyi (Cayman Islands) Holding
13.23
0.38
3.00%
HK:0345
Vitasoy International Holdings
6.40
-3.47
-35.14%
HK:8241
Ying Kee Tea House Group Ltd.
0.12
0.02
15.00%
HK:2555
Sichuan Baicha Baidao Industrial Co., Ltd. Class H
5.65
-2.13
-27.38%

Tenfu (Cayman) Holdings Co Corporate Events

Tenfu Sets 2026 AGM to Approve Dividend, Board Mandates and Share Issuance Authority
Apr 9, 2026
Tenfu (Cayman) Holdings Company Limited has convened its annual general meeting for 11 May 2026 in Hong Kong, where shareholders will vote on adopting the 2025 audited financial statements and declaring a final dividend of HK$0.09 per share. The a...
Tenfu Renews Connected Transactions for Tea Ware, Processing and Leasing Through 2028
Mar 24, 2026
Tenfu (Cayman) Holdings has renewed three sets of continuing connected transactions for 2026–2028, covering purchases of tea ware from Lu Yu, processing services from Samoa Company, and property leasing from Mingfeng, all entities associated...
Tenfu (Cayman) lifts dividend despite revenue and profit decline in 2025
Mar 16, 2026
Tenfu (Cayman) Holdings Co reported weaker results for the year ended 31 December 2025, with revenue falling 15.1% year on year to RMB1.33 billion and gross profit down 13.6% to RMB697.0 million. Despite the decline in top-line and profit, the gro...
Tenfu (Cayman) Announces Final Cash Dividend for 2025
Mar 16, 2026
Tenfu (Cayman) Holdings Company Limited has proposed a final ordinary cash dividend of HKD 0.09 per share for the financial year ended 31 December 2025, subject to shareholder approval set for 11 May 2026. The ex-dividend date is 13 May 2026, with...
Tenfu (Cayman) Revamps Key Governance Roles With New Company Secretary
Mar 16, 2026
Tenfu (Cayman) Holdings Company Limited has announced a change in key corporate roles, with company secretary and authorised representative Ms. Leung Shui Bing resigning effective 21 March 2026, with no reported disagreements or issues requiring s...
Tenfu (Cayman) Sets March Board Meeting to Approve 2025 Results and Consider Final Dividend
Mar 4, 2026
Tenfu (Cayman) Holdings Company Limited has scheduled a board meeting in Hong Kong on 16 March 2026 to review and approve the annual results for the year ended 31 December 2025. The board will also consider the publication of these results and whe...
Tenfu (Cayman) Confirms Ongoing Compliance With Taiwan–Mainland Investment Rules
Jan 22, 2026
Tenfu (Cayman) Holdings said that during the period from 1 July 2025 to 31 December 2025 it made no further injections of listing proceeds into its PRC subsidiaries and confirmed that its Taiwanese founding members and original investors remained ...
Glossary
BuyA stock rated as a "Buy" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock is likely to deliver higher returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
HoldA stock rated as a "Hold" is expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the stock is neither particularly compelling nor unfavorable for investment. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
SellA stock rated as a "Sell" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock may deliver lower returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.

Disclaimer

This AI Analyst Stock Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in stocks carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.Date of analysis: Apr 13, 2026