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Greentown China Holdings Ltd. (HK:3900)
:3900
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Greentown China Holdings (3900) AI Stock Analysis

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HK:3900

Greentown China Holdings

(OTC:3900)

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Neutral 52 (OpenAI - 4o)
Rating:52Neutral
Price Target:
HK$10.00
▲(1.42% Upside)
The overall stock score is primarily influenced by financial performance and technical analysis. Strong revenue growth and operational efficiency are offset by high leverage and missing cash flow data. Technical indicators suggest a bearish trend with potential oversold conditions. Valuation metrics indicate the stock may be overvalued due to negative earnings.

Greentown China Holdings (3900) vs. iShares MSCI Hong Kong ETF (EWH)

Greentown China Holdings Business Overview & Revenue Model

Company DescriptionGreentown China Holdings Limited, an investment holding company, engages in the property development and related business in China. It operates through Property Development, Hotel Operations, Property Investment, and Project Management segments. The company develops and sells residential properties. It also offers investment and asset management; project management; technology research and development; and design and decoration services. In addition, the company operates hotels; and invests in and rents properties, as well as sells construction materials. As of December 31, 2021, its land bank comprised a total gross floor area of approximately 58.81 million square meters. Greentown China Holdings Limited was founded in 1995 and is headquartered in Hangzhou, the People's Republic of China.
How the Company Makes MoneyGreentown China Holdings generates revenue primarily through the development and sale of residential properties. The company acquires land, develops residential and commercial projects, and sells these properties to homebuyers and investors. A significant portion of their income comes from the sale of luxury apartments, villas, and townhouses in prime locations across China. Additionally, Greentown China benefits from property management services, which provide a steady stream of income through fees charged for managing residential communities and commercial properties. The company's strategic partnerships with local governments and other real estate firms also enhance its ability to secure prime land and execute large-scale projects, contributing to its overall earnings.

Greentown China Holdings Financial Statement Overview

Summary
Greentown China Holdings exhibits strong revenue growth and operational efficiency, yet struggles with profitability and high leverage. The balance sheet reflects substantial debt, and recent cash flow data is missing, raising concerns about liquidity and cash management.
Income Statement
75
Positive
The company has shown consistent revenue growth, with a notable increase of 20.68% from 2023 to 2024. Gross profit margin improved slightly to 12.76%, indicating good cost control. However, net profit margin declined to 1.01%, reflecting decreased profitability. EBIT and EBITDA margins show slight growth, supporting operational efficiency.
Balance Sheet
65
Positive
The debt-to-equity ratio is high at 3.79, suggesting significant leverage, which could pose financial risk. However, the equity ratio of 7.15% indicates a low equity base relative to assets. Return on equity decreased to 4.39%, highlighting challenges in generating returns for shareholders.
Cash Flow
55
Neutral
Operating cash flow was not available for the most recent period, indicating potential cash management issues. The absence of free cash flow data for 2024 prevents a complete assessment. In previous years, cash generation was positive, but the lack of recent data adds uncertainty.
BreakdownDec 2024Dec 2023Dec 2022Dec 2021Dec 2020
Income Statement
Total Revenue158.55B131.38B127.15B100.24B65.78B
Gross Profit20.23B17.07B22.02B18.17B15.57B
EBITDA11.98B13.42B14.18B10.53B8.85B
Net Income1.60B3.12B2.76B3.26B2.47B
Balance Sheet
Total Assets507.78B535.54B535.08B521.04B414.28B
Cash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments68.86B69.80B66.44B68.45B59.55B
Total Debt137.70B146.72B137.88B124.30B119.34B
Total Liabilities394.30B421.60B423.66B413.40B329.69B
Stockholders Equity36.33B36.13B37.55B45.44B52.84B
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow28.47B22.61B14.20B5.36B-3.62B
Operating Cash Flow28.83B22.97B14.59B5.86B-3.10B
Investing Cash Flow-14.42B-19.11B-20.87B-30.72B-11.89B
Financing Cash Flow-15.17B-423.13M4.18B33.82B28.07B

Greentown China Holdings Technical Analysis

Technical Analysis Sentiment
Neutral
Last Price9.86
Price Trends
50DMA
10.13
Negative
100DMA
9.76
Positive
200DMA
9.76
Positive
Market Momentum
MACD
-0.09
Negative
RSI
48.60
Neutral
STOCH
80.10
Negative
Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For HK:3900, the sentiment is Neutral. The current price of 9.86 is above the 20-day moving average (MA) of 9.81, below the 50-day MA of 10.13, and above the 200-day MA of 9.76, indicating a neutral trend. The MACD of -0.09 indicates Negative momentum. The RSI at 48.60 is Neutral, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 80.10 is Negative, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Neutral sentiment for HK:3900.

Greentown China Holdings Peers Comparison

Overall Rating
UnderperformOutperform
Sector (65)
Financial Indicators
Name
Overall Rating
Market Cap
P/E Ratio
ROE
Dividend Yield
Revenue Growth
EPS Growth
73
Outperform
40.55B6.1612.79%6.63%1.26%-0.20%
52
Neutral
$25.52B15.86-0.67%3.33%-1.08%-109.20%
52
Neutral
21.61B41.101.99%1.87%-8.18%0.00%
52
Neutral
14.03B-5.230.13%-11.25%-3002.05%
51
Neutral
19.08B81.141.06%-30.33%0.00%
51
Neutral
31.90B50.160.78%6.14%76.12%-72.44%
65
Neutral
$2.17B12.193.79%4.94%3.15%1.96%
* Real Estate Sector Average
Performance Comparison
Ticker
Company Name
Price
Change
% Change
HK:3900
Greentown China Holdings
9.86
3.64
58.65%
KRYPF
Kerry Properties
3.02
0.92
43.81%
DE:HVP0
Hopson Development Holdings Limited
0.39
0.15
62.50%
HK:1030
Seazen Group Ltd.
2.71
1.11
69.37%
HK:1908
C&D International Investment Group Ltd.
17.76
7.10
66.60%
HK:0817
China Jinmao Holdings Group Limited
1.60
0.90
128.57%

Greentown China Holdings Corporate Events

Greentown China Reports Strong Sales Performance for First Eight Months of 2025
Sep 4, 2025

Greentown China Holdings Limited reported unaudited operating data for the first eight months of 2025, highlighting significant sales achievements. The company sold 1,885 units in August 2025, generating approximately RMB10.6 billion in monthly sales. From January to August 2025, the total sales area reached approximately 7,320,000 sqm, with contracted sales of RMB156.3 billion. These figures indicate strong performance in both self-investment projects and project management business, suggesting a robust market presence and potential positive implications for stakeholders.

The most recent analyst rating on (HK:3900) stock is a Hold with a HK$10.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Greentown China Holdings stock, see the HK:3900 Stock Forecast page.

Greentown China Secures Decoration and Installation Contract with CCCC Construction
Aug 25, 2025

Greentown China Holdings Limited announced that its wholly-owned subsidiary, Greentown Architectural, has entered into an agreement with CCCC Construction to provide decoration and installation services for a construction project in Hangzhou. This transaction is classified as a connected transaction under Hong Kong’s Listing Rules due to the substantial shareholding of CCCG in Greentown, and it is subject to specific reporting requirements. The agreement, valued at approximately RMB30,600,000, was determined through a public bidding process and is expected to enhance Greentown’s operational capabilities and strengthen its industry positioning.

The most recent analyst rating on (HK:3900) stock is a Hold with a HK$11.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Greentown China Holdings stock, see the HK:3900 Stock Forecast page.

Greentown China Reports Interim Results for 1H2025 with Strategic Growth
Aug 22, 2025

Greentown China Holdings Limited reported its interim results for the first half of 2025, showing a revenue of approximately RMB53.368 billion and a profit attributable to owners of RMB0.21 billion. The company achieved a record high in bank balances and cash, totaling RMB66.795 billion, and optimized its debt structure by reducing short-term debt to 16.3%. Despite a decrease in profit compared to the previous year, Greentown ranked 2nd in the industry for total contracted sales at RMB122.2 billion. The company also added 35 new projects with an estimated saleable value of RMB90.7 billion, strengthening its position in the market.

The most recent analyst rating on (HK:3900) stock is a Hold with a HK$11.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Greentown China Holdings stock, see the HK:3900 Stock Forecast page.

Greentown China Announces Board Committee Changes
Aug 22, 2025

Greentown China Holdings Limited announced a change in the composition of its board committee, effective from August 22, 2025. Ms. Hong Lei, an executive director, has been appointed as a member of the Nomination Committee, which now includes six members with Mr. Zhu Yuchen as chairman. This appointment may influence the company’s governance and strategic direction, potentially impacting its market positioning and stakeholder relations.

The most recent analyst rating on (HK:3900) stock is a Hold with a HK$11.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Greentown China Holdings stock, see the HK:3900 Stock Forecast page.

Greentown China Holdings Announces Board Composition
Aug 22, 2025

Greentown China Holdings Limited has announced the composition of its board of directors, highlighting the roles and functions of each member. This announcement provides clarity on the leadership structure, potentially impacting the company’s strategic direction and governance, which is crucial for stakeholders and investors monitoring the company’s management and operational decisions.

The most recent analyst rating on (HK:3900) stock is a Hold with a HK$11.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Greentown China Holdings stock, see the HK:3900 Stock Forecast page.

Greentown China Holdings Schedules Board Meeting to Review Interim Results
Aug 11, 2025

Greentown China Holdings Limited has announced a board meeting scheduled for August 22, 2025, to review and approve the company’s interim results for the first half of the year and discuss the payment of an interim dividend. This meeting is significant as it will provide insights into the company’s financial health and strategic direction, potentially impacting its market positioning and stakeholders’ interests.

The most recent analyst rating on (HK:3900) stock is a Buy with a HK$19.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Greentown China Holdings stock, see the HK:3900 Stock Forecast page.

Greentown China Issues Profit Warning Amid Revenue Challenges
Aug 8, 2025

Greentown China Holdings Limited has issued a profit warning, indicating a significant decrease in net profit attributable to owners by approximately 90% for the first half of 2025 compared to the previous year. This decline is largely due to an uneven distribution of delivery schedules and a decrease in recognized revenue from property sales. Additionally, the company has made provisions for impairment loss on long-term inventory assets, further impacting profits. Despite these challenges, the company has successfully optimized its debt structure, reducing short-term debt to a record low and maintaining a strong cash-to-short-term-debt ratio, ensuring secure operations.

The most recent analyst rating on (HK:3900) stock is a Buy with a HK$11.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Greentown China Holdings stock, see the HK:3900 Stock Forecast page.

Greentown China Holdings Reports Strong Sales Performance for 2025
Aug 6, 2025

Greentown China Holdings Limited reported its unaudited operating data for the seven months ending July 2025, showcasing significant sales achievements. The company sold 1,380 units in July 2025, with a total sales area of 190,000 sqm and a monthly sales value of approximately RMB5 billion. From January to July 2025, the total sales area reached 6,260,000 sqm, with contracted sales amounting to RMB136.8 billion. The announcement highlights the company’s robust performance, indicating strong market positioning and potential positive implications for stakeholders.

The most recent analyst rating on (HK:3900) stock is a Buy with a HK$19.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Greentown China Holdings stock, see the HK:3900 Stock Forecast page.

Glossary
BuyA stock rated as a "Buy" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock is likely to deliver higher returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
HoldA stock rated as a "Hold" is expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the stock is neither particularly compelling nor unfavorable for investment. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
SellA stock rated as a "Sell" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock may deliver lower returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.

Disclaimer

This AI Analyst Stock Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in stocks carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.Date of analysis: Sep 11, 2025