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GCL-Poly Energy Holdings Limited (HK:3800)
:3800
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GCL-Poly Energy Holdings (3800) AI Stock Analysis

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HK:3800

GCL-Poly Energy Holdings

(3800)

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Neutral 51 (OpenAI - 4o)
Rating:51Neutral
Price Target:
HK$1.50
▲(5.63% Upside)
The overall stock score reflects significant financial challenges, with the company's financial performance being the most critical factor. Despite positive technical indicators suggesting bullish momentum, the negative valuation metrics and severe cash flow issues weigh heavily on the stock's attractiveness.
Positive Factors
Economies of Scale
GCL-Poly's large-scale production capabilities allow it to reduce costs and offer competitive pricing, strengthening its market position.
Strategic Partnerships
Collaborations with industry players can lead to increased market access and innovation, supporting long-term revenue growth.
Renewable Energy Demand
The increasing shift towards renewable energy globally supports sustained demand for GCL-Poly's solar products, driving future growth.
Negative Factors
Revenue Decline
A steep decline in revenue indicates potential market challenges or strategic missteps, impacting long-term financial health.
Negative Cash Flow
Persistent negative cash flow limits the company's ability to invest in growth opportunities and manage debt, threatening sustainability.
Profitability Risks
Negative margins and declining net income highlight operational inefficiencies, posing risks to long-term profitability and competitiveness.

GCL-Poly Energy Holdings (3800) vs. iShares MSCI Hong Kong ETF (EWH)

GCL-Poly Energy Holdings Business Overview & Revenue Model

Company DescriptionGCL-Poly Energy Holdings Limited (stock code: 3800) is a leading integrated solar energy company based in China, specializing in the production of photovoltaic (PV) products and the provision of solar energy solutions. The company operates primarily in two segments: the manufacturing of polysilicon, wafers, and solar cells, and the development and operation of solar power plants. GCL-Poly is recognized for its significant contributions to the solar energy sector, leveraging advanced technologies and large-scale production capabilities.
How the Company Makes MoneyGCL-Poly Energy Holdings generates revenue primarily through the sale of its solar products, including polysilicon, solar wafers, and solar cells, which are essential components in the manufacturing of solar panels. The company benefits from economies of scale and operational efficiencies, allowing it to offer competitive pricing in the market. Additionally, GCL-Poly earns income from its solar power generation projects, where it sells electricity produced from its solar plants to grid operators or through power purchase agreements (PPAs). Strategic partnerships with other energy firms and suppliers further enhance its market position and revenue potential, while the growing global demand for renewable energy solutions provides a favorable backdrop for its business operations.

GCL-Poly Energy Holdings Financial Statement Overview

Summary
The company's financial performance is severely challenged. The income statement shows a significant decline in revenue and profitability, with negative gross profit margins and net income. The balance sheet indicates moderate stability but highlights profitability risks. Cash flow is a critical concern with negative free cash flow and no growth, indicating severe cash management issues.
Income Statement
25
Negative
The company's income statement indicates significant challenges, with a noticeable decline in revenue from 2023 to 2024. Gross profit margins have turned negative, and net income has decreased substantially. EBIT and EBITDA margins have also turned negative, indicating operational difficulties. The revenue growth rate shows a steep decline, reflecting poor market conditions or strategic issues.
Balance Sheet
45
Neutral
The balance sheet reveals a moderate level of financial stability. The debt-to-equity ratio has improved from previous years, suggesting better leverage management. However, the equity ratio remains relatively low, indicating potential risk. Return on equity has significantly declined due to the negative net income, raising concerns about profitability.
Cash Flow
20
Very Negative
Cash flow analysis highlights significant concerns. The operating cash flow has decreased, and free cash flow remains negative. The lack of free cash flow growth is alarming, and the cash flow to net income ratios are uncalculable due to zero values in 2024, highlighting cash management issues.
BreakdownTTMDec 2024Dec 2023Dec 2022Dec 2021Dec 2020
Income Statement
Total Revenue11.97B15.10B33.70B35.93B16.87B14.62B
Gross Profit-2.66B-2.51B11.69B17.50B5.57B3.75B
EBITDA-2.12B-2.73B8.07B20.74B8.46B4.67B
Net Income-5.05B-4.75B2.51B16.03B5.08B-5.67B
Balance Sheet
Total Assets71.49B74.87B82.77B85.56B64.10B80.50B
Cash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments5.99B7.00B8.52B6.89B7.13B2.51B
Total Debt17.68B19.10B15.50B13.74B12.60B42.40B
Total Liabilities30.01B32.58B34.45B40.01B31.80B60.11B
Stockholders Equity36.64B37.18B42.59B42.68B29.03B16.59B
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow-1.27B-7.53B-16.07B-8.06B-4.10B-568.91M
Operating Cash Flow495.51M-3.30B-3.85B7.87B1.88B1.59B
Investing Cash Flow-2.50B-6.04B-10.91B-16.55B742.87M2.74B
Financing Cash Flow3.19B7.69B14.96B8.40B959.20M-4.16B

GCL-Poly Energy Holdings Technical Analysis

Technical Analysis Sentiment
Positive
Last Price1.42
Price Trends
50DMA
1.33
Positive
100DMA
1.24
Positive
200DMA
1.12
Positive
Market Momentum
MACD
0.03
Negative
RSI
58.01
Neutral
STOCH
78.27
Neutral
Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For HK:3800, the sentiment is Positive. The current price of 1.42 is above the 20-day moving average (MA) of 1.34, above the 50-day MA of 1.33, and above the 200-day MA of 1.12, indicating a bullish trend. The MACD of 0.03 indicates Negative momentum. The RSI at 58.01 is Neutral, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 78.27 is Neutral, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Positive sentiment for HK:3800.

GCL-Poly Energy Holdings Peers Comparison

Overall Rating
UnderperformOutperform
Sector (61)
Financial Indicators
Name
Overall Rating
Market Cap
P/E Ratio
ROE
Dividend Yield
Revenue Growth
EPS Growth
67
Neutral
$32.38B28.971.07%
61
Neutral
$37.18B12.37-10.20%1.83%8.50%-7.62%
51
Neutral
$40.88B-6.62-13.00%-44.73%-10.66%
49
Neutral
HK$11.28B-3.18-9.60%-32.90%-152.00%
46
Neutral
$693.30M-11.09-1.39%36.71%8.15%
45
Neutral
HK$329.05M-1.32-24.72%-43.94%-162.54%
32
Underperform
HK$402.01M-46.12%-29.30%-752.95%
* Technology Sector Average
Performance Comparison
Ticker
Company Name
Price
Change
% Change
HK:3800
GCL-Poly Energy Holdings
1.42
-0.14
-8.97%
HK:0750
China Singyes Solar Technologies Holdings
0.27
-0.09
-25.00%
HK:0757
Solargiga Energy Holdings
0.10
-0.02
-19.20%
HK:0968
Xinyi Solar Holdings
3.92
0.54
16.15%
HK:0438
IRICO Group New Energy Co. Ltd. Class H
2.36
-0.64
-21.33%
HK:1799
Xinte Energy Co., Ltd. Class H
8.95
0.09
1.02%

GCL-Poly Energy Holdings Corporate Events

GCL Technology Completes Tranche 2A Subscription
Nov 7, 2025

GCL Technology Holdings Limited has announced the completion of its Tranche 2A Subscription, issuing a total of 1,353,043,000 new shares to Infini Global Master Fund at a price of HK$1.15 per share. This move is part of the company’s broader strategy to raise capital, which could enhance its market positioning and provide additional resources for future growth initiatives.

The most recent analyst rating on (HK:3800) stock is a Hold with a HK$1.50 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on GCL-Poly Energy Holdings stock, see the HK:3800 Stock Forecast page.

GCL Technology Reports Turnaround in Solar Material Segment
Oct 16, 2025

GCL Technology Holdings Limited announced a significant turnaround in its solar material business segment for the third quarter of 2025, reporting an unaudited profit of approximately RMB960 million, compared to a loss of RMB1.81 billion in the same period last year. The company’s strategic focus on energy-efficient production and collaboration across the supply chain has contributed to improved financial performance and positions it as a leader in the polysilicon industry, promoting sustainable growth and market stability.

The most recent analyst rating on (HK:3800) stock is a Hold with a HK$1.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on GCL-Poly Energy Holdings stock, see the HK:3800 Stock Forecast page.

GCL Technology Completes First Tranche Subscription, Plans Expansion
Oct 10, 2025

GCL Technology Holdings Limited has completed the first tranche of its subscription agreement, issuing over 2 billion shares to Infini Global Master Fund at HK$1.15 per share. The second tranche is expected to be completed in November 2025, with proceeds aimed at expanding polysilicon production and enhancing R&D capabilities. The company plans to use the funds for mergers and acquisitions to increase production capacity and invest in silane gas and related materials, although no specific acquisition targets have been identified yet.

The most recent analyst rating on (HK:3800) stock is a Buy with a HK$1.65 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on GCL-Poly Energy Holdings stock, see the HK:3800 Stock Forecast page.

GCL Technology Amends Subscription Agreement and Details Proceeds Utilization
Sep 25, 2025

GCL Technology Holdings Limited has amended its subscription agreement to accommodate funding schedules, splitting the first and second tranche subscriptions into smaller parts while keeping the total number of shares unchanged. The company plans to utilize approximately HK$5,392 million from the subscription proceeds to expand its polysilicon production capacity, enhance R&D in silane gas, optimize its capital structure, and repay bank loans, with a timeline extending to December 2028.

The most recent analyst rating on (HK:3800) stock is a Buy with a HK$1.65 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on GCL-Poly Energy Holdings stock, see the HK:3800 Stock Forecast page.

GCL Technology Secures 2025 Silicon Ingot Procurement Agreement
Sep 25, 2025

GCL Technology Holdings Limited announced the establishment of a 2025 Framework Agreement with Inner Mongolia Zhonghuan for the procurement of 8,125 metric tonnes of monocrystalline silicon ingots. This agreement, which includes amendments for pricing and transaction caps, is significant for GCL’s operations as it strengthens their supply chain and aligns with industry regulations, impacting their market positioning.

The most recent analyst rating on (HK:3800) stock is a Buy with a HK$1.65 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on GCL-Poly Energy Holdings stock, see the HK:3800 Stock Forecast page.

GCL Technology Clarifies Profitability Statement Amid Rising Polysilicon Prices
Sep 16, 2025

GCL Technology Holdings Limited issued a clarification regarding a statement made by its executive director, Mr. Yeung Man Chung, during an investor update call. The statement suggested potential profitability for the company in August and September 2025 due to rising polysilicon prices. However, the company emphasized that this was not a formal profit forecast and advised shareholders and potential investors to exercise caution when dealing with the company’s shares.

The most recent analyst rating on (HK:3800) stock is a Buy with a HK$1.80 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on GCL-Poly Energy Holdings stock, see the HK:3800 Stock Forecast page.

GCL Technology Raises HK$5.4 Billion Through New Share Issuance
Sep 16, 2025

GCL Technology Holdings Limited announced a significant capital raising initiative through the issuance of 4,735,651,000 new shares at HK$1.15 each, expected to generate gross proceeds of approximately HK$5,446 million. The funds will be used to enhance polysilicon production, expand silane gas operations, and improve capital structure, with a portion allocated for general working capital and debt repayment. This move is poised to strengthen GCL’s market position in the semiconductor and solar energy sectors, potentially impacting stakeholders by increasing the company’s operational capacity and financial stability.

The most recent analyst rating on (HK:3800) stock is a Buy with a HK$1.80 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on GCL-Poly Energy Holdings stock, see the HK:3800 Stock Forecast page.

GCL Technology Updates Shareholding Interests
Sep 14, 2025

GCL Technology Holdings Limited announced an update on the shareholding interests of its executive directors and related entities. The company clarified and restated the shareholding information based on disclosure of interests filings, which were not independently verified by the company. This update impacts the company’s transparency and governance, potentially affecting stakeholder confidence.

The most recent analyst rating on (HK:3800) stock is a Buy with a HK$1.80 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on GCL-Poly Energy Holdings stock, see the HK:3800 Stock Forecast page.

GCL-Poly Energy Holdings Reports 2025 Interim Results
Aug 30, 2025

GCL-Poly Energy Holdings, a prominent player in the renewable energy sector, specializes in the production and sale of polysilicon and wafer products, primarily serving the solar industry. The company also operates solar farms in the USA and China, contributing to its diversified energy portfolio.

GCL Technology Reports Significant Revenue Decline in H1 2025
Aug 29, 2025

GCL Technology Holdings Limited reported a significant decline in revenue for the first half of 2025, with a 35.3% decrease compared to the same period in 2024. The company faced a gross loss of RMB 700.2 million and an increased loss attributable to owners, indicating challenging market conditions and operational difficulties. The interim results reflect a tough financial period for GCL Tech, impacting its market positioning and potentially affecting stakeholder confidence.

The most recent analyst rating on (HK:3800) stock is a Buy with a HK$1.90 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on GCL-Poly Energy Holdings stock, see the HK:3800 Stock Forecast page.

GCL Technology Holdings to Review Interim Results and Dividend
Aug 15, 2025

GCL Technology Holdings Limited has announced a board meeting scheduled for August 29, 2025, to discuss and approve the interim results for the first half of the year ending June 30, 2025. The meeting will also consider the declaration or payment of an interim dividend, which could impact the company’s financial strategy and shareholder returns.

The most recent analyst rating on (HK:3800) stock is a Buy with a HK$1.70 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on GCL-Poly Energy Holdings stock, see the HK:3800 Stock Forecast page.

Glossary
BuyA stock rated as a "Buy" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock is likely to deliver higher returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
HoldA stock rated as a "Hold" is expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the stock is neither particularly compelling nor unfavorable for investment. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
SellA stock rated as a "Sell" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock may deliver lower returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.

Disclaimer

This AI Analyst Stock Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in stocks carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.Date of analysis: Nov 08, 2025