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Xinyi Solar Holdings (HK:0968)
:0968

Xinyi Solar Holdings (0968) AI Stock Analysis

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HK:0968

Xinyi Solar Holdings

(0968)

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Neutral 62 (OpenAI - 5.2)
Rating:62Neutral
Price Target:
HK$4.00
▲(18.34% Upside)
The score is primarily driven by solid but mixed financials: strong revenue growth and a stable balance sheet are offset by margin compression and volatile cash flow. Technicals are supportive but appear overbought, and valuation is less compelling given the higher P/E and modest dividend yield.
Positive Factors
Sustained Revenue Growth
Consistent ~15% five‑year revenue CAGR signals durable end‑market demand and successful scaling in solar glass and power generation. This steady top‑line expansion supports capacity utilization, long‑term supplier relationships and reinvestment for competitive scale advantages.
Strong Equity Ratio
A ~53% equity ratio reflects a conservative capital structure that enhances balance‑sheet resilience against cyclical solar demand. It supports access to financing for capex and project development while lowering insolvency risk, aiding multi‑year strategic investments.
Scale and Product Position
Large production capacity and economies of scale underpin a durable competitive edge in solar glass supply; high product quality and integrated power assets bolster customer relationships and reduce unit costs, creating barriers to entry and stable revenue mix over time.
Negative Factors
Margin Compression
Sharp declines in gross and net margins indicate rising input costs or pricing pressure, materially reducing per‑unit profitability and long‑term cash generation. Persistent margin erosion weakens the ability to self‑fund capex and magnifies downside from commodity or competitive shocks.
Rising Leverage and Lower ROE
Increasing leverage combined with declining ROE suggests less efficient capital deployment and higher financial risk. If margins or cash flow worsen, higher debt burdens could elevate funding costs and limit strategic flexibility over the medium term.
Volatile Free Cash Flow
Volatile FCF and elevated capex needs undermine the company's ability to reliably self‑finance growth or return capital. This increases reliance on external funding, raising refinancing and execution risk for new plants and long‑term project commitments.

Xinyi Solar Holdings (0968) vs. iShares MSCI Hong Kong ETF (EWH)

Xinyi Solar Holdings Business Overview & Revenue Model

Company DescriptionXinyi Solar Holdings Limited, an investment holding company, produces and sells solar glass products in the People's Republic of China, rest of Asia, North America, Europe, and internationally. It operates in two segments, Sales of Solar Glass and Solar Farm Business. The company offers photovoltaic power station, ultraclear patterned glasses, back glasses, and AR photovoltaic glasses. It also develops, operates, and manages solar farms; and provides engineering, procurement, and construction services. In addition, the company engages in the provision of solar power systems; and trading of solar glass products. Xinyi Solar Holdings Limited was founded in 2008 and is headquartered in Wuhu, the People's Republic of China.
How the Company Makes MoneyXinyi Solar generates revenue primarily through the sale of its solar glass products, which are supplied to photovoltaic manufacturers globally. The company benefits from economies of scale due to its large production capacity, allowing it to meet the growing demand for solar energy solutions. Additionally, Xinyi Solar earns income from its solar power generation segment, where it develops, operates, and sells electricity from solar power plants. The company also engages in strategic partnerships with other firms in the renewable energy sector to enhance its market reach and operational efficiency. Fluctuations in solar glass prices, government policies favoring renewable energy, and technological advancements in solar energy are significant factors influencing its revenue streams.

Xinyi Solar Holdings Financial Statement Overview

Summary
Strong multi-year revenue growth, but profitability has weakened (gross margin down materially and net margin down). Balance sheet remains fairly solid with a strong equity ratio, though leverage is rising. Cash flow is the key risk due to volatile/free-cash-flow pressure from higher capex.
Income Statement
72
Positive
Xinyi Solar Holdings has shown consistent revenue growth with a CAGR of approximately 15.2% over the past five years. Gross profit margin has decreased from 54.3% in 2020 to 31.5% in 2023, indicating increased cost pressures. Net profit margin also declined from 37% in 2020 to 15.7% in 2023. Nevertheless, the company maintains a healthy EBITDA margin reflecting operational resilience.
Balance Sheet
68
Positive
The company's debt-to-equity ratio has increased from 0.26 in 2020 to 0.36 in 2023, indicating higher leverage. Return on equity has decreased from 17.2% in 2020 to 13.1% in 2023. The equity ratio remains strong at 52.9% in 2023, suggesting a balanced asset structure.
Cash Flow
60
Neutral
Free cash flow has been volatile, with a significant decline in 2021 and 2022. Operating cash flow to net income ratio was positive in 2020 but has faced challenges due to increased capital expenditures. The company needs to improve its cash management strategies to ensure sustainable growth.
BreakdownTTMDec 2024Dec 2023Dec 2022Dec 2021Dec 2020
Income Statement
Total Revenue21.21B21.92B26.63B20.54B16.06B12.32B
Gross Profit2.26B3.47B7.09B6.12B7.52B6.56B
EBITDA3.44B4.26B7.78B6.90B7.85B6.82B
Net Income-137.07M1.01B4.19B3.82B4.92B4.56B
Balance Sheet
Total Assets58.70B56.93B60.43B50.58B49.07B43.42B
Cash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments3.08B1.03B2.88B5.37B7.89B9.29B
Total Debt14.16B12.54B11.51B8.91B8.85B6.81B
Total Liabilities23.25B22.52B22.57B15.34B12.96B11.40B
Stockholders Equity29.95B29.05B31.97B29.75B30.31B26.52B
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow-1.50B-3.69B-4.10B-723.25M-1.15B1.06B
Operating Cash Flow1.78B1.31B5.79B5.92B3.79B4.35B
Investing Cash Flow-2.89B-4.01B-10.40B-5.52B-4.91B-2.36B
Financing Cash Flow1.42B822.27M2.19B-1.99B-805.82M4.99B

Xinyi Solar Holdings Technical Analysis

Technical Analysis Sentiment
Positive
Last Price3.38
Price Trends
50DMA
3.18
Positive
100DMA
3.38
Positive
200DMA
3.06
Positive
Market Momentum
MACD
0.08
Negative
RSI
63.41
Neutral
STOCH
66.31
Neutral
Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For HK:0968, the sentiment is Positive. The current price of 3.38 is above the 20-day moving average (MA) of 3.24, above the 50-day MA of 3.18, and above the 200-day MA of 3.06, indicating a bullish trend. The MACD of 0.08 indicates Negative momentum. The RSI at 63.41 is Neutral, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 66.31 is Neutral, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Positive sentiment for HK:0968.

Xinyi Solar Holdings Peers Comparison

Overall Rating
UnderperformOutperform
Sector (61)
Financial Indicators
Name
Overall Rating
Market Cap
P/E Ratio
ROE
Dividend Yield
Revenue Growth
EPS Growth
62
Neutral
HK$30.92B28.641.41%
61
Neutral
$37.18B12.37-10.20%1.83%8.50%-7.62%
47
Neutral
HK$10.88B-3.07-9.60%-32.90%-152.00%
46
Neutral
HK$35.87B-5.34-13.00%-44.73%-10.66%
42
Neutral
HK$602.54M-9.64-1.39%36.71%8.15%
* Technology Sector Average
Performance Comparison
Ticker
Company Name
Price
Change
% Change
HK:0968
Xinyi Solar Holdings
3.38
0.23
7.37%
HK:0750
China Singyes Solar Technologies Holdings
0.24
-0.06
-20.33%
HK:3800
GCL Technology Holdings Limited
1.08
-0.13
-10.74%
HK:1799
Xinte Energy Co., Ltd. Class H
7.61
0.38
5.26%

Xinyi Solar Holdings Corporate Events

Xinyi Solar and Xinyi Glass Clarify Pricing on Connected Solar Power Sales
Jan 22, 2026

Xinyi Solar Holdings and Xinyi Glass Holdings have issued a supplemental joint announcement clarifying the pricing mechanism for their continuing connected transactions under an Electricity Framework Agreement, which governs sales of surplus rooftop solar electricity from Xinyi Solar to Xinyi Glass. The companies explain that the annual cap of RMB35.4 million is based on prior purchasing levels and the maximum output of rooftop solar systems that can be transmitted without using the State Grid, and that the price paid by Xinyi Glass will not exceed its historical weighted average local electricity cost and will be set at a 15–20% discount to prevailing State Grid tariffs, benchmarked against other available third-party suppliers. Both boards emphasise that the arrangement is on normal commercial terms, agreed at arm’s length, and will be subject to strict internal controls, aiming to ensure that the connected transaction remains in line with market pricing while allowing Xinyi Solar to monetise surplus green power and Xinyi Glass to reduce its energy costs under a transparent framework.

The most recent analyst rating on (HK:0968) stock is a Buy with a HK$3.40 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Xinyi Solar Holdings stock, see the HK:0968 Stock Forecast page.

Xinyi Group Clarifies Valuation and Compliance on Jinzhai Wind Power Stake Deal
Jan 16, 2026

Xinyi Glass, Xinyi Electric Storage, Xinyi Energy and Xinyi Solar have issued a supplemental joint announcement detailing valuation and compliance matters relating to the connected transaction for the sale and purchase of an equity interest in Jinzhai Wind Power. The companies clarified that the valuation of Jinzhai Wind Power as of 31 October 2025, prepared by independent valuer Graval Consulting using a discounted cash flow model based on free cash flow to the firm over the wind farm’s remaining 13-year operating life, is treated as a profit forecast under Hong Kong listing rules. Auditor Ernst & Young has reviewed the arithmetical accuracy of the income-approach forecast, confirmed its independence from the Xinyi group entities, and consented to the inclusion of its opinion, while the boards of the listed companies state the profit forecast was made after due and careful enquiry, reinforcing regulatory compliance around this connected transaction. The supplemental disclosure also notes that Jinzhai Wind Power’s limited indirect ownership by Xinyi Electric Storage means certain GEM listing requirements do not apply, underlining the transaction’s structural and regulatory nuances for investors monitoring the group’s expanding wind power footprint.

The most recent analyst rating on (HK:0968) stock is a Buy with a HK$3.40 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Xinyi Solar Holdings stock, see the HK:0968 Stock Forecast page.

Xinyi Solar Justifies Lower 2026 Cap on Equipment Purchases Amid Stabilising Solar Glass Market
Jan 16, 2026

Xinyi Solar Holdings and Xinyi Glass Holdings issued a supplemental joint announcement explaining the rationale behind the proposed 2026 annual cap of RMB107.3 million for Xinyi Solar’s purchases of production equipment from Xinyi Glass under their continuing connected transactions. The companies clarified that the sharp drop in purchase volume in the first eleven months of 2025, which saw only RMB1.2 million of equipment purchases against a cap of RMB168.8 million, was driven by a supply-demand imbalance in the solar glass market that forced Xinyi Solar to slow capacity expansion, suspend production lines and rely on spare parts from under-utilised facilities. Despite a significant profit decline in the first half of 2025, Xinyi Solar’s board believes performance will not continue to deteriorate in 2026 and has set the 2026 cap at roughly half the actual transaction levels seen in 2023 and 2024, arguing that 2024 purchasing patterns are a better guide than the unusually weak 2025 period. Citing improved industry statistics and customer feedback, the company signals an expectation of gradual recovery in solar glass supply-demand dynamics in both China and overseas markets, framing the new cap as aligned with a stabilising business environment and planned capacity expansion, which is relevant for investors tracking its capital expenditure and utilisation of related-party supply arrangements.

The most recent analyst rating on (HK:0968) stock is a Buy with a HK$3.40 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Xinyi Solar Holdings stock, see the HK:0968 Stock Forecast page.

Xinyi Solar and Xinyi Glass Renew Connected Production Equipment Purchase Deal for 2026
Dec 24, 2025

Xinyi Solar and Xinyi Glass have renewed their intra-group production equipment procurement arrangement, with subsidiaries of the two Hong Kong–listed companies signing a new 2026 Production Equipment Purchase Agreement on 24 December 2025 for a one-year term from 1 January to 31 December 2026. Because Xinyi Glass is a substantial shareholder of Xinyi Solar and both groups share common controlling shareholders, the deal is classified as a continuing connected transaction for each company under Hong Kong Listing Rules; however, as the applicable percentage ratios remain above 0.1% but below 5%, the arrangement is only subject to reporting and announcement requirements and is exempt from circular and independent shareholders’ approval, signalling a routine renewal that maintains operational continuity without triggering more onerous regulatory procedures.

The most recent analyst rating on (HK:0968) stock is a Buy with a HK$3.40 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Xinyi Solar Holdings stock, see the HK:0968 Stock Forecast page.

Xinyi Solar to Supply Surplus Rooftop Solar Power to Xinyi Glass Under 2026 Framework Deal
Dec 24, 2025

Xinyi Solar Holdings and Xinyi Glass Holdings have entered into an Electricity Framework Agreement under which, from 1 January to 31 December 2026, members of the Xinyi Solar group will supply surplus electricity generated from their distributed rooftop solar power systems to members of the Xinyi Glass group, after first satisfying their own power demand. As the two Hong Kong-listed groups share substantial and controlling shareholders, the arrangement is classified as a continuing connected transaction for both companies; given that the relevant percentage ratios are above 0.1% but below 5%, the deal is subject to reporting and announcement requirements under Hong Kong’s Listing Rules but is exempt from the need for an independent shareholders’ circular, financial advice or approval, streamlining implementation of the intra-group renewable power supply while maintaining disclosure obligations for investors.

The most recent analyst rating on (HK:0968) stock is a Buy with a HK$3.40 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Xinyi Solar Holdings stock, see the HK:0968 Stock Forecast page.

Xinyi Group Units Restructure Stake in JinzhaI Wind Power via Connected Deal
Dec 23, 2025

Xinyi Glass, Xinyi Electric Storage, Xinyi Energy and Xinyi Solar jointly announced that their respective subsidiaries have entered into an equity transfer agreement on 23 December 2025 for the sale and purchase of an equity interest in JinzhaI Wind Power, effectively reallocating ownership of the wind power asset within the Xinyi group. The transaction, treated as a connected transaction for all four listed entities under the Hong Kong Main Board and GEM Listing Rules, falls within the lowest disclosure band, triggering reporting and announcement obligations but exempting the parties from issuing a circular, obtaining independent financial advice or securing independent shareholders’ approval, thereby streamlining internal asset restructuring while maintaining regulatory transparency for investors.

The most recent analyst rating on (HK:0968) stock is a Buy with a HK$3.40 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Xinyi Solar Holdings stock, see the HK:0968 Stock Forecast page.

Xinyi Solar Holdings Announces Disposal of Equity Stake in Solar Farm Subsidiary
Dec 17, 2025

Xinyi Solar Holdings and Xinyi Energy Holdings announced the disposal of a 51% equity interest in Xinyi Solar (Tianjin) to a purchaser comprising state-owned entities in China. The disposal was based on a valuation of RMB 1,009 million, considering factors such as operating history, financial performance, and future prospects. This transaction allows Xinyi to maintain a 49% stake, retain dividends, and oversee management, signaling strategic realignment while benefiting from operational efficiencies and the continuation of solar farm dividends for stakeholders.

The most recent analyst rating on (HK:0968) stock is a Hold with a HK$3.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Xinyi Solar Holdings stock, see the HK:0968 Stock Forecast page.

Xinyi Solar Holdings Announces Major Equity Disposal in Tianjin Subsidiary
Nov 20, 2025

Xinyi Solar Holdings Limited announced the disposal of a 51% equity interest in Xinyi Solar (Tianjin) for RMB514.59 million, marking a significant transaction under the Listing Rules. This move results in Xinyi Solar (Tianjin) ceasing to be a subsidiary of Xinyi Energy and Xinyi Solar, with remaining interests to be accounted for using the equity method. The transaction, subject to notification and announcement requirements, reflects strategic adjustments in the company’s operations, potentially impacting its market positioning and stakeholder interests.

The most recent analyst rating on (HK:0968) stock is a Hold with a HK$3.50 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Xinyi Solar Holdings stock, see the HK:0968 Stock Forecast page.

Glossary
BuyA stock rated as a "Buy" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock is likely to deliver higher returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
HoldA stock rated as a "Hold" is expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the stock is neither particularly compelling nor unfavorable for investment. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
SellA stock rated as a "Sell" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock may deliver lower returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.

Disclaimer

This AI Analyst Stock Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in stocks carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.Date of analysis: Jan 24, 2026